Service Plays Sunday 09/27/09

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DOUBLE DRAGON (3-2 for the year)

BENGALS+4
TITANS +3
NYGIANTS -6
BRONCOS -2
 

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Kyle Bales

25* Lions +7 buy the 1/2 pt
15* Jets -3
10* Bengals +5
 

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Doc's Sports

5 Unit Play. Take Cincinnati +4 ½ over Pittsburgh

Top Play of the Week. The Bengals have looked very impressive thus far in 2009 and should enter this game 2-0, were it not for a fluke play in the opener against Denver. The Steelers are coming off a tough loss in Chicago and will still be without their best defensive player in Troy Polamalu. The Bengals were able to get pressure on QB Aaron Rogers last week and now face a similar QB this week in Big Ben. By similar we mean that he holds the ball for a while in the pocket. I expect this to be a field goal game and getting the points at home is just too good to pass up. QB Palmer makes a statement and this very important game, as neither team wants to drop too far behind the Ravens in the AFC North. This one is played close to the best by both teams. Cincinnati 20, Pittsburgh 17.


4 Unit Play. Take Under 38½ in Washington at Detroit

Top Totals Play. The Lions have not won a game since 2007 and the Redskin Coach is very much on the hot seat. I expect this to be a defensive struggle and thus it sets up a perfect spot for the under. Detroit managed just three second half points last week against Minnesota and with a rookie quarterback they really want to establish a running game. Detroit hired a defensive coordinator in Jim Schwartz as their new head coach and he comes from the Tennessee Titans. The Titans won most of their games with a strong running attack and outstanding defense. This formula sets up great for the under. Washington 20, Detroit 13.


4 Unit Play. Take San Francisco +7 over Minnesota

This game has gotten a lot more attractive then it appeared to be at the start of the season. Both teams enter this game 2-0, but the 49ers have beaten two solid teams (Arizona & Seattle) and the Vikings have played two of the worst teams in the league (Cleveland & Detroit). The 49ers are following a blueprint for success in the NFL by playing strong defense and controlling the ball with a dominate running attack. RB Frank Gore is right at the top of the list for best in the league behind Adrian Peterson of the Vikings and QB Shaun Hill has played well thus far in the season. QB Favre has yet to throw an interception this year and I think that streak ends today, as Minnesota wins but it comes in a low scoring hard hitting game. Minnesota 23, San Francisco 20.


4 Unit Play. Take St. Louis +6 ½ over Green Bay

The Packers continue to receive too much respect for playing outstanding during the exhibition season. That being said, they should be 0-2 if it not for QB Cutler giving them the game in Week 1 of the season. Green Bay has no offensive line and LT Clifton is out for this game in the Gateway City. QB Rogers has been sacked a season’s worth of games in the first two and he has not played up to his standards yet this season. The Rams have a decent front four and expect them to be able to get some pressure and force the Packers offense out of their comfort zone. Green Bay should be 0-2 ATS and they do not warrant laying this many points to anybody in the league on the road. Cincinnati beat them straight-up last week and we were on board for that game and history will repeat itself this week. St. Louis 24, Green Bay 23.
 

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The Boss

500% Jets
300% Parlay Jets, Minny, Dallas
200% Underdog Miami
100% Giants, Pitt, Green Bay
 

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Inside Corner NFL 09/27
Currently 3-1 +4.5 Units

5 unit "Top Play" on Tennesse +3.5
3 unit play on Green Bay/St.L over 40
2 unit play on Chicago/Seattle under 37
 

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Sam Clayton

25 DIME - CARDINALS -2.5 (Buy the hook if you must!)

Just when you thought things couldn't get worse for the Indianapolis defense after being on the field for 45 minutes against Miami, the Colts draw the high-octane, high-flying, defending NFC champion Cardinals in the desert on Sunday Night Football. The Dolphins badgered Indy's 'D,' racking up 403 yards of total offense and controlling the ball for three-fourths of the game. The only reason the Colts escaped with a victory was because of Miami's lack of execution inside the 20 -- and Chad Pennington's allergy to the endzone.

It's hard to not like the Colts getting points in this one what with the offense having fresh legs, but the defense was absolutely pummeled all game long in Miami and they will be dragging. Just imagine if Arizona's offense has half the opportunities that the 'Fins had on Monday night. With the way Kurt Warner executes and with the playmaking ability of Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald, it's scary to think of what the final score could look like if the tired and battered Colts' defense has another strenuous outing. And when you have a solid running game to balance your gameplan and you're able to successfully attack from all angles, things could get out of hand.

If you really think about it, Arizona bears a striking resemblance to the old-school Colts. Two experienced quarterbacks (Warner-Manning), playmaking receivers downfield (Boldin/Fitz/Breaston-Harrison/Wayne/Clark) and serviceable tailbacks (Hightower-James). Scary isn't it? The only problem is that the Cards still have ALL of those weapons, while the Colts offense outside of 18, 44 and 87 is barren. Indy's much younger, less experienced offensive line has struggled too, which explains why the running game has gotten off to a terrible start. Trust me, I'm aware that Peyton Manning is out of this world and I give him all the credit in the world, but he alone isn't going to be able to beat the Cardinals.

