SPORTS WAGERS NFL
SEATTLE -3 -120 over San Francisco
3½-points seems like an awful lot of points to be spotting a team that has been going as good as the 49ers have been (-3 -120 at Sportsinteraction) been. After all, the 49ers are on a seven game winning streak and are 8-2 on the road this year. San Fran’s offense has looked much sharper than the Seahawks recently but we keep going back to the same question. Why did the
Bookmakers add the hook to this game? Surely they could have made it a -3 and “even” things out a little bit in terms of action. That extra half-point in a game that almost everyone figures to be close looms large in the minds of all those on the fence in this contest. We’re not as convinced. The venue is the critical intangible in this game since both the teams play each other at least twice a year and home field has always been critical in winning. Add in the Seahawks being so dominant each time they play at home and it is hard to see just how the 49ers are going to score much. The Seahawks allowed only 12 points on average over their last eight games and they whacked San Fran, 29-3 in this year’s contest in Seattle. Colin Kaepernick only passed for 127 yards and no scores in the first meeting in Seattle and had three interceptions in that disaster. Vernon Davis was held to only 20 yards on three catches since the defense focused on him and Michael Crabtree was not playing. Anquan Boldin was held to only one catch for seven yards. Frank Gore ran for only 16 yards on nine carries. It was a complete failure in all facets and the lowest point of the season for the 49ers.
The Seahawks bring in a dominating defense but one that lost CB Brandon Browner in December. This is still a very formidable unit that is even better at home. Since the week 12 bye, the defense is only allowing about 10 points per game. The offense has been better in home games as well but has been held under 28 points in each of the last five weeks. So, while one must respect what the 49ers have accomplished, fading the Seahawks when they are home cannot be recommended. Russell Wilson has been under some criticism lately and this time of year it becomes an issue that is extremely overstated and over-exaggerated. Wilson makes plays in critical situations and figures to be up to the challenge here. Remember, all these outlets that cover the NFL don’t have 16 games to talk about all week. They have two and everything is blown out of proportion. What you won’t hear about is how the 49ers will be playing their fifth road game in six weeks and third in a row after playing in Carolina last week. Incidentally, they also got every call last week from the refs that killed any momentum the Panthers had the entire first half and into the third quarter. All that travel since Week 15, two tough road games in the playoffs, including one in frigid Green Bay has to take a toll and these are the things that the oddsmakers consider when posting a number while the television folks never mention it. Yeah, it’s tempting and maybe even enticing to take the 3½-points being offered but in terms of all the intangibles, the Seahawks have a big edge and that’s the way we’re playing it.
NOTE: Depending on where you shop there are different lines for this game everywhere. We still recommend playing Seattle @ -3½ if you can't get on for -3.