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Where the action is: Sunday's biggest Week 14 NFL line moves
By ANDREW AVERY

It's Week 14 in the NFL schedule, which means we're hitting the final quarter of the regular season. There are handful of teams that are already eliminated from the postseason, but several are still left to jockey for division crowns and wildcard spots.

We talk with John Lester, about the action on some of Sunday's matchups and where those odds could end up come kickoff:

New York Giants at Tennessee Titans - Open: Pick, Move: -1, Move: +1

It's been an embarrassing season for both of these franchises who could very well find themselves in the bottom of their respective divisions depending on some of Sunday's outcomes. The Giants are mired in an ugly seven-game losing skid (1-6 against the spread), while the Titans have dropped their previous six games (1-5 ATS).

"We opened at a PK and this one has crossed over both sides," said Lester. "Initially it went to Titans -1 and most of our sharp money is on Tennessee. The public is pretty split. I could see this closing with Giants as short chalk."

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +3.5, Move: +4, Move: +6

The Texans head in eager to make a push for a wild-card spot at the very least. They are currently two games back of the Indianapolis Colts and one game back of a wild-card position. Meanwhile, it's been another long season in Jacksonville, but the Jags are coming in off a 25-24 victory over the aforementioned Giants.

"We moved it from +3.5 to +4.5 within the first 24 hours and have been forced to steadily increase as the week’s drawn on," said Lester. "Everyone is on the Texans as they realize Jacksonville’s "upset" last week was a little bit of fool’s gold. I expect some buyback on Jags if it gets any higher."

Kansas City Chiefs at Arizona Cardinals - Open: Pick, Move: -2, Move: +1

Glendale will be the site as a pair of slumping teams meet up at the University of Phoenix Stadium in late-afternoon action. Both of these teams have dropped their last two games SU and ATS and are rapidly losing a hold of playoff positioning. Sunday will not end well for one of these floundering franchises.

"We’ve had some big swings here, opened at PK, got as high as Cards -2 and now we’re dealing Cards +1," states Lester. "The wiseguys haven’t been too interested in this one. I think it closes where we opened, and my opinion is that the home team gets it done."

San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders - Open: +7, Move: +8.5

The Battle of the Bay will have a new chapter written as the two Northern California teams meet for the first time since 2010. The Niners have won three-straight meetings (2-1 ATS) since 2002 and will be playing for their playoff lives Sunday, but will be dealing with some off the field news involving their head coach.

"There is plenty of drama for this one amid the Harbaugh coaching speculation," Lester points out. "We’ve been fairly one-sided with Niners action after opening at +7. I think this could creep up to +9 by kickoff."

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers - Open: +3, +3.5

Something will have to give in Sunday's marquee matchup as Patriots quarterback Tom Brady owns a 5-0 SU record (4-1 ATS) versus Philip Rivers in his career, but the latter owns an incredible 30-6 SU record in the month of December. The Chargers have been hot and cold this season, but followed up a three-game losing streak with a three-game winning streak. They haven't been kind to bettors of late, however, as they've covered the spread just once in their last seven games.

"Majority backing the road chalk, and we moved from +3 on the open to +3.5 very quickly after taking a smart bet on New England," Lester said. "This could reach +4, but at that number I would expect some players to side with San Diego. Everyone is grabbing the over for this primetime affair."
 
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NFL Prop Shop: Week 14's best player prop picks
By SEAN MURPHY

Why limit yourself to sides and totals in Week 14 of the NFL season? Sean Murphy opens the doors of the NFL Prop Shop and gives his favorite player prop picks for all of the action on the gridiron.

Most passing yards

Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)

I'll support Joe Flacco in this matchup as I simply feel the Ravens offense has a little more upside at this stage of the season.
Baltimore suffered a crushing defeat after leading virtually wire-to-wire against the Chargers last Sunday. I don't expect to see them suffer a letdown here, however.

Flacco certainly isn't the most consistent quarterback in the league, but if he's given enough time, he'll be able to connect on a few big plays against a beatable Dolphins secondary. Ryan Tannehill has evolved into a solid pro quarterback, but he's topped out at 240 yards over the last four games.

Take: Flacco

Ryan Fitzpatrick (Houston Texans) vs. Blake Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars)

No one saw Ryan Fitzpatrick's six-touchdown performance coming a week ago. Don't count on him turning in a repeat effort on Sunday.
The Jaguars defense is quietly starting to make some plays, and coming off one of their best games of the season last week against the Giants.

This is a tougher matchup to be sure, but let's not forget that Fitzpatrick has struggled for much of the year.
Blake Bortles threw for 290 yards in Week 10 against Dallas, but has thrown for only 240 yards combined in the last two games. Facing J.J. Watt is an unenviable task, but the rest of the Texans defense hasn't been all that imposing.

Take: Bortles

Most rushing yards

Tre Mason (St. Louis Rams) vs. Alfred Morris (Washington Redskins)

Rams rookie running back Tre Mason enjoyed a huge game last week against Oakland, running for 117 yards and two touchdowns on only 14 carries. This matchup is a favorable one as well, as the Redskins defense allows four yards per rush.

It's important to consider that the Rams defense has had a tough time against the run, allowing 4.3 yards per rush. Alfred Morris ran for only 67 yards last week against the Colts, but racked up 125 yards in San Francisco just two weeks ago. I'm not expecting the Redskins to throw Colt McCoy into the fire against an opportunistic Rams defense. Morris should see a heavy workload on Sunday.

Take: Morris

Most pass receptions

Antonio Brown (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. A.J. Green (Cincinnati Bengals)

I simply like the underdog value being offered with A.J. Green in this matchup. There's a good chance Antonio Brown will see more targets, but this isn't a tremendous matchup for him against a division rival on the road. The Bengals defense has had its ups and downs this season, but has shown signs of turning things around lately.

Green was held down in Tampa last Sunday, but prior to that had hauled in 18 catches over his last two games. The Steelers won't be able to hold him down for four quarters on Sunday.

Take: Green
 
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NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 14
By JASON LOGAN

Each week, Jason Logan breaks down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 14:

St. Louis Rams at Washington Redskins (+2.5, 44.5)

Rams’ pass rush vs. Redskins’ poor protection

You can’t blame Robert Griffin III for being pissed at his teammates. In his two games back before getting benched for Colt McCoy, RG3 was sacked 11 times in losses to Tampa Bay and San Francisco. And if things don’t tighten up on the Redskins offensive line, McCoy could have some serious beef with his teammates as well.

