OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has an NCAA Tournament free pick Thursday is on Arizona (+8.5) to Duke.
There is no doubting that Duke is a better basketball team than Arizona. That is an absolute hard-core fact. The Blue Devils have the potential to win the whole darn thing while the Wildcats are a squad that has somewhat overachieved and have the downside to get fully outclassed by 20 points tonight.
With the above said though and this game being on the west coast I’ll grab the number with a superstar in Derrick Williams and take my chances. I’m not all that impressed with the Pac-10 so Arizona did get through a poor conference but they still did get through it and still have a guy in Williams who can put the ‘Cats on his shoulders at any time. It won’t be easy against Coach K’s boys as this Duke team is really good but they also shriveled up a bit there against Michigan in that last game and are far from a perfect team, even with Kyrie Irving expected to get major minutes.
The game is being played in Anaheim which should be a little more of a comfortable setting for ‘Zona. I’m not exactly calling it a home court advantage as the Dookies always travel well but after just beating a quality Texas team and playing closer to home I’ll grab almost double digits and hope that Williams can be the stud that he is.
I don’t expect an outright but the Blue Devils are not a perfect team and therefore a competitive game is not outlandish in the slightest.
Top expert pick on this game: Arizona
For more information: I am hotter than the burning bush and hands down the best handicapper on this planet right now. Another monster burial last night with the 300,000* Pacers gutting out the 23 point victory as the underdog. Raising that bar today and going back to my bread and butter with a pair of college hoop winners. 400,000* Wisconsin-Butler plus a fourth straight 300,000* winner between UCONN and San Diego State. If you’re listening to anybody but yourself it better be me! Matt Rivers card is up now at OffshoreInsiders.com
Senior Writer Vegas Matty of OffshoreInsiders.com previews New Orleans Hornets (40-31) at Utah Jazz (36-36).
This Western Conference matchup between the New Orleans Hornets (40-31) and the Utah Jazz (36-36) simply will not be the same on Thursday since the home team’s former point guard Deron Williams was traded to New Jersey. Williams and New Orleans point guard Chris Paul were both taken in the first round of the 2005 NBA draft, selected third and fourth, respectively. Utah had won four of the previous five meetings in this unique personal rivalry between the players and was favored in each of them. Without Williams, the Hornets (-1.5) are small road favorites.
The Jazz have been a mess since the blockbuster deal that sent Williams to the Nets for point guard Devin Harris and Derrick Favors, both of whom could miss this game due to injuries. They are just 5-10 straight-up in their last 15 games without Williams – going 5-9-1 against the spread – and in danger of missing out on the playoffs for the first time since the 2005-06 season.
Utah returns home after losing every game on a three-game road trip, capped by a 106-94 setback at Oklahoma City on Wednesday. Earl Watson started for Harris (hamstring) and scored 10 points while Al Jefferson led the way with a game-high 32 points and 12 rebounds. Former Butler star Gordon Hayward continued to struggle during his rookie year, scoring just seven points on 1 of 10 shooting off the bench. The OVER has cashed in five of the team’s last six games.
While the Jazz dropped four games behind Memphis for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference with 10 games left to play, New Orleans is trying to avoid being passed by the Grizzlies for seventh place. The Hornets are just a half-game ahead of Memphis and likely looking at a first-round playoff matchup with either San Antonio or the defending NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers unless they can catch Portland or Denver for the fifth or sixth spot.
New Orleans has lost two of three both SU and ATS after winning four of five and covering five straight. The team has been off since losing 89-85 at home to Boston on Saturday, when Paul had one of his worst games of the season. He did not convert a field goal for the fourth time in his career and scored just four points to go along with a game-high 15 assists and seven rebounds after averaging nearly 29 points in the previous three games. The UNDER is 10-3 in the last 13 games for the Hornets overall and 5-1 in the past six meetings with Utah.
The Sweet 16 college basketball betting preview rages on with the two late games on Thursday, courtesy of your favorite sports betting blog.
(5) Arizona Wildcats vs (1) Duke Blue Devils
Thursday, March 24, 9:45 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Duke -8.5
Duke is over the big scare it got from Michigan in the round of 32 – we think. We’ll find out when the Blue Devils face a team many sports betting sharps pegged as a popular sleeper entering the tournament: Arizona.
