Service Plays Wednesday 7/23/14

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Hondo

Adam Wainwright “piped” a few too many pitches to the Rays Tuesday night, enabling Hondo to come away with a big score that reduced his NRN (nasty red number) to 1,400 piersalls.

Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will jump on the Bosawx bandwagon for a 10-unit play on Buchholz to burn the Jays.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 23rd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 7/23/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Peacock Cashing In For Under Backers: Houston Astros pitcher Brad Peacock has been a stud for bettors backing the Under in recent games. In the 26-year-old's last seven outings, the Under is 6-1. Houston sends Peacock to the bump when they face off against the Oakland Athletics in the Bay Area (10:05 PM EST) on Wednesday evening. BetOnline.com presently lists the Athletics as heavy -235 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

•Dodgers Dominating Lefties, Face Liriano Wednesday: The Los Angeles Dodgers have been feasting on left-handed pitching lately. In their last nine games versus southpaws, Los Angeles is a 8-1 through Tuesday. Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Francisco Liriano will be on the mound when the Pirates host the Dodgers at PNC Park (7:05 PM EST) on Wednesday night. The Pirates are currently -135 favorites on the moneyline with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.

•Athletics Agree To Coliseum Lease Extension: The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality.

The Athletics have played in the Coliseum since 1968. "I'm very pleased that this is behind us and we can now get on with our various activities," Wolff said. Both sides squabbled during lease negotiations for the past few months. There were threats that the team could move from Oakland, and concessions were made for the team to pay reduced rent. As part of the deal, Wolff agrees to continue discussions about building a new ballpark in Oakland.

•This Club Has Been A Boon For Over Bettors: If you've been backing the Over in the Philadelphia Phillies games recently, you've been making some nice profits. In Philadelphia's last eight confrontations, the Over is 7-1 (87.5%) through Tuesday. The Phils host the San Francisco Giants (7:05 PM EST) Wednesday. BetOnline currently has San Francisco as -134 favorite on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

•This Umpire Loves High Totals: Over backers will be glad to see Paul Emmel behind the plate for Wednesday afternoon’s’ meeting between the Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals at Coors Field (3:10 PM EST). In Emmel's last 10 games calling balls and strikes, the Over is a red-hot 7-1-2. The Nationals are currently -158 with a total of 10, per BetOnline.com.

•Royals Owning ChiSox In Chicago: The Kansas City Royals have struggled mightily in the past little while, but Royals backers have some hope heading into their matchup against the Chicago White Sox at U.S. Cellular Field (2:10 PM EST) on Wednesday afternoon. Through Tuesday, the Royals are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings (83.3%) with the White Sox in the Windy City. BetOnline.com currently lists the game as a pick 'em with a total of 7.5 for the matchup.

•Lohse, Brewers Trending Under Against Reds: When Milwaukee Brewers right-hander pitcher Kyle Lohse has faced the Cincinnati Reds recently, the Under is a scorching hot 6-0. Lohse gets the nod for the Reds against the Brew Crew at Miller Park (2:10 PM EST) Wednesday. The Brewers are presently -154 favorites on the moneyline with an Over/Under of 7.5, according to BetOnline.com.

•Ump Trend You Need To Know: Umpire Will Little will be behind the plate for Wednesday afternoons's matchup between the Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins, which means Under backers need to take note. In Little's last seven games calling balls and strikes, the Under is 6-2. The Tribe is currently slight -108 favorites with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.

Tuesday's MLB Roundup
-- The New York Yankees acquired third baseman Chase Headley and cash considerations from the San Diego Padres on Tuesday in exchange for infielder Yangervis Solarte and right-hander Rafael De Paula. The 30-year-old Headley is scheduled to become a free agent after the season. The Padres agreed to pay $1 million of the remaining $3.968 million on his $10.525 million contract this year.

Headley has not reached the production level he achieved two years ago when he hit 31 home runs, led the National League with 115 RBIs in 161 games, finished fifth in the league's Most Valuable Player balloting and won Gold Glove and Silver Slugger awards for the Padres. This year, he has battled injuries and is batting .229 with seven home runs and 32 RBIs in 77 games. Solarte, 27, is hitting .254 with six home runs and 31 RBIs in 75 games for the Yankees. De Paula, 23, was 6-5 with a 4.15 ERA in 20 games, including 17 starts, for Class A Tampa this year.

-- The Colorado Rockies placed shortstop Troy Tulowitzki on the disabled list Tuesday with a left hip flexor strain. Tulowitzki left Saturday night’s game against the Pittsburgh Pirates with a cramp in his quadriceps and had missed two games since then before the team made the announcement before Tuesday night's matchup with the Washington Nationals. The 29-year-old Tulowitzki, considered a National league MVP candidate this season, is leading the NL with a .340 batting average, a .432 on-base percentage and a .603 slugging percentage. He has 21 home runs and a major league-leading 71 runs scored in 91 games this season.