And for all the firepower on offense, Arizona ain't too shabby on the defensive side of the ball either. The Cardinals have the league's sixth best defense and they are currently second in all of football with eight sacks. If Bertrand Berry, Karlos Dansby and Gerald Hayes can keep the pressure on Manning, the Cards could win this win running away. Indianapolis is notably tired, they are playing back-to-back road games on a short week and they're facing an offense that exploded for 31 points over the first three quarters last week. Need I say more?
 

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Jim feist

chicago bears / seattle seahawks
take: Chicago bears


dave cokin

green bay packers / st. Louis rams
take: Green bay packers
 

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Hey guys - I just got this:

Bottom Line Sports Non-Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 27, 2009
$25.00 Non-Guaranteed: At Bottom Line Sports only one thing matters and that is if we make you money! We will win and we will win big! Regardless if it is a big favorite, a big dog or somewhere in-between we will win for you! Today in the NFL we a dog that will win the game STRAIGHT UP! Get this winner now for just $25! Remember, INFO over back fitted trends ALWAYS WINS! 9/25/2009

NFL STRAIGHT UP DOG WINNER
401 Tennessee +3 1:00 EST
 
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jimmy boyd

3* Sunday Bases *BEST BET* on Braves -1.5 -113
The red hot Braves have moved within 2.5 games of the wild card and I look for them to keep rolling Sunday against the lowly Nats. The Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite, and 8-1 in Lowe's last 9 starts as a favorite. The Nationals are 1-6 in Hernandez's last 7 starts and 1-5 in his last 6 home starts vs. the Braves. The Braves have won 4 straight against Washington and I'll back them on the run line here.
 
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Strike Point Sports

Sunday's NFL Plays

3-Unit Play. #404 Take Houston -4 over Jacksonville (9/27 Sunday - 1 p.m. EST)

The Jags are a mess and Houston is closer to the team we saw in week two than in week one. I just think we have two teams going in opposite directions, and right now the Jacksonville defense hasn't shown it can come up with any plays so far. We back the Texans offense in this divisional match-up.

5-Unit Play. #419 Take Chicago -2 over Seattle (9/27 Sunday - 4:05 p.m. EST)

Perhaps this play seems too obvious, but Seattle's woes were well evident last season with Matt Hasselback injured. If he plays he will probably do more harm than good. If he doesn't, then I feel just as confident that Senace Wallace can't beat the Bears. Either way, Chicago wins on the road.

2-Unit Play. #428 Take Oakland +1.5 over Denver (9/27 Sunday - 4:15 p.m. EST)

We're 0-2 betting against the Broncos, but hopefully it pays out this time. I like what I have seen from the Raiders defense early on, not to mention the rushing attack. JaMarcus Russell still looks like a project, but as long as he continues not to turn the ball over, then Oakland seems like a solid play here at home.
 
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FantasySportsGametime

Sunday MLB Plays

MLB Baseball


25* Play Atlanta (-180) over Washington (MLB PLAY)

Washington has lost 9 of the last 11 games and Livan Hernandez is 6-15 vs. Atlanta over his career with an ERA of 5.12.



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25* Play Kansas City (-175) over Minnesota (MLB PLAY)



Zack Greinke has won 16 of the last 20 home games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he is also 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 0.50.
 

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SEPTEMBER 27 2009
FRANK PATRON 20000 UNIT AFC WINNER:dancefool


FRANK PATRON
20000 UNIT AFC WINNER
NY JETS -2


Can anyone confirm Budin is on Ariz. Cards. today?:cripwalk:
 

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Steven Budin-CEO
Steven Budin-CEO SUNDAY'S PICK NEW YORK CREW

25 DIME RELEASE

Arizona


Note: This line is mainly -2 1/2 with an occasional -3 as I release it on Saturday morning.

If your price is -3, go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 to insure you get a win should Arizona only prevail by a field goal at home.

Should this line escalate to -3 1/2 by kickoff, you would naturally buy down the 1/2 point to -3 to make sure you get a push should the final margin of victory for Arizona be only a field goal.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry: we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in these cases.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.


JUST TO MOVE THIS FYI ALONG, SEE WHERE IT SAYS SUNDAY
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Michigan State ( 3) and Navy (-29) but hit with Rutgers (pick 'em) Saturday.

Today it's the Falcons. The surplus is 1,140 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo made a modest gain on the deficit last night, hitting with Rutgers and Purdue to overwhelm his set back with the Phillies and cut his losses to 1,375 many nards.

Today, it's another triple dip -- 10 units apiece on the Jets, Steelers and Cardinals.
 

