Good morning-it is weekly and cumulative recap time.
Before that, a few words are in order.
This was the best week of the season for NC edging out the previous best week ending on 9/16.
What is really interesting is that both this week and in September they had these very nice winning weeks in spite of losing a GOM.
They obviously need to continue the winning of this week and last week to continue to cut into the shrinking yearly and three and a half year plus deficit
for all of tis to have any meaning.
Without further ado, here you go with the recaps:
Before that, a few words are in order.
This was the best week of the season for NC edging out the previous best week ending on 9/16.
What is really interesting is that both this week and in September they had these very nice winning weeks in spite of losing a GOM.
They obviously need to continue the winning of this week and last week to continue to cut into the shrinking yearly and three and a half year plus deficit
for all of tis to have any meaning.
Without further ado, here you go with the recaps:
Recaps for Week Eleven:
College sides and totals 8-3 with 11.7 units GAINED.
Pros 3-0-1 with 8.5 units WON.
Overall for the week 20.2 units were GAINED or $2,020 at $100 a unit.
The cheapest cost of service for a non PS subscriber of the several mentioned to get all of the Late Phone Plays
was $285.
Thus factoring the cost, it is seen that 17.35 units were GAINED or $1,735 at $100 a unit.
was $285.
Thus factoring the cost, it is seen that 17.35 units were GAINED or $1,735 at $100 a unit.
Cumulative:
College 62-48-1 with 21.4 units WON.
Pro 18-21-2 with 16.2 units LOST.
Overall 5.2 units have been WON or PLUS $520 at $100 a unit.
The total cost of service so far is 2.433 units or $2,433.
Thus adding in the cost, it is seen that so far the non PS subscriber is MINUS 19.13 units or MINUS $1,913 at $100 a unit.
Overall including last week over the last three and a half years, anyone who has played the Late Phones
according to scale and factoring in the cost of service, is still DOWN A DOCUMENTED MINUS $17,029.
A few more notes:
This marked the fourth winning week out of eleven so far.
Also the overall winning percentage when one figures up all of the Late Phone Plays given out for the entire season is an ok but not great 53.7%(80/149)
The theoretical break even percentage is 52.35, which as you can see by the still remaining deficit is higher when the cost of service is included.
The bottom line is that if NC has another excellent week like last week, they could get in range of or even surpass the break even point for
the season.
Back after the comp. message.
Pro 18-21-2 with 16.2 units LOST.
Overall 5.2 units have been WON or PLUS $520 at $100 a unit.
The total cost of service so far is 2.433 units or $2,433.
Thus adding in the cost, it is seen that so far the non PS subscriber is MINUS 19.13 units or MINUS $1,913 at $100 a unit.
Overall including last week over the last three and a half years, anyone who has played the Late Phones
according to scale and factoring in the cost of service, is still DOWN A DOCUMENTED MINUS $17,029.
A few more notes:
This marked the fourth winning week out of eleven so far.
Also the overall winning percentage when one figures up all of the Late Phone Plays given out for the entire season is an ok but not great 53.7%(80/149)
The theoretical break even percentage is 52.35, which as you can see by the still remaining deficit is higher when the cost of service is included.
The bottom line is that if NC has another excellent week like last week, they could get in range of or even surpass the break even point for
the season.
Back after the comp. message.
Well the comp. message is out.
Before summarizing that, a few things I forgot to include in previous post.
The college sides have led the charge during the last few weeks.
I don't know whether this is a temporary thing or an actual change of leadership so to speak because historically over the last 3 1/2 years
when I started doing this, the college sides have been the laggards so to speak with the college totals doing much better and the NFL also
doing reasonably well.
Anyway on ext. 9 we get a recap for last night with the 2-0 sweep.
We are told that the Monday Night Magic plays are 7-3 so far but are not told how the Monday Night Marquees have done-how come? Lifeline please! lol
THE POWERPLAY COMP. OF THE WEEK IS A FOUR STAR ON KENTUCKY - 8 1.1,
Ext. 9 We hear vintage Phil Steele/NC lies by omission, spin and deception, which are among the big reasons why the aforementioned
have lost a lot of respect.
