Brian Steinberg
DETROIT +6½ over Washington PINNACLE
No, this has nothing to do with the “due to win” angle. Yes, the Lions have dropped 19 in a row but they’re not far off from that illusive win and this could certainly be the week they get it. They’ll be no Drew Brees to contend with and there will be no Adrian Peterson either. After facing the Saints passing game and the Vikes running game, this one should appear in slow motion for the Lions. Instead the Leo’s will have to contend with a Skins offense that scored nine points at home last week against the woeful Rams. Washington has averaged a measly 12 points a game over its last 10 outings and what we have here is a case of “Dead Offensive Coordinator Walking”. Remember, the Lions jumped ahead of the Vikes last week 10-0 before two turnovers turned the game around. However, the Lions have shown signs of life and despite four picks already, Matthew Stafford looks like he belongs. The Lions offense is dangerous and getting better. This team is starved for a win and hopefully they can smell it here. The Skins are ripe as hell and after watching the Cowboys chew up the Giants last Monday, the Skins 23-17 loss to the G-Men in week one suddenly looks a lot worse. For a team that averages 12 points a match over a significant stretch of games, laying 6½ on the road cannot be recommended. Lions outright. Play: Detroit +6½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
CINCINNATI +1.70 over Pittsburgh Sports Interaction
The Bengals lost a heartbreaker in the season’s first game that could have lingered the whole year. Instead they responded as a 9-point dog at Lambeau and beat the Pack outright. That could have been a coming of age moment for this talented team, as they had lost 13 of its last 16 road games prior to last week. The Bengals defense looks solid, Carson Palmer looks terrific, the running game is working and when you put that all together it amounts to a squad that could make some serious noise. Again, last week just might have been a defining moment for them. Meanwhile, the Steelers are suddenly very beatable with an offensive line that is in complete shambles. The D-line is not getting any pressure at all on opposing QB’s and they virtually have no running game. Of course, the Steelers can never be counted out but when you break it down, a team that can’t run, can’t defend, can’t protect its QB and can’t put pressure on the oppositions, it sure as hell doesn’t warrant laying road points. The Bengals have to be sick of being the Steelers whipping boys and this week they seriously have a great chance to turn those tables around. Keep the points. Play: Cincinnati +1.70 (Risking 2 units).
NEW ENGLAND –4 over Atlanta Sports Interaction
In the world of the NFL there is always a right time to “step in” and that almost always occurs when everyone else is stepping out. Enter the Patriots, a team that should be 0-2 after playing the Bills and Jets, not exactly the cream of the crop. Lots of folks ripped their tickets on the Pats the past two weeks and those same frustrated folks want no part of this team. On the other side of that coin are the folks that have cashed consecutive weeks when holding a ticket on the Falcons. This team is 2-0 and suddenly the Falcons are the team that is attracting money and that works just beautifully. In other words, those that now want to wager on the Falcons missed out and those that hammered the Pats did it too early. This is precisely the right time to play the Pats and/or go against the Falcons. What is almost a guarantee is Bill Belichick has spent 24-hours a day prepping for this one. Nobody hates to lose more than him and he’ll have his team as ready as they’ve ever been. So, for all you stat geeks, forget about it all. The Patriots will be ready and raring to go and after two very sub-par performances, you can expect a serious 60-minutes of football from the preseason favorites to win it all. Play: New England –4 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
Tennessee +1.20 over NY JETS PINNACLE
This situation almost mirrors the Falcons/Pats game in that the Jets are suddenly attracting a lot of smart money. They’re now 2-0 and have looked near flawless against Houston and New England. The Titans are 0-2 after losing to Pitt and the same Texans team the Jets walloped. Yet, the oddsmakers have made the Jets a very small favorite in their own barn and that alone should raise flags. Furthermore, Rex Ryan, the Jets new rookie coach is getting way too cocky and shooting off way too much smack. That seldom works out well and you can double that against the cool and composed Jeff Fisher. Ryan was talking trash all week before the Patriots game and the Jets responded. When the 49ers accused the Jets with tampering last week, Rex Ryan responded by saying, “I wish we were playing them”. For a rookie coach, you just can’t keep shooting your pie-hole off and get away with it, not in this league. The Titans are an extremely talented team that will very likely respond big time. The Jets will face a team for the first time that can run the ball down the opposition’s throat. Throw in the letdown factor after huge win over the Pats and what we have here is another strong case of stepping in at the right time against a team that is grabbing all the headlines. Play: Tennessee +1.20 (Risking 2 units).
ARIZONA –2½ over Indianapolis PINNACLE
If the Dolphins and its pedestrian offense shredded the Colts, one can only imagine what the Cardinals potent attack will do. To make matter worse for the Colts, they’ll travel across the country on a short week and that seldom works out well. Yeah, Peyton Manning will likely get his points but this Indy team appears to be very beatable this season. They can’t run the ball and as a result the offense, when it does score, scores quickly, leaving the defense out on the field for far too long throughout the course of a game. Arizona was a little flat in week one but they really came to life last week in Jacksonville, making the Jags look like a bad college team. Kurt Warner was near flawless and when he gets time, which he should easily get here, he has perhaps the deadliest core of targets in the business. Despite being 2-0, the Colts could easily be 0-2 after beating the Jags by two and pulling out a win last week in Miami in a game they were completely dominated in. Indy’s charmed life is about to hit a roadblock. Play: Arizona –2½ (Risking 2.28 units to win 2).