Sunday 9/7/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Teyas Sports

FREE PICK EARLY FREE PICK CHIEFS -3 1/2

TEYA'S DID YOU KNOW? TITANS @ CHIEFS THE OVER IS 5-0 THE LAST 5 MEETINGS
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Art Aronson

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

1* Bonus Play Tennessee Titans

The Titans come off a disappointing 7-9 season that resulted in missing the playoffs for a fifth straight year; the sub-par result led to the firing of Mike Munchak. Enter Ken Wisenhunt who is coming off a vastly successful campaign as the offensive coordinator for the San Diego Chargers. The Titans will have Jake Locker back and healthy behind center after missing the last five games of last season due to an injury. Keeping Locker upright is going to be a huge point of emphasis this season and thanks to some significant upgrades to the offensive line I think the Titans will definitely improve in that area. Some might consider the tandem of Chance Warmack, the high drafted Taylor Lewan, Michael Roos and Andy Levitre as one of the best units in the game. It is a young fast offensive group that Whisenhunt inherits but he has been successful calling the plays just about everywhere he has gone of late. The Titans defense was middle of the pack statistically so that will also be a point of emphasis for the team. The Kansas City Chiefs had a disappointing end to what was a great overall first season for the Andy Reid/Alex Smith era. The Chiefs won 11 games after winning just two the year before. However, take note that KC had a pretty vanilla schedule last year, but good on them for taking advantage of it. This season the schedule is not friendly at all and the jury is out on whether they’ll be able to replicate last years performance. From a motivational angle, the Titans come into this game looking for revenge after last season’s 27-17 setback; Locker was a notable injury in that game where the Chiefs rallied to win despite blowing a 13-0 halftime lead. The Titans are a popular pick as a breakout team this season and I can see why, as for the most part the offense has all the pieces in place to be far better than last year’s installment. Kansas City has problems on the offensive line and is very thin defensively in my opinion. So while it is only week one and most everyone is healthy, I just don’t think the Chiefs are going to sneak up on anyone this year. I’m grabbing all the points I can get in what should be a much more competitive game than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.

AAA Sports
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Ben Burns

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Bonus Play Baltimore Ravens

The more and more I thought about it, the Ravens look like a pretty good value at home this week vs. the Bengals. Especially now that I can grab them as a Pick Em!

That's because they are 9-0 SU/8-1 ATS as home chalk of three points or less. In the past, this has been a very good team at home for John Harbaugh. Just last year, they went 6-2 SU at M&T Bank Stadium (just 2-6 SU on the road).

Cincinnati probably takes a step back this year due to the loss of both coordinators. Like most, I'm still not ready to go "all in" on QB Andy Dalton, who has never won in three visits to Baltimore by the way. He's thrown 7 interceptions and just three touchdowns in the three losses. The Bengals are like the Ravens in that they are strong at home (8-0 last regular season), but not so much on the road (3-5 SU).

Back to the Ravens home dominance, they are 12-0 SU at home in the first four weeks of the season under Harbaugh. Again, that makes them quite attractive in the current price range.

Homefield advantage is the difference maker in this one. Why wouldn't it? The home team has won and covered four straight in this AFC North rivalry. 1* Bonus Play.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Brad Diamond

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Bonus Play UNDER 52

Thought we would have a 53-54 number here, but cooler heads prevailed in Vegas after some high level moves brought the number down to reality. In the preseason I talked about teams with talent being over hyped after a “surprising” successful season. Philly developed into a playoff team (10-7) under former Oregon mentor Chip Kelly. They enter Sunday with an improved team, somewhat, from the talent perspective, although lacking a deep threat who exited via the D.C corridor. Jacksonville comes in under a restructuring formula (what else?) after going 6-16 the last two years. Second year HC Gus Bradley was responsible for the 4-12 season in 2013. They finished with a -13 point differential average (15 vs. 28). So the question we have to ask is, “how many new scoring weapons have been acquired?” Few to be exact, and now they enter Sunday with wholesale changes at many offensive positions, including an injury to a key wide out. So, playing in Philly (with that crowd) we doubt signal-calling will be a lark. Further, Jacksonville’s defense is not as bad as the 28-ppg. Remember when you have a fallible offense it clearly puts more pressure on your defense. The Eagles as we mentioned are flying high with great expectations, but too this is game #1 under the spotlight. So, perfection we doubt will be the case study Monday morning. Eagles win, of course, but feel we are walking into a numbers trap, therefore we suggest looking UNDER. Jacksonville is 6-1 UNDER in the month of September, while the Birds show 6-2 UNDER at home.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jimmy Adams