Consider that NC has gone 11-2 with the college side plays the last week as bragged about by Todd.
Prior to that they were dismal and easily the weakest portion of the Late Phones.
Yet you listen to Todd today and you get the impression that they always have been a winning proposition and
not even a mention of how crappy they have been up until now.
Today's "lunch special" is that these alone will cost $75.
If you want "dessert" thrown in/the college totals, it will cost another $29.
What is telling here and not surprising is that Todd does NOT state how the college totals have done of late, because well
you figure out the rest.
Now here is the important thing to remember:
Unlike the short term only in pitching the college sides, Todd pitches ONLY the longer term but not short term for obvious reasons and states
that they are 27-16 for the season and are 27-12 going back to last season with their TOP plays.
What is not so shockingly missing is the fact that not only have the totals been so so of late but more importantly ZERO mention that the
two TOM ins SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER BOTH LOST.
Thus Phil Steele/Todd/NC want tot have their cake and eat it too-in short as is always the case, use ONLY the time frames of their record
to make them look a lot better than they really are.
THE EARLY BIRD TOTALS PLAY OF THE WEEK IS OVER KANSAS 65 1/2.
Before summarizing that, a few things I forgot to include in previous post.
The college sides have led the charge during the last few weeks.
I don't know whether this is a temporary thing or an actual change of leadership so to speak because historically over the last 3 1/2 years
when I started doing this, the college sides have been the laggards so to speak with the college totals doing much better and the NFL also
doing reasonably well.
Anyway on ext. 9 we get a recap for last night with the 2-0 sweep.
We are told that the Monday Night Magic plays are 7-3 so far but are not told how the Monday Night Marquees have done-how come? Lifeline please! lol
THE POWERPLAY COMP. OF THE WEEK IS A FOUR STAR ON KENTUCKY - 8 1.1,
Ext. 9 We hear vintage Phil Steele/NC lies by omission, spin and deception, which are among the big reasons why the aforementioned
have lost a lot of respect.
Consider that NC has gone 11-2 with the college side plays the last week as bragged about by Todd.
Prior to that they were dismal and easily the weakest portion of the Late Phones.
Yet you listen to Todd today and you get the impression that they always have been a winning proposition and
not even a mention of how crappy they have been up until now.
Today's "lunch special" is that these alone will cost $75.
If you want "dessert" thrown in/the college totals, it will cost another $29.
What is telling here and not surprising is that Todd does NOT state how the college totals have done of late, because well
you figure out the rest.
Now here is the important thing to remember:
Unlike the short term only in pitching the college sides, Todd pitches ONLY the longer term but not short term for obvious reasons and states
that they are 27-16 for the season and are 27-12 going back to last season with their TOP plays.
What is not so shockingly missing is the fact that not only have the totals been so so of late but more importantly ZERO mention that the
two TOM ins SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER BOTH LOST.
Thus Phil Steele/Todd/NC want tot have their cake and eat it too-in short as is always the case, use ONLY the time frames of their record
to make them look a lot better than they really are.
THE EARLY BIRD TOTALS PLAY OF THE WEEK IS OVER KANSAS 65 1/2.
Here we go.
Ext. 9 We find out that NC had a Marquee winner on Eastern michigan last night.
We get the usual Wednesday pump for the Economy Club-not much else.
THE #2 ECONOMY CLUB PLAY OF THE WEEK IS AIR FORCE -10 1/2.
Ext.3 well they decided to have the NFL GOM this week.
Today "dinner special" is that you can get the Saturday college sides(not totals) and all of the NFL including GOM for $175 for a non PS subscriber.
The Saturday totals will add on another $29 and I assume $20 for the Monday Night.
THE UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK IS WYOMING + 6 1/2.
Ext. 9 We find out that NC had a Marquee winner on Eastern michigan last night.
We get the usual Wednesday pump for the Economy Club-not much else.
THE #2 ECONOMY CLUB PLAY OF THE WEEK IS AIR FORCE -10 1/2.