-- Opening Day second baseman Darwin Barney was designated for assignment on Tuesday by the Chicago Cubs to make way for outfielder Emilio Bonifacio on the roster. The 28-year-old Barney played in 72 games for the Cubs this year and batted .230 with two homers and 16 RBIs. Bonifacio returned from the disabled list for a game with San Diego. Barney played in 141 games or more each of the past three seasons. Since joining the Cubs in 2010, he batted .246 with 16 homers and 130 RBIs while providing good defense.

-- The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Danny Salazar from Columbus and optioned right-hander C.C. Lee to Triple-A before Tuesday night's game against the Minnesota Twins in Minneapolis. Salazar has made eight starts for the Indians this season and posted a 1-4 record with a 5.53 ERA. He was optioned May 16 to Columbus, where he posted a 3-6 record with a 4.02 ERA and two complete games in 10 starts.

-- The Oakland Athletics will continue to make their home in O.Co Coliseum. The team reached agreement on a 10-year lease extension to remain in a facility that has experienced sewage and lighting problems recently. A's owner Lew Wolff signed off on the agreement after the Oakland City Council made several modifications last week. The Alameda County Board of Supervisors must give final approval, which is considered a formality. The A's have played in the Coliseum since 1968.

-- There are no plans to limit or shut down right-hander Garrett Richards, who is 14 innings shy of his 2013 mark of 145 while leading the Los Angeles Angels with an 11-2 record and 2.47 ERA in 20 starts. General manager Jerry Dipoto said skipping Richards in the final two months of the season or putting a hard cap on his innings total are not options the team is discussing. Richards failed to pitch into the seventh inning just six times in 20 starts. He is at 131 1/3 innings this season, closing in fast on his career-high of 145 in 2013.

-- The Tampa Bay Rays placed right-hander Joel Peralta (illness) on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to July 13, and called up left-hander Jeff Beliveau from Triple-A Durham. Peralta was bitten by a mosquito in the Dominican Republic during the All-Star break.

-- The Texas Rangers placed catcher Geovany Soto on the 15-day disabled list with tightness in his right groin that will require an MRI Friday in Texas. Soto had returned just three games ago from a long stint on the disabled list after knee surgery when the latest injury occurred.

-- The Philadelphia Phillies placed outfielder John Mayberry Jr. on the 15-day disabled list with left wrist inflammation and called up outfielder-first baseman Darin Ruf from Triple A. Meanwhile, left-hander Cliff Lee reported no problems after pitching Monday for the first time since returning after spending two months on the disabled list with a strained elbow.

-- San Francisco Giants outfielder Angel Pagan (back) took swings off a tee Monday, but there is still no timetable for his return. "It's a step in the right direction," manager Bruce Bochy said. First baseman Brandon Belt (concussion) is progressing slowly. He could start taking swings in a few days, but it appears unlikely he'll return from the seven-day DL when eligible on Sunday.
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Betting Notes - Wednesday

National League
•Reds-Brewers - 2:10 PM
--Leake is 1-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
--Lohse is 2-2, 3.66 in his last five starts.

--Reds lost their last eight road games.
--Milwaukee won its last three home games.

--Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cincinnati road games.

•Nationals-Rockies - 3:10 PM
--Strasburg is 1-1, 2.96 in his last four starts.
--De La Rosa is 4-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.

--Washington won five six of its last seven games.
--Colorado lost its last seven games.

--Under is 6-3 in last nine games at Coors Field.

•Giants-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Bumgarner is 2-0, 3.65 in his last couple starts.
--Burnett is 1-3, 4.96 in his last five starts.

--Giants won five of their last six games.
--Phillies lost eleven of last fourteen at home.

--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Bumgarner starts.

•Dodgers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Haren is 0-3, 9.64 in his last three starts.
--Liriano is 1-4, 5.23 in his last seven starts.

--Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games.
--Pittsburgh won 13 of its last 16 home games.

--Five of last seven Haren starts went over total.

•Marlins-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Eovaldi is 0-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.
--Santana is 3-1, 4.00 in his last four starts.

--Marlins won their last three games.
--Atlanta lost three of its last four games.

--Six of last eight Atlanta games went over.

•Padres-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Kennedy is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
--Wada allowed one unearned run in five IP in his only MLB start.

--San Diego lost six of its last seven road games.
--Cubs lost 11 of their last 14 games.

--Seven of last ten Kennedy starts stayed under the total.

American League
•Indians-Twins - 1:10 PM
--Bauer is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Gibson is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.

--Cleveland won seven of its last ten games.
--Twins lost eight of their last ten home games.

--Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cleveland road games.

•Royals-White Sox - 2:10 PM
--Shields is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.
--Quintana is 2-0, 1.77 in his last six starts.

--Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
--White Sox won seven of their last nine home games.

--Five of last seven Shields starts went over the total; last six Quintana starts all stayed under.

