Service Plays Sunday 10/19/08

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Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner #1 (SF1)

Tennessee (35) at Kansas City (+9) - 1 p.m. EST





Kansas City will stay in this game and this number this afternoon in what is a circle the wagon-like game for KC. Yes they’re only 1-4 on the year and were whipped 34-0 at Carolina their most recent game. But that came two weeks ago and this team has had two full weeks to digest that nasty game in Charlotte and now fresh from the bye, the team is back at Arrowhead for its third home of the year. And as you might recall, they looked pretty good last time at home when they humbled Denver by a 33-19 count. Yes, Larry Johnson is out with a suspension and the team had to endure a mild soap opera episode with the will-they or will-they-not trade Tony Gonzalez, but these guys are professional football players and they will respond. They’ll also get a jolt of enthusiasm with the return of starting QB Brodie Croyle to the lineup. He looked crisp in the opener at New England (11-of-19 for 88 yards) before being knocked out with a shoulder injury. He gives KC a much better shot to compete and even win today. On the otherside, Tennessee, the last undefeated team in the league, is wearing a bull’s eye. They’ve got a big look-ahead game versus Indy on Monday night approaching and covering this large number today will be a tall order. Yes their defense is stout, but I am not sold on this offense that generated a mere 210 yards and lost the time-of-possession battle by nine minutes last game versus Baltimore. Kerry Collins tossed two picks in that game and leads an offense that isn’t accustomed to having to cover this many points on the highway. Look for KC to stack the box against the Tennessee running game and then use its 14th-ranked pass defense to make plays. Last December at KC, the home team led Tennessee 17-13 late in the third quarter, but were ultimately undone by a minus-three turnover deficit (KC was only out-gained by 27 yards) and lost 28-17. This time, though, the turnover battle is won by KC and they play hard all game in staying inside this number.







KANSAS CITY (+9) 100 Dimes


Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner #2 (SF2)











San Diego (44') at Buffalo (-1) - 1 p.m. EST




San Diego is off a short prep week and has to travel 4000 miles for this one. Then it’s off to London for the Bolts to face New Orleans, who on the road this year have lost to Miami and Denver and needed a fourth quarter comeback to win at Oakland. They’ve failed to cover three of five versus Buffalo this decade and they won’t do such today as the home team wins this one by a touchdown. San Diego comes into this on a 2-6 ATS slide in games in the Eastern Time zone and 1-7 in their last eight non-divisional road games. Meanwhile, Buffalo is on spread runs of 5-1-1 coming of a bye (2-0 under Dick Juron), 11-4 at home and 13-4 on turf. Two weeks ago, Buffalo was undefeated at 4-0 SU. But they lost their QB to injury minutes into their game at Arizona, and backup passer J.P. Losman continued to turn the ball over and put the Buffalo is bad situations time after time after time. The result was a second half meltdown at Arizona. But two weeks later, Buffalo is rested and now has its QB back as Trent Edwards is ready to go. He also gets speedy receiver/return man Roscoe Parrish back from injury and the Buffalo offense should produce plenty of big plays against this San Diego stop unit that is a lousy 28th in total defense and 31st in pass defense. The Bolts’ star LaDainian Tomlinson is still being slowed by a turf toe injury, and while SD passer Philip Rivers has been making plays, he’s facing a Buffalo defense that allowed just 15.5 points per game in winning its first four games before Losman and Buffalo offense make things more than difficult for them two weeks ago at Arizona. Now back at home, look for the Buffalo defense to come up with some turnovers and take the fight to this San Diego team that has won the total yardage battle just once this season. Bad spot for the Bolts and Buffalo, rested and at home, makes the plays in the second half to win this one.






BUFFALO (-1) 100 Dimes



Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner #3 (SF3)

Minnesota (+3) at Chicago (37') - 1 p.m. EST







Minnesota swept both meetings from Chicago a year ago and they’ll make it three straight over their longtime rival as Minnesota wins this game at Soldier Field outright. Chicago has failed to cover five of its last six as a division favorite while the dog is on a 17-8 ATS run in this series. Minnesota racked up nearly 400 yards last week, but overall was mostly flat in last week’s home win over Detroit. Look for them to be on their game today as their superior defensive line will make things very tough for the Chicago run game, which has stumbled here of late. Chicago lost guard Terrence Metcalf to suspension this week and now faces a stout Minnesota defense that has limited opponents to just 284 yards a contest through the first six games. Minnesota allows just 74 yards rushing per game and Chicago’s top WR Brandon Lloyd is again out with a knee injury. On the other side of the football, Chicago has some serious injury issues in the secondary. If they decide to stack the box in an effort to slow down stud RB Adrian Peterson (he ran for 224 yards in last year’s win at Soldier Field), then Minnesota QB Gus Freotte could have a field day, just like Atlanta rookie Matt Ryan did last week when he passed for more than 300 yards against Chicago’s 27th-ranked pass defense. After a big win at New Orleans and then last week’s victory over Detroit, Minnesota has gotten its swagger back and has a bye on deck next week. They’ll bring a big effort this afternoon. Minnesota is catching a Chicago team not at its healthiest and the visitors will take this game outright.





