MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews
LAS VEGAS -- The Kansas City Royals are the hottest team in baseball, riding a five-game winning streak, which matches their second-best streak of the season. Tonight they'll try to keep the roll going behind James Shields, who is a -138 favorite over the visiting San Francisco Giants and Tim Hudson.
After beating the Giants 4-2 last night, the Royals (61-53) have now won 13 of their last 16 games to take over the second AL wild card spot as well as pull them within 2.5 games of AL Central leading Detroit.
This was a team that lost their first four games after the All-Star break and were about to be written off as a contender. They battled back in a similar fashion from early June when they won 10 in a row. After briefly taking over first-place in the Central, they proceeded to lose four straight and seven of nine and it looked like they were done.
But here they are again making a run, perhaps learning from the June swoon, and have been dropped from 50-to-1 down to 40-to-1 in odds to win the World Series at the LVH SuperBook.
Can they sustain the run and really make a charge at Detroit for the AL Central crown? Sure why not? But making the World Series for the first time since 1985 -- also their last playoff appearance -- seems like a tall task. I'll root for them to get there, though. They would be the story of the playoffs if they make it.
The real question is 'can they win tonight'? Absolutely! One of the best things about betting baseball is riding the streaks. It's almost as important as who is pitching for each squad. A streaking team does all the little things right and seems to get base hits off of choppers and flares, while a team slumping has everything go against them.
Last night is the perfect example of a slumping team not getting the breaks. The Giants, losers of three of their last four and 10 of their past 15, had countless scoring opportunities with 12 hits in the game, but only plated two runs and lost again.
Tim Hudson (8-8, 2.74 ERA) had a great first half of the season, but San Francisco has lost six of his last nine starts and he's recorded only one win while taking six losses over that span. He's only been really bad in two of those starts, while allowing three runs or fewer in six others. However, between the bats routinely failing him and not getting the breaks, going against Hudson lately has been the winning move.
Kansas City's James Shields (10-6, 3.43) has almost the same type of numbers as Hudson over his last nine starts, but he's the one who started their current five-game win streak with an outstanding pitching performance at Oakland on Sunday, a 4-2 win where he allowed only four hits and two runs over eight innings to win the series. They haven't lost since. Keep riding the streak.
Saturday selections:
Royals (Shields) -138 vs. Giants
Dodgers (Greinke) -130 at Brewers
Orioles (Jimenez) -101 vs. Cardinals