•Red Sox-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Buchholz is 2-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.
--Dickey is 1-6, 4.28 in his last seven starts.

--Boston won eight of its last ten games.
--Blue Jays lost ten of their last fifteen games.

--Five of last seven Buchholz starts went over total.

•Rangers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Darvish is 2-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
--Phelps is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.

--Rangers lost 26 of their last 32 games.
--New York won five of its last seven games.

--Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Yankees home games.

•Astros-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Peacock is 1-2, 3.86 in his last six starts.
--Chavez is 1-2, 4.98 in his last four starts.

--Houston lost 12 of its last 18 road games.
--Oakland won 13 of its last 16 home games.

--Three of last four Peacock road starts stayed under total.

•Orioles-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Tillman is 2-1, 2.44 in his last six starts.
--Weaver is 3-0, 2.78 in his last six starts.

--Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
--Angels won 14 of their last 19 games, but lost last two.

--Five of last seven Weaver starts stayed under total.

Interleague
•Tigers-Diamondbacks - 3:40 PM
--Sanchez is 1-2, 5.26 in his last four starts.
--Cahill is 0-4, 8.74 in five starts this season.

--Tigers lost five of their last seven games.
--Arizona won five of its last six home games.

--Six of last eight Sanchez starts went over total.

•Mets-Mariners - 3:40 PM
--Colon is 0-3, 5.88 in his last four starts.
--Walker is 1-1, 3.60 in two starts, last of which was July 6.

--Mets lost nine of their last twelve road games.
--Seattle lost nine of its last fourteen games.

--Ten of last twelve games at Safeco Field stayed under total.

•Rays-Cardinals - 7:15 PM
--Cobb is 3-0, 4.43 in his last four starts.
--Lynn is 3-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.

--Tampa Bay won its last six games, is 14-2 in last 16 road games.
--Cardinals won seven of their last eleven games.

--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Cobb starts.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Leake 8-12; Lohse 14-6
-- Strasburg 11-10; de la Rosa 13-7
-- Bumgarner 11-9; Burnett 10-11
-- Haren 10-10; Liriano 8-8
-- Eovaldi 7-13; Santana 9-9
-- Kennedy 9-12; Wada 0-1

-- Bauer 7-6; Gibson 8-11
-- Shields 12-9; Quintana 8-12
-- Buchholz 7-8; Dickey 9-12
-- Darvish 12-6; Phelps 4-10
-- Peacock 6-8; Chavez 13-6
-- Tillman 13-8; Weaver 13-8

-- Sanchez 9-8; Cahill 1-4
-- Colon 10-9; Walker 1-1
-- Cobb 6-7; Lynn 13-7

•Umpires Trends
-- LA-Pitt-- 10 of last 13 Diaz games went over total.
-- SF-Phil-- Five of last seven Carapazza games stayed under.
-- Mia-Atl-- Nine of last twelve West games went over.
-- Cin-Mil--11 of 16 Segal games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Col-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Emmel games.
-- SD-Chi-- 12 of last 17 Tichenor games went over.

-- Tex-NY-- Under is 12-5-1 in last 18 Scott games.
-- Bos-Tor-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Morales games.
-- KC-Chi-- Underdogs are 5-4 in last nine Fletcher games.
-- Cle-Min-- Six of last eight Little games stayed under total.
-- Balt-LAA-- Six of last eight HGibson games stayed under.
-- Hst-A's-- Seven of nine Marquez games stayed under.

-- Det-Az-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Gonzalez games.
-- NY-Sea-- Four of last five Joyce games went over total.
-- TB-StL-- Underdogs won five of last seven Bellino games.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Brewers RF Ryan Braun is batting .410 with two homers and eight RBIs during a 10-game overall hitting streak, and .426 with 13 RBIs while hitting safely in 13 straight at home. Braun is having a good season, without question, with a .354 on-base percentage. He's on track to accumulate a respectable 63 extra-base hits — but with 19 homers and 37 walks, very different from his 2012 totals of 41 homers and 63 walks.
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For Saturday July 26th

ROCHESTERTITANS UFC

THE UFC PLAY HAS BEEN RELEASED!


73-25 IN THE UFC 47-11 RUN!!


kyle kingsbury +145 (5units)
 

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SPORTSATARI 7/23 (This dude is killing it!)

Daily Reports
July 23rd, 2014


Another straight forward winner yesterday. 8-2 in the last 10. 16-6 in July.




MLB PLAY OF THE DAY


Cleveland Indians ML (-125)


Risking 2.5 units to win 2 units


1:10pm start


Bauer, Swarzak must start


Cleveland has won 7 of 10 and limited opponents to 3 runs or less in 5 of 7 games. They’ve won 10 in a row when keeping teams at the 3 runs or under mark. The Indians have won 4 out of 6 games since the break and are hitting well as a team. They were able to attack early going up 3-0 in the 2nd and another 4 runs packed on in the 9th to defeat the Twins 8-2 last night. Carlos Santana had 4 hits and a homer yesterday giving him 7 hits and 5 RBIs since Friday. Micheal Brantley has 12 hits in his last 10 games.


