Service Plays Sunday 12/27/09

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12/27

NFL

2 unit Oakland +3
3 unit Houston +2 (best bet)
3 unit New Orleans -14 (best bet)
3 unit Ny Jets +4.5 (best bet)
4 unit Washington +7 (major)
5 unit Denver +7 (wiseguy)

CFB

3 unit Clemson -6.5 (best bet)
 
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LARRY NESS

REASON FOR PICK: My AFC GOM is on the NY Jets at 4.15 ET. Caldwell and the Colts say they aren't going to let up. That's all well and good but the fact is that they ARE likely to give some key players some rest and that the Jets ARE going to go all out for a victory. Caldwell had this to say: "The thing about this next game is how we're going to play depends on the health of our team and what it looks like. Now, the health of our team also could include getting them rested and ready as well. That's part of that, but it also may mean some injuries here or there. That may dictate some changes in the lineup." Jets coach Ryan speculated the following: "We're going to start with the injury report, obviously. "Manning, (Dallas) Clark, (Joseph) Addai, Reggie Wayne, (Dwight) Freeney, (Robert) Mathis, (Gary) Brackett - all those guys will not play." In reality, Ryan and the Jets aren't likely to be that fortunate. Still, they should give the Colts all they can handle and very possibly more. The Jets are off a tough loss but they're still a quality team and they're still very much alive in the race. The Jets have the league's top-rated rushing offense, which should give them an edge against a Colts rush defense which is ranked 16th. The Jets, who have limited opponents to a total of only 32 points over the last four games, are also tough on the other side of the ball, particuarly against the pass. In fact, New York has the top-ranked pass defense in the league. Five of the Colts last eight games were decided by four or less and the Jets have only lost one of their last 10 by more than five. Grab the points. *10

REASON FOR PICK: My Blowout GOW is on Philadelphia at 4:15 ET. The Broncos were a great story early in the year. As the saying goes, that was then, this is now. With last week's home loss to the Raiders, this is a team that has now lost two in a row and six of their last eight. Those six losses came by an average of 15.5 points. Other than last week's 1-point setback vs. the Raiders, all five losses came by double-digits. If the Broncos couldn't win a home game vs. the Raiders, there chances of winning at Philadelphia are slim indeed. The Eagles, 15-5 their last 20 December home games, have won five straight overall, covering each of the last three. They won those three games by an average margin of 35.3 to 19.3. Their last three December home games (1 this year, 2 last year) have resulted in scores of 30-10, 44-6 and 27-13. The Broncos running attack has stalled in recent weeks and they'll be without receiver Eddie Royal. The Broncos need this game to stay alive in the playoff race. The Eagles need it too though, as a win here puts them in the driver's seat for the NFC East title and keeps them alive for the #2 overall seed in the NFC. The return of Dawkins and to a lesser extent Buckhalter may provide Denver with an emotional boost to begin the game. It won't be enough though. Andy Reid noted: "Our team understands that we're not playing Buck and Dawk, but we're playing the Denver Broncos. They know that they need to study the team as opposed to studying those two players and that's what they are going to do." The Eagles are currently better on both sides of the ball. They've got the much better QB, the better coach and they're playing at home. Line has dropped providing extra value. This should be one-sided. *8 Philadelphia

REASON FOR PICK: My AFC GOM is on the NY Jets at 4.15 ET. Caldwell and the Colts say they aren't going to let up. That's all well and good but the fact is that they ARE likely to give some key players some rest and that the Jets ARE going to go all out for a victory. Caldwell had this to say: "The thing about this next game is how we're going to play depends on the health of our team and what it looks like. Now, the health of our team also could include getting them rested and ready as well. That's part of that, but it also may mean some injuries here or there. That may dictate some changes in the lineup." Jets coach Ryan speculated the following: "We're going to start with the injury report, obviously. "Manning, (Dallas) Clark, (Joseph) Addai, Reggie Wayne, (Dwight) Freeney, (Robert) Mathis, (Gary) Brackett - all those guys will not play." In reality, Ryan and the Jets aren't likely to be that fortunate. Still, they should give the Colts all they can handle and very possibly more. The Jets are off a tough loss but they're still a quality team and they're still very much alive in the race. The Jets have the league's top-rated rushing offense, which should give them an edge against a Colts rush defense which is ranked 16th. The Jets, who have limited opponents to a total of only 32 points over the last four games, are also tough on the other side of the ball, particuarly against the pass. In fact, New York has the top-ranked pass defense in the league. Five of the Colts last eight games were decided by four or less and the Jets have only lost one of their last 10 by more than five. Grab the points. *10