Minnesota Vikings vs. St. Louis Rams

Bonus Play St. Louis Rams

With the news of Sam Bradford being out for this contest, books are getting pounded with Minnesota money. Bradford may be a bigger household name than Shaun Hill, but if you look into the advanced metrics stats you’ll find that Bradford isn’t any better. Hill has a better career record as well as QBR. He may not be able to throw the ball as far as Bradford, but he makes better decisions and is an equally effective quarterback. The switch is certainly not worth a 3 point line move, which we saw swing in our favor.

In the preseason we saw a very physical team in the Rams. They’re a hardnosed, defense first squad that actually has the chance to be one of the best D’s in the league this season. The Offense will look to run first and keep things conservative. Many experts have St. Louis as a sleeper team coming into the year, and I can’t say I disagree with them.

As for the Vikings, don’t expect too much from them this season. First year Head Coach Mike Zimmer is highly regarded, but it will take time for him to implement his system as well as get a grasp on what it takes to be a head coach. He’s also a defensive minded guy, so this less than stellar offense may be at a bit of a disadvantage. Minnesota has QB distractions and doesn’t have enough talent on either side of the ball to pull this one out. The line moved in our favor in a big way so let’s look to take advantage. Take the Rams.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tony Karpinski

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Bonus Play Pittsburgh Steelers

Left tackle Joe Thomas whose quickness and strength are some of his amazing attributes, can at times actually be beaten around the edge on a speed rush. And this can cause a problem for Hoyer. Hoyer still needs to work on his accuracy, but he really wasn't so bad, and has proven he can win games as he went 3-0. Pittsburgh is loaded with a new look of players who can all play. They can pass better than expected and Roethlisberger has been excellent at home, even though they tend to not throw the ball as much in Pittsburgh. The main RB in Pittsburgh, Le'Veon Bell, will play more battle ready and hammer the ball harder. I expect him to get his 20 carries, a couple TDs and 85 YDs.


Pittsburgh just has too much size and too many weapons and should win by double digits on Sunday!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Lee Williams

Minnesota Vikings vs. St. Louis Rams

Bonus Play Under

We simply cant see either of these teams getting a lot of flow and rhythm with offenses lead by Cassel and Shaun Hill for St.Louis. Both of these QBS are basically game managers and we anticipate a lot of running from each team.Under is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games overall and we anticipate some improvement from what was a shaky Viking defense in 2013.Take Under
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Sean Higgs

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Bonus Play Pittsburgh Steelers

Browns have a decent defense. But Big Ben is 17-1 vs Cleveland. Hoyer or JFF, it won't matter. The Browns offense is terrible. I like the Steelers veteran guys. This is a great franchise that just plugs in the type of players they need and get wins. Pitt has won 10 straight at home vs Browns going 7-3 ATS in that span. If the Steelers think they are better than a 3rd straight 8-8 season, they must take care of business with a convincing home opening win.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jack Jones

Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Houston Texans -3

Washington went 10-6 in 2012 under Mike Shanahan by winning each of its final seven games to capture the NFC East crown. It would lose starting quarterback Robert Griffin III to an injury in the playoffs, and he just wasn’t the same player when he came back last year. He would struggle for much of the season as the Redskins wound up going just 3-13 for a last-place finish within the division. Now, it will be up to former Cincinnati offensive coordinator Jay Gruden to try and turn things around for Griffin III and company in 2014.

Houston had won the division in 2012 with a 13-3 record and was a clear Super Bowl contender heading into 2013. After a shaky 2-0 start, it was clear that there were problems with this team, and things escalated quickly. Indeed, the Texans would lose each of their final 14 games of the season to finish with the worst record in the NFL at 2-14. The only positive that came from that was the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, which they used on Jadeveon Clowney. Bill O’Brien comes over from Penn State and should inject new life into the franchise in his first year on the job in 2014.