Ext.3 well they decided to have the NFL GOM this week.
Today "dinner special" is that you can get the Saturday college sides(not totals) and all of the NFL including GOM for $175 for a non PS subscriber.
The Saturday totals will add on another $29 and I assume $20 for the Monday Night.
THE UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK IS WYOMING + 6 1/2.
Best bets for Week 12 college football games
Every Thursday during the season, Phil Steele will provide his top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are his best bets for the 12th full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Steele: 24-34 (2-3 last week)
Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.
Saturday's games
No. 19 Texas Longhorns at Iowa State Cyclones (-7)
Steele: Tom Herman is an outstanding 15-3 ATS as an underdog in his head-coaching career, including 11 outright upsets. Texas was banged up on defense this season but has slowly been getting some players back and last week had a 477-304 yardage edge versus Kansas State. Matt Campbell is another excellent underdog coach, but he's just 3-6 ATS in the role of home favorite the past two seasons. Texas has won the past three meetings, both straight up and ATS. Texas has a great shot at the outright win here but should at least stay within a touchdown.
ATS pick: Texas +7
Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (-2.5)
Steele: Central Michigan is 4-2 in the MAC, with its wins by 26 PPG, but minus-6 in turnovers in its two MAC losses. Tennessee transfer QB Quinten Dormandy has 11 TD passes and just four interceptions, and running backs Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis have combined to rush for 1,651 yards, a solid 6.2 yards per carry and 19 TDs, and they face a Ball State defense allowing 5.1 yards per carry in MAC play. Central has a strong rush defense allowing just 118 yards per game rush and 3.4 YPC. Versus three mutual opponents, Central is plus-223 yards per game, and Ball State is minus-45 yards per game. Central has already played at Wisconsin and Miami (Fla.), so it will not be intimidated by this home crowd.
ATS pick: Central Michigan +2.5
No. 1 LSU Tigers (-21, 65) at Ole Miss Rebels
Steele: LSU has finally exorcised the Alabama demon that haunted it through eight straight losses to the Tide. The Tigers deserve to be the No. 1 team in the College Football Playoff rankings, with four wins over foes who were ranked in the top 10 at the time. Joe Burrow has just about wrapped up the Heisman Trophy after going 31-of-39 for 393 yards and three TDs against Alabama. LSU will have no trouble winning here, but this is an obvious letdown spot.
Ole Miss outgained Texas A&M 405-337 in its most recent SEC home game and should bring its A-game here after facing New Mexico State last week and with a bye on deck. The Rebels have the SEC's top rush offense, averaging 258 yards per game and 5.4 YPC in SEC play, which will help shrink the clock and keep this under the three-touchdown spread.
ATS pick: Ole Miss +21
No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (-10) at No. 13 Baylor Bears
Steele: Oklahoma's defense has started to show some cracks, allowing 48 and 41 points, respectively, the past two games. The Sooners lost on the road to Kansas State and survived a 2-point conversion failure by Iowa State last week to escape with a one-point win. Lincoln Riley is 3-9-1 ATS as an away favorite in the regular season. Baylor has struggled the past two weeks dealing with unbeaten pressure as a favorite, but is an undefeated home underdog like Minnesota was last week to Penn State. Baylor is 8-2 ATS as a home 'dog the past nine years, and Matt Rhule is 19-8 ATS as a 'dog of 7.5 or more points.
ATS pick: Baylor +10
Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Steele: The Hokies were blown out at home against Duke 45-10 to fall to 0-2 in ACC play, and many wondered if they would make a bowl. Virginia Tech has come out with a vengeance since then, going 4-1 SU and ATS, including a win at Miami and a one-point loss at Notre Dame. Hendon Hooker has started three ACC games at QB for the Hokies, and they have averaged 40.3 PPG in those, including 36.3 in regulation. Georgia Tech has gained just 14 and 10 first downs in its two ACC home games and now takes on an inspired Virginia Tech defense that just held Wake Forest to 210 yards below its season average. The Hokies control their destiny in the ACC Coastal and will get a big road win here.