REASON FOR PICK: My #1 NFC East total is on Was/Dal Under at 8:20 ET. The Redskins are off an awful defensive performance on National TV last Monday. That has stuck in the memories of bettors which has worked to help keep tonight's number generously high. The current number is even slightly larger than it was for the earlier meeting. That earlier meeting wasn't exactly a shootout. The score was 3-0 at halftime and the final was 7-6. That was at Dallas but the previous meeting here at Washington was also of the low-scoring variety. The final score was 14-10 in favor of the Redsksins. The 2007 game here at Washington, also played in late December, finished with 33 points, a 27-6 win by the home team. As bad as the Redskins looked last week and have been this season, their defense has been largely respectable. Before last week's debacle, they'd only allowed 18.5 points per game at home. The problem has been the offense. The Skins are scoring only 16.7 points per game at home and 15.2 in their divisional games. Things won't get any easier against a Dallas defense that is clicking on all cylinders. The Cowboys have held six of their last seven opponents to 20 points or less. That includes high-scoring teams like Philadelphia, Green Bay, San Diego and New Orleans! Six of their last seven have dipped below the number. Looking at a couple of other o/u stats finds that the Under has gone 6-1 the last few years when Dallas has played against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Also, the Under has gone 10-4 the last 14 times that the Redskins were playing with revenge from an earlier loss and 10-4 when they were home dogs in 3.5 to 7 range. *10 Under
 
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Greg Shaker | NFL Side Sun, 12/27/09 - 1:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 115 TAM 14.0 (-110) bodog vs 116 NOS
Analysis: NFL: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay +14 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 12/27/2009




Greg Shaker | NFL Total Sun, 12/27/09 - 1:00 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 119 BAL / 120 PIT Over 43.0 bodog
Analysis: NFL: Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers - Over 43 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 12/27/2009

Greg Shaker | NFL Total Sun, 12/27/09 - 1:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 111 HOU / 112 MIA Over 45.5 bodog
Analysis: NFL: Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins - Over 45.5 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 12/27/2009
 
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here some plays from yhe nt wise guys hitting 72% in football take sea take oak take kc also car under tb under ne under sf under jets +pts and under also wash under bet them
Im assuming thats NYwiseguys! Is this legit?
 

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Bill hilton gameday sports
***rare 5 star play****
#114 ny giants -7.5
2*pittsburgh-3
2* philly -7
1* kentucky+7
 

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Ras

RAS- Sac St +5.5

This is what I played and it Should be his play!
Someone can Confirm this.
 
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Bettorsworld


3* Ravens +3 over Steelers

Hope everyone had a great holiday. We'll be sending out some bowl plays this coming week and we are also really looking forward to this years NFL playoffs.

Wish we had more time to write up this Ravens play but we're under the gun here. We simply feel the Ravens are the better team here and the numbers both season to date and more specifically over the last 6 weeks show it. One team, the Ravens, is putting up playoff like numbers while the other, the Steelers, well, they aren't. Yards per point numbers for the Ravens over the last 6 weeks are 14.5 on offense and a whopping 22.9 on the defensive side of the ball. The Steelers number offensively is 18.2 and defensively it's 14.

Yeah, when these two tangle it's always a war and the Steelers have had the upper hand at home going 8-2 at Heinz field but this Steelers team is not even on the same planet as Steelers teams of the past.

If you're a teaser player, consider using the Ravens as one of your teams today as well.
 
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Doug Williams

Oakland Raiders +3 @ Cleveland Browns -3
Oakland Raiders to Cover +3

Carolina Panthers +7 @ New York Giants -7
New York Giants to Cover -7

Seattle Seahawks +14 @ Green Bay Packers -14
Green Bay Packers -14
 
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MONTE WINS
Monte's biggest plays are normally 300*-500*
Full Monte Max Out NFL Sunday

2000* SYNDICATE MAX OUT - RAVENS +3

I am backing the Baltimore Ravens as my Sunday NFL 2000* Syndicate Max Out Selection. I am basically betting against the Steelers in this spot .Pittsburgh won on a Miracle/Lucky play on the last play of the game to beat the Packers last week. The Steelers were very close to having lost 6 straight games. However they prevailed against the Packers and somehow still have playoff hopes. They have a Huge game Today against the Ravens and Frankly I feel Pittsburgh has no shot of Winning this game! You don't lose 5 straight games in the NFL on bad luck, your just a bad team and that's what Pittsburgh is! The Steelers have lost to some terrible teams, Cleveland, Oakland and Kansas City. The Steelers defense has banged up and the Ravens can exploit that! I expect the Ravens Ray Rice to have a huge game! The Ravens have scored 79 points in their last 2 games and are playing some good offensive football. This game also falls into a System that I have used with success over the last 3 years. The Steelers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 1/2 to 3 Points & 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 1/2 to 3 Points! Let's also make a note that the Ravens are 6-2 ATS as Dog's of 1/2 to 3 Points in their last 8 games in that situation. Let's Grab the 3 Points and Make this our 2000* Syndicate Max Out - Ravens +3

