Pro Source
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Chicago - 3 ** Top Play NFC GOM **
vs Minnesota 1 pm et
Extremely tough spot for a Division team going here.
Very strong Division specific system to:
Play Against an away division underdog,and in this spread
range, and with the Vikes WL % or worse, and who in their
last game was a 7(+) pt home division favorite, they won the
game SU but failed to cover.18-4 ATS, 82% for over 20 yrs
The Vikes have won 2 in a row, but pass interference saved
Minnesota in BOTH games. Minnesota has not impressed
so far this season, with a pretty one dimensional offense &
a defense not playing up to the offseason expectations.
On the flip side, da Bears have had a chance in every game
and could be 6-0 with a few good bounces.
Chic HC Smith 8-1 off a SU non div loss vs a team off a win.
Minn 2-14 rd dogs vs a team off SU/ATS loss, 1-8 off a non
div dble dig ats loss vs a revenging team off a off a SU loss.
Buffalo Under 46.5...45 1pm et
Since 1996, home teams in this spread range off a bye that
lost on the road the week before the bye by at least the
amount of points the Bills lost by, have gone Under off their
week of rest 2-18 S1996 ....90% for 12 seasons.
SD can score, but this is a bad spot. SD off the late Sunday
Nite revenege game vs the Pats at 5:15 pst ( 8:15 et), now
flying thru to the East Coast time zone and a 10 am pst (1 et)
start. With the Bills coming off their Bye and off a West Coast
game before, look for a sluggish game from both teams.
Miami UNDER 37
vs Baltimore 1 et
We usually play just 1 total a week, but this is a great fit.
Since 1998, Baltimore has gone UNDER 12-37-1 on the
road vs teams that are not in their Division. 76% for 10 yrs.
Miami is now Under 17 of their last 19 playing the first of
TWO straight Home Games ...89% for 10 yrs.
The Ravens still have the top ranked defense in the league
with Miami not far behind at # 4 .
Both teams have similar strategies of low key ball control
offenses and strong defenses. looking for a windshield wiper
type game here.