Joseph D'Amico
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St.Louis Cardinals
Play: St.Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia is slumping. They have lost 3 straight and are holding on to 1st place in the NL East by just 1 game over Cincinnati. The once-powerful lineup is posting a mere 4.2 RPG. They are hitting the ball, but are having trouble crossing the plate. Home Run’s are way down for the club. The Cardinal’s are at 23-19 and are 1 ½ games back in the NL Central. St. Louis is averaging 5.2 RPG. They possess 5 hitters that are batting over or flirting with .300. Matt Holliday and Lance Berkman are one of the best offensive duos in the game today. The team has Jaime Garcia on the bump. The LH is 5-0 with a 1.89 ERA, including a 3-0, 0.39 ERA at home. In his career, Garcia is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA vs. Philly in his career. The Phillie’s are 1-4 the L5 vs. the Card’s while the Cardinal’s are 5-1 in Garcia’s L6 home starts. Take St. Louis.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St.Louis Cardinals
Play: St.Louis Cardinals
Philadelphia is slumping. They have lost 3 straight and are holding on to 1st place in the NL East by just 1 game over Cincinnati. The once-powerful lineup is posting a mere 4.2 RPG. They are hitting the ball, but are having trouble crossing the plate. Home Run’s are way down for the club. The Cardinal’s are at 23-19 and are 1 ½ games back in the NL Central. St. Louis is averaging 5.2 RPG. They possess 5 hitters that are batting over or flirting with .300. Matt Holliday and Lance Berkman are one of the best offensive duos in the game today. The team has Jaime Garcia on the bump. The LH is 5-0 with a 1.89 ERA, including a 3-0, 0.39 ERA at home. In his career, Garcia is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA vs. Philly in his career. The Phillie’s are 1-4 the L5 vs. the Card’s while the Cardinal’s are 5-1 in Garcia’s L6 home starts. Take St. Louis.
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-CHASE DIAMOND
30 DIME* NBA* KNOCKOUT PLAY* Dallas Mavericks -110 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-COACH THOMPSON
600 UNIT* MLB* BEST OF THE BEST* Detroit Tigers -146 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-CRAIG DAVIS
50 DIME* NBA* SERIES* Dallas Mavericks -200 ML
40 DIME* NBA* Dallas Mavericks -6
30 DIME* MLB* Oakland Athletics -140 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-SIMON GREEN
20 UNIT* MLB* New York Mets +112 ML
33 UNIT* NBA* Dallas Mavericks -110 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-SLICK NICK TORTELLI
20 DIME* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals -140 ML
30 DIME* MLB* Toronto Blue Jays +140 ML
50 DIME* MLB* LA Dodgers -120 ML
30 DIME* NBA* KNOCKOUT PLAY* Dallas Mavericks -110 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-COACH THOMPSON
600 UNIT* MLB* BEST OF THE BEST* Detroit Tigers -146 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-CRAIG DAVIS
50 DIME* NBA* SERIES* Dallas Mavericks -200 ML
40 DIME* NBA* Dallas Mavericks -6
30 DIME* MLB* Oakland Athletics -140 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-SIMON GREEN
20 UNIT* MLB* New York Mets +112 ML
33 UNIT* NBA* Dallas Mavericks -110 ML
KILLERSPORTSPLAYS-SLICK NICK TORTELLI
20 DIME* MLB* Saint Louis Cardinals -140 ML
30 DIME* MLB* Toronto Blue Jays +140 ML
50 DIME* MLB* LA Dodgers -120 ML
COMPS:
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Kansas City Royals -104
The Royals have been playing solid baseball at home where they are 15-9 this season, and they'll be out for some serious revenge after yesterday's embarrassing 19-1 home defeat to Cleveland. The Royals are certainly worth a small wager in this bounce back spot considering the struggles of Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco. He's carrying an ERA of 5.29 on the season and the Indians are just 5-13 in his last 18 starts. The Tribe is 3-9 in his last 12 starts vs. the American League Central and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Sean O'Sullivan gets the ball for KC looking to build on a solid start. He's 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA in five starts this season. The Royals are 4-1 in his last 5 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League Central and 4-1 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. The Royals also took a 6-run loss at Cleveland on April 28. This is extremely significant because KC is 8-2 in its last 10 when out to avenge 2 straight losses of 6 runs or more to an opponent. We'll take the Royals.
