Service Plays Sunday 09/27/09

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MLB DUNKEL


San Diego at Arizona
The Padres look to bounce back from yesterday's defeat and build on their 9-1 record in their last 10 games following a loss. San Diego is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Game 951-952: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Misch) 14.814; Florida (Johnson) 13.965
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+235); Under

Game 953-954: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 16.422; Washington (Hernandez) 13.526
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Over

Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.511; Pittsburgh (McCutchen) 13.503
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-205); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-205); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.231; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.732
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.703; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.177
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Houston (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-150); Under

Game 961-962: St. Louis at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.215; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.695
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.567; San Francisco (Cain) 15.690
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 965-966: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Mujica) 15.341; Arizona (Buckner) 14.600
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.946; Toronto (Tallet) 14.824
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Under

Game 969-970: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 13.102; Cleveland (Huff) 13.700
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-140); Over

Game 971-972: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Byrd) 16.296; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.991
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Over

Game 973-974: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Jackson) 14.794; White Sox (Hudson) 15.206
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+140); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.044; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.681
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-175); Under

Game 977-978: Tampa Bay at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.693; Texas (McCarthy) 15.786
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Over

Game 979-980: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 17.149; LA Angels (Saunders) 15.035
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-225); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+205); Over
 

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Stephen Nover

Sunday Winners
40-Dime Tennessee Titans - It's not just situation why I like the Titans so much in this game. It's also the matchup. The styles favor Tennessee. More on that later. Let's first discuss the spot.

Tennessee already faces a desperate spot being 0-2. No team has made the postseason when starting 0-3 since 1998. This also is the Titans' revenge game of the year after the Jets ended their 10-game winning streak last season beating Tennessee in Nashville.

The Jets are off a monster division upset victory against the Patriots. It was the first time they had ever defeated Tom Brady at home. This is a clear letdown spot for New York, which is not used to big wins like this.

The Jets are a blitzing, aggressive defensive club now under Rex Ryan. That style matched up well to the Patriots, who like to spread the field with wideouts and attack the flanks. The Patriots made the mistake of not looking to establish a ground attack to soften the Jets up.

The Titans don't play that well. They're a physical, ground-oriented club. They have an emerging superstar in Chris Johnson, who probably is the most dangerous running back in the NFL in countering blitzes. Johnson can exploit a crack in a blitz and turn it into a touchdown no matter where he is. The Jets will have to tone down their aggressiveness because overpursuit could be deadly for them. I don't think they can do that. So far they know only one speed under Ryan. They still are missing one of their top defenders with Calvin Pace under suspension.

New York is run-oriented, too. The Titans remain one of the toughest foes to run on. They are giving up just 49.5 yards on the ground per game and 1.9 yards per carry.

This means the Jets are going to need a strong game from rookie Mark Sanchez, making his third NFL start. He's going to face the toughest pass rush of his young career after facing a weak Texans defense and a Patriots defense in transition minus their two best players, traded Richard Seymour and injured linebacker Jarod Mayo.

15-Dime Green Bay Packers - This is the week the Packers' offense, which looked so great in August, breaks out. The Packers will be missing left tackle Chad Clifton, their best pass blocker, but they've had a solid week of practice getting their offensive line in order after two bad performances.

The Rams give an effort on defense under new coach Steve Spagnuolo, but there is a huge talent deficiency and a real lack of depth. They get little heat on the quarterback. The Packers have a deep set of receivers. Aaron Rodgers will get more time to throw and he will burn a vulnerable secondary, especially playing on carpet.

How bad are the Rams? If it weren't for the Lions, the Rams would be the butt of all the jokes having lost 12 in a row. They are 7-14 against the spread as underdogs and have lost 21 of the past 23 times against teams with a winning record, although Green Bay is 1-1 this season. Going back even more, the Rams are 12-22 against the sperad in their last 34 games despite inflated point spreads. This spread isn't inflated.

Spagnuolo inherited a team that talent-wise could be even worse than Detroit. St. Louis was shut out by Seattle in Week 1 despite having a 2-0 turnover edge. Last week, the Rams could manage just 243 yards and seven points versus the Redskins. They've had 130 yards of penalties already.

Rams quarterback Marc Bulger has had happy feet for the past couple of years because of constant defensive pressure. He's a shell of his former self and now his accuracy is off because of a broken finger. The Rams were hoping to fix their leaky offensive line, but will be without their hightly-touted rookie tackle, Jason Smith.

10-Dime Cincinnati Bengals - At this point in time, the Bengals are the Steelers and the Steelers are more like the Bengals.

The Bengals are leading the NFL in sacks and running the ball well averaging 48 yards rushing per game more than Pittsburgh. The Steelers have three sacks. The Bengals have three times that amount.

Yes, it has just been two games and the Bengals, particularly Antwan Odom, had a monster sack game last week against the Packers following an injury to the Packers' best blocker, Chad Clifton.