McCoy was sacked six times in last week’s defeat to Indianapolis – a grand total of 17 sacks allowed in three games. Washington has given up 39 sacks on the year which means almost 44 percent of those QB kills have come in that three-game span.

The Redskins face the Rams at the worst possible time. St. Louis, which has its vaunted pass rush rolling after a slow start to the season, just returned star DE Chris Long from injury last week and it didn’t take him any time to find his form, recording a sack and fumble recovery. Fellow DE Robert Quinn had three sacks in the blowout win against Oakland and sits 13th in the NFL with nine on the season, despite going sack-less through the first five games.

Buffalo Bills at Denver Broncos (-10)

Bills’ WR Sammy Watkins vs. Broncos’ thin Mile-High air

Hitting the rookie wall is even harder when you’re nursing a hip injury. And it’s doubly hard when you’re trying to play through all that in the altitude of Sports Authority Field, high up in the Rocky Mountains. The Bills head to Denver for a Sunday showdown with the Broncos, knowing they need their star rookie to play at the same pace he was earlier in the year.

Watkins returned to practice this week and has told the media that he needs to “get back in the groove”. Easier said than done. Opponents aren’t getting caught by surprise against Watkins any more, with plenty of tape on the dynamic wideout, and Buffalo will undoubtedly turn to the passing game to keep pace with Denver’s offense.

Watkins has been QB Kyle Orton’s favorite target since he took over the starting gig. But outside of two big days versus Detroit and Minnesota, Watkins has had more than three catches only once – a 4-for-10 day for just 27 yards against Kansas City – with Orton under center. Buffalo gets to Denver Friday, hoping to get used to the thin air before Sunday’s game. But Watkins tank could already be on empty.

Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 48)

Seahawks’ penalty problems vs. Eagles’ flag-flying offense

If the defending Super Bowl champs have a vice, it’s that they don’t know how to play by the rules. Seattle is tied for the most penalized team in the NFL, forcing 102 flags to fly heading into Week 14. This is nothing new for the Seahawks, who topped the league with 152 infractions last season. However, the big cause for concern is the split between penalties given and penalties taken. Seattle has only drawn 51 flags so far – dead last in the NFL.

Instead of preaching fair play to his players, head coach Pete Carroll is crying foul to the NFL and pointing out the discrepancy in the penalty numbers. “We’re not going to change the way we play,” Carroll told the media following a 14-flag day that equaled 105 yards against versus San Francisco last week – the most penalties Seattle has committed in Carroll’s five years with the team.

The Seahawks can’t afford to just hand over extra yards to the Eagles' up-tempo offense Sunday. Philadelphia is not only hitting its stride offensively – averaging 451.7 yards over the last three games – but has drawn the fifth most penalties (91) in the league, equaling 821 free yards. With the Eagles no-huddle attack taking its toll, expect a tired Seattle stop unit to start clutching and grabbing as the game wears on.

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 50.5)

Patriots’ tight end troubles vs. Chargers TE Antonio Gates

It seems like every couple weeks we feature a team getting trounced by tight ends. Welcome to the evolution of the NFL. And if you were to look at the progression of tight ends over the past 20 years – like one of those homo-sapien charts that go from neanderthal to modern man – there would be a huge jump in the chain when you got to Antonio Gates.

The Chargers veteran TE is still among the biggest end zone threats in the league, reeling in a team-high nine touchdowns which ranks second among tight ends, tied with Jimmy Graham and his counterpart Sunday night, Rob Gronkowski. Gates isn’t just a red-zone target. He’s coming off a 83-yard performance in the win over Baltimore and has 574 yards receiving on the year.

The Patriots love to exploit teams with their talented tight end but haven’t fared well when opponents turn the tables. New England has given up five touchdowns, 786 yards and has failed to intercept a pass in the 93 times foes have thrown to their tight ends. The Pats watched Green Bay TE Richard Rodgers score last week and were scorched for 144 yards by Colts TE Coby Fleener three weeks ago. With the Bolts’ deep threats keeping the secondary busy, Gates could be in for a big game with linebackers in coverage.
 
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NFL Regular season win total check-in

With the NFL season winding down and entering the final quarter of the regular season, what better time to check in on those regular season win total bets you made back in the summer.

Here is a look at final lines for regular season wins (courtesy of the Westgate LV Superbook) and how those teams stack up against those numbers.

Already Over

Cleveland Browns (6.5 wins) 7-5
Arizona Cardinals (7.5 wins) 9-3
Buffalo Bills (6.5 wins) 7-5
Dallas Cowboys (8.0 wins) 9-4

Already Under

New Orleans Saints (10.0 wins) 5-7
Carolina Panthers (8.0 wins) 3-8-1
New York Giants (8.0 wins) 3-9
New York Jets (7.0 wins) 2-10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7.0 wins) 2-10
Tennessee Titans (7.0 wins) 2-10
Washington Redskins (7.5 wins) 3-9

Can surpass in Week 14

Detroit Lions (8.5 wins) 8-4
Philadelphia Eagles (9.0 wins) 9-3
San Diego Chargers (8.0 wins) 8-4

Will push at best

Oakland Raiders (5.0 wins) 1-11

Still have work to do

Atlanta Falcons (8.5 wins) 5-7
Baltimore Ravens (8.5 wins) 7-5
Chicago Bears (8.5 wins) 5-8
Cincinnati Bengals (9.0 wins) 8-3-1
Denver Broncos (11.5 wins) 9-3
Green Bay Packers (10.5 wins) 9-3
Houston Texans (7.5 wins) 6-6
Indianapolis Colts (9.5 wins) 8-4
Jacksonville Jaguars (5.0 wins) 2-10
Kansas City Chiefs (8.0 wins) 7-5
Miami Dolphins (8.0 wins) 7-5
Minnesota Vikings (6.0 wins) 5-7
New England Patriots (10.5 wins) 9-3
Pittsburgh Steelers (8.5 wins) 7-5
San Francisco 49ers (10.5 wins) 7-5
Seattle Seahawks (11.0 wins) 8-4
St. Louis Rams (7.0 wins) 5-7
 
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Lynch feasting on on NFC East opposition
Andrew Avery Dec 7, 2014

In his last 10 games versus opponents from the NFC East, Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch has ran for 100-plus yards and at least one touchdown nine times.