The reason the Texans were a Super Bowl contender heading into 2013 was because they had won a combined 24 games over the previous two seasons and won a playoff game in each. They had a very good team last year, but then injuries and bad breaks haunted them for the entire season. They were nowhere near as bad as their 2-14 record would indicate. In fact, they ranked 11th in the league in total offense (347.2 ypg) and 7th in total defense (317.6 ypg), actually outgaining opponents by an average of nearly 30 yards per game.

Houston went an NFL-worst 2-9 in games decided by a touchdown or less, had the worst turnover differential (-20) in the league, and gave up the second-most points (38) in the NFL from turnovers on offense that resulted in either defensive touchdowns or safeties. Five of those close losses came to the likes of the Seahawks, Chiefs, Colts, Cardinals and Patriots, who all won 10 or more games last year. They showed that they could play with the best teams in the league, but they just couldn’t get it done late in games.

The offense has all the pieces to be great. O’Brien has worked wonders with quarterbacks in the past. He got the most out of Matt McGloin and Christian Hackenburg at Penn State, and the only year he was the offensive coordinator in New England, Tom Brady had the best season of his career. That’s why Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has plenty of starting experience in this league, will succeed. He has plenty of weapons to get the ball to outside in Andre Johnson and DeAndre Hopkins, and he has a healthy Arian Foster to hand the ball off to.

Houston’s defense will be one of the best in the league this season. J.J. Watt is arguably the best defensive player in the NFL, and now he’ll have Jadeveon Clowney opposite him. Opponents cannot double-team both of these guys, so one or both are in line for monster seasons. Linebacker Brian Cushing returns from injury and is a critical part of this defense. With Kareem Jackson and Jonathan Joseph as lock-down corners, the Texans have all the pieces to be the top stop unit in the league, just as they were back in 2012 after ranking 7th last year.

Griffin III just has not looked comfortable as a pocket passer. That’s what he has to become now because he cannot run as often as he did as a rookie because he is too much of an injury risk. Even long-time Redskin Joe Theisman has been calling for Kirk Cousins to replace Griffin III as the starter. He sees how badly Griffin III is struggling, and he’s not afraid to voice his opinion on it because it’s the truth. Things won’t get any easier for Griffin III against Watt, Clowney and company in the opener.

The Redskins ranked 31st in the league in scoring defense a year ago, allowing 29.9 points per game. Washington went 1-7 straight up and 2-6 against the spread on the road last season, getting outscored by nearly 10 points per game away from home. I expect the Texans to roll at home Sunday.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Steve Janus

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Sunday's Free NFL Pick---Baltimore Ravens -1

After a mediocre 8-8 finish last year following their Super Bowl Championship, the Ravens enter 2014 highly undervalued. Cincinnati on the other hand is getting a little too much respect. The Bengals suffered two huge blows in the offseason when offensive coordinator Jay Gruden and defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer accepted head coaching jobs with other teams. These two have been critical to Cincinnati's success during their three straight playoff appearances and division title last year.

While Baltimore will be without running back Ray Rice, I still like their chances of moving the ball against the Bengals. The Ravens have a capable backup in Bernard Pierce and have added in some help in the passing game with the additions of veteran tight end Owen Daniels and wide out Steve Smith.

They also have a healthy Dennis Pitta at tight end after he played in just 4 games last year. This is going to allow Torrey Smith to return to being an explosive option down the field and don't forget about second-year wide out Marlon Brown, who had 49 catches for 524 yards and 7 TDs as a rookie.

One of the biggest moves the Ravens made this offseason that I don’t think is getting enough credit, is their trade for center Jeremy Zuttah, who is a major upgrade over Gino Gradkowski.

The biggest key here is that this is a division home game and the Bengals have simply not been good on the road against their AFC North rivals. Cincinnati lost all 3 division road games last year and are just 2-10 against division foes over the last 4 years.

