STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 23rd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 7/23/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Peacock Cashing In For Under Backers: Houston Astros pitcher Brad Peacock has been a stud for bettors backing the Under in recent games. In the 26-year-old's last seven outings, the Under is 6-1. Houston sends Peacock to the bump when they face off against the Oakland Athletics in the Bay Area (10:05 PM EST) on Wednesday evening. BetOnline.com presently lists the Athletics as heavy -235 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.
•Dodgers Dominating Lefties, Face Liriano Wednesday: The Los Angeles Dodgers have been feasting on left-handed pitching lately. In their last nine games versus southpaws, Los Angeles is a 8-1 through Tuesday. Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Francisco Liriano will be on the mound when the Pirates host the Dodgers at PNC Park (7:05 PM EST) on Wednesday night. The Pirates are currently -135 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.
•Athletics Agree To Coliseum Lease Extension: The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality.
The Athletics have played in the Coliseum since 1968. "I'm very pleased that this is behind us and we can now get on with our various activities," Wolff said. Both sides squabbled during lease negotiations for the past few months. There were threats that the team could move from Oakland, and concessions were made for the team to pay reduced rent. As part of the deal, Wolff agrees to continue discussions about building a new ballpark in Oakland.
•This Club Has Been A Boon For Over Bettors: If you've been backing the Over in the Philadelphia Phillies games recently, you've been making some nice profits. In Philadelphia's last eight confrontations, the Over is 7-1 (87.5%) through Tuesday. The Phils host the San Francisco Giants (7:05 PM EST) Wednesday. BetOnline currently has San Francisco as -134 favorite on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.
•This Umpire Loves High Totals: Over backers will be glad to see Paul Emmel behind the plate for Wednesday afternoon’s’ meeting between the Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals at Coors Field (3:10 PM EST). In Emmel's last 10 games calling balls and strikes, the Over is a red-hot 7-1-2. The Nationals are currently -158 with a total of 10, per BetOnline.com.
•Royals Owning ChiSox In Chicago: The Kansas City Royals have struggled mightily in the past little while, but Royals backers have some hope heading into their matchup against the Chicago White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field (2:10 PM EST) on Wednesday afternoon. Through Tuesday, the Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings (83.3%) with the White Sox in the Windy City. BetOnline.com currently lists the game as a pick 'em with a total of 7.5 for the matchup.
•Lohse, Brewers Trending Under Against Reds: When Milwaukee Brewers right-hander pitcher Kyle Lohse has faced the Cincinnati Reds recently, the Under is a scorching hot 6-0. Lohse gets the nod for the Reds against the Brew Crew at Miller Park (2:10 PM EST) Wednesday. The Brewers are presently -154 favorites on the moneyline with an Over/Under of 7.5, according to BetOnline.com.
•Ump Trend You Need To Know: Umpire Will Little will be behind the plate for Wednesday afternoons's matchup between the Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins, which means Under backers need to take note. In Little's last seven games calling balls and strikes, the Under is 6-2. The Tribe is currently slight -108 favorites with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.
Tuesday's MLB Roundup
-- The New York Yankees acquired third baseman Chase Headley and cash considerations from the San Diego Padres on Tuesday in exchange for infielder Yangervis Solarte and right-hander Rafael De Paula. The 30-year-old Headley is scheduled to become a free agent after the season. The Padres agreed to pay $1 million of the remaining $3.968 million on his $10.525 million contract this year.
Headley has not reached the production level he achieved two years ago when he hit 31 home runs, led the National League with 115 RBIs in 161 games, finished fifth in the league's Most Valuable Player balloting and won Gold Glove and Silver Slugger awards for the Padres. This year, he has battled injuries and is batting .229 with seven home runs and 32 RBIs in 77 games. Solarte, 27, is hitting .254 with six home runs and 31 RBIs in 75 games for the Yankees. De Paula, 23, was 6-5 with a 4.15 ERA in 20 games, including 17 starts, for Class A Tampa this year.
-- The Colorado Rockies placed shortstop Troy Tulowitzki on the disabled list Tuesday with a left hip flexor strain. Tulowitzki left Saturday night’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a cramp in his quadriceps and had missed two games since then before the team made the announcement before Tuesday night's matchup with the Washington Nationals. The 29-year-old Tulowitzki, considered a National league MVP candidate this season, is leading the NL with a .340 batting average, a .432 on-base percentage and a .603 slugging percentage. He has 21 home runs and a major league-leading 71 runs scored in 91 games this season.