MINNESOTA (+3) 100 Dimes

Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner #4 (SF4)

New York (41') at Oakland (+3) - 4:15 p.m. EST







OAKLAND (+3) 100 Dimes












Back at home after an ugly performance last week in New Orleans, Oakland will play its best football of the season in pulling out this outright win over an overrated New York team. The Flyboys were last seen on the road giving up 48 points and being blasted in San Diego. Now, here they are on another long West Coast trip and having to lay points. They were sluggish at home last week against an outclassed Cincy team as New York was only able to average 3.3 yards per carry against a Cincy defense that ranked 28th in the league in run defense. Oakland is capable of shutting down New York’s so-so run game and then make the mistake-prone Brett Favre (three turnovers last week) make plays on the road. The Oakland pass rush has improved in recent weeks and has eight sacks in the last three games. Look for an inspired effort from the Silver & Black stop unit Sunday afternoon. This is Tom Cable’s first home game as the interim head coach for Oakland and I expect he’ll want to get ball into the hands of Darren McFadden, who appears to be healthy after a toe injury slowed him for a bit. New York has been decent stopping the run, but they’re not dominant always as San Diego and Arizona (35 points scored) showed us. JaMarcus Russell has played his best football at home this year and the Oakland coaching staff will put him in better position to make plays in this one. New York is the type of inconsistent team that tends to play up and down to its level of competition. That’s evident by their ATS slide of 2-6 versus teams with losing records as well its 2-6 ATS mark after a straight-up win. The home team is on a 4-1-1 ATS run in this series and an Oakland team playing with a chip on its shoulder will win this one outright.

Stu's Sunday 100 Dime Winner #5 (SF5)

Indianapolis (47) at Green Bay (+1) - 4:15 p.m. EST







Indianapolis (-1) 100 Dimes


Indy got back on track in throttling Baltimore last week and Peyton Manning & Co. will keep it rolling this afternoon with this win and cover at Lambeau Field. Indy is 10-2 ATS in its last dozen non-conference road games while Green Bay is on spread slides of 2-6 in non-conference home tilts and 1-4 versus teams with winning records. Green Bay is just too beat up in this one, especially in the secondary. Safety Aaron Rouse and cornerback Tramon Williams are out with injuries and cornerback Al Harris and safety Atari Bigby also might not go. That spells trouble because Manning (19-of-28 for 271 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs last week) and the Indy offense are starting to get it back together. Yes Manning will find success through the air, but whoever is running for Indy should find success against this GB defense is allowing an eye-popping 5.1 yards per carry. Offensively, Green Bay passer Aaron Rodgers has been gutting-it through a shoulder injury the past couple of weeks. But he’s also lost his last two starts at Lambeau and he’s just a hit away from GB becoming even more green experience-wise under center. It doesn’t help that the GB running attack has failed to get things going this year with Ryan Grant struggling. Indy has been slow out of the gates defensively, but they dominated Baltimore last week in all facets of the game. They have surrendered just one TD pass all year and rank sixth against the pass. With Tennessee a full two games up on Indy in the division standings, these are must win games for Indy. The straight-up winner has covered in nine of Indy’s last 10 games and Manning and his mates will be on their game as they have too much fire-power for Rodgers & Co. as Indy wins this one by a touchdown.

Tony Smith's VIP Release #1

Dallas (44) at St. Louis (+7) - 1:00 PM, EST










DALLAS (-7) VIP SELECTION


Tony Smith's VIP Release #2

Detroit (+9') at Houston (46') - 4:05 p.m. EST










HOUSTON (-9') VIP SELECTION

Tony Smith's VIP Release #3

Indianapolis (47) at Green Bay (+1) - 4:15 p.m. EST










INDIANAPOLIS (-1) VIP SELECTION

King's 100 DIME Lock of the Week (BK1)

Dallas (44) at St. Louis (+7) - 1:00 p.m. EST



Road teams favored by 7 or more only win 40% of the time (46-67-3) but teams coming off a win as a double digit dog (upset) are 7-20-1 or 25.9%. All the speculation regarding Romo and it looks like he will play. Dallas is coming off a huge let down game and they are looking to exact their revenge on someone and it just happens to be one of the three worst teams in football.