Key Trends - Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games during Week 1 and 16-7 in their last 23 as a home favorite of 7-points or less. BET THE RAVENS -1!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tom Grassi

Cleveland Browns vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Bonus Play Pittsburgh Steelers

The Browns have some issues. First, they were looking for improvement at QB but both Hoyer and Manziel didn’t look very good in the preseason.

They also have big problems at with their receivers with the suspension of Josh Gordon. Their defense is supposed to be improved but they also looked very suspect in the preseason. And they have a new head coach. Other than that the Browns are in good shape!

For Pittsburgh they’re looking to have a much better start than last season when they dropped their first four games. And what a better opponent to start the season than the Browns. They own Cleveland at home winning 19 of the 21 games since 1992. They’re not bad against the line with a 14-7 ATS record in those 21 games.

Cleveland might get better when their schedule softens up a bit later in the season, but early on it’s going to be a tough go. Pittsburgh beats up Cleveland again.

Play on Pittsburgh
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Chip Chirimbes

Washington Redskins vs. Houston Texans

Chip's NFL FREE Winner Washington Redskins

Redskins over Ravens- The Baltimore Ravens are playing like a team on a mission as they are now 17-9 straight-up in pre-season under John Harbaugh after their pounding of the Cowboys in Dallas. They opened their season with a 23-2 win over San Francisco and have established their macho approach. Still, The Redskins under new coach Jay Gruden will be working harder. Take WASHINGTON!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jonathan Jorcin

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Bonus Play Philadelphia Eagles

I was high on the Jaguars during the preseason, taking them on two of their four games, and covered the spread both times. This is a new ball game, the regular season, and they have a tough first road game. The NFL is so competitive, I usually try to stay away from double digit spreads, especially in week one, but the Eagles come into this game heavily more talented and skilled. I am still high on the Jaguars making vast improvements from a year ago, but they will not have much of a passing game since they will be without Cecil Shorts because of a hamstring issue. Defensively they have major holes, and they get to face Chip Kelley and a team planning on running about 70 plays. The Eagles will tire the Jags defense and do so without allowing them to substitute players.

The Eagles will be explosive offensively, with McCoy and Sproles out of the backfield, and Nick Foles the man under center. They also have defensive issues, but luckily tomorrow get a Jaguars team who will have trouble, especially with Marqise Lee, rookie out of USC, being their number one receiver. This is a huge spread for the NFL, but take the Eagles to cover by at least two touchdowns.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Alex Smart

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bonus Play Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alot of pundits are expecting the 2014 season to be a promising one for a Carolina Panthers squad coming off a 12-win campaign. But today Im betting some of these so called experts get a surprise. It must be noted that many sources have now confirmed that Panther prime time QB Newton wore a larger flak jacket at practice to give his ribs extra protection. Newton also underwent ankle surgery in the off season, and in my opinion is vulnerable here and game 1 and obviously less than 100%. Despite the media perceptions that make him out to be superman. He is admittedly the main cog in the Panthers offense, and extreme pressure from Tampa Bays under rated defense will be expected, as well as some crushing hits against a new look Panther offensive line. Tampa Bays New HC Lovie Smith Smith wants to establish a winning tradition at home and it starts Sunday and Im betting he brings out every weapon possible to scrape out a win. Quote: "It's critical for our fans," said Smith. "Its been a while since they've really been happy with the product that they've seen out at Raymond James. We've been working to do something about that and we hope that they would come out to see. We've talked a lot about what we're going to do, we would hope that they would come out and give us a chance. Once we get our fans in the stands, we've got to play good football, it's as simple as that."

Bottom line: The Bucs new QB Josh McGown is an experienced ball player, who has had success in the past. I expect his offensive line to give him the time he needs to succeed today, thanks to key defensive instabilities on the Panthers D line, as stalwarts Charles Johnson and Greg Hardy are dealing with nagging injuries. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers D as mentioned above will give Newton and some new/inexperienced WR options more fits than expected, which will limit the Panthers scoring chances. All in all, and with that said, I like getting points here with the home dog.