Lynch has put up some of his best career stats against the NFC East, rushing for 1,223 yards on 5.05 per attempt and 94.1 yards per game - easily his best number.

In those 10 games, the Seahawks have gone an impressive 8-2 against the spread. They've played the NFC East three times already this season and are 2-1 both straight up and against the spread. The Seahawks are presently 1-point underdogs at the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday.
 
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Windy day predicted as Browns host Colts
Andrew Avery

Whomever has the ball on offense and is headed toward the southwest endzone at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland will be aided by some strong wind. Forecasts are calling for winds blowing toward that SW endzone at around 13 mph during Sunday's game between the Indianapolis Colts and Cleveland Browns.

The Browns are 3.5-point home dogs and the total is 50 - the second highest on Sunday's board behind only the 52 in the Patriots-Chargers matchup.
 
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Rams are having problems covering after a SU win
Stephen Campbell

The St. Louis Rams are just 1-4 against the spread following a straight-up win.

That's a trend that won't appeal to Rams backers in the wake of the team's 52-0 blowout against the Oakland Raiders in Week 13.

Washington welcomes the Rams to town Sunday. The 'Skins are presently +3 home dogs with an O/U of 44.
 
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NFL roundup: Trestman appears safe as Bears coach
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Chicago Bears coach Marc Trestman's job appears safe.

Despite a 5-8 record, the Bears are not likely to make major changes in the offseason. CSN Chicago Bears reporter John Mullin told NBC Sports' Pro Football Talk that general manager Phil Emery would not fire Trestman after just two seasons.

Also, team chairman George McCaskey would not let Emery go, either. According to the Chicago Sun-Times, the Bears typically do not make wholesale changes after one bad season.

Trestman improved the Bears' offense last season, but it has performed below expectations this year. Despite that, the conservative front office of the Bears would reportedly not get rid of the coach and/or general manager after one off season.


---The Minnesota Vikings placed running back Jerick McKinnon on injured reserve. McKinnon, who has a back injury, rushed for 538 yards this season.

The team signed also defensive end Justin Trattou to the active roster from the practice squad.

Rookie safety Ahmad Dixon was signed to the practice squad. He was a seventh-round draft pick of the Dallas Cowboys.



---Tennessee Titans quarterback Zach Mettenberger will start Sunday against the New York Giants, the Tennessean reported.

Mettenberger sprained his right shoulder last Sunday against the Houston Texans but practiced all week.

He was listed as questionable on the team's injury report Friday.


---The Washington Redskins waived wide receiver Aldrick Robinson on Saturday. Robinson, a deep threat, has just one catch for six yards in five games played this season.

The Redskins also signed linebacker Gabe Miller and defensive back Kenny Okoro to the active roster and placed cornerback Chase Minnifield on injured reserve because of a concussion.



---Kicker Brandon McManus re-signed with the Denver Broncos, who also waived wide receiver Isaiah Burse.

McManus was waived by the Broncos on Nov. 25 after playing 11 games for the Broncos this season, ranking second in the NFL with 48 touchbacks on kickoffs (48 of 64, 75 percent). He also made 9 of 13 field-goal attempts and all 41 of his extra point tries.


---The New England Patriots activated defensive lineman Sealver Siliga to the 53-man roster.

Siliga was placed on the injured reserve with a designation to return on Sept. 27 with a foot injury.


---The Oakland Raiders signed tight end Scott Simonson to the active roster from the practice squad and placed safety Jonathan Dowling on the reserve/injured list.

Simonson originally signed with Oakland as an undrafted free agent in May, and was waived at the end of training camp before signing to the practice squad two days later.

Dowling, the Raiders' seventh-round pick in the 2014 draft, appeared in seven games this season, posting three tackles (two solo), while playing mostly on special teams.
 
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Threat of ice pellets in Minnesota Sunday
Andrew Avery

According to forecasts, there is a 60 percent possibility of ice pellets during the game between the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings Sunday. As the game progresses, those ice pellets are expected to turn into snow.

Temperatures at TCF Bank Stadium are expected to hover around the low-30s and wind is expected to blow across the field at around 13 mph during the game.

Currently, the Vikings are 5.5-point home favorites and oddsmakers have the total at 40.
 
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Steelers trending Over ahead of matchup with Bengals
Stephen Campbell

The Over is 5-1 in the Pittsburgh Steelers' last six games.

Big Ben and company travel to Cincinnati for a date with the Bengals in Week 14 NFL action Sunday.

Books currently have Cincy as 3-point home faves for the contest. The total is sitting at 47.
 
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Sunday Night Football betting preview: Patriots at Chargers

New England Patriots at San Diego Chargers (+3.5, 51)

Their seven-game winning streak now history, the New England Patriots will look to avoid back-to-back defeats for the first time since September 2012 when they visit the San Diego Chargers on Sunday. The Patriots were unable to keep pace with Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay in last week's 26-21 road loss but remain even with Denver and hold the tiebreaker for the top seed in the AFC. Tom Brady threw for 245 yards against the Packers - his lowest total since Week 4 - but he is 5-0 lifetime versus San Diego.

The Chargers have rebounded from a three-game skid to rip off three wins in a row, including last week's 34-33 stunner at Baltimore in which Philip Rivers threw a pair of touchdown passes in the final 3:40 to erase a 10-point deficit. No teams are better over the final quarter of the season than New England and San Diego, who are each an NFL-best 17-3 over the last four games of the season since 2009. "You get down to the home stretch and it just has a little different feel to it," Rivers said. "And you throw in the fact that we will play one of the best teams ever, as far as tradition-wise, what this franchise has done over the last 15 years or so."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as 3-point road faves and have moved to -3.5. The total opened 50.5 and is up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Patriots - QB Tom Brady (Probable, ankle), RB Shane Vereen (Questionable, ankle), CB Kyle Arrington (Questionable, ankle), G Dan Connolly (Questionable, ankle), WR Julian Edelman (Questionable, thigh), LB Dont'a Hightower (Questionable, shoulder), WR Brandon LaFell (Questionable, shoulder). Chargers - LB Andrew Gachkar (Probable, knee), QB Philip Rivers (Probable, chest), DE Corey Liuget (Probable, knee), LB Donald Butler (Questionable, quad), T D.J. Fluker (Questionable, concussion), DT Ryan Carrethers (Out, elbow).