The Wildcats haven’t been perfect but they’ve been resilient and exciting. They opened with a comeback thriller over Memphis and ground out a win against Texas after that with a little help from the referees. Predictably, Derrick Williams has been the man. He’s had decent if inconsistent support from various Arizona role players so far.
As long as Duke is over its heebie-jeebies, it has to feel confident entering this matchup. Not only are Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler playing great as always, Kyrie Irving is rounding into form as he works his way back from a toe injury. If beating Arizona won’t be a challenge for No.1 seed Duke, covering the 8.5-point spread could be.
(8) Butler Bulldogs vs (4) Wisconsin Badgers
Thursday, March 24, 9:57 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Wisconsin -4.5
Butler is emerging as a popular Cinderella team this year. Thought it’s debatable whether any team with a recent national title game berth can qualify as a Cinderella.
Either way, Butler’s win over Pittsburgh to reach the Sweet 16 would’ve made Chris Webber proud. After Shelvin Mack’s bonehead foul appeared to seal the win for Pittsburgh. Nasir Robinson returned the favor on the final shot to hand Butler the win.
The Bulldogs can’t rely on strokes of luck like that forever, so they’ll need to play better and cut down on their fouls against Wisconsin. The fourth-seeded Badgers were expected to flop among many college basketball pundits but have done just the opposite, knocking off two very popular sleeper teams: Belmont and Kansas State.
Wisconsin’s smothering defense, which ranks fourth in the country, will put Mack and the Bulldogs to the test. The Badgers are also the country’s top free-throw shooting team and 33rd in three-point percentage. They’re an outstanding 21 for 42 (50 per cent) from beyond the arc over their first two games of the NCAA Tournament. Jordan Taylor in particular has been an assassin, nailing seven of those 21 treys.
If you saw this Sweet 16 coming in March Madness betting, go buy a lottery ticket. And start your own psychic hotline. With a tournament-record four double-digit seeds making the cut, it’s the strangest Sweet 16 we’ve ever seen. Let’s have a look at the first two betting matchups for Thursday.
(3) Connecticut Huskies vs (2) San Diego State Aztecs
Thursday, March 24, 7:15 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Connecticut -1
While UConn is obviously the bigger “name” in this matchup, coming out of the Big East, some sports betting sharps are surprised to see the Huskies in the Sweet 16. I for one thought they’d be too tired after winning five games in five days during the Big East tourney. But, low and behold, UConn continued to look like a team on a mission over the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament. It hammered popular sleeper pick Bucknell 81-52 and got by Cincinnati 69-58. Make that seven straight wins – and seven straight spreads beaten – for the nation’s hottest team.
Kemba Walker hasn’t slowed down yet. He dropped 33 on Cincinnati. But it will be interesting to see how the Huskies respond if the defensively sound San Diego State manages to bottle him up. The second-seeded Aztecs are riding their first two NCAA tourney wins in school history and, for the most part, their “D” was the key in stopping Northern Colorado and Temple.
For San Diego State to keep pace with Connecticut, however, it will need more than just defensive prowess. Guys like D.J. Gay have to break out of their slumps and start contributing.
(3) Brigham Young Cougars vs. (2) Florida Gators
Thursday, March 24, 7:27 p.m. ET
Sportsbook favorite: Florida -2.5
Jimmer Mania continues! BYU is picking up steam in the NCAA tourney. It had more trouble with Wofford in its opener(74-66) than it did with Gonzaga (89-67) in the round of 32. The one constant has, of course, been national leading scorer Jimmer Fredette. The guy can’t be stopped, it seems. Fredette opened his tourney with 32 and 34-point efforts and now has 30 or more in six of his last seven outings.
Florid has been somewhat under the radar as far as No. 2 seeds go. It got past UCSC and UCLA without much trouble and has won six of seven overall, going 6-1 ATS over that span. Erving Walker laid an egg in the SEC tournament against Kentucky but has bounced back strong in March Madness, dropping 18 points on UCSB and leading the charge with 21 against UCLA.
Interestingly enough, these two teams met a year ago in March Madness. The game was a 99-92 overtime barn burner, with Fredette’s 37 points being the difference maker for BYU.