We call them sucker bets because the line looks fishy, not the game.
Let's say that next week the Arizona Cardinals were to go play Indianapolis at Indianapolis. And let's say the line was Indy -2.5
And let's say the line doesn't move from -2.5 all week...
Then we call them trap lines...something fishy about them. It looks too easy. It's a sucker bet.
So, if we see sucker bets before the game occurs and can pinpoint them reasonably then we can use that to our advantage. That doesn't mean the game is fixed.
The logic used in this thread astounds me.
By the way, if the games are fixed, then that means there should be a non-random factor taking place with the games and THAT means you can cash on your knowledge that there is a conspiracy. Congratulations, you have found the man behind the curtain. YOU are the enlightened ones. You now have access to the inner sanctum and you will be wealthy because you have found the truth.
Let me point out one of the logic problems the fellow that started this thread has:
An example will show it best: Ptolemy believed the planets and sun revolved/orbited the earth. Ptolemy was one smart bastard and he developed very difficult mathematics to describe the way the planets and sun orbited the earth. He had retrograde motion mathematics (a bitch) worked into his model and he got every thing ironed out where the model had great predictive ability.
You could say to him, Ptolemy, you're wrong...the planets don't orbit the earth. The planets including earth orbit about the sun!! He would say, no. I have proof that the planets do orbit around the earth. He would ask you to pick a planet. You would pick saturn. He would then do some mathematics and tell you that in 62 days 4 hours and 11 minutes that saturn would be right THERE in our sky...right there....see the spot right there? It would be right there.
You wait and then when the time is up and you go outside...there is saturn right where he said it would be. Hmmm....you think to yourself, if he can predict where the planets will be so well, then he must have the correct model.
Well, Ptolemy didn't have the correct model. He had great mathematics and a lot of work and a shitty model. But it could predict.
Just because you are able to predict the outcome of games by seeing what 'the books need' and you are finding success at it does not mean the games are fixed. It doesn't prove that. Just as my thread does not DISPROVE that fact either. I'm just saying that because you have found a way to examine the contests and predict spread winners does not mean the rationale behind your picks is correct.
However, if you cash 'knowing' the truth, then cash on. More power to you.
I'm not going to continue arguing about this. But I will say one last thing: When we determine that the games are fixed and only those with the inside knowledge can find the winners then we should stop immediately and do something else. If you think being fixed means the books love taking action on the games because the 'fix is in' then you have to ask yourself why we all don't have a hey-day wagering on professional wrestling such as WWF?
What is the Pinny line on the Mad Dog Killer Babbit and Hurricane Matsua wrestling match coming up next week? Hahahahaaaa
You can discard/denigrate/hate on all that I have just posted but I will not further defend what I am saying. I've got to go as Pinny has some great lines on harness racing coming up in a couple of hours.
Good luck.
tulsa
Let's say that next week the Arizona Cardinals were to go play Indianapolis at Indianapolis. And let's say the line was Indy -2.5
And let's say the line doesn't move from -2.5 all week...
Then we call them trap lines...something fishy about them. It looks too easy. It's a sucker bet.
So, if we see sucker bets before the game occurs and can pinpoint them reasonably then we can use that to our advantage. That doesn't mean the game is fixed.
The logic used in this thread astounds me.
By the way, if the games are fixed, then that means there should be a non-random factor taking place with the games and THAT means you can cash on your knowledge that there is a conspiracy. Congratulations, you have found the man behind the curtain. YOU are the enlightened ones. You now have access to the inner sanctum and you will be wealthy because you have found the truth.
Let me point out one of the logic problems the fellow that started this thread has:
An example will show it best: Ptolemy believed the planets and sun revolved/orbited the earth. Ptolemy was one smart bastard and he developed very difficult mathematics to describe the way the planets and sun orbited the earth. He had retrograde motion mathematics (a bitch) worked into his model and he got every thing ironed out where the model had great predictive ability.
You could say to him, Ptolemy, you're wrong...the planets don't orbit the earth. The planets including earth orbit about the sun!! He would say, no. I have proof that the planets do orbit around the earth. He would ask you to pick a planet. You would pick saturn. He would then do some mathematics and tell you that in 62 days 4 hours and 11 minutes that saturn would be right THERE in our sky...right there....see the spot right there? It would be right there.
You wait and then when the time is up and you go outside...there is saturn right where he said it would be. Hmmm....you think to yourself, if he can predict where the planets will be so well, then he must have the correct model.
Well, Ptolemy didn't have the correct model. He had great mathematics and a lot of work and a shitty model. But it could predict.
Just because you are able to predict the outcome of games by seeing what 'the books need' and you are finding success at it does not mean the games are fixed. It doesn't prove that. Just as my thread does not DISPROVE that fact either. I'm just saying that because you have found a way to examine the contests and predict spread winners does not mean the rationale behind your picks is correct.
However, if you cash 'knowing' the truth, then cash on. More power to you.
I'm not going to continue arguing about this. But I will say one last thing: When we determine that the games are fixed and only those with the inside knowledge can find the winners then we should stop immediately and do something else. If you think being fixed means the books love taking action on the games because the 'fix is in' then you have to ask yourself why we all don't have a hey-day wagering on professional wrestling such as WWF?
What is the Pinny line on the Mad Dog Killer Babbit and Hurricane Matsua wrestling match coming up next week? Hahahahaaaa
You can discard/denigrate/hate on all that I have just posted but I will not further defend what I am saying. I've got to go as Pinny has some great lines on harness racing coming up in a couple of hours.
Good luck.
tulsa