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25* AFC North Total of the Year is on Over 42 in Baltimore / Pittsburgh Game.
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Despite plenty of evidence to the contrary, the oddsmakers are treating this rivalry as if both teams were still defensive stalwarts. They are anything but. Both have "good" defenses to be sure, but no longer really top five caliber thanks to injuries. It just cannot be overstated how much the loss of Safety Troy Polamalu hurt the Steelers. With him in the lineup, they are 4-1 straight up with 10 takeaways. Without him, they are 3-6 SU with just six takeaways. They rank just 10th in points allowed after being first in that category last season. Last week, they were carved up by Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay to the tune of 36 points and 436 yards. Baltimore's defense commits an ungodly amount of pass interference penalties, which of course puts the opposition in good position to score. It also bears mentioning how prolific both teams offenses are. Both average 21 first downs per game. Pittsburgh is now a passing team. They have over 600 passing yards the L2 wks compared to just 140 yards on the ground. The same can be said of the Ravens, as they throw the ball 57.7% of the time compared to just 44% last year. Eight of the last nine meetings here in the Steel City have gone Over. Baltimore is 13-4 Over as a road underdog.
Confirmed.