Service Plays Thursday 11/12/09

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B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W ise gu y US F/R utg ers E SP N B ig E ast B rawl on R utg ers -2(-110 at bodog)

These are two very evenly matched teams as Rutgers and South Florida both own identical 6-2 records. The advantage has to go to the home squad in the Scarlet Knights Thursday as they pick up that signature win they've been craving. Knowing that Rutgers dominated USF 46-19 on the road last season also gives plenty of reason to like the Scarlet Knights Thursday. USF hasn't changed much from last year, except now they are playing without starting QB Matt Grothe. This Rutgers' defense is one of the best in the Big East, and they are very opportunistic. The Scarlet Knights have forced 2 or more turnovers in 6 straight games. During this 6-game stretch, they have forced a total of 21 turnovers for an average of 3.5 turnovers/game. South Florida has committed 2 or more turnovers in 4 of their last 5 games, being very sloppy with the ball. They have only forced 3 turnovers in their last 3 games. In a game between two evenly matched teams, turnovers normally decide the outcome. With the evidence provided, Rutgers will likely force USF and freshman QB BJ Daniels into more mistakes and that will be the difference in this game. Tom Savage has been very efficient for Rutgers, throwing 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception this season. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. This hasn't been a very pleasant stage for South Florida to say the least. USF is 4-11 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. The Scarlet Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. Take Rutgers and lay the points.
 

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NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
Cavs -2 over Heat

BobBalfe.com now of Facebook! Click here

College Football
Ball State +17.5 over Northern Illinois
It would be a challenge to find one person who bet on Ball State tonight. Northern Illinois is getting close to 90% of the money. This Ball State team has players on it from last year when they were ranked #12 in the nation coming into the season. Ball State is at 1-8 on the year and I don’t want to state that they are a good 1-8 team because 1-8 is horrible, but they have been in a lot of close games and I think they deserve a little bit more respect with this number considering they have owned NUI in the past few meetings. Northern Illinois has some QB issues which should be too much of a concern however its hard to get on an offense roll when players don’t know who will start and when a QB doesn’t get all his reps in practice. I am not calling an upset, but I do think Ball State plays it closer than the line is set. Take Ball State.

Rutgers -2 over South Florida
Rutgers has win the past few meetings when South Florida had Matt Grothe at QB now today they have a backup freshman who can run the ball well, but they will be missing their top receiver this season. Rutgers is good at stopping the run and if they can contain B.J Daniels they should win this game. Rutgers has struggled on offense a bit this season, but I like what they have done the last two weeks on the road. Look for the Rutgers defense to force Daniels into mistake situations. Take Rutgers.

NFL Football
Bears +3 over 49ers
Alex Smith was a former #1 pick in the NFL and is getting his second shot to prove he is a winner. So far to date he has not proven that. He has been better, but you first have to get the feeling of being a winner before you can be favorites in a game. Look for Jay Cutler to have a field day against a bad 49ers pass defense that will be even worst with Nate Clements sidelined for this game. The 49ers have offensive weapons, but without their starting Left Tackle and a QB who has proved nothing the edge clearly goes to the Bears. Look for TE Greg Olsen to have a big day. Take the Bears.



Balfe is 8-8 on the NBA season after starting 6-2 he has faded as of late.
 

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WAYNE ROOT

2009 Football Upset Club

Thursday, November 12, 2009
4*Rutgers (-2½) over So Florida

7:30 PM -- Rutgers Stadium

Paid/Confirmed
 
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Dirty Bookie ( ?????? )

49ers -3.5- Chicago has one of the worst defenses in the league and can't stop anyone. I'll roll with the home team on a short week in a must win game for SF more than Chicago. 2*

Rutgers -2.5- Rutgers has been on a little roll lately as far as against the spread is concerned. Their only ATS loss in the last five has been against Pitt when they were only getting 6 points on Oct 16. If that game was played now, they would definitely be getting more as people know how good Pitt has become. Rutgers only lost by 7 so it was close. Also, anytime you can bet against S Fla outside of the state of Florida, you take it. 5*

N Illinois -17 2*
 

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Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS....10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 30 DIMER - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS

I just feel like this is such a "trap line", as I don't have any faith at all in this South Florida team on the road.