Wunderdog
Astros vs. Braves
Play: Under7
The Houston Astros don't have a lineup that is going to strike fear in opposing pitchers, especially a veteran like Derek Lowe who knows how to navigate through a lineup. The Astros have what has been their most consistent pitcher on the mound today with Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has held opponents to 3 runs or less in 22 of his last 26 starts for the Stros, so I certainly have faith that he will hold the Braves down here. This year his last five starts have gone UNDER the total, and his stuff has translated well to the road where he has pitched the Astros into a 7-1 mark to the UNDER in his last eight roadies. Lowe has only pitched to three overs in his last 13 starts overall. This one finishes below the posted total, play the UNDER.
Jack Jones
Florida Marlins -115
The Florida Marlins are one of the most underrated teams in the league this season. At 24-16, the Marlins currently hold the second-best record in the National League as they sit just one game back of the Phillies in the NL East. They have been getting excellent starting pitching, especially from Ricky Nolasco who has yet to suffer a loss this season. Nolasco is 3-0 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in eight starts.
Jon Niese has really struggled for the New York Mets, going 2-4 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in eight starts. Niese is 1-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in six career starts against Florida. New York is now without their best player in David Wright, who is out indefinitely with a back injury. Also starting 1B Ike Davis and starting CF Angel Pagan remain on the DL. The Marlins are 37-15 in Nolasco's last 52 road starts. The Mets are 2-8 in Niese's last 10 home starts. Bet the Marlins Tuesday.
Ben Burns
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals scored the "upset" in yesterday's series opener. Tonight's matchup is arguably more favorable and I feel they've got a solid shot at completing the "sweep."
Oswalt certainly has the "bigger name" and he's off to a solid start to the season. Through five games, he's 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.037 WHIP. Note that his ERA is slightly higher on the road (3.60) and that he's averaging only five innings per road start.
While there's certainly nothing wrong with Oswalt's numbers, they don't compare favorably to Garcia's stats. Indeed, Garcia is a perfect 5-0 with an outstanding 1.89 ERA and 1.032 WHIP. In three home starts, he's gone a perfect 3-0 with a remarkable 0.39 ERA (1 earned run in 23 innings!) and a 0.652 WHIP. He has 21 K's to just five walks here and hasn't given up a home run here.
While Oswalt's teams are 0-5 his last five starts at St. Louis, note that Garcia is 2-0 with a dynamite 1.38 WHIP in two career starts vs. the Phillies.
With the Cardinals at at a profitable 16-8 (+6.3) under the lights this season and given Garcia's dominance here, the price seems more than reasonable. Consider St. Louis.
Tom Freese
Florida Marlins at New York Mets
Prediction: Florida Marlins
The Marlins took last night's game 2-1 in 11 innings and that will probably have a carryover effect to tonight's rematch vs. Jon Niese and the Mets. Florida beat Niese four of five times they saw him last year and was 34-15 overall vs. southpaws in 2010, so this year's slow start vs. lefties is probably an aberration. The Fish start Ricky Nolasco, who has a 12-1 TSR when working on five or six days rest + he hasn't lost a decision to New York since April 2009. Nolasco also hasn't lost a decision period this season with a 3.02 ERA in eight starts. Florida is 25-15 overall vs. the Mets.
