If Biden is up 10 points nationally and even in 2016 the national poll was dead on with Clinton up 3 and winning by 2.7. Biden is not going to lose the electoral college with a 10 point national advantage.
Clinton lost states at a razor thin margin that's not going to happen if Biden has around triple her national lead.
I do expect this lead to narrow though.
Clinton lost states at a razor thin margin that's not going to happen if Biden has around triple her national lead.
I do expect this lead to narrow though.
The polls in swing states are closer in 2020 than they were in 2016. RCP tracks this stuff
It doesn't matter if Democrats when NYC, Chicago & CA 10 million or 50 million, it has zero impact on the balance of power
It doesn't matter if Democrats when NYC, Chicago & CA 10 million or 50 million, it has zero impact on the balance of power
Remember this also. How many times in 2016 did we see Trump cut into Hilary's lead? It was often. Trump would do something stupid fall back in the polls then after a week of staying clean he would come back up again. That happened numerous times. How often have we seen that in 2020? Biden has a huge lead and it has been steady and even slowly building the whole time.
But to each their own and i am more then willing to take more bets.
My biggest concern with Biden is a health scare. Outside of that this is done.
But to each their own and i am more then willing to take more bets.
My biggest concern with Biden is a health scare. Outside of that this is done.
Totally dominating a concentrated demographic does not change the EC, does not change the Senate and does not change the House. There has to be a more widespread appeal to a broader group of people to change power significantly
Now if minorities turn out for Biden in 2020 like they did for Obama in 2012 and give him that huge 90% + majority, then Detroit & Philadelphia can change the EC. Still doesn't move the needle in the House.
There's no reason to believe they're enthusiastic about Biden, no matter what CNN and their democratic allies tell you
As I stated down in the poly forum, there's absolutely no way the pollsters can accurately poll 2020. There's no precedent for all the bullshit and violence and finger pointing and anger
This is for Trump to win the 2020 Presidential election over Joe Biden, right.
If Trump or Biden drop dead the guy who doesn't drop dead wins.
If Trump or Biden resigns before the election the other guy wins, right?
If trump gets impeached the other guy wins, right?
If....
Just want to be clear about what we are betting.
I'd also be interested in a small piece of the +105 or better at 7:00 AM Nov 3rd at my 1 to your 5. (What book are we going to use as the price definition?)
I would be interested in my 500 to your 850 on the first bet.
And my 250 to your 1250 on the second bet.
Let me know if these terms are acceptable. Then I'll get ahold of Willie.
Thanks
If Trump or Biden drop dead the guy who doesn't drop dead wins.
If Trump or Biden resigns before the election the other guy wins, right?
If trump gets impeached the other guy wins, right?
If....
Just want to be clear about what we are betting.
I'd also be interested in a small piece of the +105 or better at 7:00 AM Nov 3rd at my 1 to your 5. (What book are we going to use as the price definition?)
I would be interested in my 500 to your 850 on the first bet.
And my 250 to your 1250 on the second bet.
Let me know if these terms are acceptable. Then I'll get ahold of Willie.
Thanks
Both look good to me. Just to be clear all betting is based off Bookmaker.eu. So if one drops dead and bookmaker.eu cancels bets then these will be canceled. If bookmaker.eu pays out then these pay out.
Trying to keep this as simple as possible. This will be he same with +105 or better. If Trump is at +105 or better before the election at bookmaker.eu you win. If he isn't but even if Trump wins the election you still lose.