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-8.0) + Chargers (-2.75) + home field (-3.0) = Chargers +2.25

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 3 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Patriots had their seven-game winning streak snapped and are heading to San Diego. New England is 5-12 ATS in its L17 road games. San Diego needed a big win and got it in Baltimore to remain a game out in the AFC West. Chargers host Patriots and Broncos before closing with two road games." Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS, 8-4 O/U): New England averaged 39.6 points during its winning streak but was forced to abandon the running game and play catch-up against the Packers, who held the ball for 36 1/2 minutes. While Brady has thrown 28 touchdowns passes versus only six interceptions, the Patriots are only 3-3 on the road and the two-time Super Bowl MVP has been limited to 257 yards or less in five of those games. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has 32 receptions and five touchdowns over the past five games and Brandon LaFell caught a pair of scoring passes last week, but New England must find a way to pressure Rivers. The Patriots were unable to generate any pass rush against Rodgers, who threw for 282 yards in the first half alone as Green Bay racked up 478 yards of total offense.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 6-6 O/U): San Diego's playoff hopes appeared to take a major hit following a 37-0 drubbing in Miami entering its bye week, but it has bounced back with three straight narrow victories to move within one game of the first-place Broncos in the AFC West. Rivers, who leads the AFC in completion percentage at 69.1, had three TD passes and threw for a season-high 383 yards in the improbable victory over the Ravens. Wideout Keenan Allen, who has struggled to maintain consistency following a superb rookie season, had a pair of touchdown catches among his career-high 11 receptions while going over 100 yards for the second straight week. Ryan Mathews has rushed for 215 yards and two TDs since returning from injury but the defense has permitted 57 points in the past two games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Diego.
* Patriots are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games on grass.
* Chargers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 14.
* Over is 4-1 in Patriots last five games in December.

CONSENSUS: 66 percent of bettors are on the Pats.
 
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SNF - Patriots at Chargers

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (9-3) at SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (8-4)

Kickoff: Sunday, 8:25 p.m. ET
Line: New England -3.5, Total: 51

The Patriots look to get back in the win column with a road victory against the Chargers on Sunday night.

New England was unable to defeat the Packers in Green Bay last week, losing 26-21 as a 3-point underdog. They team will now travel across the country and take on a Chargers club that has won three straight games (1-2 ATS), including a 34-33 win as a 6.5-point underdog in Baltimore on Sunday.

New England has dominated this head-to-head series, going 9-3 SU (8-4 ATS) versus San Diego since 1992. The Patriots even won their most recent road meeting in this series back in 2010, prevailing 23-20 as 3-point underdogs. The Chargers have seemingly found their groove offensively, scoring 71 points over their past two games after tallying 13 total points in their two previous games.

New England is 6-0 ATS after an SU loss over the past two seasons and 18-7 ATS in road games after a defeat by six or less points since 1992. The Chargers are, however, 18-7 ATS in home games after having won three out of their previous four games since 1992.

While the Patriots' biggest injury is seldom-used WR Aaron Dobson (IR, hamstring), the Chargers could be missing three defensive players in DE Corey Liuget (knee), LB Andrew Gachkar (knee) and DT Ryan Carrethers (elbow).

The Patriots went into Green Bay last week and were unable to pick up what would have been a major statement victory. QB Tom Brady (3,243 pass yards, 28 TD, 6 INT) played well in the game, throwing for 245 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions. He should be able to find some success against a Chargers defense that gave up 33 points and 376 passing yards to the Ravens a week ago.

One guy that Brady will need to get going against this Chargers defense is TE Rob Gronkowski (65 rec, 910 yards, 9 TD). Gronkowski had seven receptions for 98 yards against the Packers and he’ll need to be on top of his game in this one.

WR Brandon LaFell (53 rec, 712 yards, 7 TD) was excellent in the loss to the Packers, catching five passes for 38 yards and two touchdowns. LaFell’s emergence has taken a lot of pressure off Brady and he’ll certainly see plenty of targets against a defense that has not looked good against Shaun Hill and Joe Flacco over the past two weeks.

This Patriots secondary didn’t pick Aaron Rodgers off last week, but they made things tough on him at times. They’ll need to make Chargers QB Philip Rivers more uncomfortable in the pocket or they could have trouble in this game.

Rivers (3,218 yards, 25 TD, 10 INT) threw for 383 yards and three touchdowns with just one interception while leading his team to a comeback victory in Baltimore last week. San Diego outscored the Ravens 21-10 in the fourth quarter to win the game, thanks largely to Philip Rivers’ performance. He’ll need to make plenty of adjustments at the line to keep the Patriots off guard. His ability to spread the ball around should somewhat neutralize the lockdown effect of Patriots CB Darrelle Revis (2 INT).

The player most likely to see a lot of Revis is top WR Keenan Allen (72 rec, 762 yards, 4 TD), who has been on a tear recently. Allen has now gone over 100 yards two weeks in a row, including an 11-reception, 121-yard and 2-TD performance against the Ravens last week. Allen will need to be on his game in this one, as it won’t be easy to shake Revis when he’s lined up across from him.

RB Ryan Mathews (284 rush yards, 3 TD) could be in for a big night, as the Patriots have struggled to stop inside runners this season.

San Diego will have no chance of winning in this one if its defense can’t step it up. The Chargers have done poorly against some mediocre offenses in recent weeks, and now need to stop a potent Patriots team.
 
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Falcons aim for MNF upset

ATLANTA FALCONS (5-7) at GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-3)

Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET
Line: Green Bay -12.5, Total: 55.5

The 5-7 Falcons look to keep their place atop the NFC South Division when they visit the NFC North-leading Packers on Monday night.

Atlanta picked up a big 29-18 home victory over the Cardinals last week for its third win in four games (2-2 ATS), but now faces a Packers team that is 8-1 SU (7-2 ATS) in its past nine games, including a 26-21 victory over the Patriots last week. Last season, the Falcons nearly escaped Lambeau Field with a victory but fell short 22-21 as 3.5-point road underdogs.

Green Bay star QB Aaron Rodgers did not play in that game, as he was out with a broken collarbone. The Packers are 4-3 SU against the Falcons in Green Bay since 1992, but the Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in those contests. Over the past two seasons, the Falcons are 8-0 ATS after allowing 6+ yards per play in two consecutive games. They are, however, just 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog since 1992, and they’re up against a Packers team that is 7-0 ATS in games played on a grass field this season.