2000* MAX OUT TEASER
2 Teams - 7 points
GIANTS -2 & NEW ENGLAND -3

1000* SYNDICATE - REDSKINS +7
I am backing the Redskins as my Sunday Night 1000* Syndicate Selection. I will make this short and Sweet! Dallas Beats the Saints Pretty Bad on National TV & the Giants "Man-Handle" the Redskins on Monday Night Football. Now they very Next Week the Cowboys on Extra Rest play the Redskins on short rest! So it's that Simple to make money betting the NFL in December right? DEAD WRONG! That line has sat at 7 points with 80% of the Public hammering Dallas. Here are the Facts, Dallas should be flat after defeating the previously undefeated Saints and by the way, Dallas Still Sucks in December! Redskins were embarrassed on National TV! They have to man up now and play for respect on National TV again. I am sure there were some fired up Washington veterans after Monday's game. This is a Trap game for the Cowboys Bettors, Don't get Sucked in! Let's take the Home Dog Redskins tonight! 1000* Syndicate - Redskins +7
 
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POINT TRAIN
NFL GOY - NY Giants (-7) over Carolina - 122709

10-Unit NFL GAME OF THE YEAR
NY Giants (-7) over Carolina
Sunday, December 27 – 12:00 PM CST
New York is on the outside looking in at a playoff spot right now. They are one game behind the Cowboys and Packers with two games to play. Since their bye week in mid-November, the Giants are 3-2, losing closely to the Broncos and the Eagles. They got a huge win against the Redskins on Monday night in their last game. They need this win to stay in contention and they get the Panthers in a let-down situation here on the road. Go with the Giants to win big.

Carolina defeated the Vikings last week at home, 26-7. They were losing 7-6 in the 4th quarter before piling on 20 points late. That win puts them in a good situation to bet-against. They would’ve likely been a double digit underdog had they lost to the Vikings, now they are just a 7 point dog on the road against a playoff battling team. They’ve had their share of problems on the road. They’ve lost three straight on the road by an average of 10.3 PPG (no games were within 7 points). They are going to be without starting QB Delhomme and back-up Matt Moore (who started last week) is nursing an injured shoulder but is likely to play. Starting RB DeAngelo Williams is also out so backup Jonathon Stewart will get the majority of the carries.
Carolina has the 26th ranked rush defense in the NFL. That will prove to be costly against the Giants, who boast two starting caliber backs; Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. Jacobs has 834 yards and 5 touchdowns while Bradshaw has rushed for 712 and 7 touchdowns. If Carolina manages to slow down their running attack, then we have strong faith that Eli Manning will take over with his bevy of receiving weapons. If it weren’t for Eli’s brother, Peyton, Eli would have a strong case for MVP this season. He’s completing over 60% of his passes for 3584 yards with 26 touchdowns and just 11 picks.
Carolina is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. New York is 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win. The favorite in this series is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and we expect these trends to continue. Go with New York.
 
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SCOTT RICKENBACH

Players NFL 8* Sunday OVER in Pit on Dec 27th
Scott Rickenbach’s NFL 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Pittsburgh vs Baltimore @ 1:00 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

Play OVER the total in Pittsburgh as an 8* Regular Play selection.




Players NFL 10* Top Play GOM on NY JETS on Dec 27th
Scott Rickenbach’s NFL 10* (TOP PLAY) New York Jets (+) @ Indianapolis @ 4:15 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

Play the New York Jets plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
 
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Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 41-38 -2.70% Not counting Friday night win

3% SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 47.5 W
3% GREEN BAY -14 No higher than -14
3% CINCINNATI -13 Only less than -14
3% NY GIANTS -7
3% NEW ENGLAND -7.5
3% SAN FRANCISCO -12.5
 

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SuperSportsGroup

Music City Bowl 8:30pm
Interessing game and matchup in this game. Kentucky has been pretty quiet this season and come to the Bowls with a 7-5 record but a 3-1 road record. Clemson comes in with an 8-5 record and 2-3 road record. Not too impressive for this team that has looked good all year. This is a tough game especially considering that Kentucky plays Clemson tough every time they meet. We are gonna lay the points here since we like this Clemson team and think they really get some revenge on Kentucky
PICK: Clemson -6.5 Game (8*)
 

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SuperSportsGroup

Music City Bowl 8:30pm
Interessing game and matchup in this game. Kentucky has been pretty quiet this season and come to the Bowls with a 7-5 record but a 3-1 road record. Clemson comes in with an 8-5 record and 2-3 road record. Not too impressive for this team that has looked good all year. This is a tough game especially considering that Kentucky plays Clemson tough every time they meet. We are gonna lay the points here since we like this Clemson team and think they really get some revenge on Kentucky
PICK: Clemson -6.5 Game (8*)


