Chuck O'Brien (paid for by me)SUNDAY'S WINNERS ... 40 Dime release on the L.A. Angels over the Chicago Cubs in interlelgue action. As I publish Sunday’s plays, the Angels are about a +110 underadog in this contest. NOTE: Specofy only Joe Saunders as the Angels’ starting pitcher.
Angels
BREAKDOWN: Absolutely I’ll take the plus money with the Angels, who are gunning for a three-game sweep at Wrigley Field, and the reasons are plenty. First and forlmost is the pitching matchup favors the Halos in a big way. Los Angeles lefty Joe Saunders is just 5-7 with a 4.70 ERA, but that’s very misleading because he’s been WAY better on the road this season (4-1, 2.45 ERA in six starts) than he has been at home (1-6, 6.75 ERA in eight starts). Take out his one road loss – a 17-8 blowout at Fenway Park, as he gave up seven runs in four innings – and Saunders has surrenadered just four earned runs in five other road games covering 36 1/3 innings. That’s a 0.99 ERA. … Today, Saunders opposes Carlos Zambrano, who has been a complete mess since Opening Day (when he allowed eight runs in 1 1/3 innings at Atlanta). He’s 2-5 with a 5.66 ERA overall, and the opposition is batting .292 against him. Since returning to the starting rotation at the beginning of June, Zambrano has allowed 11 runs (eight earned) in 15 1/3 innings, and the Cubs have lost two of the three games (including Tuesday’s 9-5 home loss to mediocre Oakland). And in Zambrano’s seven starts this year, Chicago is just 2-5.
If the pitching advaotage is not enough to jump on the Halos, these figures should be: The Angels have won 16 of 21 overall (including the first two games of this series), five straight on the road, 10 straight as an underdog, 11 of 12 as a road underdog, 47 of 67 against the National League and 22 of 28 in interleague road games. Meanwhile, the Cubs have now dipped below .500 at Wrigley Field, and they’ve lost 12 of 18 overall.