The Bulls are one of the most undisciplined teams I have seen this season. They like racking up the penalties, and they also have a tendency to turn the ball over just when you least expect it.

That is a bad combination against anybody, but when you are playing a conference rival you turned it over 6 times against last season at home in a 49-16 loss as the 8-point chalk, it is a deadly combo.

Rutgers has been rolling, coming up with road wins and covers at Army, and Connecticut their last 2 games.

The Knights are also 6-1 straight up their last 7 games, and have won the last 3 series meetings, covering the last pair. Freshman QB Savage has gotten better each week, and while his counterpart QB Daniels is electric at time, he is prone to the big mistake that will kill this Bulls team tonight.

With this being the only home game for Rutgers until their season-finale on December 5th, I will side with the host to take it.

10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

At the start of the season this Thursday night game looked like a winner, but with both teams on a downswing, it doesn't exactly smack of "must see" tv!

Still, I love the chance to make some loot on the home team, as Chicago is struggling in so many areas - offensive line, defensive line, injured players, QB throwing his usual array of interceptions - not to mention a 1-3 mark this year away from home that I just cannot take the Bears plus the points.

I know San Francisco has lost 4 straight, but there is an upside to the Niners in my mind, as I am sure former Bears player Mike Singletary is chomping at the bit to go against his former team, and the Niners do have a healthy Frank Gore along with rookie Michael Crabtree getting more experience under his belt. That doesn't even include TE Vernon Davis having a Pro Bowl type of season to date!

The time is right for the 49ers to snap their 4-game skid, as San Fran is a TD better than Chicago tonight.

Take the Niners minus the points.





BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Deano

HRC NFL PREMIUM-November 12th

Thank You for your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB NFL ACTION=-

========================
Follow Units Posted
*Figure In Juice*
========================
RATINGS: 2* 5* 8* 10*
*******************************
Pick: 49ERS (-2.5) || Buy 1/2-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 5*
*******************************
Record: 18-4
 

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LuckyDaySports.com

Thursday's Comp Play

NFL

Take the Under (43) in the Bears at 49ers game
 

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Deano

Had CMU last night for an 8*..... he is on an unbelievable run on both NFL and CFB.... this reminds me of hoops last year almost! GL

His Agent plays are both S. FLORIDA and 49ERS for 2* each. FYI



HRC PREMIUM CFB PLAY-November 12th

Thank You For Your Purchase!

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Betting Session: Follow Units posted (*Varies*)

-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB PREMIUM ACTION=-

Last Posted Play: Winner

*************************************
-=Straight Wager=-

Today's Premium Pick: SOUTH FLORIDA
Today's Odds: +2.5
Unit(s): 2*
*************************************
Number of times a unit is played:
2* 2-0
5* 7-1
8* 6-1
10* 1-0

Record: 20-2
 

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Kudos to South Florida for the upset win over West Virginia at home back on October 30th, and while red-shirt freshman QB Daniels looked dynamite in that win over the Mountaineers, that win did come at HOME. I don't think on a blustery night in North Jersey he will have the same kind of success that he had a few Friday's ago.



Rutgers has been getting better under true-frosh Savage to direct the Scarlet Knights into the end-zone on a more frequent basis than his counterpart, especially when you consider the fact the Bulls usually shoot themselves in the foot with turnovers, and penalties - SoFla simply untrustworthy!



Last year Rutgers went into Tampa and rolled to a 49-16 win as the 8-point dog thanks in part to 6 turnovers by the Bulls. That made it 3 straight series wins for the Knights, and covers in the last pair.