WR Roddy White (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Falcons, who will need all the playmaking they can get to keep up with Green Bay.

The Falcons are coming off of a 29-18 win over the Cardinals and they have now won three of their past four games to put themselves in a tie for the division lead with New Orleans.

QB Matt Ryan (3,427 pass yards, 21 TD, 10 INT) was excellent in the win over Arizona, throwing for 361 yards with 2 TD and just 1 INT. Ryan has now thrown for nine touchdowns and just three interceptions over his past six games. He is taking care of the football, and will need to perform at a high level if the Falcons are going to pick up a gigantic win in Lambeau Field.

WR Julio Jones (82 rec, 1,169 yards, 5 TD) had 10 receptions for 189 yards and a touchdown last week against Arizona, which mainly covered him with Patrick Peterson. Jones' confidence is higher than ever after dominating one of the best shutdown corners in football and he should be able to find success against Green Bay.

RB Steven Jackson (602 rush yards, 5 TD) will also play a major role in this game for the Falcons. He is coming off of a 101-yard performance against the Cardinals’ sixth-ranked rushing defense and now faces a Packers team that is allowing 132.3 rushing yards per game (28th in NFL).

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers (3,325 yards, 32 TD, 3 INT) is playing the best football of his career this season and he is the main reason the Packers have as many wins as any NFL team. Over the past four weeks, Rodgers has thrown for 13 touchdowns without throwing a single interception. He’ll now have an opportunity to face the league’s worst-ranked passing defense and he should be able to put up some huge numbers in this game.

Both WRs Jordy Nelson (70 rec, 1,119 yards, 10 TD) and Randall Cobb (65 rec, 922 yards, 10 TD) will likely see plenty of open field against this porous secondary, and it’s likely that both of them will have at least one opportunity to find the back of the end zone in this game.

RB Eddie Lacy (770 rush yards, 6 TD) has been a monster for Green Bay over the past five weeks, gaining at least 110 total yards in all five contests, rushing for 4.8 YPC and scoring five touchdowns. His ability to wear down defenses has made Rodgers’ job much easier as a quarterback.

Since the Week 9 bye, the Packers defense has really turned a corner. They are allowing just 19.0 PPG in the past four weeks and if that number can stay around the same going forward, this offense won’t let this team lose too many games.
 
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Tech Trends - Week 14
By Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Dec. 7

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

BALTIMORE at MIAMI...Dolphins 6-2-1 vs. line last nine this season, also 4-1 vs. line as host in 2014. Dolphins “under” 6-1 last seven after Jets on Monday. Ravens “over” four straight on road. Slight to Dolphins, based on recent trends.

PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI...Home team has covered in six of last seven Steel games. Teams yet to meet this season, split last two years. “Unders” 4-1 last five in series though “over” in most recent meeting. Steel on 12-5 “over” run since late 2013. "Over," based on recent Steeler “totals” trends.

INDIANAPOLIS at CLEVELAND...Colts 8-2 vs. spread last ten this season. Also “over” 10-3-1 since late 2013. Browns, however, “under” four straight at home. Colts and slight to “over,” based on recent Colts trends.

HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE...Jags 4-10-1 vs. line last 15 on board. Now 2-4-1 vs. line last seven at home. Though Jax beat Houston in last meeting a year ago. Jags have covered last three in series. Texans 4-2 vs. line away this season. Slight to Texans, based on team trends.

NY GIANTS at TENNESSEE...Eli 0-7 SU and 1-6 vs. line last six TY. Titans 2-8 vs. line last tene TY and 1-9-1 vs. spread last 11 in Nashville, and “over” last three TY. G-Men “over” 8-4 in 2014. “Over” and slight to Giants, based on “totals” trends and Titan home woes.

CAROLINA at NEW ORLEANS...Saints now no wins covers last three at home TY after 20-0 SU and 18-1-1 marks previous 20 at Superdome with Sean Payton on sideline since 2011. Saints “over” 8-3-1 TY but “under” first game at Carolina (28-10 win). Panthers no covers last four, now 3-7 last ten vs. line TY. Saints and slight to ‘over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

TAMPA BAY at DETROIT...Bucs have covered 4 of last 5 away TY. Lions “under” 12-2-1 last 15 though :over” in most recent game vs. Bears. “Under” and slight to Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.

ST. LOUIS at WASHINGTON...Skins 2-7 vs. spread last nine TY, 6-14 last 20 on board. Also no covers last four at FedEx Field this season. Rams, based on Skins woes.

NY JETS at MINNESOTA...Jets 4-8 vs. line TY, yet to cover two in a row. Vikes have covered 5 of last 6 this season and 4 of last 5 at home. Vikings, based on Jets woes.

BUFFALO at DENVER...Bills “under” 10-2 in 2014. But Denver “over” 52-28-1 since late in 2009 and “over” four straight at home TY. Broncos 3-3 vs. spread as host TY but 15-7 in reg season vs. line as host since Manning arrived. Broncos and “over,” based on enduring Bronco trends.

KANSAS CITY at ARIZONA...Andy Reid 12-2 vs. line last 14 on reg season road but did get an L in last away game at Oakland. Chiefs have dropped last two after covering nine straight. KC also :"under" 7-1 last eight TYU. Arians has lost last two outings but still on 15-5-1 spread run for Cards, and is 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line as host TY. “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at OAKLAND...Niners actually 4-2 vs. line away TY and 3-1 as road chalk. Home numbers (1-5 vs. line) have been worse. Niners also “under” 4 of last 5 and 8 of 12 TY. Raiders “over” 4-1 at Coliseum TY. Slight to 49ers, based on recent trends.

SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA...Seahawks surging again with covers last 2 and 3 of last 4. They’re 6-6 vs. line TY but Pete Carroll 30-17-2 since 2012. Eagles 4-1 last five vs. number in 2014. Seahawks, based on team trends.

NEW ENGLAND at SAN DIEGO ...Belichick 7-1 SU, 6-2 vs. line last 7 TY. Also “over” 7 of last 9 TY and 52-22-1 in reg season since 2010. Bolts however are 13-5-1 last 19 as dog. "Over" and slight to Patriots, based on Belichick trends.


