NCAAB
Sunday, January 19
Houston is 5-7 in its last dozen games after losing by 39 at Louisville in last game Thursday; Cougars are 9-1 vs teams outside top 150, losing to San Jose at home Dec 7. Four of their last six games were decided by 4 or less points. Rutgers is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 3-6-20 points; they're 7-4 vs teams ranked outside top 100. AAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.
Wright State swept Cleveland State by 16-9 points LY, after losing six in row to Vikings before that; Raiders lost four of last five visits here, with losses by 9-5-19-22 points. Horizon home favorites are 12-7 vs spread, but 3-6 if number was less than six points. Wright lost by 10 at home to Green Bay Friday, just their second loss in last eight games. Cleveland State won both its Horizon home games, by 10 points each.
Minnesota is 3-2 in Big Dozen, with four of five games decided by 3 or less points or in OT; Iowa won three of last four games with Gophers, with three of four decided by 4 or less points. Minnesota lost last two visits here by 4-21 points. Iowa is 3-1 in league, winning by 10-26-10 points; their only loss was by 4 at Wisconsin, when McCaffery got two T's when Iowa led. Big Dozen single digit home faves are 1-9 vs spread.
Louisiana Tech won its last seven games, with an OT win at Oklahoma; Bulldogs force turnovers 22.9% of time, have #11 eFG% defense in US,. are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, 11-0 if they allow less than 70 points, 4-3 if they allow 70+. Southern Mississippi is 7-0 at home, 1-1 vs teams in top 100. winning by point at North Dakota State, losing at Louisville by 31. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 4-8 vs spread.
Green Bay won four of last five games with Ill-Chicago; home teams are 8-1 in last nine series games- Phoenix lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-2-3 points. Green Bay won its last nine games; this is their fourth road game in row, beating Wright State Friday. Horizon favorites of 6+ points are 10-1 vs spread this season. UIC lost its last nine games, losing last two conference games by total of nine points.
Bowling Green beat Western Michigan last two years by 24-10 points; Falcons lost four of last five games, with three of four losses away from home- they're turning ball over 22.5% of time, and are 1-4 on road, with three losses by 12+ points. MAC single digit home favorites are 3-6 vs spread. WMU scored 37 points in loss to Eastern Michigan last game, after they scored 83+ points in winning previous four games.
Charleston won five of last six games; they're turning ball over 20.4% of time; their eFG% is #253 in US. Cougars are shooting 49% from arc in CAA play, only 38% inside it. Towson won its last four games, winning first two CAA games by 8-12 points; they're forcng 3rd-least turnovers in US, but their eFG% defense is #34. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 0-6 vs spread.
Notre Dame is struggling without leading scorer Grant, losing last three games since upsetting Duke at home; Irish are 3-5 in last eight games; all three wins were by 7 or less points. ACC double digit home favorites are 2-3 vs spread. Virginia Tech lost five of last six games, losing last two ACC games by total of 10 points. Hokies force 2nd-least turnovers in country, but they defend well, with the #41 eFG% defense.
Oregon won five of last six games with Oregon State, winning last three visits here by 4-1-13 points; Ducks lost last three games after starting year 13-0, giving up 92.7 ppg in losses. Pac-12 home underdogs are 5-5 vs spread. Both teams are 1-3 in Pac-12; Beavers' three losses are by 6-11-5 points. Three of Oregon's last six wins came in OT. State is 9-7 in spite of making 40.4% from arc, #17 in country.
Canisius (-10) beat Monmouth 87-67 last Sunday, making 14-30 from arc; Griffins lead MAAC with 6-1 record, winning by hoop in last game at Iona Friday after blowing 20-point halftime lead- they're 3-5 in true road games, with last two road wins by total of six points. Monmouth is 2-5 in its first year in MAAC; four of five losses were by 9+. MAAC home underdogs are 4-6 against the spread.
Iona (-3.5) won 87-78 at Siena last Sunday, making 15-30 from arc in a game they trailed by 3 with 7:12 left- they're 6-1 in last seven games vs Siena, winning last two here by 4-19 points. MAAC double digit home favorites are 5-6 vs spread. Gaels had 23-0 run Friday but still lost by 2 to Canisius Friday. Siena is 1-3 on MAAC road, with losses by 15-4-22 points; they turn ball over 22.3% of time, have #286 eFG%.
SMU won at Central Florida yesterday afternoon; they played five subs double digit minutes, no one more than 27 since they have makeup game here with Hofstra. Mustangs hold foes to 38.8% inside arc, best mark in US- this is their third game in five days and they've got league game vs Rutgers on Tuesday. Hofstra won last two games after a 4-11 start; they haven't played since Wednesday.