Rutgers lone loss in their last 7 games comes at home to Pittsburgh under the Friday night lights on 10/16. I expect the Scarlet Knights to be ready to contain Daniels in this one, as they have had an extra-week to game plan the youngster, and I fully expect the team from New Jersey to hand the Bulls their 3rd loss in 4 games.



Take Rutgers in this near-pick contest.



1500♦ - Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Trace Adams
 

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Unlocked Sports 11/12

NHL (10-4 +18.04 units)

2* Flyers -1.5 +183
 

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Wunderdog

FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY : HOUSTON - 4.5 at CENTRAL FLORIDA

ANYONE GOT HIS PLAYS FOR TODAY'S CARD?

I'LL APPRECIATE IT...TNX...
 

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Larry Ness 20* CFB Game: Bowling Green - 3

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<w:LsdException Locked="false" Priority="39" QFormat="true" Name="TOC Heading"/> </w:LatentStyles> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1107304683 0 0 159 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style><!--[if gte mso 10]> <style> /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]-->[FONT=&quot]When Bowling Green lost 44-37 at home to Ohio U on Oct 3, the Falcons stood at just 1-4. However, they have rebounded by playing well on the road (more on that later). The Falcons folowed the loss to Ohio by winning 36-35 at Kent St and then 37-17 at Ball St. BGSU lost at home to Central Michigan on Oct 24 but then won a week ago Tuesday at Buffalo, 30-29. The Falcons are back on the road Thursday night (4th road game in 34 days), visiting Miami-Ohio in Oxford. The RedHawks opened the 2009 season by losing their first eight games but ended a two-year 13-game losing streak with a 31-24 home win over Toledo on Oct 31. The winning didn't last long, as Miami lost 34-32 last Thursday night at Temple, when the Owls kicked an 18-yard FG with just three seconds remaining. Losing MAC games is something Miami has grown accustomed these last two years, as since the beginning of the 2008 season the RedHawks have dropped 12 of their last 14 conference games. However, the Redhawks are a more respectable 6-8 ATS in those games, including three straight 'covers' in MAC play. In fact, Miami's covered FIVE of its last six games overall in 2009, due in no small part to the ever-improving play of redshirt freshman QB Zac Dysert, who has completed 64.0 percent of his passes while averaging 372.7 YPG with seven TDs and just one INT over his last three games. However, while Miami has covered five of six, the Redhawks have one just ONE of those games and let me remind all that the RedHawks trailed Temple 31-13 last Thursday into the fourth quarter, before their furious rally. As well as Dysart has played, he'll only be the second-best QB on the field on Thursday night. Despite working with the nation's most pathetic rushing attack (60.1 YPG / 2.2 YPC), Tyler Sheehan is completing 64.1 percent of his passes while averaging over 330 yards YPG through the air with 16 TDs and just six INTs. Freddie Barnes is not the team's only talented WR but he is the best. He's the nation's leading receiver with 107 catches for 1,176 yards, and 10 TDs. He has a chance to set an NCAA record for receptions in a season. Manny Hazard had 142 receptions for Houston in 1989 and with three games remaining, Barnes has 107, which means he needs to average 12 catches per game to pass Hazard (he's averaging 11.9 through nine ga�mes). Sheehan has had little trouble vs MAC opponents in 2009, averaging almost 400 YPG through the air (385) in five games, while throwing 11 TDs with just three INTs. The Falcons won't forget that last year in Bowling Green the Redhawks scored the game's final 13 points in a 27-20 Miami win. Bowling Green avenged a similar such loss in its last outing, rallying from a 13-point, fourth-quarter deficit at Buffalo (BG led Buff 27-7 LY in the 4th quarter but lost 40-34 in 2 OTs!), as Sheehan threw two TD passes in the fourth quarter, the last coming with 39 seconds to go. Capping this play is Bowling Green's near-perfect ATS play away from home going back to mid-2007. The Falcons are 13-2 or 86.7% ATS over their last 15 road games.

Paid & confirmed.

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