The Twins have lost 4 of 5 and 8 of their last 10 home games have been losses as well. Minnesota has given up 4 or more runs in 6 of 8 games. They rank 4th last in ERA at 4.28 and continue to drop games (15 of 16) when giving up more than 3 runs.


Trevor Bauer is 2-0 with a 2.75ERA in his last 3 starts. His road numbers need improvement (1-3, 5.29) and going up against a team that hasn’t seen him yet this season will help his cause. Cleveland is 4-0 in his last 4 starts and Bauer is in good form to lead and control the game.


Anthony Swarzak is not a starter and needs to fill the void with Kyle Gibson getting scratched. He’s an awful 0-3, 10.13ERA in his last 3 starts but he’s been a relief pitcher all season. His 4 starts and 12 relief appearances over Cleveland has given him a 1-5, 7.34ERA with batters going .343 against him. The Indians are 39-19 in recent Game 3’s in a series and this is a rubber match between these two where I expect Cleveland to win.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | NEW YORK at LOS ANGELES
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOS ANGELES) after allowing 70 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 6 points or less
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at LOS ANGELES
Play On - Any team vs the money line (LOS ANGELES) off an upset loss as a home favorite against opponent off a close home win by 3 points or less
28-11 since 1997. ( 71.8% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | CONNECTICUT at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
 
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Not many runs in recent Reds-Brewers meetings

The Under is 5-0 in the past five meetings between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers. The two N.L. Central rivals finish up their three-game set at Miller Park Wednesday.

The past five matchups between the two teams have yielded a total of 27 runs - which equates to an average of 5.4 runs per game.

Mike Leake is slated to get the start for the Reds while Kyle Lohse will counter for the Brewers.
 
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Game of the Day: Reds at Brewers


Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers (-144, 7.5)

The Cincinnati Reds will attempt to avoid a winless road trip upon resuming play after the All-Star break when they close a three-game series in Milwaukee against the Brewers on Wednesday. The Reds have lost five straight games – scoring 11 total runs – as they have staggered coming out of the break. Milwaukee has put a stretch in which it lost 11 of 12 in the rear-view mirror as Tuesday’s 4-3 walk-off victory was its fourth in six games.

Brewers All-Star catcher Jonathan Lucroy hit two solo homers – including the game-winning blast in the ninth – Tuesday for his first homers since July 4. Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez hit back-to-back solo shots in the first inning and Braun has gone 16-for-39 with two homers and eight RBIs during a 10-game hitting streak. The Reds have lost eight consecutive road games since winning at San Francisco on June 29.

TV: 2:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN Ohio (Cincinnati)

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Brewers as -152 favorites, but that has moved to -144. The total has held at 7.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Reds (-159), Brewers (-181)

INJURY REPORT: Reds - SS Zack Cozart (Questionable, finger), 1B Joey Votto (15-day DL, oblique), 2B Brandon Phillips (15-day DL, thumb).

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "With Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips sidelined, it's going to be an uphill battle for the Reds. The Brew Crew are right where they want to be entering the break, but how long can they keep it up?" Sean Murphy.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Mike Leake (7-8, 3.63 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Kyle Lohse (10-4, 3.16)

Leake has allowed four runs in each of his last two outings and has given up 37 hits in 25 2/3 innings over his past four turns. He has split two 2014 decisions with the Brewers and recorded the victory June 15 despite being touched up for four runs and nine hits over five innings. He is 2-1 with a 4.43 ERA in seven career starts against Milwaukee.

Lohse snapped a three-start winless stretch by defeating Washington on July 18. He allowed just one run in seven innings while notching the victory but gave up a season-worst 10 hits. Lohse is 0-1 with a 3.97 ERA in two starts against Cincinnati this season and possesses a 5-5 mark and 3.01 ERA over 17 career outings against the Reds.


TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Reds are 0-8 in their last eight road games.
* Over is 11-5 in umpire Chris Segal's last 16 games behind home plate.
* Brewers are 4-1 in Lohses last five starts as a favorite.

CONSENSUS: 59.78 percent of wagers are backing the Brewers.
 
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MLB betting cheat sheet: Jays, Red Sox Continue Over Trend

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major league games:

Jays, Red Sox Continue Over Trend

A late two-run homer from Stephen Drew didn't mean much to the Red Sox in a 7-3 loss to Toronto, but it did send the total Over for the fifth straight time in the head-to-head series. The teams are 6-1-1 O/U for the season.

Jesse a Giant Favorite

Oakland right-hander Jesse Chavez will look to continue his hot streak as a favorite Wednesday, entering at -255 when the Athletics host the Houston Astros. Chavez is 5-0 against the moneyline in his last five starts as a favorite, with three of those results coming at home.

