Larry Ness' Week 10 Las Vegas Insider-NFL (7-1 or 87.5 percent ATS this year!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Min Vikings at 1:00 ET. Las Vegas Insider on the Min Vikings.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner-NFL Total (75 percent FB run!)
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on NO/Atl Over at 1:00 ET. Weekend Wipeout Winner NO/Atl Over.
Good Luck...Larry
<!-- / message -->
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Min Vikings at 1:00 ET. Las Vegas Insider on the Min Vikings.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Weekend Wipeout Winner-NFL Total (75 percent FB run!)
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on NO/Atl Over at 1:00 ET. Weekend Wipeout Winner NO/Atl Over.
Good Luck...Larry
<!-- / message -->
Last edited:
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Norm Hitzges
Double Plays
Green Bay +2.5 vs Minnesota
Philadelphia -3 vs NY Giants
Single Plays
Carolina -9.5 vs Oakland
Miami -8.5 vs Seattle
St. Louis +9 vs NY Jets
Arizona -9.5 vs San Francisco
Arizona/San Francisco Over
Miami/Seattle Over
Carolina/Oakland Under
New Orleans/Atlanta Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Double Plays
Green Bay +2.5 vs Minnesota
Philadelphia -3 vs NY Giants
Single Plays
Carolina -9.5 vs Oakland
Miami -8.5 vs Seattle
St. Louis +9 vs NY Jets
Arizona -9.5 vs San Francisco
Arizona/San Francisco Over
Miami/Seattle Over
Carolina/Oakland Under
New Orleans/Atlanta Over
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
MR A
Sunday, November 9, 2008
Time Game Selections
1:00 p.m. Tennessee at Chicago Tennessee Titans -3
1:00 p.m. Jacksonville at Detroit Jacksonville Jaguars -6½
1:00 p.m. Cincinnati at Houston Houston Texans -1½
1:00 p.m. Buffalo at New England New England Patriots -3½
1:00 p.m. New Orleans at Atlanta Atlanta Falcons -1
1:00 p.m. Seattle at Miami Miami Dolphins -9
1:00 p.m. Green Bay at Minnesota Minnesota Vikings -2
1:00 p.m. St. Louis at NY Jets New York Jets -8
4:05 p.m. Carolina at Oakland Carolina Panthers -9
4:15 p.m. Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Steelers -3
4:15 p.m. Kansas City at San Diego San Diego Chargers -15
8:15 p.m. NY Giants at Philadelphia New York Giants +3
Sunday, November 9, 2008
Time Game Selections
1:00 p.m. Tennessee at Chicago Tennessee Titans -3
1:00 p.m. Jacksonville at Detroit Jacksonville Jaguars -6½
1:00 p.m. Cincinnati at Houston Houston Texans -1½
1:00 p.m. Buffalo at New England New England Patriots -3½
1:00 p.m. New Orleans at Atlanta Atlanta Falcons -1
1:00 p.m. Seattle at Miami Miami Dolphins -9
1:00 p.m. Green Bay at Minnesota Minnesota Vikings -2
1:00 p.m. St. Louis at NY Jets New York Jets -8
4:05 p.m. Carolina at Oakland Carolina Panthers -9
4:15 p.m. Indianapolis at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Steelers -3
4:15 p.m. Kansas City at San Diego San Diego Chargers -15
8:15 p.m. NY Giants at Philadelphia New York Giants +3
Brian Gabrielle ....NASCAR
Last Week: What's that I said last week about cookie-cutter races not paying off big, but paying off? Very predictably, Carl Edwards followed up his Atlanta win two weeks ago with a victory at the eminently similar track in Texas, giving us a win but only delivering on +350 odds. That's all right, we'll take it. For the week, that meant a 50% profit: we netted 0.25 units on 0.5 units wagered. For the season, we've profited 5.53 units on 38.5 units wagered, a return of 14.4%. We've also given you a winning week in 24 of 33 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have won 1.5 units on three units wagered; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 19.73 units on 121 units wagered, a return of 16.3%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)
Take Denny Hamlin (+900), 1/6th unit. Hamlin would've won here in the spring had Jimmie Johnson and Clint Bowyer (+1800) not been able to make the checkers on fumes; Hamlin did have the fastest car by race's end. And that's not the first time that's happened to him at Phoenix. He drives really well at the flatter tracks in the Car of Tomorrow, and while the No. 11 team has been ice cold, I think Hamlin has one more good run in him, this week at the flat track in the desert.