-- Opening Day second baseman Darwin Barney was designated for assignment on Tuesday by the Chicago Cubs to make way for outfielder Emilio Bonifacio on the roster. The 28-year-old Barney played in 72 games for the Cubs this year and batted .230 with two homers and 16 RBIs. Bonifacio returned from the disabled list for a game with San Diego. Barney played in 141 games or more each of the past three seasons. Since joining the Cubs in 2010, he batted .246 with 16 homers and 130 RBIs while providing good defense.
-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Danny Salazar from Columbus and optioned right-hander C.C. Lee to Triple-A before Tuesday night's game against the Minnesota Twins in Minneapolis. Salazar has made eight starts for the Indians this season and posted a 1-4 record with a 5.53 ERA. He was optioned May 16 to Columbus, where he posted a 3-6 record with a 4.02 ERA and two complete games in 10 starts.
-- The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality. The A's have played in the Coliseum since 1968.
-- There are no plans to limit or shut down right-hander Garrett Richards, who is 14 innings shy of his 2013 mark of 145 while leading the Los Angeles Angels with an 11-2 record and 2.47 ERA in 20 starts. General manager Jerry Dipoto said skipping Richards in the final two months of the season or putting a hard cap on his innings total are not options the team is discussing. Richards failed to pitch into the seventh inning just six times in 20 starts. He is at 131 1/3 innings this season, closing in fast on his career-high of 145 in 2013.
-- The Tampa Bay Rays placed right-hander Joel Peralta (illness) on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to July 13, and called up left-hander Jeff Beliveau from Triple-A Durham. Peralta was bitten by a mosquito in the Dominican Republic during the All-Star break.
-- The Texas Rangers placed catcher Geovany Soto on the 15-day disabled list with tightness in his right groin that will require an MRI Friday in Texas. Soto had returned just three games ago from a long stint on the disabled list after knee surgery when the latest injury occurred.
-- The Philadelphia Phillies placed outfielder John Mayberry Jr. on the 15-day disabled list with left wrist inflammation and called up outfielder-first baseman Darin Ruf from Triple A. Meanwhile, left-hander Cliff Lee reported no problems after pitching Monday for the first time since returning after spending two months on the disabled list with a strained elbow.
-- San Francisco Giants outfielder Angel Pagan (back) took swings off a tee Monday, but there is still no timetable for his return. "It's a step in the right direction," manager Bruce Bochy said. First baseman Brandon Belt (concussion) is progressing slowly. He could start taking swings in a few days, but it appears unlikely he'll return from the seven-day DL when eligible on Sunday.
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Betting Notes - Wednesday
National League
•Reds-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--Leake is 1-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
--Lohse is 2-2, 3.66 in his last five starts.
--Reds lost their last eight road games.
--Milwaukee won its last three home games.
--Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cincinnati road games.
•Nationals-Rockies - 3:10 PM
--Strasburg is 1-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
--De La Rosa is 4-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.
--Washington won five six of its last seven games.
--Colorado lost its last seven games.
--Under is 6-3 in last nine games at Coors Field.
•Giants-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Bumgarner is 2-0, 3.65 in his last couple starts.
--Burnett is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.
--Giants won five of their last six games.
--Phillies lost eleven of last fourteen at home.
--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Bumgarner starts.
•Dodgers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Haren is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
--Liriano is 1-4, 5.23 in his last seven starts.
--Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games.
--Pittsburgh won 13 of its last 16 home games.
--Five of last seven Haren starts went over total.
•Marlins-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Eovaldi is 0-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.
--Santana is 3-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.
--Marlins won their last three games.
--Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
--Six of last eight Atlanta games went over.
•Padres-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Kennedy is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
--Wada allowed one unearned run in five IP in his only MLB start.
--San Diego lost six of its last seven road games.
--Cubs lost 11 of their last 14 games.
--Seven of last ten Kennedy starts stayed under the total.
American League
•Indians-Twins - 1:10 PM
--Bauer is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Gibson is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.