Gee No Whiz vs. Brewers

New York Mets right-hander Dillon Gee may have his hands full Thursday night as he faces the host Milwaukee Brewers. Gee has yet to beat the Brewers in his career, going 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts.

Pitching Notes

* San Francisco ace Madison Bumgarner hopes to maintain his dominance away from AT&T Park on Wednesday as he leads the Giants (-140, 7.5) into Philadelphia. Bumgarner is 7-2 with a scintillating 1.94 ERA in 11 road starts so far this season.

* New York Yankees righty Brandon McCarthy has adjusted well to his move to the Bronx as he prepares to face the visiting Texas Rangers on Thursday. McCarthy was the worst value pitcher in baseball while with Arizona, but is 2-0 against the moneyline in two starts since being traded.

Hitting Notes

* Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Melky Cabrera is heating up, recording three three-hit games in his last four outings to raise his average to .309. The Blue Jays are 22-15 against the moneyline and 21-16 O/U when Cabrera records a multi-hit game entering Wednesday's game against Boston.

* San Francisco catcher Buster Posey has owned his career matchup with Philadephia lefty Cole Hamels, who gets the call Thursday against the visiting Giants. Posey is 7-for-11 versus Hamels, with four doubles and a home run.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (7-1 O/U): The pitching has thrived even without injured ace CC Sabathia, limiting opponents to three runs or fewer in seven of the last eight games. The recent Under streak has dropped the Yankees to 43-55-1 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

It's one of the longest shots of the day, but it may be worth taking a flyer on the Nationals and Rockies to play to a push (+1,000). The Rockies rank second in the majors with nine pushes, while the Nationals and Pirates are tied with eight apiece.

Injury Notes

* Houston Astros oufielder George Springer missed his second straight game with knee and quad injuries. The Astros have struggled without their hard-hitting rookie, going 1-4 against the moneyline and 1-3-1 O/U in his absence entering Tuesday's game against host Oakland.

* The Colorado Rockies have placed shortstop Troy Tulowitzki on the 15-day disabled list with a left hip flexor strain. Tulowitzki has fought through a variety of ailments this season, missing time earlier in the year with quad and groin injuries.


Weather Watch

* Wind at U.S. Cellular Field will blow out to right field at 14 mph for Wednesday's game between the host Chicago White Sox (-102, 7.5) and the Kansas City Royals. The White Sox were just 2-6 O/U under similar conditions in 2013, with teams averaging a paltry 1.62 homers per game.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 7-1-2 in umpire Paul Emmel's last 10 games behind home plate. Emmel will call the balls and strikes for Wednesday's showdown between the host Colorado Rockies and the Washington Nationals.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:10 p.m. ET Tuesday.
 
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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers


Dodgers at Pirates – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Haren (8-7, 4.30 ERA)
PIT: Liriano (1-7, 4.43 ERA)

Series recap: These two teams split the first two games, as the Pirates held off the Dodgers last night, 12-7 to cash as -115 favorites. Los Angeles captured Monday’s opener, 5-2 as a short underdog, but the Pirates own a 4-2 record against the Dodgers this season.

What to watch for: The Dodgers have performed well in series finales of late, winning seven of the past nine in this situation. Los Angeles is winless in Haren’s last three starts, while the Dodgers are 6-2 to the ‘over’ in his past eight trips to the mound. One of Liriano’s best outings of the season came at Chavez Ravine in late May, as the southpaw tossed 5.2 innings of scoreless baseball in a 2-1 road victory.

Giants at Phillies – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SF: Bumgarner (11-7, 3.38 ERA)
PHI: Burnett (6-9, 4.08 ERA)

Series recap: The Giants have remained hot in the second half by capturing the opening two contests at Citizens Bank Park to improve to 4-1 the last five games. On Tuesday, San Francisco held off Philadelphia in 14 innings, 9-6 to pick up its fourth straight road victory in this series dating back to last July.

What to watch for: San Francisco is nearly automatic with Bumgarner on the mound away from AT&T Park, as the team has put together an 8-3 mark in his 11 road starts, including a blowout of Miami in his last outing. Also, the Giants have hit the ‘over’ in five consecutive starts made by Bumgarner, as the first two games of this series has seen the ‘over’ connect. The Phillies have dropped eight of their last nine home contests, while the ‘over’ is 4-0 in Burnett’s past four trips to the mound.

Red Sox at Blue Jays – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BOS: Buchholz (5-5, 5.46 ERA)
TOR: Dickey (7-10, 3.95 ERA)

Series recap: These two clubs have exchanged blowouts in the first two contests, as Toronto topped Boston on Tuesday, 7-3 as +110 underdogs. The victory snapped Boston’s five-game winning streak, while the Jays won for the third time in four contests. The ‘over’ has cashed in five straight meetings between these division rivals, while the victorious squad in all eight matchups this season has scored at least six runs.