Take Jimmie Johnson (+450), 1/6th unit. If I have to place a bet on one of the two title contenders at Phoenix International Raceway, I'm taking Johnson over Carl Edwards (+500). There's no question, Edwards has it in him to register a top 10 on Sunday, but I just don't like the Roush flat-track program enough to wager on him. Instead, I'll take J.J., who may play it an eensy bit safe Sunday, making sure he doesn't go a lap down early again (as he's done each of the past two weeks), but who is a true dominator at the flat tracks in the COT.
Take Jeff Gordon (+1500), 1/6th unit. How the mighty have fallen. I can't say I recall Gordon's odds being this long at any point in the past few years. The fact is, though, that he's got the second-best finishing average at the Phoenix track type over the past two years (since the COT has been in effect). He only finished 13th here back in April, which doesn't do much for me, but he finished second and fourth at Martinsville this year, plus had two other top-10 finishes at the flattish shorter track in Richmond. I'll give the oddsmakers this: it is relatively unlikely that Gordon gets it done Sunday. Still, at this price, I think it's worth the chance.
Last Week: What's that I said last week about cookie-cutter races not paying off big, but paying off? Very predictably, Carl Edwards followed up his Atlanta win two weeks ago with a victory at the eminently similar track in Texas, giving us a win but only delivering on +350 odds. That's all right, we'll take it. For the week, that meant a 50% profit: we netted 0.25 units on 0.5 units wagered. For the season, we've profited 5.53 units on 38.5 units wagered, a return of 14.4%. We've also given you a winning week in 24 of 33 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have won 1.5 units on three units wagered; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 19.73 units on 121 units wagered, a return of 16.3%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)
Take Denny Hamlin (+900), 1/6th unit. Hamlin would've won here in the spring had Jimmie Johnson and Clint Bowyer (+1800) not been able to make the checkers on fumes; Hamlin did have the fastest car by race's end. And that's not the first time that's happened to him at Phoenix. He drives really well at the flatter tracks in the Car of Tomorrow, and while the No. 11 team has been ice cold, I think Hamlin has one more good run in him, this week at the flat track in the desert.
Take Jimmie Johnson (+450), 1/6th unit. If I have to place a bet on one of the two title contenders at Phoenix International Raceway, I'm taking Johnson over Carl Edwards (+500). There's no question, Edwards has it in him to register a top 10 on Sunday, but I just don't like the Roush flat-track program enough to wager on him. Instead, I'll take J.J., who may play it an eensy bit safe Sunday, making sure he doesn't go a lap down early again (as he's done each of the past two weeks), but who is a true dominator at the flat tracks in the COT.
Take Jeff Gordon (+1500), 1/6th unit. How the mighty have fallen. I can't say I recall Gordon's odds being this long at any point in the past few years. The fact is, though, that he's got the second-best finishing average at the Phoenix track type over the past two years (since the COT has been in effect). He only finished 13th here back in April, which doesn't do much for me, but he finished second and fourth at Martinsville this year, plus had two other top-10 finishes at the flattish shorter track in Richmond. I'll give the oddsmakers this: it is relatively unlikely that Gordon gets it done Sunday. Still, at this price, I think it's worth the chance.
NFL Winner from Advantage Plays
Of course, we know that double digit underdogs are 11-1-1 against the spread this year with four straight up wins. And we also know that laying points with a bad defense is suicide at doubles. Ok, let me explain why... the Chargers came home from London and did the smartest thing they could, fire Ted Cottrell from his defensive coordinator position. People in Minneapolis are asking how he got hired in the first place, since he ruined their defense a couple of years ago. What had changed was the attacking style that was so successful in past years to a more "read and react" type that handcuffed the corners and linebackers. Even with Merriman in the lineup, he was asked to cover backs and wideouts instead of playing the pass rushing, aggressive format. Cottrell's replacement, Ron Rivera, was a linebacker in the Bears defense under Buddy Ryan and Mike Ditka and is committed to bringing pressure all day. Why does this matter?