ATS pick: Virginia Tech -5.5
Every Thursday during the season, Phil Steele will provide his top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are his best bets for the 12th full week of the college football season:
Season ATS records:
Steele: 24-34 (2-3 last week)
Note: Picks from Caesars Sportsbook lines as of Wednesday night.
Saturday's games
No. 19 Texas Longhorns at Iowa State Cyclones (-7)
Steele: Tom Herman is an outstanding 15-3 ATS as an underdog in his head-coaching career, including 11 outright upsets. Texas was banged up on defense this season but has slowly been getting some players back and last week had a 477-304 yardage edge versus Kansas State. Matt Campbell is another excellent underdog coach, but he's just 3-6 ATS in the role of home favorite the past two seasons. Texas has won the past three meetings, both straight up and ATS. Texas has a great shot at the outright win here but should at least stay within a touchdown.
ATS pick: Texas +7
Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals (-2.5)
Steele: Central Michigan is 4-2 in the MAC, with its wins by 26 PPG, but minus-6 in turnovers in its two MAC losses. Tennessee transfer QB Quinten Dormandy has 11 TD passes and just four interceptions, and running backs Jonathan Ward and Kobe Lewis have combined to rush for 1,651 yards, a solid 6.2 yards per carry and 19 TDs, and they face a Ball State defense allowing 5.1 yards per carry in MAC play. Central has a strong rush defense allowing just 118 yards per game rush and 3.4 YPC. Versus three mutual opponents, Central is plus-223 yards per game, and Ball State is minus-45 yards per game. Central has already played at Wisconsin and Miami (Fla.), so it will not be intimidated by this home crowd.
ATS pick: Central Michigan +2.5
No. 1 LSU Tigers (-21, 65) at Ole Miss Rebels
Steele: LSU has finally exorcised the Alabama demon that haunted it through eight straight losses to the Tide. The Tigers deserve to be the No. 1 team in the College Football Playoff rankings, with four wins over foes who were ranked in the top 10 at the time. Joe Burrow has just about wrapped up the Heisman Trophy after going 31-of-39 for 393 yards and three TDs against Alabama. LSU will have no trouble winning here, but this is an obvious letdown spot.
Ole Miss outgained Texas A&M 405-337 in its most recent SEC home game and should bring its A-game here after facing New Mexico State last week and with a bye on deck. The Rebels have the SEC's top rush offense, averaging 258 yards per game and 5.4 YPC in SEC play, which will help shrink the clock and keep this under the three-touchdown spread.
ATS pick: Ole Miss +21
No. 10 Oklahoma Sooners (-10) at No. 13 Baylor Bears
Steele: Oklahoma's defense has started to show some cracks, allowing 48 and 41 points, respectively, the past two games. The Sooners lost on the road to Kansas State and survived a 2-point conversion failure by Iowa State last week to escape with a one-point win. Lincoln Riley is 3-9-1 ATS as an away favorite in the regular season. Baylor has struggled the past two weeks dealing with unbeaten pressure as a favorite, but is an undefeated home underdog like Minnesota was last week to Penn State. Baylor is 8-2 ATS as a home 'dog the past nine years, and Matt Rhule is 19-8 ATS as a 'dog of 7.5 or more points.
ATS pick: Baylor +10
Virginia Tech Hokies (-5.5) at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Steele: The Hokies were blown out at home against Duke 45-10 to fall to 0-2 in ACC play, and many wondered if they would make a bowl. Virginia Tech has come out with a vengeance since then, going 4-1 SU and ATS, including a win at Miami and a one-point loss at Notre Dame. Hendon Hooker has started three ACC games at QB for the Hokies, and they have averaged 40.3 PPG in those, including 36.3 in regulation. Georgia Tech has gained just 14 and 10 first downs in its two ACC home games and now takes on an inspired Virginia Tech defense that just held Wake Forest to 210 yards below its season average. The Hokies control their destiny in the ACC Coastal and will get a big road win here.
ATS pick: Virginia Tech -5.5