Monday, Dec. 8

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

ATLANTA at GREEN BAY ...Pack “over” 9-3 TY and 12-3 last 15 reg season games, also five straight wins and covers at Lambeau TY. Falcs, however, have covered last three away in departure from previous road-poor form. But they’re 0-2 as a visiting dog this season and 3-7 in role since LY (though did get late-season cover at Rodgers-less Pack last December). Pack and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends
 
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NFL

Week 14

Ravens (7-5) @ Dolphins (7-5)-- Ravens’ DT Haloti Ngata is suspended for four games for violating NFL’s performance enhancing substances policy; very, very bad news for the Baltimore defense. Miami won last two home games, allowing no TDs on 22 drives; three of their last four games were decided by 4 or less points. Baltimore won last four series games, with three of those four played here; Ravens won last three visits here. Miami's last two series wins were both in OT. Baltimore allowed 61 points in last two games; they've allowed 8+ ypa in four of last five games, 14 first downs via penalty in last four. Short week for Fish, who allowed 277 rushing yards to 2-10 Jets Monday night; they covered four of last five games when favored. Ravens ran ball for 163.7 ypg last three weeks, are 3-3 on road, 1-1 as road dogs. Miami won special teams in nine of last ten games. Four of last five Raven games went over total; five of last six Miami games stayed under.

Steelers (7-5) @ Bengals (8-3-1)—Cincy has 1.5-game lead in AFC North after escaping 14-13 in Tampa last week; they’ve won last three games (all on road), allowing 12 ppg, allowing two TDs on last 30 drives (10 3/outs on last 21 drives). Steelers are -6 in turnovers last three games; they allowed 27.1 ppg in last seven, are 3-3 on road, beating Panthers, Titans, Jags (combined 7-28-1 record). Bengals lost six of last eight games with Steelers, with LY’s 20-10 win here their first home win over Pitt in last four years. Roethlisberger banged his hand on a helmet last week, put up big numbers despite that, but hand is wounded. Underdogs covered five of seven AFC North divisional games. Five of last six Steeler games went over total; last four Bengal games stayed under.

Colts (8-4) @ Browns (7-5)—Indy is dependable 7-2-1 as road favorite under Pagano, 3-1 this year, winning by 27-10-16 points, losing at Denver/Pittsburgh. Colts allowed 30+ points in all four losses this year; they’re 8-2 since an 0-2 start- four of their five road games were on grass. Browns lost two of last three games; ; they scored 6-7-10 points in last three losses. Cleveland is 4-2 at home; they scored 22+ points in all seven wins, a figure Indy gave up in four of last five games. Hoyer threw six picks in last three games, was yanked in Buffalo; starter for this week is unnamed at I type this. Colts won six of last seven series games, with average total of 25.2 in last five. Four of last five Indy games went over total; seven of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.

Texans (6-6) @ Jaguars (2-10)—Jax is 3-9-1 as home underdog under Bradley, 2-3 this year, losing by 27-8-14 points, with upset wins over Browns/Giants; they were down 21-3 at half to 3-9 Giants last week, scored two defensive TDs to pull game out, 25-24. Jags are 2-10 vs spread in game after their last 12 wins. Houston got swept 13-6/27-0 by Jaguars LY during their 2-14 nightmare; they had won previous five series games. Texans are 3-3 on road this year; they were favored in half those games, are 2-1 as road favorites this year, 10-8-1 in that role since ’10. Fitzpatrick threw for six TDs last week in his return to starting lineup; Jaguars are still competing, while Titans might not be. Favorites covered first six AFC South divisional games this year (3-0 on road). Five of last seven Texan games, three of last four Jax games went over total.

Giants (3-9) @ Titans (2-10)—Giants lost last seven games, outscored 74-13 in second half of last four; Titans lost last six. Giants led last two games by 10+ at the half, still lost. Tennessee was missing three starters on OL, gave up six TD passes to Fitzpatrick; they’ve allowed 88 points in last two games, 11 TDs on last 33 drives, are 1-4 at home, with only win 16-14 over 2-10 Jaguar team that upset Giants last week. Big Blue led 21-3 at half in Jax’ville LW before offense yielded two defensive scores in catastrophic loss. Six of last ten series games were decided by 4 or less points. NFC East non-divisional road teams are 7-9 vs spread. AFC South home teams are 8-10, 3-4 when dogs. Five of last six Giant games, four of last five Titan games went over total.

Panthers (3-8-1) @ Saints (5-7)—Road team won last five Saint games after losing first seven; Saints (-3) won 28-10 at Carolina in Week 9 Thursday game, holding Carolina to 231 TY, 3.8 ypa in game that was 14-nil at half. NO lost last three home games; they’re 2-4 as HFs this year, 5-8-1 vs spread in game following last 14 wins. Saints scored 35 at Pittsburgh last week without one target to star TE Graham. Carolina is 1-8-1 in last ten games, 2-4 as road dogs, losing last three away games by combined score of 114-51 (38-17 average)- they’ve got only one takeaway in last three games (-7). Panthers lost four of last five visits to Bourbon Street, with three of four losses by 10+ points. Road team covered six of first eight NFC South divisional games this season (HFs 1-3).

Buccaneers (2-10) @ Lions (8-4)—You’d think Lions would have edge with 10-day post-Thanksgiving break, but they’ve lost this game the last five years. Not sure what to make of NFL team (Bucs) driving for winning score last week but having 12 men on field for more than one play; how is that not noticed? Tampa allowed 93 points in losing its two games on carpet (1-1 vs spread) this season; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs, with only road loss by more than 8 points Thursday debacle in Atlanta in Week 3. Visitor won last four series games, with six of last nine in series decided by 4 or less points. NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 7-5 vs spread; NFC South road underdogs are 6-8. 10 of last 11 Detroit games, last six Tampa Bay games stayed under total.

Rams (5-7) @ Redskins (3-9)-- Washington gave Rams two #1 picks plus more for right to draft RGIII, now he's on bench; Redskins lost last four games (1-3 vs spread), are 2-3 at home, scoring 14.3 ppg in last four (3-5 as dog, 0-1 at home). Four of Redskins' last six games were decided by 4 or less points. Rams are favored for third time this season; they're 2-4 on road, with wins by total of five points. This is first time Rams have been road favorite since 2010. St Louis won four of last six series games; this is its first visit to Maryland since '09. Rams are +7 in turnovers last three games, after being -5 in first nine. Redskin DC Haslett was once DC/interim coach of Rams. Three of last four Ram games went over total; last three Redskin home games stayed under.