Because the poor Chiefs just played two back-breaking games that they lost in the final moments, with last week's game at home against a weak offensive team in Tampa Bay that made their rookie corners look really bad down the stretch. Now they have to travel and face an angry team, off a bye in a division game with a new defensive coordinator that can figure out what Tyler Thigpen was doing in the spread offense at Coastal Carolina. That is what Herm Edwards and his staff have done to give Thigpen more comfort, change the O to suit his game. Fine enough, but they still bring rookie corners and a serious lack of a pass rush to this event, and with two weeks off I am looking for the Bubble Burst Effect" to take over here. Kansas City blew their load at home last week, and with a new DC and scheme approach in place, the Chargers offense will work with short fields and open lanes al day. Even if KC gets to 20 (tough to expect as they have yet to reach 21 in 13 of the past sixteen games), the Chargers will still cover this number. I will risk bucking the trends and face the reality of these two teams in current form. Two weeks to prepare is a great advantage, especially facing a rebuilding team off two straight bad losses. Time to buck the trends.
Chargers 40, Chiefs 13.
It would be sweet if someone could find Advantage Plays 3 other plays. This guy has been really good so far this year
Of course, we know that double digit underdogs are 11-1-1 against the spread this year with four straight up wins. And we also know that laying points with a bad defense is suicide at doubles. Ok, let me explain why... the Chargers came home from London and did the smartest thing they could, fire Ted Cottrell from his defensive coordinator position. People in Minneapolis are asking how he got hired in the first place, since he ruined their defense a couple of years ago. What had changed was the attacking style that was so successful in past years to a more "read and react" type that handcuffed the corners and linebackers. Even with Merriman in the lineup, he was asked to cover backs and wideouts instead of playing the pass rushing, aggressive format. Cottrell's replacement, Ron Rivera, was a linebacker in the Bears defense under Buddy Ryan and Mike Ditka and is committed to bringing pressure all day. Why does this matter?
Because the poor Chiefs just played two back-breaking games that they lost in the final moments, with last week's game at home against a weak offensive team in Tampa Bay that made their rookie corners look really bad down the stretch. Now they have to travel and face an angry team, off a bye in a division game with a new defensive coordinator that can figure out what Tyler Thigpen was doing in the spread offense at Coastal Carolina. That is what Herm Edwards and his staff have done to give Thigpen more comfort, change the O to suit his game. Fine enough, but they still bring rookie corners and a serious lack of a pass rush to this event, and with two weeks off I am looking for the Bubble Burst Effect" to take over here. Kansas City blew their load at home last week, and with a new DC and scheme approach in place, the Chargers offense will work with short fields and open lanes al day. Even if KC gets to 20 (tough to expect as they have yet to reach 21 in 13 of the past sixteen games), the Chargers will still cover this number. I will risk bucking the trends and face the reality of these two teams in current form. Two weeks to prepare is a great advantage, especially facing a rebuilding team off two straight bad losses. Time to buck the trends.
Chargers 40, Chiefs 13.
It would be sweet if someone could find Advantage Plays 3 other plays. This guy has been really good so far this year
** NFL NEWSLETTERS **
HOT
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT GOW (5-2)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT INSIDE INFO GOW (4-1)...
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (6-1)... SD
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (3-0)...
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (4-2-1).. ST LOU
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (4-2).. NY GIANTS
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-0)..MINNY
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (11-4) ...
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (13-7-1)...PHLLY...BALTY
COLD
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (2-6)... KC
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (4-9),,,, CLEVE ( L ) ... RAMS
LOGICAL APPROACH TOTALS (12-20)... Denver/Cleveland OVER 46 ...Tennessee/Chicago UNDER 39 ...New Orleans/Atlanta OVER 50 ..Carolina/Oakland UNDER 38 .....Indianapolis/Pittsburgh UNDER 41 ...San Francisco/Arizona OVER 47
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (17-27-1) ... JETS .... GB...PHLLY... SD
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (4-10-1),,,CAROLINA...GB
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (2-6-1).... BALT. HOUST OVER....SF/ARIZ OVER
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (5-9)...ST LOU ...SF
THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT AFC GOW (1-2)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT NFC GOW (2-0)...
