The NE Patriots team is "mediocre at best"?

[X-Files]

I think you have a blind spot as to how lines are made but I'm not going to be the 1 to help you with that, that much is clear.

What i did notice is that around the time of the Antonio Brown signing & playing for the Pats there were huge line moves on the Pats to win the Super Bowl & their Conference. After Brown was gone, a very brief time later, the line didn't move back up. That suggests to me that the line moves were not based on air but on money bet.

Since then the line hasn't moved much at all. This suggests to me that there hasn't been enough action on the Pats to move the line even more & towards less value on the Pats & also there hasn't been enough action on other teams to increase the value on the Pats. So, in that sense, the line movements around the time of Brown becoming a Patriot brought the line to where it is today.

They're currently favored to win the AFC and superbowl, how much more confidence inspiring do you need?

That isn't exactly breaking news. Confidence in, or for, what? Everyone who follows future odds knows they're favored. So?

Flaws and all, team is still thought of in pretty high regard to be priced to be favored to win the AFC and superbowl (and signing Antonio Brown 8 weeks ago has nothing to do with where the odds are today)

The Brown signing brought the odds to where they were then, which is the same as where they are today. They haven't changed since. So, in that sense, his signing brought the odds to where they are today.

As far as beating up on cream puffs and getting whooped by B-More, if you think that forecasts a sign of dire things to come then your free to test that theory obviously.

Who in this thread has ever expressed they "think that forecasts a sign of dire things to come". Though, if you followed futures odds, you'ld know that recently there has been huge dollars come on the Ravens. Their odds to win the Super Bowl are not far off from those on the Pats.

If you are correct in what you are projectin', then you gonna start collectin'

What projectin'? Where have i stated any such thing, let alone a wager corresponding to it?

But the whole overrating schedule thing already worked out pretty badly for you if I may recall....

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread...triots+falcons

Huh? I wish i had made a very large pregame bet on the Falcons to win the Super Bowl over the Pats. I'd have made quite a sizable profit off of it.

 

[PatsFan1283]

Yeah, I hear ya. That's fine. Besides the AB stuff which isn't relevant to the team on the field now, we basically agree.

NE will be favored in every game they play the rest of the year besides perhaps @BMore if they lose HF (big dog to do so right now) and perhaps in the SB vs the Saints and maybe 1 other emerging team (as long as Brady is under center)....Neither of these will be by more than a few pts unless something drastic changes.

So their value is still very high in the minds of the market. It is what it is.

And if anyone thinks those prices are wrong, those are the opinions that make the world go round.

 

[Haysie]

X are you not posting plays anymore?

 

[X-Files]

X are you not posting plays anymore?

I'd elaborate, Haysie, but your PM isn't activated.

At two other sites i post on, which will not be named, ExG & CxxxxS, i posted two easy winners last week, Ravens -3.5 (NFL) & Ticats (CFL) -4.

BOL with all your action!

 

[X-Files]

Is Brady's recent form mediocre:

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap30...-with-tom-brady-at-qb-michael-thomas-for-opoy

 

[Michelangelo]

Patriots suck. The best offense in the NFL put up 10 friggin points against them. 10-1 but they haven't played anybody.

 

[JustinCruise]

Patriots suck. The best offense in the NFL put up 10 friggin points against them. 10-1 but they haven't played anybody.

I hope you're not saying dallas is the best offense in the nfl...

 

[Michelangelo]

By yards gained, they were coming into this game. By points scored they were 6th best.

 

[Haysie]

ok mate TY i will activate my PM not very good at this stuff though

 

[Doug]

You just can't call a 10-1 NFL team mediocre, you could in Mlb where an average team might get lucky and start 10-1, but in football that is elite and rarely accomplished

 

[brendanjack]

You just can't call a 10-1 NFL team mediocre, you could in Mlb where an average team might get lucky and start 10-1, but in football that is elite and rarely accomplished

I thought you were resting in peace?

 

[brendanjack]

My bad that was early this am total brain fart.

 

[Michelangelo]

Maybe a bit irreverent but I thought it was funny as hell when I read it this morning.

Maybe Doug got a haha too.