What to watch for: Toronto has dropped six of the last seven starts made by Dickey, while the ‘under’ is 7-1 in the knuckleballer’s past eight trips to the mound. The Sox have won each of Buchholz’s previous three away starts, while Boston owns an 8-0 record in Buchholz’s last eight starts against Toronto at Rogers Center since 2009.

Rays at Cardinals – 7:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TB: Cobb (5-6, 4.08 ERA)
STL: Lynn (11-6, 3.13 ERA)

Series recap: The Rays stayed red-hot after a horrible June as Tampa Bay destroyed St. Louis last night, 7-2 to cash as +135 underdogs. Tampa Bay has won six consecutive games, while improving to 12-1 in its past 13 road contests.

What to watch for: Everything is going right for the Rays at the moment, who look for their sixth straight win in Game 2 of a series on Wednesday. The Cardinals have struggled at home against National League foes, posting a 1-5 record this season. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in Lynn’s past eight trips to the mound, while St. Louis owns an 8-3 record in his 11 home starts.

Orioles at Angels – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Tillman (7-5, 4.03 ERA)
LAA: Weaver (10-6, 3.43 ERA)

Series recap: The Angels suffered consecutive home losses for the first time in over two months after Baltimore defeated Los Angeles on Tuesday, 4-2. The Orioles have cashed in the underdog role twice in this series, while the ‘under’ of 8 ½ has hit each time.

What to watch for: Baltimore has won four of its past six road series finales, while the O’s go for just their second road sweep of the season (first came at Tampa Bay in May). The Angels have compiled a 6-0 record in Weaver’s last six starts, while the Halos are 8-2 in his past 10 outings at Angel Stadium. Los Angeles has drilled the ‘under’ in seven of the previous nine home contests, but has scored three runs or less four times in the past five games.
 
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MLB

'Numbers favor Angels'

MLB Handicappers taking a look at the matchup between Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore Orioles Wednesday in Anaheim will discover a slew of positive betting numbers in favor of LAA. Despite recent set backs, the Angels have enjoyed home cookin' winning 14 of their last 18 in Anaheim and 19 of the past 24 in front of the friendly crowd. This being the final game of the series should get the attention of MLB handicappers keeping close tabs on LAA. The Halos are on a smart 12-4 stretch at home this season in game three's. Those digging deeper to get a better take on the pitching matchup will have noted Halos are on a 6-0 overall streak with Jered Weaver (10-6 3.43 ERA), have an 8-2 spurt at home with the hurler and are 6-3 as home fave off a loss the previous night handing the ball to the right-hander. The clincher, that should have MLB handicappers rushing to the window to make a play on LAA - Weaver and the month of July go together like baseball handicapping and baseball betting. The Angels have won 21 of Weaver's last 22 home games during the month of July.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JULY 23RD 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#913 CLEVELAND @ #914 MINNESOTA - 1:10 PM
•Indians RH Trevor Bauer (4-4, 3.89 ERA, WHIP: 1.398) - Bauer improved to 2-0 in his last four outings by recording a quality start versus Detroit on Friday. The 23-year-old allowed three runs on six hits and struck out five in the 9-3 victory. Bauer has struggled on the road, posting a 1-3 mark with a 5.29 ERA while permitting the opposition to bat .298 against him.

•Twins RH Anthony Swarzak (1-0, 4.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.363) - With scheduled starter Kyle Gibson scratched due to back stiffness, Swarzak officially received the nod shortly after the conclusion of Tuesday's tilt. The 28-year-old has made 30 relief appearances this season and hasn't started a contest since the 2012 campaign. Swarzak hasn't fared well against Cleveland, posting a 1-5 career mark with a gaudy 7.34 ERA while allowing the Indians to bat .343 against him in 16 appearances, including four starts.

#915 KANSAS CITY @ #916 CHI WHITE SOX - 2:10 PM
•Royals RH James Shields (9-5, 3.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Shields got the first start after the All-Star break and struggled at Boston, allowing four runs - three earned - and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings. The veteran did not factor in the decision and is 1-2 in his last six outings. Shields was reached for 10 hits in six frames at Chicago on June 15 but limited the damage to three runs to earn the win.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 13-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.6, OPPONENT 2.7.

--SHIELDS is 12-4 against the run line (+10.5 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--SHIELDS is 12-4 against the run line (+10.5 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--SHIELDS is 15-2 against the run line (+15.5 Units) on the road when the run line is (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.3, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SHIELDS is 12-3 OVER (+9.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.2, OPPONENT 4.7.

•White Sox LH Jose Quintana (5-7, 3.26 ERA, WHIP: 1.190) - Quintana is winless in his last three turns despite allowing three or fewer runs in each. The Colombian surrendered two runs and three hits while striking out eight over five innings on Friday but did not factor in the decision. The last time Quintana allowed more than three runs was against Kansas City on June 13, when he was rocked for six runs on eight hits in six innings.

