Another Day, another General election matchup poll where Kasich fairs better than any R. That's without any ink, any push whatsoever compared to the rest. Maybe the fools voting in the R primaries will get the message eventually, and nominate the guy who has the best chance to win a General Election. :think2:
Another Day, another General election matchup poll where Kasich fairs better than any R. That's without any ink, any push whatsoever compared to the rest. Maybe the fools voting in the R primaries will get the message eventually, and nominate the guy who has the best chance to win a General Election. :think2:
Want to bet? Lifetime ban from the Poli forum.
Kasich wins the nomination, I’m history.
Kasich loses the nomination, you’re history.
?
Kasich is on top of things?Just the Wrong Way Idiot doing what he do, again, being wrong. Kasich is the best REPUBLICAN chance to get a REPUBLICAN elected POTUS.
Kasich is on top of things?
Report: Kasich failed to gather enough signatures to appear on Pennsylvania ballot
Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s own lawyer agrees the presidential campaign submitted fewer valid signatures than are required for the candidate to appear on Pennsylvania’s primary ballot. But he argued in court Wednesday that it doesn’t matter because an objection to Mr. Kasich’s nominating petitions was filed 13 minutes too late.
At issue is whether challenges to Pennsylvania nominating petitions are due by 5 p.m. or 11:59 p.m. on the last day to file.
Attorneys for Mr. Kasich and the objector have stipulated that the campaign filed no more than 2,184 signatures with the state, and that 192 of those signatures were not valid. Republican and Democratic candidates for president must submit 2,000 signatures to appear on the ballot.
Best REPUBLICAN chance to get a REPUBLICAN elected POTUS.
He can’t even get on the ballot in Pennsylvania.
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Clinton (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 2/11 - 3/6 | -- | -- | 47.3 | 41.0 | Clinton +6.3 |
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 3/3 - 3/6 | 1200 RV | 2.8 | 51 | 38 | Clinton +13 |
ABC News/Wash Post | 3/3 - 3/6 | 864 RV | 4.0 | 50 | 41 | Clinton +9 |
Rasmussen Reports | 2/29 - 3/1 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 41 | 36 | Clinton +5 |
CNN/ORC | 2/24 - 2/27 | 920 RV | 3.0 | 52 | 44 | Clinton +8 |
FOX News | 2/15 - 2/17 | 1031 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 42 | Clinton +5 |
USA Today/Suffolk | 2/11 - 2/15 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 43 | 45 | Trump +2 |
Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Kasich (R) | Clinton (D) | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 2/10 - 2/17 | -- | -- | 47.7 | 40.3 | Kasich +7.4 |
FOX News | 2/15 - 2/17 | 1031 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 44 | Kasich +3 |
Quinnipiac | 2/10 - 2/15 | 1342 RV | 2.7 | 47 | 39 | Kasich +8 |
USA Today/Suffolk | 2/11 - 2/15 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 49 | 38 | Kasich +11 |
Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election says college professor who is 'almost certain' the Donald will be the next U.S. president
- Professor Helmut Norpoth’s statistical modeling gives Trump a 97 percent chance of beating Clinton in November - if he's the GOP nominee
- He'd have an even better shot against Bernie Sanders - 99 percent
- Norpoth's model has accurately predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, The Statesman reports, except the election of 1960
If a professor at Stony Brook University is correct, Donald J Trump will be the next President of the United States.
- If either Rubio or Cruz were the GOP nominee, the model shows them losing to Clinton but winning against Sanders
Professor Helmut Norpoth’s statistical modeling gives Trump with a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election. He'd have an even better shot against Bernie Sanders - 99 percent.
'The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president,' Norpoth told Stony Brook's school newspaper, The Statesman, 'if he’s a nominee of the [Republican] party.'
The numbers don't lie: Norpoth's model has accurately predicted the winner of every national election since 1912, The Statesman reports, except the election of 1960.
One of the closest elections in U.S. history, John F. Kennedy bested Richard Nixon by 0.17 percent or 112,827 votes.
Norpoth's model is correct 96.1 percent of the time, suggesting victory is on the horizon for Trump
'When I started out with this kind of display a few months ago, I thought it was sort of a joke.' Norpoth said at a gathering Monday at the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, according to The Stateman.
He added, 'Well, I’ll tell you right now, it ain’t a joke anymore.'
Trump has won three out of four GOP contests this year and is ahead in polling in most states that vote on Tuesday.
Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are trying to catch up, but the GOP senators have had to spend much of their time this year pushing out low-polling candidates with little chance of winning who were siphoning off support from their own bids.
Cruz has won one contest, Iowa, in January, and Rubio has won none. He's come in twice in a row, though, in South Carolina and Nevada.
Overall, Norpoth said a Republican has a 61 percent chance of winning the general election come November.
Clinton would have a 55 percent chance of winning if she went up against Cruz or Rubio and Norpoth's model says she'd have 0.3 percent on either of them in the popular vote category.
They'd beat Sanders, though, he said, by 0.6 percent. That boosts their odds of winning to 60 percent, respectively.
If Trump is the nominee, those odds go up substantially, Norpoth said.
'The probability of that [outcome] is almost complete certainty, 97 percent. It’s almost, "take it to the bank." '
Professor Helmut Norpoth’s statistical modeling shows that Trump has a 97 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the general election