Big loo,
I must admit, I am beginning to enjoy your statistically based threads. They remind me of when I use to use stats to blindly bolster my selections.
Why dont you just post the parameters so everyone knows you are not tweaking them along the way. I wish I could have had a bet Miami were not on the list. No doubt every stat will be looked at to keep you future alive, and when you run out, there will always be ProPlaye to back up your delusion.
I must admit, I am beginning to enjoy your statistically based threads. They remind me of when I use to use stats to blindly bolster my selections.
Why dont you just post the parameters so everyone knows you are not tweaking them along the way. I wish I could have had a bet Miami were not on the list. No doubt every stat will be looked at to keep you future alive, and when you run out, there will always be ProPlaye to back up your delusion.
winbet,
When I was posting plays during the regular season I would always do a write-up to show people why I was wagering on a particular team. I do the same for any selections I make for the Wild Card, Divisional Round or Conference Finals as well. But when it comes to the Super Bowl, I do not release the information I use for one simple reason. I have spent decades gathering information and researching history and feel I have one of the most comprehensive Super Bowl databases around. I'm not going to just give that info away. I have posted my Super Bowl pick two years running and they have both hit but I did not give any information as to why I was on them.
I can assure you there is no tweaking of anything. No teams disqualified themselves this past week so there was no need to update this thread. If Miami does something to knock themselves out of Super Bowl contention, I will post it immediately.
Big Lou
When I was posting plays during the regular season I would always do a write-up to show people why I was wagering on a particular team. I do the same for any selections I make for the Wild Card, Divisional Round or Conference Finals as well. But when it comes to the Super Bowl, I do not release the information I use for one simple reason. I have spent decades gathering information and researching history and feel I have one of the most comprehensive Super Bowl databases around. I'm not going to just give that info away. I have posted my Super Bowl pick two years running and they have both hit but I did not give any information as to why I was on them.
I can assure you there is no tweaking of anything. No teams disqualified themselves this past week so there was no need to update this thread. If Miami does something to knock themselves out of Super Bowl contention, I will post it immediately.
Big Lou
Very interesting work Big Lou. I hope you'll let us know your criteria at some point, but the tease of trying to figure it out is kind of fun.
The Colts being put on the list while undefeated is pretty interesting. What did they do that the Chiefs haven't? The Chiefs have been winning games they didn't deserve to win for four weeks now. Also, the Chiefs run D is pretty crappy (in terms of YPC) and you'd think that would be a factor.
Also, Go Blue had a couple good questions back on page 2 of the thread that I hope you can answer when you have the chance. Is there some way you rank the remaining teams, like by the amount of criteria filled?
I remember you picking NE straight up. Whatever the haters say, that was pretty impressive. I mean, most would just be happy getting the right side against the spread.
The Colts being put on the list while undefeated is pretty interesting. What did they do that the Chiefs haven't? The Chiefs have been winning games they didn't deserve to win for four weeks now. Also, the Chiefs run D is pretty crappy (in terms of YPC) and you'd think that would be a factor.
Also, Go Blue had a couple good questions back on page 2 of the thread that I hope you can answer when you have the chance. Is there some way you rank the remaining teams, like by the amount of criteria filled?
I remember you picking NE straight up. Whatever the haters say, that was pretty impressive. I mean, most would just be happy getting the right side against the spread.
Big Lou
Love this. If I had more time, I'd love to try to figure this out. It's like a mystery thriller. Who is next on the list? (Scream). Ah, there goes the Packers. Maybe ESPN can make this into a minseries. Who will Big Lou's system whack this week? The Titans are looking a bit paranoid, peeking around corners listening for Big Lou's footsteps. (Scream) Ah, there went Wannie and the Dolphins.
Let the naysayers throw barbs, I like this and I WILL bet the lone survivor in January. Good Luck.
Love this. If I had more time, I'd love to try to figure this out. It's like a mystery thriller. Who is next on the list? (Scream). Ah, there goes the Packers. Maybe ESPN can make this into a minseries. Who will Big Lou's system whack this week? The Titans are looking a bit paranoid, peeking around corners listening for Big Lou's footsteps. (Scream) Ah, there went Wannie and the Dolphins.
Let the naysayers throw barbs, I like this and I WILL bet the lone survivor in January. Good Luck.
This list is interesting to read about, however. You've already thrown us a bone about the huge comeback angle. I'll ask a question about it, then; What about the '85 Bears, I thought that they had a major league comeback against the Vikes. How big was that come back?
[This message was edited by Hammer on October 25, 2003 at 10:37 AM.]
[This message was edited by Hammer on October 25, 2003 at 10:37 AM.]
Hey
I love this thread big lou. Has always loved the statistic view on games. Sadly i dont know enough on football, (since im from Denmark, and still very young). to find the 28 things you pick out the teams on. But i will defently follow this thread to the end. And bet my house on your winner.
(But i dont like 49'ers on the list)
And people please get to your mind, that this is not a normal system. Its just a fact based statistic system. And mostly they work just as good as anything else. (If you got the right statistic).
And Big lou, i do understand why you dont share your database with the rest of us. Mostly there 100 of hours put in those databases, that it is not fun to share for free to everyone...
Big lou .. Keep your head up.. You got my support..
/ cains
I love this thread big lou. Has always loved the statistic view on games. Sadly i dont know enough on football, (since im from Denmark, and still very young). to find the 28 things you pick out the teams on. But i will defently follow this thread to the end. And bet my house on your winner.
(But i dont like 49'ers on the list)
And people please get to your mind, that this is not a normal system. Its just a fact based statistic system. And mostly they work just as good as anything else. (If you got the right statistic).
And Big lou, i do understand why you dont share your database with the rest of us. Mostly there 100 of hours put in those databases, that it is not fun to share for free to everyone...
Big lou .. Keep your head up.. You got my support..
/ cains