--Cleveland won seven of its last ten games.
--Twins lost eight of their last ten home games.
--Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cleveland road games.
•Royals-White Sox - 2:10 PM
--Shields is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Quintana is 2-0, 1.77 in his last six starts.
--Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
--White Sox won seven of their last nine home games.
--Five of last seven Shields starts went over the total; last six Quintana starts all stayed under.
•Red Sox-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Buchholz is 2-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.
--Dickey is 1-6, 4.28 in his last seven starts.
--Boston won eight of its last ten games.
--Blue Jays lost ten of their last fifteen games.
--Five of last seven Buchholz starts went over total.
•Rangers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Darvish is 2-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
--Phelps is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
--Rangers lost 26 of their last 32 games.
--New York won five of its last seven games.
--Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Yankees home games.
•Astros-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Peacock is 1-2, 3.86 in his last six starts.
--Chavez is 1-2, 4.98 in his last four starts.
--Houston lost 12 of its last 18 road games.
--Oakland won 13 of its last 16 home games.
--Three of last four Peacock road starts stayed under total.
•Orioles-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Tillman is 2-1, 2.44 in his last six starts.
--Weaver is 3-0, 2.78 in his last six starts.
--Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
--Angels won 14 of their last 19 games, but lost last two.
--Five of last seven Weaver starts stayed under total.
Interleague
•Tigers-Diamondbacks - 3:40 PM
--Sanchez is 1-2, 5.26 in his last four starts.
--Cahill is 0-4, 8.74 in five starts this season.
--Tigers lost five of their last seven games.
--Arizona won five of its last six home games.
--Six of last eight Sanchez starts went over total.
•Mets-Mariners - 3:40 PM
--Colon is 0-3, 5.88 in his last four starts.
--Walker is 1-1, 3.60 in two starts, last of which was July 6.
--Mets lost nine of their last twelve road games.
--Seattle lost nine of its last fourteen games.
--Ten of last twelve games at Safeco Field stayed under total.
•Rays-Cardinals - 7:15 PM
--Cobb is 3-0, 4.43 in his last four starts.
--Lynn is 3-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
--Tampa Bay won its last six games, is 14-2 in last 16 road games.
--Cardinals won seven of their last eleven games.
--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Cobb starts.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Leake 8-12; Lohse 14-6
-- Strasburg 11-10; de la Rosa 13-7
-- Bumgarner 11-9; Burnett 10-11
-- Haren 10-10; Liriano 8-8
-- Eovaldi 7-13; Santana 9-9
-- Kennedy 9-12; Wada 0-1
-- Bauer 7-6; Gibson 8-11
-- Shields 12-9; Quintana 8-12
-- Buchholz 7-8; Dickey 9-12
-- Darvish 12-6; Phelps 4-10
-- Peacock 6-8; Chavez 13-6
-- Tillman 13-8; Weaver 13-8
-- Sanchez 9-8; Cahill 1-4
-- Colon 10-9; Walker 1-1
-- Cobb 6-7; Lynn 13-7
•Umpires Trends
-- LA-Pitt-- 10 of last 13 Diaz games went over total.
-- SF-Phil-- Five of last seven Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Mia-Atl-- Nine of last twelve West games went over.
-- Cin-Mil--11 of 16 Segal games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Emmel games.
-- SD-Chi-- 12 of last 17 Tichenor games went over.
-- Tex-NY-- Under is 12-5-1 in last 18 Scott games.
-- Bos-Tor-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Morales games.
-- KC-Chi-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Fletcher games.
-- Cle-Min-- Six of last eight Little games stayed under total.
-- Balt-LAA-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Hst-A's-- Seven of nine Marquez games stayed under.
-- Det-Az-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Gonzalez games.
-- NY-Sea-- Four of last five Joyce games went over total.
-- TB-StL-- Underdogs won five of last seven Bellino games.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Brewers RF Ryan Braun is batting .410 with two homers and eight RBIs during a 10-game overall hitting streak, and .426 with 13 RBIs while hitting safely in 13 straight at home. Braun is having a good season, without question, with a .354 on-base percentage. He's on track to accumulate a respectable 63 extra-base hits — but with 19 homers and 37 walks, very different from his 2012 totals of 41 homers and 63 walks.
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