Key Trends:

Carolina 0-6 L/6 Game 1 of the season

TB is 7-2 ATS at Home in game 1 with revenge

The Dog in this series has failed to cover 6 of the L/7 times

Play on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1/2 unit comp selection
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Bill Biles

Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Bonus Play Kansas City Chiefs -3.5

The Chiefs open up at home after a successful season last year. I think they will be able to control this game with one of the best running backs in the game in Jamaal Charles and run the ball effectively. The Chiefs defense is their strong suit and they have a top front 7 in the NFL. Look for the Chiefs to start off strong.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Doc's Sports

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Bonus Play Take #469 Jacksonville over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 7)

The Jaguars are a much-improved team from last year. The entire mood around the football team is extremely different. They have young talent on both sides of the ball, and their defense is legit. Jacksonville faces a Philadelphia team that is extremely explosive on offense but has many holes on defense. This game comes down to strength vs. strength (Philly O vs. Jax D) and weakness vs. weakness (Jax O vs. Philly D). In the end, the weakness of Philly's defense will keep the Jags within the posted number. Jacksonville's offense is improved, and Henne actually looked pretty good in the preseason. And he knows that the talented Bortles is waiting patiently for his opportunity to shine. The Eagles will score, but they won't score at will vs. this improved Jags' defense, and this game will be closer than many think. Prediction: Eagles 30 Jaguars 24.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Tony George

Oakland Raiders vs. NY Jets

Sunday NFL Bonus Play NY Jets

Its Oakland on the road 3 times zones away, need I say more? No doubt a square bet but all things favor the Jets here going up against a rookie QB who makes his first start on the road. QB Geno Smith for the Jets a year more matured and did some good things in the preseason and Mike Vick as a backup option is no slouch either. More offensive production from the Jets versus the Raiders who have to travel across the country to play this one, in a hostile environment. The really bad thing going to the Raiders when you look closely at this game is the limited ability of their offensive line to protect the passer, in this case Rookie QB Derrick Carr, who has some ability as I saw him play in person in college, but being under relentless attack from an active defense like the Jets is going to produce turnovers and that means points the other way.

Not at all sold on the long term success of either of these teams, but Oakland remains quite frankly a bad team with some big names on it, but no chemistry and limited potential at head coach as well. The Jets are in a tough division and every winnable game at home must be a priority for Rex Ryan and company and this is one of them. The total on this game is the lowest on the board this week, the only total under 40 points, and that means oddsmakers expect points to be at a premium, I think it means they do not think Oakland is going to score many points. Willing to lay the points even though this is not the ideal number, as I think the Jets are TD + better here at home in their opener. This line may move as I do not foresee Oakland money moving oit down so bet it early.

Jets are your FREE Pro Pick this opening Sunday.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Jesse Schule

San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys

Free NFL play Dallas Cowboys

There isn't a lot of optimism about the Cowboys this year, coming off three straight 8-8 seasons. They lost DeMarcus Ware on defense, and don't kid yourself thinking Michael Sam is going to make much of an impact. Dallas was terrible defensively last year, and there's really no reason to expect much of an improvement in 2014.

That being said, they still have Tony Romo and Dez Bryant, with DeMarco Murray providing a balanced offense. The Cowboys were pretty strong in Dallas last year, with their three home losses all coming in games decided by three points or less. Those games include a 51-48 loss to Denver, a 37-36 loss to the Packers, and a 24-22 loss to the Eagles. That's something to take into consideration if you're one of those who are calling for a blowout.

Tony Romo hasn't faced the 49ers since 2011, but he's thrown for 686 yards and five TDs winning both his previous starts versus San Francisco. Dallas won 27-24 in overtime in the last meeting, and Romo played through pain with a broken rib.

San Francisco's defense has been one of the fiercest in football in recent seasons, but with Navorro Bowman injured and Aldon Smith suspended, they come into this game shorthanded. Perhaps this explains Harbaugh's decision to play Ray McDonald despite his recent arrest for felony domestic violence.

I'm expecting Dallas to keep this game close, covering as a home dog in Week 1.

Take DAL.

GL, Jesse Schule
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,832
Messages
13,573,835
Members
100,876
Latest member
kiemt5385
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com