Mr. East 11/12
NCAAB THURSDAY UNDER THE RADAR PLAY
#507 GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS @ #508 NC STATE WOLFPACK 7:00PM EST
PLAY ON #507 GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS +10 -110 FOR 4 UNITS
The Georgia St. Panthers will be a senior driven team with 6 seniors on the roster this season. They closed strong a year ago, as they have begun to come together. Add in a good recruitting class, and the Panthers should definately be an improved team. The same can't be said for NC State. The Pack finished just 6-10 in the ACC a year ago, and will likely be worse this season. They have lost their top 3 scorers, and return just 1 double-digit scorer. While Lowe has recruited well, the top prospect failed to qualify academically, and his best class won't be on campus until next year. It's going to be a year with a lot of freshman on the floor, and a lot of inexperienced holdovers taking the court as well. That doesn't bode well early in the season, and I'll go with the experienced team here, that is on the improve. Georgia St. gets the call.
NCAAB THURSDAY UNDER THE RADAR PLAY
#507 GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS @ #508 NC STATE WOLFPACK 7:00PM EST
PLAY ON #507 GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS +10 -110 FOR 4 UNITS
The Georgia St. Panthers will be a senior driven team with 6 seniors on the roster this season. They closed strong a year ago, as they have begun to come together. Add in a good recruitting class, and the Panthers should definately be an improved team. The same can't be said for NC State. The Pack finished just 6-10 in the ACC a year ago, and will likely be worse this season. They have lost their top 3 scorers, and return just 1 double-digit scorer. While Lowe has recruited well, the top prospect failed to qualify academically, and his best class won't be on campus until next year. It's going to be a year with a lot of freshman on the floor, and a lot of inexperienced holdovers taking the court as well. That doesn't bode well early in the season, and I'll go with the experienced team here, that is on the improve. Georgia St. gets the call.
Ben Burns 11/12
**75% YTD** Thurs. TOTAL ROAST! (3:00 PST)
Game: Ball St. vs. Northern Illinois
Pick: UNDER 46.5,NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES -vs-Ball State Cardinals
Reason: I'm playing on Ball State and Northern Illinois to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies won big last week. That game saw the final score of 50-6 finish well above the posted total. While that result has helped to keep today's number relatively high, I'm expecting the Huskies to score significantly fewer points and for a much lower final combined score overall. Prior to last week's offensive explosion, the Huskies had scored 27 or less in three straight games and they'd seen three of their previous four games finish below the total. All four of those games finished with less than 50 combined points. Including last week, the Huskies are allowing an average of only 12 points over their last five games and an average of only 6.33 points over their last three home games. They play tough defense and like to pound the ball on the ground. While that led to an 'over' last week, that type of playing style has seen the Huskies go a profitable 41-21 to the UNDER their last 62 games with a total, excluding 'pushes.' Ball State had a great team last year and scored a lot of points. Indeed, the Cardinals started the season with a perfect 12-0 record (finished 12-2) and they averaged a whopping 34.9 points per game. This year's team lost its QB, three of its top four receivers and four starters along the offensive line. Not surprisingly, points have been a lot harder to come by. In fact, the Cardinals are averaging only 20.6 per game, a very significant dropoff. The Cardinals did return seven defensive starters though. While the defense hasn't been great - it hasn't been completely terrible either. Last time out, the Cardinals lost 20-17. It was the fourth straight game that they allowed 31 points or less. Three of those four games finished below the total with all three of those games finishing with 48 points or less. Like the Huskies, the Cardinals will be running the ball frequently, which should help to keep the clock moving. I expect them to find the going pretty tough though and look for the UNDER to improve to 6-1 the last seven times that the Huskies played a home game with a total in the 42.5 to 49 range. *7 Roast
**75% YTD** Thurs. TOTAL ROAST! (3:00 PST)
Game: Ball St. vs. Northern Illinois
Pick: UNDER 46.5,NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES -vs-Ball State Cardinals