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Brian Steinberg

DETROIT +6½ over Washington PINNACLE

No, this has nothing to do with the “due to win” angle. Yes, the Lions have dropped 19 in a row but they’re not far off from that illusive win and this could certainly be the week they get it. They’ll be no Drew Brees to contend with and there will be no Adrian Peterson either. After facing the Saints passing game and the Vikes running game, this one should appear in slow motion for the Lions. Instead the Leo’s will have to contend with a Skins offense that scored nine points at home last week against the woeful Rams. Washington has averaged a measly 12 points a game over its last 10 outings and what we have here is a case of “Dead Offensive Coordinator Walking”. Remember, the Lions jumped ahead of the Vikes last week 10-0 before two turnovers turned the game around. However, the Lions have shown signs of life and despite four picks already, Matthew Stafford looks like he belongs. The Lions offense is dangerous and getting better. This team is starved for a win and hopefully they can smell it here. The Skins are ripe as hell and after watching the Cowboys chew up the Giants last Monday, the Skins 23-17 loss to the G-Men in week one suddenly looks a lot worse. For a team that averages 12 points a match over a significant stretch of games, laying 6½ on the road cannot be recommended. Lions outright. Play: Detroit +6½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).



CINCINNATI +1.70 over Pittsburgh Sports Interaction

The Bengals lost a heartbreaker in the season’s first game that could have lingered the whole year. Instead they responded as a 9-point dog at Lambeau and beat the Pack outright. That could have been a coming of age moment for this talented team, as they had lost 13 of its last 16 road games prior to last week. The Bengals defense looks solid, Carson Palmer looks terrific, the running game is working and when you put that all together it amounts to a squad that could make some serious noise. Again, last week just might have been a defining moment for them. Meanwhile, the Steelers are suddenly very beatable with an offensive line that is in complete shambles. The D-line is not getting any pressure at all on opposing QB’s and they virtually have no running game. Of course, the Steelers can never be counted out but when you break it down, a team that can’t run, can’t defend, can’t protect its QB and can’t put pressure on the oppositions, it sure as hell doesn’t warrant laying road points. The Bengals have to be sick of being the Steelers whipping boys and this week they seriously have a great chance to turn those tables around. Keep the points. Play: Cincinnati +1.70 (Risking 2 units).



NEW ENGLAND –4 over Atlanta Sports Interaction

In the world of the NFL there is always a right time to “step in” and that almost always occurs when everyone else is stepping out. Enter the Patriots, a team that should be 0-2 after playing the Bills and Jets, not exactly the cream of the crop. Lots of folks ripped their tickets on the Pats the past two weeks and those same frustrated folks want no part of this team. On the other side of that coin are the folks that have cashed consecutive weeks when holding a ticket on the Falcons. This team is 2-0 and suddenly the Falcons are the team that is attracting money and that works just beautifully. In other words, those that now want to wager on the Falcons missed out and those that hammered the Pats did it too early. This is precisely the right time to play the Pats and/or go against the Falcons. What is almost a guarantee is Bill Belichick has spent 24-hours a day prepping for this one. Nobody hates to lose more than him and he’ll have his team as ready as they’ve ever been. So, for all you stat geeks, forget about it all. The Patriots will be ready and raring to go and after two very sub-par performances, you can expect a serious 60-minutes of football from the preseason favorites to win it all. Play: New England –4 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).



Tennessee +1.20 over NY JETS PINNACLE

This situation almost mirrors the Falcons/Pats game in that the Jets are suddenly attracting a lot of smart money. They’re now 2-0 and have looked near flawless against Houston and New England. The Titans are 0-2 after losing to Pitt and the same Texans team the Jets walloped. Yet, the oddsmakers have made the Jets a very small favorite in their own barn and that alone should raise flags. Furthermore, Rex Ryan, the Jets new rookie coach is getting way too cocky and shooting off way too much smack. That seldom works out well and you can double that against the cool and composed Jeff Fisher. Ryan was talking trash all week before the Patriots game and the Jets responded. When the 49ers accused the Jets with tampering last week, Rex Ryan responded by saying, “I wish we were playing them”. For a rookie coach, you just can’t keep shooting your pie-hole off and get away with it, not in this league. The Titans are an extremely talented team that will very likely respond big time. The Jets will face a team for the first time that can run the ball down the opposition’s throat. Throw in the letdown factor after huge win over the Pats and what we have here is another strong case of stepping in at the right time against a team that is grabbing all the headlines. Play: Tennessee +1.20 (Risking 2 units).



ARIZONA –2½ over Indianapolis PINNACLE

If the Dolphins and its pedestrian offense shredded the Colts, one can only imagine what the Cardinals potent attack will do. To make matter worse for the Colts, they’ll travel across the country on a short week and that seldom works out well. Yeah, Peyton Manning will likely get his points but this Indy team appears to be very beatable this season. They can’t run the ball and as a result the offense, when it does score, scores quickly, leaving the defense out on the field for far too long throughout the course of a game. Arizona was a little flat in week one but they really came to life last week in Jacksonville, making the Jags look like a bad college team. Kurt Warner was near flawless and when he gets time, which he should easily get here, he has perhaps the deadliest core of targets in the business. Despite being 2-0, the Colts could easily be 0-2 after beating the Jags by two and pulling out a win last week in Miami in a game they were completely dominated in. Indy’s charmed life is about to hit a roadblock. Play: Arizona –2½ (Risking 2.28 units to win 2).
 

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