However, these stats do reflect where these teams are at. The Bengals are back to having a balanced attack now that Carson Palmer is healthy and talented wideout Chad Ochocinco has his head and enthusiasm back in the game. Cedric Benson has proven reliable running the ball. Palmer can exploit a Pittsburgh secondary that doesn't have injured safety Troy Polamalu. His replacement, 5-foot-9 Tyrone Carter, has a thigh injury and was limited in practice this week. He may be out, too.

The Bengals have a very solid and underrated defense with seven starters who were drafted in the first two rounds. Their linebacking corps is deep and talented. They have two excellent young cornerbacks and their pass rushers can take advantage of a mediocre Steelers' offensive line that already has allowed Ben Roethlisberger to be sacked six times.

Pittsburgh's inability to pass block isn't anything new. Roethlisberger went into this season having been sacked 139 times during the last three years. The Steelers' ground game, long a stable of the offense, keeps regressing. It ranked 23rd last year and this season Steeler running backs are averaging 70.5 yards per game and only 3.1 yards per carry. Willie Parker has lost his burst making him a below average back. He's averaging a puny 2.4 yards per attempt.

The Bengals are an underappreciated, underpriced home 'dog because they've lost and failed to cover nine of the last 11 times to Pittsburgh. The Steelers are the defending world champions and 12-1 in division the past two years. In this matchup, though, reality catches up to history and perception.

5-Dime Minnesota Vikings - I like the direction the 49ers are going under Mike Singletary. Believe it or not, San Francisco actually has won seven of its last nine games. But this isn't the right spot or matchup for the 49ers.

The 49ers are traveling to the midwest for an early start time off two highly-satisfying NFC West victories against their two top division rivals, Arizona and Seattle. Both were tough matchups with the 49ers using a lot of physical and mental energy. This also is the 49ers' first game on artificial turf and their first dome contest. They have another division game next week making this their only non-division matchup during the first four weeks.

The Vikings, on the other hand, were able to ease into the season drawing cupcakes Cleveland and Detroit. Brett Favre has had enough time now to get in sync with his wideouts. Expect the Vikings to have a dangerous balanced attack running Adrian Peterson and Favre taking advantage of eight-man fronts to connect downfield more than in his first two appearances as a Viking.

The 49ers rely heavily on Frank Gore. He missed practice all week, though, because of an ankle injury. The Vikings have led the league in rush defense during the past three seasons. They rank No. 5 in overall defense this season.
I can't see Gore doing much against the Vikings' massive run-stuffing defensive line. The 49ers don't have nearly an explosive enough passing offense to compensate, especially on the road.
 

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Wayne Root's 2009 Upset Club
9-27-09

7* Seahawks (+2½) Bears 4:05 <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
6* Rams (+6 ½) Packers 1:00
 

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Chris Jordan

600 Arizona Cardinals Analysis by 1pm eastern


Can Someone get Bobby Maxwell?
 

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SHARP's PLAYS

from another site

Chi -1
Den -1
Ten +2.5
Mia +6
AZ -2.5
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Winning way sports (john finna)

Free Pick :

Bengals

NFL Shocker of the Month....anyone? tnx.
 

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Jimmy Thompson Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 27, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: It's been a good week in every sport but we are getting our feet back under us on the diamond just in time for the Playoffs. We won for the 3rd time in 4 games yesterday with the Brewers/Phillies over in what was our NL Total of the Week. We will back that winner with another Total of the Week, but this time we switch over to the American League!! 9/27/2009

Oakland/Los Angeles over 9.5 at 3:35 est

The A's just refuse to quietly into the offseason. They came back from being down 9-2 yesterday and beat Los Angeles keeping the Angels celebration hopes well on ice. The A's are on their own personal mission to get back to .500 and right now it's hard to bet against them. There winning games with 15 runs like yesterday and then 3-0 like Friday Night. The A's are throwing there worst possible starter in Edgar Gonzalez today so you can bet the Angels bats will be looking for at least one win in this series. We fully expect the Angels to do just about what they did last night, but you know the way the A's are playing that they'll get there share off of Saunders also. Too tough to call the winner in this game but we like this game to get to 14 runs and maybe many more!
 

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Trace Adams 2500

Trace Adams 2500* - Minnesota Vikings - 1pm On the surface you would think that the pair of 2-0 teams playing this Sunday in the Metrodome would appear to be evenly matched, and perhaps that will be the case for a little while in this game, but as this game wears on, Minnesota will show why they are to be considered among the elite team in the NFC.

The Vikings have been able to come up with double-digit road wins and covers at Cleveland, and at Detroit, and while those 2 teams will not be mentioned come postseason time, Minny was able to win both of those games by double-digits on the road!