Jets (2-10) @ Vikings (5-7)-- Not big fan of losing teams week after they play Monday night game. Minnesota covered five of last six games, winning two of last three at home; they're first team since '90 to block two punts for TDs in same game. Travel on short week for Jets after 16-13 loss Monday, when they ran for 277 yards but threw for only 49; Gang Green scored one TD on 20 drives in two post-bye games; they're 2-3 on road, covering one of last four- Smith is obviously not the answer at QB. Minnesota is 2-0 as a favorite this season. Jets won eight of nine series games, with six of last seven losses by 7+ points; they've won three of four visits here, with last visit in '06. Three of last four Jet games, five of last seven Viking games stayed under total.

Bills (7-5) @ Broncos (9-3)—Ex-Bronco QB Orton returns with playoff contending Bills, who allowed one TD on 23 drives (12 3/outs) last two games; they’re 3-2 SU on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 6-13 points, losing 22-9 on short week at Miami- both their road losses (and win at Chicago) came on grass fields. Denver ran ball for 201/214 yards in last two games- they ran ball for 36-43-28 yards in three losses, so they’re emphasizing it more. Broncos are 15-6 as home favorites in Manning era, 3-3 this year, with three wins by 14+ points; they’re 18-34 on third down last two games. AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 9-7 vs spread, 6-5 on road. AFC home favorites are 8-4. Seven of last nine Denver games went over total; five of last six Buffalo games stayed under.

Chiefs (7-5) @ Cardinals (9-3)— KC lost last two games after 7-1 run that followed 0-2 start; they’re 8-42 on third down in last four games- five of opponents’ last eight TDs came on drives of 60 or less yards. Arizona lost last two games after 9-1 start, running ball 31 times for 99 yards (3.2/carry); they’re 4-19 on third down last two games, losing field position by 18/16 yards. Ellington’s injury leaves them without dynamic threat out of backfield. Cardinals are 6-0 at home, allowing two TDs on 23 drives in last two. AFC West non-divisional road dogs are 8-4 vs spread; NFC West favorites are 12-9, 6-7 at home. Home side won six of last eight series games; KC won two of three visits here, are 8-2-1 in last 11 series games. Six of last eight KC games, five of last seven Redbird games stayed under total.

49ers (7-5) @ Raiders (1-11)—49ers won last three games in Bay Area rivalry by 3-14-8 points; this is their first visit here in 12 years. Niners scored 17 or less points in five of last six as they struggle in red zone (two TDs, five FGs on last 8 red zone drives). SF is 3-1 as road favorites this year, winning away games by 11-14-3-6 points, with losses in Arizona/Denver. Oakland went in tank last week, a 52-0 debacle in St Louis, but Raiders are 3-2 vs spread in last five games, 2-3 as home underdogs, losing games in Coliseum by 16-3-11-24 points, with an upset of Chiefs. 49ers have only four offensive TDs in last three games, turning ball over eight times on last 30 drives. NFC West non-divisional road favorites are 6-2 vs spread. Four of last five Niner games stayed under total; four of last five Oakland games went over.

Seahawks (8-4) @ Philadelphia (8-4)—Sanchez played 16 games for Pete Carroll at USC, then left school early against his coach’s advice. Eagles are 9-3 under Kelly in games where spread was 3 or less points, 4-1 this year; Seattle is 14-13-3 in such games under Carroll, 1-1 this year. Philly won four of last five games, scoring 31+ in all four wins; they’re 6-0 at home, with four wins by 17+ points. Seattle won five of last six games after a 3-3 start; they didn’t allow TD in last two weeks vs division rivals, with four takeaways, seven 3/outs on 18 drives- their rematch with 49ers is at home next week. Home side lost six of last seven series games, with Seattle winning three of last four meetings- this is their first trip to Philly since ’07. Four of last five Eagle games went over the total.

Patriots (9-3) @ Chargers (8-4)—Pats flew from Green Bay to west coast, practiced in warm weather all week; they’ve won five of last six games with San Diego, winning two of last three visits here. NE had 7-game win streak snapped by Pack in Lambeau last week; Pats allowed 33-41-26 points in three losses- they’re 9-0 when allowing less than 26. Chargers won three close games since their bye, rallying from down 10 late to win 34-33 at Baltimore last week; Bolts have only four takeaways in last six games (-8) and three of them came in same game, 27-24 win over Rams in last home game. San Diego is 11-5 vs spread on Sunday Night Football. Patriots are 15-8 vs spread in last 23 games where spread was 3 or less points, 5-2 this year. San Diego is 4-4-1 in such games under McCoy. Last two Patriot games stayed under total, after previous seven went over.

Falcons (5-7) @ Packers (9-3)—Pack won last four games, last two by total of eight points; they haven’t turned ball over at all in last three games (+5, +15 for season). Falcons won three of last four games, covering last four games away from home- they’re 3-3 as underdogs. Since ’09, Atlanta is 3-0 as a double digit underdog. Pack is 12-9 under McCarthy when laying double digits. Green Bay won last three series games by 27-1-11 points, nipping Atlanta 22-21 here LY; Falcons are 3-2 in last five visits to Green Bay. Pack won last four games overall (3-1 vs spread); they’ve outscored last five visitors to Lambeau 151-23 in first half of last five home games. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 6-8 vs spread; NFC North home favorites are 7-5. Five of last seven Falcon games stayed under total; seven of last nine Packer games went over.
 
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'SNF Perfection'

Chargers currently the top wild-card team in the AFC after upending Baltimore with a heart-stopping 34-33 win get to host a snarly Patriot squad taken to task by Green Bay in their last effort. Chargers late season surges are well documented. Since 2006, Bolts are an impressive 29-3 (21-10-1 ATS) during the last four weeks of regular season. Those numbers makes taking better than a field goal a tempting proposition. That is, until one considers that Bolts have beaten Patriots just once the past six meetings (2-4 ATS) and the one victory/cover was in 2008 when Matt Cassel replaced an injured Tom Brady. More football betting ammunition that leans toward New England. The Patriots are 17-3 (14-6 ATS) off a loss the previous effort including a sparkling 7-2 ATS on the road. The fact that this is a Sunday Night regular season affair away from Gillette Stadium adds icing to the cake. Patriots are ridding an 8-0 streak against the betting line in the situation.
 