--KEY STAT: QUINTANA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.7 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

--QUINTANA is 16-4 UNDER (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was QUINTANA 3.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

#917 BOSTON @ #918 TORONTO - 7:05 PM
•Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (5-5, 5.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.518) - Buchholz could not replicate the shutout he tossed prior to the All-Star break but did enough to earn a win over Kansas City on Friday. The Texas native scattered four runs and 10 hits over six innings and did not walk a batter, giving him a total of one free pass yielded in his last five starts. Buchholz won at Toronto on April 26 but was reached for five runs - four earned - on nine hits in 4 2/3 frames to suffer a loss to the Blue Jays at home on May 21.

--KEY STAT: BUCHHOLZ is 13-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.3, OPPONENT 3.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.5, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 against the run line (+9.0 Units) in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.5, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUCHHOLZ is 8-0 OVER (+8.3 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 6.0, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (7-10, 3.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.295) - Dickey got his team’s first post-All-Star break start as well and was knocked around by Texas for five runs in seven innings to suffer a loss. The knuckleball specialist surrendered a pair of home runs in that outing after going three straight without yielding a blast. Dickey faced Boston at home on April 27 and allowed one run on five hits without walking a batter in 6 1/3 frames to pick up the win.

--KEY STAT: DICKEY is 12-2 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 4.1, OPPONENT 2.8.
__________________________________________

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_____________________________

#919 TEXAS @ #920 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Rangers RH Yu Darvish (9-5, 2.88 ERA, WHIP: 1.213) - Darvish allowed one run on five hits in 6 2/3 innings to pick up the victory against Toronto on Friday. The Japanese star has dominated the Yankees in three career starts, posting a 2-0 mark with a 1.35 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .211 batting average. Darvish has allowed a home run in each of his last three outings after yielding just seven in his previous 15.

--KEY STAT: DARVISH is 8-1 against the run line (+8.1 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 5.7, OPPONENT 1.7.

--DARVISH is 1-9 against the run line (-11.0 Units) versus an American League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 2.8, OPPONENT 4.2.

--DARVISH is 1-8 against the run line (-10.0 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.1, OPPONENT 4.6.

--DARVISH is 14-3 UNDER (+10.6 Units) against American League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Yankees RH David Phelps (4-4, 3.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.354) - Phelps improved to 3-0 in his last seven starts after permitting three runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings in a 4-3 victory over Cincinnati on Monday. The 27-year-old overcame two homers in that outing and has allowed seven in his last six. Phelps pitched well in his last meeting versus Texas, yielding two runs in five innings to pick up the win.

--KEY STAT: PHELPS is 1-14 against the run line (-15.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.4.

--PHELPS is 5-18 against the run line (-15.3 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.0.

#923 BALTIMORE @ #924 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
•Orioles RH Chris Tillman (7-5, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.352) - Tillman continued to go unrewarded despite pitching well in Friday’s 5-4 setback against the Athletics, settling for a no-decision after allowing two runs on four hits while striking out six over 6 2/3 innings. Over his last eight turns, the 26-year-old Anaheim native has allowed three or fewer runs every time, but is only 2-3 over that stretch. Tillman, who is 6-0 in 12 road turns, has enjoyed much better luck versus the Angels in his career, winning both his starts against them while posting a 1.84 ERA.

--KEY STAT: TILLMAN is 19-9 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--TILLMAN is 13-6 (+14.8 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 5.7, OPPONENT 3.8.

--TILLMAN is 8-1 OVER (+7.0 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was TILLMAN 7.2, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Angels RH Jered Weaver (10-6, 3.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.142) - Although he was unable to extend his three-game winning streak after giving up a two-run lead in the seventh inning, Weaver helped the Angels improve to 6-0 over his last six outings in a 3-2 victory over the Mariners on Friday. The three-time All-Star did not factor into the decision after yielding two runs on six hits while fanning eight in six frames. Weaver has fared well against the Orioles in his career, going 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA in 10 all-time starts.

--KEY STAT: WEAVER is 27-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.6, OPPONENT 3.3.

--WEAVER is 14-2 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

--WEAVER is 42-19 UNDER (+20.3 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WEAVER 4.3, OPPONENT 2.6.
________________________________________________
 

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Rounding The Bases - Wednesday


#909 MIAMI @ #910 ATLANTA
TV: 7:10 PM EST, SportSouth Atlanta
Line: Braves -165, Total: 7.5, -120

Buy or sell is the question facing the Miami Marlins as the July 31 trade deadline approaches, and at 6 1/2 games out of the final National League wild-card spot the next few days could determine their strategy. The Marlins visit the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, riding a three-game winning streak, and published reports Tuesday indicated Miami may have renewed interest in Oakland reliever Jim Johnson to bolster its fatigued bullpen. The Braves may stand pat at the deadline, although their feast-or-famine offensive showing of late may change that approach.