This will be Minnesota's home opener, and it presents a real advantage in this matchup, as the 49ers are certainly not built for playing in a dome. San Francisco's Frank Gore did crack the 200 yard mark at home last week against Seattle, but he was held to just 30 yards in week one at Arizona. Expect the rushing yards to be hard to come by for the Niners in the Vikings' house.

You can also expect that with each week, Brett Favre gets a little more comfortable at the controls of this dangerous offense. Mike Singletary may "will" his team to hang in this game for a while, but in the end, Minnesota in their home opener will prove too much for San Francisco.

This is another double-digit Minnesota win and cover.

Lay it!

2500♦ - Minnesota Vikings


PAID FOR BY ME - SAM IN SO CAL
 

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VegasBuster @ Vas Sports – Silver Play



Atlanta +4.5 @ New England

Pick: Atlanta +4.5



100% chance of showers with 13-mph wind expected. This should favor Atlanta on the ground. Michael Turner who is averaging under 70 yards game should be able to move the ball against what people believe to be a good New England rush defense. We have not seen the Pats face a RB like Turner. This game will be won on the ground and the advantage goes to ATL. For all those fantasy owners, Turner will rush for 150+ yards. Matt Ryan has been very effective so far this year completing 68% of his passes; sporting a 108.5 QB Rating. So when the falcons are not running they will be completing passes.



The Pats are not much of a running team and rely completely on Tom Brady’s arm. He has already thrown the ball 19 more times than any QB in the league. The problem is Brady’s arm can only be good as the people he is throwing to. Wes Welker is listed questionable for the game but if he can go he will not be 100%. Randy Moss even made the injury report but expect him to play. Tom Brady has seen more pressure, hurries, and been hit more than any other year. He has struggled trying to get into rhythm and setting his feet to make the big pass plays we are use to seeing him make.



Take the points even though Atlanta will move to 3-0!!!!!!!





VegasBuster @ Vas Sports – Golden Play



Kansas City @ Philadelphia -7

Pick: Philadelphia –7



Looks like Kolb will get the starting position this week and that will be fine against a KC team that seems to be going nowhere. Kolb almost passed for 400 yards against New Orleans and impressed. There has always been something about the Eagles that has always catches my attention. Anytime McNabb has gone down with injury the team really rallies around the backup.



If there is one thing I am certain, the defense will not get embarrassed in front of their home crowd like they did last week against the Saints. The defensive talent is there and KC will get hit with all types of blitzing schemes that Cassell will not handle well.



Philadelphia from start to finish!!!!





VegasBuster @ Vas Sports – Platinum Play



Tennessee +2 @ NY Jets

Pick: Titans +2



Sorry Jets fans but your time has come to get a loss. Rookie Sanchez has looked good so far this year. But this will be a different game for him. Titans defense will cause problems for the rookie and look for the Jets to start off the game rough. Jets will probably make a run late in the game but it will not be enough. The Titans will not leave New York 0-3.



Titans win with defense!!!
 
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9/27

2 unit Kansas City +9
2 unit Jacksonville +3.5
3 unit Cleveland +13.5 (best bet)
3 unit Detroit +6.5 (best bet)
3 unit San Fran +7 (best bet)
4 unit Chicago -1.5 (Major)
5 unit Buffalo +6 (Wise Guy)
 

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VEGASBUSTER- Golden Play

Titans @ Jets o/u 37.5
Pick: UNDER 37.5

What looks to be like the rookie of the year Mark Sanchez has faced a young Texans and another young Patriots D this year. He looks good, but hasn’t played a solid core defense this year yet. Titans come in the battle giving up 23 PPG and scoring 20 PPG. The other side, Jets come in NOT GIVING UP A SINGLE TD yet on defense averaging giving up 8 PPG and scoring 20 PPG. The jets D is looking stellar through two games this year as they shut down the amazing Tom Brady and held them to not scoring an offensive TD in several years. The Jets are not a powerful offense and they only find ways to win in close battles.


I see this game being a 19-6 final. TAKE THE UNDER!!!
 

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someone wanted john fina, (his GOY Rice was fucking ASS)

Winning Way Sports




Football for September 27, 2009

NFL - 4 units on Kansas City Chiefs +9.5 (-110)

NFL - 2.5 units on Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5 (-110)

NFL - 2.5 units on Cleveland Browns +14.5 (-110)

NFL - 2.5 units on Washington Redskins -6.5 (-110)
 

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL 9-27

4* Best Bet = Green Bay
3* = Atlanta
2* = Denver
2* = New Orleans
2* = Arizona
 
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Gaming Today - sidney d

jets over 37 -patriots over 47 - saints -4 -raiders under 37 -chargers -6 bills under 52 - oilers -3.5 - lions +6.5

GT Staff- bills +6.5 and over 51 bengals + 3.5 titans +2.5 -bronco's -3.5
 

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