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (5-4).. MIAMI
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (0-0)...
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (4-4).. DETROIT
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (1-0)...
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)...
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (2-1-1)...
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (2-2)... DET
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (1-1)... ATL
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (12-12).. JETS ...MINNY....BALTY
LOGICAL APPROACH MONEYLINE (12-11-1)..... CHICAGO.... MINNESOTA.... Indianapolis .....PHILADELPHIA
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (5-6)... PHILLY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (7-5)... CHICAGO
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (5-4)... RAIDERS
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (6-7-1).. SD
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (4-2-2)... TENN
POINTWISE 1* (0-0)...
POINTWISE 2* (2-3)...
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-0)
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (15-11-1)...Buffalo ....Kansas City Chiefs...Oakland Raiders
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (11-9-1).... NEW ORL ...BALTY
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (1-0).... SD
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (1-3)....
THE GOLD SHEET (14-13)....NEW ENG ....ATL...OVER JAX/DET
THE RED SHEET 89* (1-0)...
THE RED SHEET 90* (0-0)...
HOT
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT GOW (5-2)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT INSIDE INFO GOW (4-1)...
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (6-1)... SD
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (3-0)...
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (4-2-1).. ST LOU
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (4-2).. NY GIANTS
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-0)..MINNY
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (11-4) ...
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (13-7-1)...PHLLY...BALTY
COLD
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (2-6)... KC
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (4-9),,,, CLEVE ( L ) ... RAMS
LOGICAL APPROACH TOTALS (12-20)... Denver/Cleveland OVER 46 ...Tennessee/Chicago UNDER 39 ...New Orleans/Atlanta OVER 50 ..Carolina/Oakland UNDER 38 .....Indianapolis/Pittsburgh UNDER 41 ...San Francisco/Arizona OVER 47
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (17-27-1) ... JETS .... GB...PHLLY... SD
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (4-10-1),,,CAROLINA...GB
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (2-6-1).... BALT. HOUST OVER....SF/ARIZ OVER
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (5-9)...ST LOU ...SF
THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT AFC GOW (1-2)...
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT NFC GOW (2-0)...
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (5-4).. MIAMI
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (0-0)...
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (4-4).. DETROIT
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (1-0)...
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (0-0)...
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (2-1-1)...
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (2-2)... DET
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (1-1)... ATL
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (12-12).. JETS ...MINNY....BALTY
LOGICAL APPROACH MONEYLINE (12-11-1)..... CHICAGO.... MINNESOTA.... Indianapolis .....PHILADELPHIA
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (5-6)... PHILLY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (7-5)... CHICAGO
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (5-4)... RAIDERS
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (6-7-1).. SD
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (4-2-2)... TENN
POINTWISE 1* (0-0)...
POINTWISE 2* (2-3)...
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-0)
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (15-11-1)...Buffalo ....Kansas City Chiefs...Oakland Raiders
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (11-9-1).... NEW ORL ...BALTY
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (1-0).... SD
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (1-3)....
THE GOLD SHEET (14-13)....NEW ENG ....ATL...OVER JAX/DET
THE RED SHEET 89* (1-0)...
THE RED SHEET 90* (0-0)...