NCAAB
Valparaiso v. Akron 2pmVal comes in to this game as a 1-7 on the road record against Akron who is 6-1 at home. Both these teams are averaging around 73 points per game. We see the UNDER as the best play here but also will be taking the points with Val.
PICK: UNDER 145.5 Game (8*)
PICK: Val +6 1H (5*)

PICK: Val +10.5 Game (5*)

San Fran v. Washington 3pm

PICK: UNDER 148 Game (7*)

Austin Peay v. Missouri 3PM

PICK: Missouri -20 Game (9*) Best Bet of the day


3 team parlay for 1* pays 6*

UNDER Missouri 149.5 Game
UNDER 131.5 UConn Game
Sacramento St +5.5 Game



NBA
Detroit v. Toronto 1pm
OK so looking at this game, the one thing that stands out is why is the line so low? Toronto at home should be at least a 7-8 point favorite here over a Detroit team that they have beaten pretty big the last few meetings. Why is this line so low then might we ask. They only conclusion is that this is a trap game. We will take a chance here with Detroit based solely on the fact that this line doesnt make sense and 95% of the public looks like they are on Toronto right now.
PICK: Detroit +3 Game (6*)

Houston v. Cleveland 6pm

Well we missed on our Houston pick last night over the Nets but once again, Houston as an 8 point dog is just too tempting for us to refuse. Looking at the previous matchups between these two teams, the Rockets have hung in tough. We will take our chances here and hope Cleveland is tired from a long roadtrip over the past week.
PICK: Houston +8 Game (9*) Best Bet of the day
PICK: UNDER 191.5 Game (5*)


San Antonio v. NY 6pm

This once again is another game that just is fishy. The Spurs who started a road trip with a 15 poitnt win over the Bucks yesterday now are 3 point favs at NY? Can NY really match up to the talent of the Spurs? We just dont see this line making any sense. We also dont like the fact that 85% of the public is on the Spurs. WE will take our chances with NY in this one.
PICK: Knicks +3 Game (7*)

Dallas v. Denver 8pm

PICK: OVER 106 1H (8*)
PICK: Denver -6.5 Game (6*)
 
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DAve Tuley

NFL FOOTBALL (68-47-2, 59.1%, this season for a net profit of 15.4 units)
Raiders +3.5 vs. Browns...kept as official play though didn't use in all contests, +3 EV this available
*Texans +3 vs. Dolphins...hope you grabbed +3 as suggested, down to +1.5 this morning
*Panthers +8 vs. Giants...I thought this would be more likely to drop but now grab at least +8
*Buccaneers +14.5 vs. Saints...anti-swagger play vs. Saints, PLUS Bucs playing better...hope you grabbed +14.5, +14 OK
*Jaguars +10 vs. Patriots...I was hoping for +8 here, but it's steamed to +10, me likee
*Ravens +3 -120 vs. Steelers...we've got the +3 though it comes with some juice...gonna see if it goes -3 -110 this morning

* Hilton Plays
 
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34paytonplace

(Top play 11-3-1 +117.5units)

(YTD +27.8units)

Well guys we had another good week last week and we had a nice winner friday nite with the chargers so lets get to this weeks winners......

5unit- Bills/Falcons over 40.5

Both these teams struggled on offense last week the falcons should have a great day running the ball against this bills run defense and owens could have a nice game against this falcons secondary.......

5unit- Eagles -7

The eagles really playing well and to make matters worse for there opponents they are getting back westbrook this week and the eagles were my preseason super bowl pick....All that broncos hoopla to start the season all that kyle orton talk has started to die down and if the broncos do not win here then they maybe left out of the playoffs again just like seasons past quick start only to fade......

8unit- Jets/Colts under 40.5

The jets still have hopes for the playoffs and the colts are trying to go undefeated coach ryan will have that defense ready again but just like last week there just is not enough offense.....But revis is a stud!!!

8unit- Oakland +3

Wow the browns are favored thank you i will take the raiders......

10unit- New england -9.5

The patriots at times have not looked sharp but alot has to do with the pressure put on brady by there opponents and those secondaries bracketing moss and welker forcing brady to throw the ball other places.......Well good news besides the jags being ranked #27 verus the pass the jags have no pass rush to speak of and once up 2 or 3 scores then mjd will be taken out of the game as well.....

15unit- Miami -1 (Top play)

I waited to get the line i wanted here as money is coming in on houston and really not sure why the texans are ranked #17 against the rush they have injuries on that offense and they really struggled last week on the road at st.louis and i love the heart that miami shows week in and week out......But the key thing here for me is that the texans have really struggled against strong running teams the jets ran for 190 yards the jags ran for 184 yards and the titans ran for 240 and 228 yards against them and all 3 of those teams are in the top ten running the football and now they face miami on the road fighting for a playoff spot and the dolphins are the #4 rushing team.......So lets back miami minus the short number at home as our top play here!!!!!!!!
 

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