Atlanta has averaged 8.8 runs in its past four victories and 2.3 in its past three defeats, and the upcoming schedule is not kind to the Braves’ hopes of outlasting Washington in the NL East. The Braves play the Los Angeles Dodgers seven times while taking on Washington and Oakland three games each by Aug. 17. Miami’s relief corps has pitched a major-league high 119 innings since June 15, and gave up three runs in four innings Tuesday as the Marlins held on for a 6-5 victory.

PITCHING MATCHUP
•Marlins RH Nathan Eovaldi (5-5, 4.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.262) - Eovaldi started the second half with a thud, giving up a season-high eight runs on nine hits in four innings Friday against the Giants. He is 1-3 in his past seven starts with a 6.15 ERA, giving up five or more runs four times. Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three starts against the Braves this season, allowing one run on three hits in seven innings to win at home April 30.

•Braves RH Ervin Santana (8-6, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Santana has pitched well since a three-game losing streak, winning three of his past four starts while allowing only one homer in 27 innings. He beat the Phillies on Friday, allowing three earned runs on six hits in six innings despite striking out only one. Santana is 1-0 in two starts against Miami in 2014, giving up three runs on seven hits in six innings to win at Miami on May 31.

•PREGAME NOTES: Miami 2B Donovan Solano is hitting .405 in his past 13 games following his career-best, four-hit performance Tuesday.... Atlanta LF Justin Upton homered Tuesday and is 11-for-27 during his current seven-game hitting streak.... Miami LF Christian Yelich has a 16-game road hitting streak, recording two or more hits in 10 of those contests.

•KEY STATS
--MIAMI is 12-40 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 2.9, OPPONENT 4.9.

--MIAMI is 11-40 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 2.8, OPPONENT 4.7.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: ATLANTA is 32-15 (+10.1 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons. 24 of 43 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +1.8 Units).

--Games This Season: MIAMI is 5-5 (+0.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season (Under= +1.6 Units).

--All Games at ATLANTA Over The Last 3 Seasons: ATLANTA is 14-8 (-0.6 Units) against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons. 13 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons (Under= +4.6 Units).

--Under is 5-1-2 in Eovaldis last 8 starts vs. Braves.
--Under is 3-0-2 in Eovaldis last 5 road starts vs. Braves.

--Marlins are 20-43 in the last 63 meetings.
--Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Atlanta.

•RECENT TRENDS
--MIA is 0-4 in Eovaldis L4 starts as an underdog.
--MIA is 0-6 in Eovaldis L6 starts during game 3 of a series.
--MIA is 0-5 in Eovaldis L5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

--ATL is 6-1 L6 after allowing 5 runs or more LG.
--ATL is 7-2 L9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
--ATL is 40-13 L53 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MIAMI) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL.
(119-39 since 1997.) (75.3%, +59.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -153.9
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (9-2, +5.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-7, +15.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (57-17, +31.2 units).

**StatSystemsSports.net Prediction: Braves 5, Marlins 3
_______________________________
 

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Paul Leiner

100* Toronto Blue Jays -115

50* Seattle Mariners -125
 

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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Sorry guys unlucky yesterday with Lynx -5 , they blow a 14 point lead in the last quarter,and on top Maya Moore who scored 48 points was not able to made the last free throw in double OT to bring home the PUSH at least, these are those plays that makes you mad I know,but there is nothing you can do

We have one of those SUPER early tip offs this morning in Washington, and I have a strong opinion in this, the Washington Mystics struggled at home all season,i like them more on the road, but the Mystics have won 5 of the last 6 meetings against the Connecticut Sun include 2 games this season

but, this is a new game and I really like the chances from The Sun today, there is a big injury concern for the Mystics today, 3 players have to deal with, especially missing Tiarra Ruffin Prat would be a huge blow for the Mystics, she comes from a career high game 18 points against the Sparks and also missing veteran Kara Lawson would have much impact against this young, high caliber Connecticut Sun team

07/23/14 G Tierra Ruffin-Pratt Ankle "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun
07/22/14 G Kara Lawson Back "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun
07/22/14 F Jelena Milovanovic Knee "?" Wednesday vs. Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun have the problem sometimes to finish out games and protect their leads,thats why the Sun made another late transfer and signed former LA Sparks forward Ebony Hoffmann, she is a experienced WNBA player and can surely support Katie Douglas in leading this young and talented Connecticut players

We will see which players will be available this morning, but have an eye on the line, I cant imagine it stays at 4.5 when all 3 questionable Mystics players will be ruled out.


Connecticut Sun +4.5

is what i recommend to jump on this morning, good luck all
 

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EZWINNERS

5* Colorado Rockies +1.5 -125

3* Colorado Rockies +148

3* Tampa Bay Rays +104
 

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