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NFL Football: Down The Stretch!!

Down The Stretch!!

This week begins the final stretch of the 2014 NFL regular season. For some squads, this final push is mainly for players/coaches to establish whether or not they have a future with their respective teams. For others, these final games determines a first round bye or a shot at a wild card spot. That in mind, we asked our NFL database to spew out fourteen years of betting nuggets as it applies to current top seeds during the Christmas month.

The New England Patriots have been NFL's best franchise during the last four weeks of play. Since 2000 the Patriots have posted an impressive 45-10 straight-up record treating backers to a 34-20-1 mark at the betting window split between 19-10 ATS in Foxboro, 15-10-1 ATS as a visitor. Breaking down New England's impressive run even further we found Patriots to be pretty solid bets down the stretch facing a divisional rival cashing 10-of-15 tickets at home, 8-of-12 on the road. Have Patriots square off vs a Non-Conference foe during these crucial games they're a solid 10-2 SU but dangerous betting options posting a 3-3 ATS record at home, 2-4 mark against-the-oddsmaker visiting a Non-Conference opponent. A few betting nuggets on a more recent note, the past five years Pats are 17-3 SU, 11-8-1 ATS, 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS off a loss.

The Broncos are pretty solid at home this time of the year going 20-8 SU but have a cash draining 13-14-1 mark at the betting window. Send Broncos on the road the last four weeks they're a deadly 10-17 SU with a 11-16 record against the betting line. Going up against a divisional rival the last four games of a season has not been pretty for Broncos as they've 10-13 SU, 9-13-1 against the number with most of the damage on the road winning just 3-of-11 with an equally dismal 3-8 record against the betting line. Against Non-Conference opponents in this time frame Denver is 7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS. The past five years, Broncos are 9-11 SU, 9-10-1 ATS, 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS off a loss.

Over in the NFC, the Green Bay Packers at 41-15 SU with a profitable 36-18-2 mark against the betting line. Pack are 17-10-2 ATS at Lambeau Field and 19-8 ATS wearing away uniforms. Going up against a divisional rival down the stretch Packers have been mediocre against the spread at 7-6-2 on home field but have done a number traveling posting a 9-3 record vs the line. Packers have held their own vs Non-Conference opponents in this time frame (8-10 SU, 10-8 ATS) with their best betting spot being on home turf as they've cashed 6 of 9 tickets. The past five years, Pack are 14-6 SU/ATS, 4-1 SU/ATS off a loss.

Cardinals have not done well during the closing stretch as they're 24-32 SU. However, backing Cardinals has been the right choice posting a 31-24-1 ATS mark with majority of earning coming at home 20-8-1 ATS. Cardinals are good betting choices when facing a division rival going 15-8 ATS which includes a sharp 10-2 ATS at home. In Non-Conference tilts Cardinals struggle. They're 3-10 SU, 5-8 against-the spread with their worst betting spot being away (3-6 ATS). The past five years, Cardinals are 11-9 SU, 10-10 ATS, 5-1 SU/ATS off a loss.
 
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NFL

BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at MIAMI (7 - 5) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at CINCINNATI (8 - 3 - 1) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-2 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 4) at CLEVELAND (7 - 5) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 10) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY GIANTS (3 - 9) at TENNESSEE (2 - 10) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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CAROLINA (3 - 8 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
CAROLINA is 72-41 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TAMPA BAY (2 - 10) at DETROIT (8 - 4) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 52-76 ATS (-31.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ST LOUIS (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 9) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 101-139 ATS (-51.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 73-102 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 17-41 ATS (-28.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY JETS (2 - 10) at MINNESOTA (5 - 7) - 12/7/2014, 1:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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BUFFALO (7 - 5) at DENVER (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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KANSAS CITY (7 - 5) at ARIZONA (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ARIZONA is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 5) at OAKLAND (1 - 11) - 12/7/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 117-150 ATS (-48.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 27-52 ATS (-30.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (8 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 3) - 12/7/2014, 4:25 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 161-126 ATS (+22.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
SEATTLE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 4) - 12/7/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 164-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (5 - 7) at GREEN BAY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2014, 8:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
GREEN BAY is 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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May 19, 2007
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205,324
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NFL

Trends

ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis

PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

NY GIANTS vs. TENNESSEE
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants

TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE
Houston is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Houston
Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

NY JETS vs. MINNESOTA
NY Jets are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Jets are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

BALTIMORE vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games at home

INDIANAPOLIS vs. CLEVELAND
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games

CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

BUFFALO vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Denver
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games

KANSAS CITY vs. ARIZONA
Kansas City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

SEATTLE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

SAN FRANCISCO vs. OAKLAND
San Francisco is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against New England
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England

ATLANTA vs. GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
 
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May 19, 2007
Messages
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Tokens
NFL Football Trends

NFL Football Betting Trends for Sunday, Dec. 7

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 12-4 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game
Miami: 14-29 ATS after a 2 game road trip

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games
Cincinnati: 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) versus division opponents

Indianapolis at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 55-36 OVER (+15.4 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs
Cleveland: 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse

Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Houston: 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after a win by 21 or more points
Jacksonville: 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents

NY Giants at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
New York: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a road loss
Tennessee: 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games

Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points
New Orleans: 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games
Detroit: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off 1 or more straight overs

St Louis at Washington, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 21-8 OVER (+12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Washington: 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points

NY Jets at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
New York: 3-10 ATS off a division game
Minnesota: 10-2 ATS after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game

Buffalo at Denver, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games
Denver: 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite

Kansas City at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Kansas City: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders
Arizona: 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off 1 or more straight overs

San Francisco at Oakland, 4:25 ET
San Francisco: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games
Oakland: 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game

Seattle at Philadelphia, 4:25 ET
Seattle: 106-75 OVER (+23.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Philadelphia: 24-11 OVER (+11.9 Units) in home games off a upset win as an underdog

New England at San Diego, 8:30 ET
New England: 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game
San Diego: 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game


NFL Football Betting Trends for Monday, Dec. 8

Atlanta at Green Bay, 8:30 ET
Atlanta: 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
Green Bay: 26-13 ATS in home games off a non-conference game
 

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