New cases down 1K from yesterday and 3.7K ~14.7% from last Wednesday. This is more impressive when you consider that testing was 103K higher ~48% this week than last.
Lets talk about testing, Last Wednesday we had 215K tests with 22K positives for a postive% of 10.3%. This week we had 319K tests with 21.5K positives for a rate of 6.8% Testing #'s improved by 48% but the number of positive results fell. I think we're seeing much broader testing and the % of positive results is falling which leads me to the question of how many people do we think are actually infected?
Deaths were up over yesterday which is a bit of a surprise; however, the same pattern occurred last week. Deaths are down by 756 from last Wednesday a 30% decline.
Mortality rose .04% to 5.96%. This number needs to start coming down.
On the 7 Day rolling average graph, the downward trend is accelerating for deaths and flattening slightly for new cases.
Lets talk about testing, Last Wednesday we had 215K tests with 22K positives for a postive% of 10.3%. This week we had 319K tests with 21.5K positives for a rate of 6.8% Testing #'s improved by 48% but the number of positive results fell. I think we're seeing much broader testing and the % of positive results is falling which leads me to the question of how many people do we think are actually infected?
Deaths were up over yesterday which is a bit of a surprise; however, the same pattern occurred last week. Deaths are down by 756 from last Wednesday a 30% decline.
Mortality rose .04% to 5.96%. This number needs to start coming down.
On the 7 Day rolling average graph, the downward trend is accelerating for deaths and flattening slightly for new cases.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/14/...odule=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage#link-5050db29
how do we keep a tally for this?
[FONT="][h=2]Fighting the virus brings unintended consequences, including a mental illness crisis.[/h]The coronavirus is wreaking havoc on people’s health in ways that at first glance would seem to have little connection to the virus’s devastating primary effects.
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[FONT="]The United Nations is warning of new risks to children and a subsequent plague of mental illness. And national governments are noting the unintended consequences of lockdowns and other restrictions, including a rise in domestic violence. In Mexico, a decision to ban alcohol sales was followed by scores of deaths after people drank tainted homemade alcohol.
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how do we keep a tally for this?
[FONT="][h=2]Fighting the virus brings unintended consequences, including a mental illness crisis.[/h]The coronavirus is wreaking havoc on people’s health in ways that at first glance would seem to have little connection to the virus’s devastating primary effects.
<aside class="css-ew4tgv" aria-label="companion column" style="margin: 0px 0px 0px auto; padding: 0px; border: 0px; text-size-adjust: 100%; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; display: flex; width: 210px; -webkit-box-align: center; align-items: center;"></aside>[/FONT]
[FONT="]The United Nations is warning of new risks to children and a subsequent plague of mental illness. And national governments are noting the unintended consequences of lockdowns and other restrictions, including a rise in domestic violence. In Mexico, a decision to ban alcohol sales was followed by scores of deaths after people drank tainted homemade alcohol.
[/FONT]
MAY 15: The University of Washington coronavirus model cited by the White House has revised its estimate to 147,000 coronavirus deaths by August.
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This seems remarkably conservative if the average daily death toll of past six weeks persists, the U.S. will top 147k deaths by the third week of June
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This seems remarkably conservative if the average daily death toll of past six weeks persists, the U.S. will top 147k deaths by the third week of June
