Trump will be -150 before Nov 3rd! Yes or no?

[devocr]

Now if minorities turn out for Biden in 2020 like they did for Obama in 2012 and give him that huge 90% + majority, then Detroit & Philadelphia can change the EC. Still doesn't move the needle in the House.

If you have a problem figuring out whether you're for me or Trump, then you ain't black!! haha

 

[Michelangelo]

"This will be he same with +105 or better. If Trump is at +105 or better before the election at bookmaker.eu you win. If he isn't but even if Trump wins the election you still lose."

yep. That is fine.

But I'm concerned for the other bet. I don't want bookmaker.eu deciding what to do with the bet if one of the contingencies I listed were to develop. I want the bet to still stand between you and I.

If you can live with the bet despite the possibility of the contingencies I listed, we've got a bet.

Thanks.

 

[crudebar]

"This will be he same with +105 or better. If Trump is at +105 or better before the election at bookmaker.eu you win. If he isn't but even if Trump wins the election you still lose."

yep. That is fine.

But I'm concerned for the other bet. I don't want bookmaker.eu deciding what to do with the bet if one of the contingencies I listed were to develop. I want the bet to still stand between you and I.

If you can live with the bet despite the possibility of the contingencies I listed, we've got a bet.

Thanks.

Have to keep the same rules as Bookmaker.eu. I can't have different rules with different people on the same bet. LMK what you want to do.

 

[Michelangelo]

This is for Trump to win the 2020 Presidential election over Joe Biden, right.

If Trump or Biden drop dead the guy who doesn't drop dead wins.
If Trump or Biden resigns before the election the other guy wins, right?
If trump gets impeached the other guy wins, right?
If....

Just want to be clear about what we are betting.

I'd also be interested in a small piece of the +105 or better at 7:00 AM Nov 3rd at my 1 to your 5. (What book are we going to use as the price definition?)

I would be interested in my 500 to your 850 on the first bet.

And my 250 to your 1250 on the second bet.

Let me know if these terms are acceptable. Then I'll get ahold of Willie.

Thanks

OK. bookmaker.eu is what we use to arbiter the bets.

I don't do internet money transfers. So I'll have to send Willie a money order by next day postal express tomorrow AM.

I'd like you to agree here that we have a bet if the money order arrives at Willie's address on Friday or Saturday as long as the postmark is tomorrow. ("next day" from tomorrow AM).

You don't have to transfer your money to Willie until he confirms that my money order has arrived.

Does this work? If so I'll contact Willie.

Thanks.

PS How much of a handling fee did you guys agree goes to Willie? JUst tell me the amount. I agree to whatever has been decided.

 

[crudebar]

OK. bookmaker.eu is what we use to arbiter the bets.

I don't do internet money transfers. So I'll have to send Willie a money order by next day postal express tomorrow AM.

I'd like you to agree here that we have a bet if the money order arrives at Willie's address on Friday or Saturday as long as the postmark is tomorrow. ("next day" from tomorrow AM).

You don't have to transfer your money to Willie until he confirms that my money order has arrived.

Does this work? If so I'll contact Willie.

Thanks.

PS How much of a handling fee did you guys agree goes to Willie? JUst tell me the amount. I agree to whatever has been decided.

That's fine with me if it's okay with Willie. As soon as he tells me he has cash in hand ill send my end.

You don't have any electronic way to pay, that's kind of a big ask on Willie's part, but if he agrees, its fine with me.

 

[MAGAking1]

These are the rules from Bookmaker. Bets are not settled till swearing in ceremony.
Everyone needs to take a note of this if going with strict BM rules guidelines.

For bets on a candidate to win an office, all bets will be graded at the time of the winner’s swearing-in ceremony.
Once lines are posted, all bets will have action even if the candidate withdraws from the race early.

 

[Michelangelo]

Cool. I'll PM willie.

Thanks. Good luck.

 

[MAGAking1]

Didnt know about the 5 to 1 on +105 offer. sounds enticing.

 

[crudebar]

These are the rules from Bookmaker. Bets are not settled till swearing in ceremony.
Everyone needs to take a note of this if going with strict BM rules guidelines.

For bets on a candidate to win an office, all bets will be graded at the time of the winner’s swearing-in ceremony.
Once lines are posted, all bets will have action even if the candidate withdraws from the race early.

If everyone wants to agree that the declared winner is the actual winner for this bet i am fine with it. But i need everyone to agree to that in my Presidential Bets thread. Otherwise the rules of Bookmaker.eu stand.

 

[crudebar]

Didnt know about the 5 to 1 on +105 offer. sounds enticing.

Just so you're aware this bet is also based off bookmaker. So if Trump is +105 or better at Bookmaker, you win the bet. You can't simply just show a line from any online book.

 

[MAGAking1]

What this amounts to guys who have bet and who will want to bet is this

According to BM rules they wont grade this bet until the swearing in ceremony on Jan 20 or 21 of 2021.
So if you get lucky and win Willie will be holding your money until then because this is what everyone agrees to by using BM rules.

So please chime in because Im pretty sure that is not what everyone had in mind when they placed the bet.

 

[Michelangelo]

If everyone wants to agree that the declared winner is the actual winner for this bet i am fine with it. But i need everyone to agree to that in my Presidential Bets thread. Otherwise the rules of Bookmaker.eu stand.

I'll agree to that.

PS Just sent the PM to Willie. Waiting for his response.

 

[Michelangelo]

OK, crudebar.

Willie and I are on the same page. Money order for $850.00 being sent tomorrow morning to Willie via Postal Express from Boston's So Postal Annex.

$750.00 for our bets plus dinner money for Willie.

Thanks

 

[crudebar]

OK, crudebar.

Willie and I are on the same page. Money order for $850.00 being sent tomorrow morning to Willie via Postal Express from Boston's So Postal Annex.

$750.00 for our bets plus dinner money for Willie.

Thanks

Sounds good my man. As soon as Willie says he has it, ill send my end to him by PP. ($1,250 and $850)

 

[Louie12]

The polls in swing states are closer in 2020 than they were in 2016. RCP tracks this stuff

It doesn't matter if Democrats when NYC, Chicago & CA 10 million or 50 million, it has zero impact on the balance of power

thats just irrefutably false . the polling was way more favorable to trump in 2016, even in swing states.

im sorry. i wish it werent the case.

 

[SgtLanquel]

If you have a problem figuring out whether you're for me or Trump, then you ain't black!! haha

99's oft-stated insistence for 12 years now is that Barack Obama was only elected because of the inner-city nig**er vote

Somehow the millions of GOP non-college blue collar white voters south of the MasonDixon line were not included in his analysis

 

[PatsFan1283]

I'll bet any of the under -150 by Nov 3rd crowd that at 11:50pm EST on Nov 2nd that Biden is > -150 on Pinny if anyone wants it.

post up or credit will depend who it is, just need to dot i's and cross t's

 

[Louie12]

trump being -150 is laughable at any point going forward. he's gonna go the opposite way if anything

 

[PatsFan1283]

trump being -150 is laughable at any point going forward. he's gonna go the opposite way if anything

To clarify, that isn't the bet I am proposing. I'm saying Biden won't be -150 on Pinny 10 mins before Nov 3rd.

 

[Louie12]

To clarify, that isn't the bet I am proposing. I'm saying Biden won't be -150 on Pinny 10 mins before Nov 3rd.

i wasnt referring to you. just laughing at that price for trump

what do you think bidens price will be 11/3