Reason: I'm playing on Ball State and Northern Illinois to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies won big last week. That game saw the final score of 50-6 finish well above the posted total. While that result has helped to keep today's number relatively high, I'm expecting the Huskies to score significantly fewer points and for a much lower final combined score overall. Prior to last week's offensive explosion, the Huskies had scored 27 or less in three straight games and they'd seen three of their previous four games finish below the total. All four of those games finished with less than 50 combined points. Including last week, the Huskies are allowing an average of only 12 points over their last five games and an average of only 6.33 points over their last three home games. They play tough defense and like to pound the ball on the ground. While that led to an 'over' last week, that type of playing style has seen the Huskies go a profitable 41-21 to the UNDER their last 62 games with a total, excluding 'pushes.' Ball State had a great team last year and scored a lot of points. Indeed, the Cardinals started the season with a perfect 12-0 record (finished 12-2) and they averaged a whopping 34.9 points per game. This year's team lost its QB, three of its top four receivers and four starters along the offensive line. Not surprisingly, points have been a lot harder to come by. In fact, the Cardinals are averaging only 20.6 per game, a very significant dropoff. The Cardinals did return seven defensive starters though. While the defense hasn't been great - it hasn't been completely terrible either. Last time out, the Cardinals lost 20-17. It was the fourth straight game that they allowed 31 points or less. Three of those four games finished below the total with all three of those games finishing with 48 points or less. Like the Huskies, the Cardinals will be running the ball frequently, which should help to keep the clock moving. I expect them to find the going pretty tough though and look for the UNDER to improve to 6-1 the last seven times that the Huskies played a home game with a total in the 42.5 to 49 range. *7 Roast
Steven Budin-CEO
Thursday's Play
NEW YORK CREW
25 DIME RELEASE
San Francisco
Note: As I release this play around 4 Eastern on Wednesday, there are more 3's than 3 1/2's both in Vegas and offshore. In either case, I would absolutely buy down to -2 1/2 or 3. And if this line inches up and you're saddled with -4 - even after shopping for the best price - go ahead and buy down the half-point to -3 1/2 on the Niners.
Thursday's Play
NEW YORK CREW
25 DIME RELEASE
San Francisco
Note: As I release this play around 4 Eastern on Wednesday, there are more 3's than 3 1/2's both in Vegas and offshore. In either case, I would absolutely buy down to -2 1/2 or 3. And if this line inches up and you're saddled with -4 - even after shopping for the best price - go ahead and buy down the half-point to -3 1/2 on the Niners.
Denver Money's NHL Thursday 11/12
We got another sweep yesterday and picked up 6.00 units with the sweep. I just love today's NHL card and really had to keep myself from making a play on every game today! But we still have our largest card of the year so far with 6 plays in all. Best of luck if you fade or follow:
3* Ottawa / Philadelphia OVER 5.5 -120
2* Montreal / Phoenix OVER 5.5 +120
1* Montreal +120
1* New Jersey +105
1* New Jersey / Pittsburgh UNDER 5.5 -145
1* New York -170
We got another sweep yesterday and picked up 6.00 units with the sweep. I just love today's NHL card and really had to keep myself from making a play on every game today! But we still have our largest card of the year so far with 6 plays in all. Best of luck if you fade or follow:
3* Ottawa / Philadelphia OVER 5.5 -120
2* Montreal / Phoenix OVER 5.5 +120
1* Montreal +120
1* New Jersey +105
1* New Jersey / Pittsburgh UNDER 5.5 -145
1* New York -170
Thursday college System Club Play GC-
On Thursday night the system club play is on Bowling Green. Game 107 at 6:00 eastern. Bowling Green is a solid 11- 3 vs losing teams,including 8-2 on the road. In weeks 10 through 13 the Falcons check in at 7-1. Miami Ohio is in the midst of a terrible season and is 2-9 vs losing teams. Look for Bowling Green to hand them another loss here tonight, in this weekday MAC conference game. Those looking for a Thursday night bomb. Consider a 21-2 system play in the Thursday night NFL game and a solid 90% system in the early TNT NBA game which features the Cavs and Heat. Dont miss these two Power house plays. Jump on and cash out now. For the College play take Bowling Green. bol GC
On Thursday night the system club play is on Bowling Green. Game 107 at 6:00 eastern. Bowling Green is a solid 11- 3 vs losing teams,including 8-2 on the road. In weeks 10 through 13 the Falcons check in at 7-1. Miami Ohio is in the midst of a terrible season and is 2-9 vs losing teams. Look for Bowling Green to hand them another loss here tonight, in this weekday MAC conference game. Those looking for a Thursday night bomb. Consider a 21-2 system play in the Thursday night NFL game and a solid 90% system in the early TNT NBA game which features the Cavs and Heat. Dont miss these two Power house plays. Jump on and cash out now. For the College play take Bowling Green. bol GC
Gary Olshan
Bears at 49ers
Pick: 49ers -3
Expect SF to snap its 4-game losing streak vs. a Chicago team, whose defense has slipped dramatically this season. Expect Alex Smith and his supporting cast to burn a Bear defense licking its wounds after allowing 41 pts. vs. Arizona last week. 49er WR Crabtree and TE Davis should have big games vs. hurting Bear secondary.