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Kansas City Royals -104
The Royals have been playing solid baseball at home where they are 15-9 this season, and they'll be out for some serious revenge after yesterday's embarrassing 19-1 home defeat to Cleveland. The Royals are certainly worth a small wager in this bounce back spot considering the struggles of Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco. He's carrying an ERA of 5.29 on the season and the Indians are just 5-13 in his last 18 starts. The Tribe is 3-9 in his last 12 starts vs. the American League Central and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Sean O'Sullivan gets the ball for KC looking to build on a solid start. He's 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA in five starts this season. The Royals are 4-1 in his last 5 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League Central and 4-1 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. The Royals also took a 6-run loss at Cleveland on April 28. This is extremely significant because KC is 8-2 in its last 10 when out to avenge 2 straight losses of 6 runs or more to an opponent. We'll take the Royals.
Wunderdog
Astros vs. Braves
Play: Under7
The Houston Astros don't have a lineup that is going to strike fear in opposing pitchers, especially a veteran like Derek Lowe who knows how to navigate through a lineup. The Astros have what has been their most consistent pitcher on the mound today with Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez has held opponents to 3 runs or less in 22 of his last 26 starts for the Stros, so I certainly have faith that he will hold the Braves down here. This year his last five starts have gone UNDER the total, and his stuff has translated well to the road where he has pitched the Astros into a 7-1 mark to the UNDER in his last eight roadies. Lowe has only pitched to three overs in his last 13 starts overall. This one finishes below the posted total, play the UNDER.
Jack Jones
Florida Marlins -115
The Florida Marlins are one of the most underrated teams in the league this season. At 24-16, the Marlins currently hold the second-best record in the National League as they sit just one game back of the Phillies in the NL East. They have been getting excellent starting pitching, especially from Ricky Nolasco who has yet to suffer a loss this season. Nolasco is 3-0 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in eight starts.
Jon Niese has really struggled for the New York Mets, going 2-4 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in eight starts. Niese is 1-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in six career starts against Florida. New York is now without their best player in David Wright, who is out indefinitely with a back injury. Also starting 1B Ike Davis and starting CF Angel Pagan remain on the DL. The Marlins are 37-15 in Nolasco's last 52 road starts. The Mets are 2-8 in Niese's last 10 home starts. Bet the Marlins Tuesday.
Ben Burns
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
PICK: St. Louis Cardinals
The Cardinals scored the "upset" in yesterday's series opener. Tonight's matchup is arguably more favorable and I feel they've got a solid shot at completing the "sweep."
Oswalt certainly has the "bigger name" and he's off to a solid start to the season. Through five games, he's 3-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.037 WHIP. Note that his ERA is slightly higher on the road (3.60) and that he's averaging only five innings per road start.
While there's certainly nothing wrong with Oswalt's numbers, they don't compare favorably to Garcia's stats. Indeed, Garcia is a perfect 5-0 with an outstanding 1.89 ERA and 1.032 WHIP. In three home starts, he's gone a perfect 3-0 with a remarkable 0.39 ERA (1 earned run in 23 innings!) and a 0.652 WHIP. He has 21 K's to just five walks here and hasn't given up a home run here.
While Oswalt's teams are 0-5 his last five starts at St. Louis, note that Garcia is 2-0 with a dynamite 1.38 WHIP in two career starts vs. the Phillies.
With the Cardinals at at a profitable 16-8 (+6.3) under the lights this season and given Garcia's dominance here, the price seems more than reasonable. Consider St. Louis.
Tom Freese
Florida Marlins at New York Mets
Prediction: Florida Marlins
The Marlins took last night's game 2-1 in 11 innings and that will probably have a carryover effect to tonight's rematch vs. Jon Niese and the Mets. Florida beat Niese four of five times they saw him last year and was 34-15 overall vs. southpaws in 2010, so this year's slow start vs. lefties is probably an aberration. The Fish start Ricky Nolasco, who has a 12-1 TSR when working on five or six days rest + he hasn't lost a decision to New York since April 2009. Nolasco also hasn't lost a decision period this season with a 3.02 ERA in eight starts. Florida is 25-15 overall vs. the Mets.
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