Randall the Handle
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
ATLANTA –1 over New Orleans SPORTSINTERACTION
Yeah, the Saints might have the league’s best QB and yeah, they’re coming off a bye week but this is a completely different team on the road then they are at home and that’s significant. In fact, aside from a game in London on a neutral field, the Saints have not won on the road this season, losing to Washington, Carolina and Denver. The Saints have been one of the worst road teams over the past 20 years and it’s just in their DNA to perform badly away from home. The Saints defense has allowed an alarming number of points and yards on the ground and it sure doesn’t help that starting end Charles Grant (33 tackles, 3 sacks) had to be placed on injured reserve (No Reggie bush either). How about a little respect for the Falcons, huh? They possess a deadly running game, they’re moving the ball very efficiently indeed and their defense is playing aggressively and effectively. The Falcons have yet to lose at home and in fact, their three losses came all on the road at Tampa Bay, Philly and Carolina and that’s a very tough trio by anyone’s standards. The Falcons should be able to run the ball with ease here and keep Drew Brees and company off the field for long stretches at a time. Also note that the Saints are very prone to mistakes, especially on the road and this week they could run into some more trouble as the team will go with its third kicker and punter this season in order to improve its brutal kicking game. You know that’s a disaster waiting to happen. With that in mind, I’ll gladly play against a team that has zero road wins vs a team with zero home losses. Play: Atlanta –1 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Buffalo +3½ over NEW ENGLAND SPORTSINTERACTION
Since opening the year 4-0 the Bills are just 1-3 since but that could easily be 3-1, as costly mistakes have done them in two weeks in a row. In a loss to Miami two weeks ago, the Bills were in a position to win that game but coughed it up late when they were driving for the winning score. They turned the ball over three times against the Jets last week and that did them in once again. Now their stock is way down but they’re a formidable foe against any team that has trouble moving the ball and the Patriots are definitely in that category. Outside of wins against arguably the two worst defenses in the business, San Fran and Denver, the Patriots have stayed under 20 points in every game. They scored 17 on the Chiefs, 19 on the Jets, 13 on the Dolphins, 10 on the Chargers and finally 15 on the Colts last week. In fact, it’s safe to say that this is the toughest defense they’ll face to date and if they can’t score on those aforementioned teams, how the hell are they going to rack up points against the defense they’ll face here? Hell, the Patriots do not have a notable win all year, as their victories have come against the Jets, KC, St. Louis (barely), Denver and San Fran. New England is an ugly 5-3 and they’ve absolutely played the NFL’s easiest schedule. Frankly, they haven’t shown me a damn thing to warrant trusting them as a 3½-point favorite over a quality team like the Bills. I’m calling the Bills outright but will accept the points because should the Bills score the first TD, this one will be in the bank. Play: Buffalo +3½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
MIAMI –8 over Seattle PINNACLE
Anyone who thinks that Bill Parcells is overrated or isn’t “all that” needs their head examined. Every team he touches turns to gold, as he accomplishes in one year what other GM’s or coaches can’t accomplish in five. Long ago, he turned the Giants, a team that is today’s equivalent of the Raiders, into monsters and they’ve been contenders ever since. He did the same thing with the Patriots and when Dallas was sinking he rejuvenated them too. Parcells has now done the same thing with the Dolphins in about seven months and while eight points is a lot, these Dolphins are worthy of the spot against a west coast team traveling east. The Seahawks are a complete mess both offensively and defensively and what’s interesting about the Seahawks this season is that Mike Holmgren is leaving after the season ends. That puts him in a position to do things he normally wouldn’t do because he has nothing to lose. Neither does the players because they don’t have to impress him and with a record of 2-6 and the season virtually over, one has to question what will motivate this intruder. They’re playing for nothing and it’s like attending class with a substitute teacher in there. They don’t have to be on their best behavior because the teacher will be gone tomorrow. The Dolphins, meanwhile, can’t wait to get back on the field and keep this train rolling, as they’re winning, they have a chance to win the division or go to the playoffs. No way will they allow this disinterested Seahawk bunch to travel across the country, come in here and give them a scare. Play: Miami –8 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
__________________
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
ATLANTA –1 over New Orleans SPORTSINTERACTION