Bears at 49ers
Pick: 49ers -3
Expect SF to snap its 4-game losing streak vs. a Chicago team, whose defense has slipped dramatically this season. Expect Alex Smith and his supporting cast to burn a Bear defense licking its wounds after allowing 41 pts. vs. Arizona last week. 49er WR Crabtree and TE Davis should have big games vs. hurting Bear secondary.
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W is eg uy B ears/49 ers Th ursd ay Ni gh t S LAUG HT ER on C hic ago B ea rs +3(+112 at 5dimes)
We'll take the points here Thursday as the Bears travel to San Francisco to take on a 49ers' team that has lost 4 straight games. Chicago is sitting at 4-4 and still has a shot to finish the season strong and catch a wild card spot, while San Francisco at 3-5 doesn't have a whole lot to play for as they enter the second half of the season. What seemed to be one of the best defenses in the league to start the season, the 49ers' stop unit has been absolutely torched in their last 4 games. With starting CB's Nate Clements and Walt Harris out due to injury, teams have been able to move the ball through the air at will on this 49ers' secondary. They allowed 329 passing yards to Matt Ryan in a 10-45 home loss, 246 passing yards to Matt Schaub in a road loss, and 349 yards to Peyton Manning in another road loss. Tennessee beat them in a variety of different ways last week in a 27-34 home loss. A big reason they scored 34 points was due to 4 turnovers by this 49ers' offense, including 3 interceptions from Alex Smith. San Francisco is in shambles right now at the QB position. Smith makes more plays, but he also makes more mistakes. They have committed 11 turnovers in their last 4 games. Chicago has an opportunistic defense that has forced 2 or more turnovers in 5 of their last 7 games. Both teams are pretty evenly matched defensively, but the edge has to go to the Bears on offense. Chicago has a new-found passing game under Jay Cutler, as they throw for 242 passing yards/game. Cutler should have a field day against this 49ers' defense that allows 241 passing yards/game on the season, and whose pass defense has really been awful of late. Cutler will make more plays than Smith against a beat-up 49ers' secondary, and that will be the difference in this game. The Bears are a PERFECT 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Chicago gets a much-needed win Thursday to get back in the playoff hunt. Take the Bears and the points.
6* W ido w W is eg uy B ears/49 ers Th ursd ay Ni gh t S LAUG HT ER on C hic ago B ea rs +3(+112 at 5dimes)
We'll take the points here Thursday as the Bears travel to San Francisco to take on a 49ers' team that has lost 4 straight games. Chicago is sitting at 4-4 and still has a shot to finish the season strong and catch a wild card spot, while San Francisco at 3-5 doesn't have a whole lot to play for as they enter the second half of the season. What seemed to be one of the best defenses in the league to start the season, the 49ers' stop unit has been absolutely torched in their last 4 games. With starting CB's Nate Clements and Walt Harris out due to injury, teams have been able to move the ball through the air at will on this 49ers' secondary. They allowed 329 passing yards to Matt Ryan in a 10-45 home loss, 246 passing yards to Matt Schaub in a road loss, and 349 yards to Peyton Manning in another road loss. Tennessee beat them in a variety of different ways last week in a 27-34 home loss. A big reason they scored 34 points was due to 4 turnovers by this 49ers' offense, including 3 interceptions from Alex Smith. San Francisco is in shambles right now at the QB position. Smith makes more plays, but he also makes more mistakes. They have committed 11 turnovers in their last 4 games. Chicago has an opportunistic defense that has forced 2 or more turnovers in 5 of their last 7 games. Both teams are pretty evenly matched defensively, but the edge has to go to the Bears on offense. Chicago has a new-found passing game under Jay Cutler, as they throw for 242 passing yards/game. Cutler should have a field day against this 49ers' defense that allows 241 passing yards/game on the season, and whose pass defense has really been awful of late. Cutler will make more plays than Smith against a beat-up 49ers' secondary, and that will be the difference in this game. The Bears are a PERFECT 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Chicago gets a much-needed win Thursday to get back in the playoff hunt. Take the Bears and the points.