St. Louis better have enjoyed that win last week because today will be a nightmare for a St. Louis team that just does not match up with this Dallas juggernaut. St. Louis' undermanned secondary will unlikely be able to handle the Dallas receivers from the get-go.



Everyone knows St. Louis linebacking corps is below the league standard and will get pushed around all day by the talented Dallas running backs and "Big D's" huge offensive line.



St. Louis is just 1-6 ATS in their last 6 as a home dog. Home dogs that won SU the previous week as an away dog are just 2-13 SU and ATS since 1991.



Look for Dallas to refocus after three bad games. It is unfortunate for the Rams that they are the sacrificial lambs to America's Team today.



Dallas minus the points in a rout.





Dallas (-7) 100 Dimes

**IMPORTANT** BUY DOWN TO 7 IF YOU GET 7.5 DON'T WIN BY A TD TO LOSE. BUY THE HALF POINT DOWN.

King's 100 DIME NFC South Game of the Month (BK2)

New Orleans (44') at Carolina (-3) - 1:00 p.m. EST



The series trends between these two teams clearly favor New Orleans. Domination by visiting team (14-2, 87.5%) and Domination on the Road by New Orleans, 7-1. Perhaps this is a little too clear or at least the oddsmakers would want you to believe. But such angles and trends are not etched in granite as Carolina learned last week when their 5 game win streak against Tampa Bay was snapped.



Last week Carolina saw Warrick Dunn hit the century mark, something Larry Johnson and Michael Turner could not do earlier in the season. It was a flat week for a talented 4-2 Carolina team. Expect the more characteristic aggressive Carolina defense to show up and shut down New Orleans.



Carolina is a legitimate Super Bowl contender looking to bounce back off a rough loss last week. They will come out fired up at home and catch a flat New Orleans squad coming off a couple of successful games. With Delhomme and Smith along with Muhammad expect Carolina to give New Orleans more than they can handle on both sides of the ball.



Take Carolina minus 3 to get the win and cover at home today. Carolina is the play.




Carolina (-3) 100 Dimes



King's 100 DIME Inter-Conference Game of the Month(BK3)

Cleveland (42) at Washington (-7) - 4:15 p.m. EST



Beautiful late October day here in the nations capital and I am siding with the home team to get a big bounce back win today in fron of the home faithful at Fed Ex Field. Don't expect this team to lose two in a row in their house, not to Cleveland.



In their only other loss this year the Skins bounced back to defeat New Orleans. Look for the same level of play from this team when they face Cleveland today.



Cleveland caught New York in a bad spot last Monday night and now they find themselves in a bad spot off a short preparation week (teams that have covered at home in the previous gaem and are underdogs playing on a short prep week are 14-25, 35.9%) and facing a team bent on revenge after losing to a winless St. Louis team last week.



Clinton Portis is running all over opposing defenses with 643 yards rushing. Look for him to do more of the same to Cleveland which will allow Washington to control the ball and the clock. Jason Campbell has yet to throw a pick this year and with one of the deepest secondary's in the league and Jason Taylor back the Skins defense will be a tough test for a Cleveland team on the road.



Washington got killed last week by looking ahead and turning the ball over in key situations. Do not expect them to overlook a bad team two weeks in a row. Cleveland has had a different offensive line each game and after going all out on national TV to win on Monday they will not have enough in the tank to see this one through against Washington.



Take Washington minus the points in a blowout today at Fed Ex field.




Washington (-7) 100 Dimes




Howie's Godfather Pick #1



New Orleans (44') at Carolina (-3) - 1:00 p.m. EST










Howie Feiner's Pro Football Godfather Pick #1 for Sunday

Carolina (-3) 100 Dimes

Howie's Godfather Pick #2

Indianapolis (47) at Green Bay (+1) - 4:15 p.m. EST








Howie Feiner's Pro Football Godfather Pick #2 for Sunday

Indianapolis (-1) 100 Dimes
 

just an average Joe trying to beat my bookie!!!!
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is everybody getting a data base error when they do a search??
 

just an average Joe trying to beat my bookie!!!!
Joined
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is everybody having problems with the search on here...I keep getting a data error message
 

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breeders cup

Kevin O'Neill has a guy that does his horses and he is very good. Had two longshot winners at last years Breeders Cup.


would like to get some info. will be at santa anita for both days thanx
how do i get info from Kevin O'NEILL
 

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Hey Xtech, pm me if your interested in splitting Kelso Breeder's Cup. I can also tell you more info on how he did last year

He turned huge profit last year
 

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