Yeah, the Saints might have the league’s best QB and yeah, they’re coming off a bye week but this is a completely different team on the road then they are at home and that’s significant. In fact, aside from a game in London on a neutral field, the Saints have not won on the road this season, losing to Washington, Carolina and Denver. The Saints have been one of the worst road teams over the past 20 years and it’s just in their DNA to perform badly away from home. The Saints defense has allowed an alarming number of points and yards on the ground and it sure doesn’t help that starting end Charles Grant (33 tackles, 3 sacks) had to be placed on injured reserve (No Reggie bush either). How about a little respect for the Falcons, huh? They possess a deadly running game, they’re moving the ball very efficiently indeed and their defense is playing aggressively and effectively. The Falcons have yet to lose at home and in fact, their three losses came all on the road at Tampa Bay, Philly and Carolina and that’s a very tough trio by anyone’s standards. The Falcons should be able to run the ball with ease here and keep Drew Brees and company off the field for long stretches at a time. Also note that the Saints are very prone to mistakes, especially on the road and this week they could run into some more trouble as the team will go with its third kicker and punter this season in order to improve its brutal kicking game. You know that’s a disaster waiting to happen. With that in mind, I’ll gladly play against a team that has zero road wins vs a team with zero home losses. Play: Atlanta –1 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Buffalo +3½ over NEW ENGLAND SPORTSINTERACTION
Since opening the year 4-0 the Bills are just 1-3 since but that could easily be 3-1, as costly mistakes have done them in two weeks in a row. In a loss to Miami two weeks ago, the Bills were in a position to win that game but coughed it up late when they were driving for the winning score. They turned the ball over three times against the Jets last week and that did them in once again. Now their stock is way down but they’re a formidable foe against any team that has trouble moving the ball and the Patriots are definitely in that category. Outside of wins against arguably the two worst defenses in the business, San Fran and Denver, the Patriots have stayed under 20 points in every game. They scored 17 on the Chiefs, 19 on the Jets, 13 on the Dolphins, 10 on the Chargers and finally 15 on the Colts last week. In fact, it’s safe to say that this is the toughest defense they’ll face to date and if they can’t score on those aforementioned teams, how the hell are they going to rack up points against the defense they’ll face here? Hell, the Patriots do not have a notable win all year, as their victories have come against the Jets, KC, St. Louis (barely), Denver and San Fran. New England is an ugly 5-3 and they’ve absolutely played the NFL’s easiest schedule. Frankly, they haven’t shown me a damn thing to warrant trusting them as a 3½-point favorite over a quality team like the Bills. I’m calling the Bills outright but will accept the points because should the Bills score the first TD, this one will be in the bank. Play: Buffalo +3½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
MIAMI –8 over Seattle PINNACLE
Anyone who thinks that Bill Parcells is overrated or isn’t “all that” needs their head examined. Every team he touches turns to gold, as he accomplishes in one year what other GM’s or coaches can’t accomplish in five. Long ago, he turned the Giants, a team that is today’s equivalent of the Raiders, into monsters and they’ve been contenders ever since. He did the same thing with the Patriots and when Dallas was sinking he rejuvenated them too. Parcells has now done the same thing with the Dolphins in about seven months and while eight points is a lot, these Dolphins are worthy of the spot against a west coast team traveling east. The Seahawks are a complete mess both offensively and defensively and what’s interesting about the Seahawks this season is that Mike Holmgren is leaving after the season ends. That puts him in a position to do things he normally wouldn’t do because he has nothing to lose. Neither does the players because they don’t have to impress him and with a record of 2-6 and the season virtually over, one has to question what will motivate this intruder. They’re playing for nothing and it’s like attending class with a substitute teacher in there. They don’t have to be on their best behavior because the teacher will be gone tomorrow. The Dolphins, meanwhile, can’t wait to get back on the field and keep this train rolling, as they’re winning, they have a chance to win the division or go to the playoffs. No way will they allow this disinterested Seahawk bunch to travel across the country, come in here and give them a scare. Play: Miami –8 (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
__________________
News from another forum...
Be careful out there. Some guy named one pocket is putting out fake plays AGAIN. I guess he likes playing games with the forums every other week. He's posting Eagles as Kelso goy. That's not correct. Another fake labeled play from One Pocket. Last time he put paid and confirmed on a fake Kelso play. Just ignore his posts if you're at another forum. He's trying to screw over the forums.
Be careful out there. Some guy named one pocket is putting out fake plays AGAIN. I guess he likes playing games with the forums every other week. He's posting Eagles as Kelso goy. That's not correct. Another fake labeled play from One Pocket. Last time he put paid and confirmed on a fake Kelso play. Just ignore his posts if you're at another forum. He's trying to screw over the forums.
Last edited:
