CFL
Week 7
Ottawa (1-4) Calgary (4-1)-- RedBlacks are 0-3 on road (0-3 as road dogs) losing away games by 8-16-11 points- their losses in games where their turnover margin was worse than +2 were by 16-11-24 points- they trailed Riders 32-7 at half last week at home. Stampeders lost 25-24 at home to BC last week after a 4-0 start; they're 1-2 as home favorites- their last three games overall were all decided by 4 or less points. Calgary turned ball over three times (-2) last week after turning it over total of twice (+5) in its four wins. This is first time Ottawa has been dog of more than seven points, as linemaker reacts to last week's blowout loss.
Week 7
Ottawa (1-4) Calgary (4-1)-- RedBlacks are 0-3 on road (0-3 as road dogs) losing away games by 8-16-11 points- their losses in games where their turnover margin was worse than +2 were by 16-11-24 points- they trailed Riders 32-7 at half last week at home. Stampeders lost 25-24 at home to BC last week after a 4-0 start; they're 1-2 as home favorites- their last three games overall were all decided by 4 or less points. Calgary turned ball over three times (-2) last week after turning it over total of twice (+5) in its four wins. This is first time Ottawa has been dog of more than seven points, as linemaker reacts to last week's blowout loss.
PGA - 3rd Round odds
The first two rounds of the 2014 PGA Championship are finished as Rory McIlroy has climbed atop the leaderboard at Valhalla Golf Club by shooting a 9-under par.
The oddsmakers have updated their odds as McIlroy is listed at -110 (Bet $110 to win $100) to win his second major in as many months.
Jason Day (6/1) and Jim Furyk (15/2) are each one stroke behind McIlroy, while Rickie Fowler (6/1) is in a three-way tie for third at 7-under par.
McIlroy closed as a 5/1 choice prior to the tournament and he’s still the betting favorite, while Day opened the tournament at 50/1 odds to grab his first major victory.
Odds to win 2014 PGA Championship
Rory McIlroy 10/11
Jason Day 6/1
Rickie Fowler 6/1
Jim Furyk 15/2
Phil Mickelson 12/1
Henrik Stenson 22/1
Ryan Palmer 33/1
Lee Westwood 35/1
Mikko Ilonen 45/1
Steve Stricker 50/1
Graham DeLaet 50/1
Victor Dubuisson 50/1
Louis Oosthuizen 60/1
Bernd Wiesberger 80/1
Adam Scott 80/1
Joost Luiten 100/1
Nick Watney 150/1
Billy Horschel 200/1
Jamie Donaldson 200/1
Sergio Garcia 200/1
Matt Jones 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
The first two rounds of the 2014 PGA Championship are finished as Rory McIlroy has climbed atop the leaderboard at Valhalla Golf Club by shooting a 9-under par.
The oddsmakers have updated their odds as McIlroy is listed at -110 (Bet $110 to win $100) to win his second major in as many months.
Jason Day (6/1) and Jim Furyk (15/2) are each one stroke behind McIlroy, while Rickie Fowler (6/1) is in a three-way tie for third at 7-under par.
McIlroy closed as a 5/1 choice prior to the tournament and he’s still the betting favorite, while Day opened the tournament at 50/1 odds to grab his first major victory.
Odds to win 2014 PGA Championship
Rory McIlroy 10/11
Jason Day 6/1
Rickie Fowler 6/1
Jim Furyk 15/2
Phil Mickelson 12/1
Henrik Stenson 22/1
Ryan Palmer 33/1
Lee Westwood 35/1
Mikko Ilonen 45/1
Steve Stricker 50/1
Graham DeLaet 50/1
Victor Dubuisson 50/1
Louis Oosthuizen 60/1
Bernd Wiesberger 80/1
Adam Scott 80/1
Joost Luiten 100/1
Nick Watney 150/1
Billy Horschel 200/1
Jamie Donaldson 200/1
Sergio Garcia 200/1
Matt Jones 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
A couple of close losses last night, which shows why I don't bet big on preseason. The Raiders went for a two point conversion late in the fourth quarter and failed at that, which gave us a loss instead of a push if they kicked the extra point. The Dolphins also fumbled a snap deep in the red zone late vs Atlanta, where any points would have given us a winner. The Saints picked up a cover for us in a 26-24 win. Just one pick today in a smaller preseason board...
IMPORTANT - Please note that I don't bet much at all on my preseason picks. There are too many "unknowns" in the preseason, so I keep my bets small. I also don't keep my preseason record towards my yearly record, as I bet a fraction of the amount on these preseason picks.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Giants - GIANTS -2.5 (-120)
IMPORTANT - Please note that I don't bet much at all on my preseason picks. There are too many "unknowns" in the preseason, so I keep my bets small. I also don't keep my preseason record towards my yearly record, as I bet a fraction of the amount on these preseason picks.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Giants - GIANTS -2.5 (-120)
he Astros scored 3 runs in the bottom of the 8th inning to go up by 2 runs, but gave one back in the top of the ninth. We split our picks as they won but couldn't cover the run line for a nice payout for us. Today I'll be in Toronto taking in a game between the Tigers and the Blue Jays. It should be a great game with two solid starters going at it. My play for tonight comes in the last game of the night... 2 UNIT = Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners - MARINERS -1.5 (+135)
Listed Pitchers: Noesi vs Paxton
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.70 units)
The Mariners have won 4 straight games and 6 of their last 8 overall. They are 61-54 on the season and 30-31 at home. The White Sox have dropped 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games overall to fall to 55-62 on the year and 26-34 on the road. This series started on Thursday night and so far the Mariners have won the first two games by a combined score of 17-4. The White Sox have scored just 5 runs over their last 4 games. Hector Noesi will be on the mound for Chicago and he is 6-8 with a 4.97 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. On the road he is 2-4 with a 5.36 ERA, and although he had a good start his last time out, he had a 5.50 ERA in July. James Paxton will take the mound for the Mariners and the southpaw is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA over his first 3 starts. So far batters are hitting just .175 against him. Note that the White Sox are just 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs a left handed starter, and 1-4 in Noesi's last 5 road starts. The Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite, and 4-0 in Paxton's last 4 starts. Seattle is also 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings vs the White Sox. Look for the Mariners to continue to roll tonight - I'm taking them by 2 or more at a nice +135 price.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ N.Y. Yankees - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Kluber vs. McCarthy
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
There was a huge price swing yesterday, as the Giants went from fairly decent favorites to underdogs. They outhit the Royals 12 to 7 but 3 errors did them in. I look to break out of a mini-slump today in New York.
I have featured Corey Kluber numerous times recently and for good reason. I don't feel as if his success this season has been a fluke. He knows that if he can keep this up and carry it into next season a big pay increase will be on the horizon. He's been great against some really good offenses, such as the Tigers and Blue Jays, so Kluber has earned every bit of what he's accomplished. He enters this afternoon with a 2.55 ERA, which equals his ERA on the road, 2.55. His latest starts are dazzling and showcase why he is the hottest pitcher in the majors today. In Kluber's last three starts he has pitched for a 0.36 ERA, 0.51 WHIP, and .149 OBP. After handicapping all season long, I think that is the best stretch of numbers I have come across without a doubt. Brandon McCarthy since coming over from the Diamondbacks has made himself feel right at home quickly in Yankee Stadium. In five starts with the Yanks he's given up 1, 1, 1, 4 and no runs. All of his quality starts coming at home. He has a perfect 3-0 record in New York and averaging just over a run per game with an ERA of 1.02. Interesting pitching matchup here that has two of the hottest pitchers in the majors dueling off. McCarthy's first start as a Yankee was against the Indians, where he held them to only 1 run. With statistics on our side I'll be taking the UNDER 7.5 for early Saturday afternoon.
Cheers,
Kevin
Listed Pitchers: Noesi vs Paxton
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.70 units)
The Mariners have won 4 straight games and 6 of their last 8 overall. They are 61-54 on the season and 30-31 at home. The White Sox have dropped 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games overall to fall to 55-62 on the year and 26-34 on the road. This series started on Thursday night and so far the Mariners have won the first two games by a combined score of 17-4. The White Sox have scored just 5 runs over their last 4 games. Hector Noesi will be on the mound for Chicago and he is 6-8 with a 4.97 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. On the road he is 2-4 with a 5.36 ERA, and although he had a good start his last time out, he had a 5.50 ERA in July. James Paxton will take the mound for the Mariners and the southpaw is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA over his first 3 starts. So far batters are hitting just .175 against him. Note that the White Sox are just 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs a left handed starter, and 1-4 in Noesi's last 5 road starts. The Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite, and 4-0 in Paxton's last 4 starts. Seattle is also 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings vs the White Sox. Look for the Mariners to continue to roll tonight - I'm taking them by 2 or more at a nice +135 price.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ N.Y. Yankees - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Kluber vs. McCarthy
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
There was a huge price swing yesterday, as the Giants went from fairly decent favorites to underdogs. They outhit the Royals 12 to 7 but 3 errors did them in. I look to break out of a mini-slump today in New York.
I have featured Corey Kluber numerous times recently and for good reason. I don't feel as if his success this season has been a fluke. He knows that if he can keep this up and carry it into next season a big pay increase will be on the horizon. He's been great against some really good offenses, such as the Tigers and Blue Jays, so Kluber has earned every bit of what he's accomplished. He enters this afternoon with a 2.55 ERA, which equals his ERA on the road, 2.55. His latest starts are dazzling and showcase why he is the hottest pitcher in the majors today. In Kluber's last three starts he has pitched for a 0.36 ERA, 0.51 WHIP, and .149 OBP. After handicapping all season long, I think that is the best stretch of numbers I have come across without a doubt. Brandon McCarthy since coming over from the Diamondbacks has made himself feel right at home quickly in Yankee Stadium. In five starts with the Yanks he's given up 1, 1, 1, 4 and no runs. All of his quality starts coming at home. He has a perfect 3-0 record in New York and averaging just over a run per game with an ERA of 1.02. Interesting pitching matchup here that has two of the hottest pitchers in the majors dueling off. McCarthy's first start as a Yankee was against the Indians, where he held them to only 1 run. With statistics on our side I'll be taking the UNDER 7.5 for early Saturday afternoon.
Cheers,
Kevin
StatSystemsSports
Rounding The Bases – Saturday
#963 CLEVELAND @ #964 NY YANKEES
TV: 1:05 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: Yankees +1.5, -135
After struggling at home during the first half of the season, the New York Yankees have won 11 of 15 games in the Bronx following the All-Star break. The Yankees vie for their seventh win in eight outings overall and attempt to hand the Cleveland Indians their eighth consecutive loss in New York when the teams continue their three-game series on Saturday afternoon. Carlos Beltran secured his eighth multi-hit performance in 13 outings with an RBI single in the first and his 11th career grand slam in the sixth to lead the Yankees to a 10-6 triumph in the series opener.
New York's hot streak has it five games behind first-place Baltimore in the American League East and a half-game behind Kansas City for the second wild card. Cleveland is quickly plummeting out of contention after dropping four in a row overall and seven of eight on the road to fall 7 1/2 games behind first-place Detroit in the AL Central. Carlos Santana drove in three runs in the series opener and is 3-for-8 with a homer in his career versus Saturday starter Brandon McCarthy.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.081) - Kluber collected his fifth consecutive victorious decision after allowing one run on six hits in 7 1/3 innings en route to a 7-1 triumph over Cincinnati on Monday. The 28-year-old, however, hasn't fared well versus New York in two career appearances. Kluber permitted six runs in as many innings to take the loss in his last meeting.
•Yankees RH Brandon McCarthy (7-10, 4.37 ERA, WHIP: 1.357) - McCarthy posted his sixth straight victory - and fourth for the Yankees - after allowing an unearned run in 5 2/3 innings in a 2-1 triumph over Detroit on Monday. The 31-year-old received a no-decision in his first start with New York, allowing four runs in 6 2/3 innings in the Yankees' eventual 5-4 win over Cleveland on July 9. McCarthy has pitched better since that outing, striking out 25 in his last 23 1/3 innings.
•PREGAME NOTES: New York SS Derek Jeter pulled into a tie for sixth place on the all-time hits list with Honus Wagner (3,430) by hitting safely in seven straight and 12 of his last 13 contests.... Cleveland C Yan Gomes is riding a career-high 13-game hitting streak, but is 0-for-3 versus McCarthy in his career and 1-for-13 against the Yankees this season.... Prior to the contest, New York will honor former OF Paul O'Neill with a plaque in Monument Park.
•KEY STATS
--CLEVELAND is 5-13 against the run line (-12.6 Units) in road games versus an American League team with they batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.3, OPPONENT 4.2.
--CLEVELAND is 9-17 against the run line (-15.4 Units) in road games versus a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: NY YANKEES is 12-5 (+8.1 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES is 13-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons.
--Games This Season: CLEVELAND is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the run line versus NY YANKEES this season. NY YANKEES is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND this season.
--All Games at NY YANKEES Over The Last 3 Seasons: NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+3.7 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES is 6-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons.
•RECENT TRENDS
--CLE is 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
--CLE is 0-6 L6 road games vs. a RH starter.
--CLE is 1-6 L7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
--NYY are 6-0 L6 games vs. a RH starter.
--NYY are 4-1 L5 vs. American League Central.
--NYY are 5-1 L6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Jeff Kellogg
--Over is 5-0 in Kelloggs last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Under is 6-0 in Kelloggs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
--Road team is 7-1 in Kelloggs last 8 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 7-1 in Kelloggs last 8 Saturday games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Over is 4-1 in Kelloggs last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 Saturday games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Yankees are 13-5 in their last 18 games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Over is 5-2 in Kelloggs last 7 Saturday games behind home plate.
--Under is 5-2 in Kelloggs last 7 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 14-6 in Kelloggs last 20 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
--Home team is 16-7 in Kelloggs last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - American League team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL.
(32-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +30.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3, money line price: +132
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 24 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8, +13.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-34, +26.5 units).
**StatSystemsSports Prediction: Yankees 4, Indians 3
__________________________________________________
Rounding The Bases – Saturday
#963 CLEVELAND @ #964 NY YANKEES
TV: 1:05 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: Yankees +1.5, -135
After struggling at home during the first half of the season, the New York Yankees have won 11 of 15 games in the Bronx following the All-Star break. The Yankees vie for their seventh win in eight outings overall and attempt to hand the Cleveland Indians their eighth consecutive loss in New York when the teams continue their three-game series on Saturday afternoon. Carlos Beltran secured his eighth multi-hit performance in 13 outings with an RBI single in the first and his 11th career grand slam in the sixth to lead the Yankees to a 10-6 triumph in the series opener.
New York's hot streak has it five games behind first-place Baltimore in the American League East and a half-game behind Kansas City for the second wild card. Cleveland is quickly plummeting out of contention after dropping four in a row overall and seven of eight on the road to fall 7 1/2 games behind first-place Detroit in the AL Central. Carlos Santana drove in three runs in the series opener and is 3-for-8 with a homer in his career versus Saturday starter Brandon McCarthy.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (12-6, 2.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.081) - Kluber collected his fifth consecutive victorious decision after allowing one run on six hits in 7 1/3 innings en route to a 7-1 triumph over Cincinnati on Monday. The 28-year-old, however, hasn't fared well versus New York in two career appearances. Kluber permitted six runs in as many innings to take the loss in his last meeting.
•Yankees RH Brandon McCarthy (7-10, 4.37 ERA, WHIP: 1.357) - McCarthy posted his sixth straight victory - and fourth for the Yankees - after allowing an unearned run in 5 2/3 innings in a 2-1 triumph over Detroit on Monday. The 31-year-old received a no-decision in his first start with New York, allowing four runs in 6 2/3 innings in the Yankees' eventual 5-4 win over Cleveland on July 9. McCarthy has pitched better since that outing, striking out 25 in his last 23 1/3 innings.
•PREGAME NOTES: New York SS Derek Jeter pulled into a tie for sixth place on the all-time hits list with Honus Wagner (3,430) by hitting safely in seven straight and 12 of his last 13 contests.... Cleveland C Yan Gomes is riding a career-high 13-game hitting streak, but is 0-for-3 versus McCarthy in his career and 1-for-13 against the Yankees this season.... Prior to the contest, New York will honor former OF Paul O'Neill with a plaque in Monument Park.
•KEY STATS
--CLEVELAND is 5-13 against the run line (-12.6 Units) in road games versus an American League team with they batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.3, OPPONENT 4.2.
--CLEVELAND is 9-17 against the run line (-15.4 Units) in road games versus a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: NY YANKEES is 12-5 (+8.1 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES is 13-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons.
--Games This Season: CLEVELAND is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the run line versus NY YANKEES this season. NY YANKEES is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND this season.
--All Games at NY YANKEES Over The Last 3 Seasons: NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+3.7 Units) against the run line versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons. NY YANKEES is 6-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons.
•RECENT TRENDS
--CLE is 1-7 in their last 8 road games.
--CLE is 0-6 L6 road games vs. a RH starter.
--CLE is 1-6 L7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
--NYY are 6-0 L6 games vs. a RH starter.
--NYY are 4-1 L5 vs. American League Central.
--NYY are 5-1 L6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Jeff Kellogg
--Over is 5-0 in Kelloggs last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Indians are 8-0 in their last 8 games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Under is 6-0 in Kelloggs last 6 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
--Road team is 7-1 in Kelloggs last 8 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 7-1 in Kelloggs last 8 Saturday games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Over is 4-1 in Kelloggs last 5 Saturday games behind home plate vs. New York.
--Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 Saturday games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Yankees are 13-5 in their last 18 games with Kellogg behind home plate.
--Over is 5-2 in Kelloggs last 7 Saturday games behind home plate.
--Under is 5-2 in Kelloggs last 7 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 14-6 in Kelloggs last 20 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.
--Home team is 16-7 in Kelloggs last 23 games behind home plate vs. New York.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - American League team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL.
(32-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +30.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (31-13 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.3, money line price: +132
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 24 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-8, +13.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (51-34, +26.5 units).
**StatSystemsSports Prediction: Yankees 4, Indians 3
__________________________________________________
BeatYourBookie
SATURDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play San Francisco +110 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
San Francisco is 50-34 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
San Francisco is 33-23 in road games this season
San Francisco is 10-3 vs. AL Central Division Opponents
10* Play Washington -110 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of August
Washington is 64-39 in road games when the line posted is -100 to -150
Washington is 109-82 vs. division opponents the last three seasons
=============================================
5* Play Detroit -110 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Tampa Bay -120 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PL
SATURDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play San Francisco +110 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
San Francisco is 50-34 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
San Francisco is 33-23 in road games this season
San Francisco is 10-3 vs. AL Central Division Opponents
10* Play Washington -110 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of August
Washington is 64-39 in road games when the line posted is -100 to -150
Washington is 109-82 vs. division opponents the last three seasons
=============================================
5* Play Detroit -110 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Tampa Bay -120 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PL
MLB betting cheat sheet: McCarthy sensational for Yankees
Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league games:
Feeling Low
Thursday saw the unders dominate, as teams combined to go 4-9 over/under. That has been the trend over the past 30 days, with 185 unders (53.47 percent) in that stretch compared to just 161 overs (46.53 percent).
Straight A's
The Oakland Athletics are the biggest favorite of the day Friday, coming in at -225 for their game against the visiting Minnesota Twins. Being a heavy fave has produced only modestly positive results for the A's, who are 11-7 straight up in games in which they are installed at -180 or better.
McCarthy Era in the Bronx
Brandon McCarthy looks to continue his impressive run as a New York Yankee on Saturday as he faces off against Corey Kluber and the Cleveland Indians. McCarthy is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining the Yankees in a trade with Arizona.
Price Check for Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays could be in a world of trouble Sunday as they face David Price and the Detroit Tigers. Price, who was dealt to Detroit at the non-waiver deadline, is 15-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 19 career starts against Toronto.
Pitching Notes
* Washington right-hander Stephen Strasburg will look to build off a strong outing last time out as he and the Nationals (-108, 6.5) visit Atlanta. Strasburg threw seven shutout innings to beat Philadelphia Sunday, ending a three-game losing streak.
* The Houston Astros may have a problem making solid contact Saturday as they face Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Darvish has been masterful in eight career starts against the Astros, racking up 80 strikeouts in just 57 innings.
* Low-scoring road games have been the norm for Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez. The Washington veteran is 2-7 O/U over his last nine starts away from Nationals Park going into Sunday's game in Atlanta.
Hitting Notes
* Chicago Cubs infielder Javier Baez has adjusted well to the major leagues. The 21-year-old belted a pair of home runs in Thursday's victory over Colorado and has gone deep three times in his first three games entering Friday's tilt with Tampa Bay (-122).
* New York Mets third baseman David Wright could be in for a good day Saturday against Cole Hamels and the Philadelphia Phillies. Wright has dominated Hamels in their head-to-head history, batting .329 with five homers and 16 RBIs over 76 at-bats.
* Don't expect to see many free passes issued by Mark Buehrle on Sunday as he leads the Blue Jays against the Tigers. Members of the Detroit roster have combined for just seven walks in 256 at-bats versus Buehrle; Miguel Cabrera is the only player with more than two.
Totals Streak
Miami Marlins (4-0 O/U): The Marlins have re-established themselves as the strongest Over play in the majors after allowing seven runs in three of their previous four games. The recent surge moves Miami to 63-43-8 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
Bettors who believe in the Athletics can get +260 on them to win by more than three runs. Oakland has far and away the best run differential in the majors, while Friday starter Scott Kazmir is 6-2 with a 1.92 ERA in 10 home starts.
Injury Notes
* The Toronto Blue Jays have placed infielder Brett Lawrie back on the disabled list - this time with a strained oblique that will likely keep him out until September. Lawrie has already missed 45 games this season; Toronto is 22-23 SU, 21-22-2 O/U and -169 units in those contests.
* Cincinnati Reds second baseman Brandon Phillips has been cleared to swing a bat as he continues his recovery from a thumb injury. Phillips has missed the last 28 games, during which the Reds have gone 12-16 SU, 12-15-1 O/U and -494 units.
Weather Watch
* Fans at Wrigley Field will see wind blowing in from center field at 9 mph for Friday's game between the Cubs and Rays. Teams combined to average .246 and two home runs in 10 games under similar conditions a season ago - slightly below stadium averages.
Umpire Stat of the Day
Under is 17-3 in umpire Ed Hickox's last 20 games behind home plate involving Oakland. Hickox will call the balls and strikes Friday when the Athletics host Minnesota.
** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 11:05 a.m. ET Friday.
Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league games:
Feeling Low
Thursday saw the unders dominate, as teams combined to go 4-9 over/under. That has been the trend over the past 30 days, with 185 unders (53.47 percent) in that stretch compared to just 161 overs (46.53 percent).
Straight A's
The Oakland Athletics are the biggest favorite of the day Friday, coming in at -225 for their game against the visiting Minnesota Twins. Being a heavy fave has produced only modestly positive results for the A's, who are 11-7 straight up in games in which they are installed at -180 or better.
McCarthy Era in the Bronx
Brandon McCarthy looks to continue his impressive run as a New York Yankee on Saturday as he faces off against Corey Kluber and the Cleveland Indians. McCarthy is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining the Yankees in a trade with Arizona.
Price Check for Blue Jays
The Toronto Blue Jays could be in a world of trouble Sunday as they face David Price and the Detroit Tigers. Price, who was dealt to Detroit at the non-waiver deadline, is 15-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 19 career starts against Toronto.
Pitching Notes
* Washington right-hander Stephen Strasburg will look to build off a strong outing last time out as he and the Nationals (-108, 6.5) visit Atlanta. Strasburg threw seven shutout innings to beat Philadelphia Sunday, ending a three-game losing streak.
* The Houston Astros may have a problem making solid contact Saturday as they face Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Darvish has been masterful in eight career starts against the Astros, racking up 80 strikeouts in just 57 innings.
* Low-scoring road games have been the norm for Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez. The Washington veteran is 2-7 O/U over his last nine starts away from Nationals Park going into Sunday's game in Atlanta.
Hitting Notes
* Chicago Cubs infielder Javier Baez has adjusted well to the major leagues. The 21-year-old belted a pair of home runs in Thursday's victory over Colorado and has gone deep three times in his first three games entering Friday's tilt with Tampa Bay (-122).
* New York Mets third baseman David Wright could be in for a good day Saturday against Cole Hamels and the Philadelphia Phillies. Wright has dominated Hamels in their head-to-head history, batting .329 with five homers and 16 RBIs over 76 at-bats.
* Don't expect to see many free passes issued by Mark Buehrle on Sunday as he leads the Blue Jays against the Tigers. Members of the Detroit roster have combined for just seven walks in 256 at-bats versus Buehrle; Miguel Cabrera is the only player with more than two.
Totals Streak
Miami Marlins (4-0 O/U): The Marlins have re-established themselves as the strongest Over play in the majors after allowing seven runs in three of their previous four games. The recent surge moves Miami to 63-43-8 O/U for the season.
Prop of the Day
Bettors who believe in the Athletics can get +260 on them to win by more than three runs. Oakland has far and away the best run differential in the majors, while Friday starter Scott Kazmir is 6-2 with a 1.92 ERA in 10 home starts.
Injury Notes
* The Toronto Blue Jays have placed infielder Brett Lawrie back on the disabled list - this time with a strained oblique that will likely keep him out until September. Lawrie has already missed 45 games this season; Toronto is 22-23 SU, 21-22-2 O/U and -169 units in those contests.
* Cincinnati Reds second baseman Brandon Phillips has been cleared to swing a bat as he continues his recovery from a thumb injury. Phillips has missed the last 28 games, during which the Reds have gone 12-16 SU, 12-15-1 O/U and -494 units.
Weather Watch
* Fans at Wrigley Field will see wind blowing in from center field at 9 mph for Friday's game between the Cubs and Rays. Teams combined to average .246 and two home runs in 10 games under similar conditions a season ago - slightly below stadium averages.
Umpire Stat of the Day
Under is 17-3 in umpire Ed Hickox's last 20 games behind home plate involving Oakland. Hickox will call the balls and strikes Friday when the Athletics host Minnesota.
** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 11:05 a.m. ET Friday.
Cahill back in starting rotation at right time
Justin Hartling
Trevor Cahill has spent most of the season in the bullpen for the Arizona Diamondbacks, but he is getting a start against the Colorado Rockies Saturday. Cahill should be overjoyed as he has been strong against the Rockies leading to six consecutive unders.
Cahill has only allowed 15 runs in his past six starts which averages 2.5 runs per game.
Justin Hartling
Trevor Cahill has spent most of the season in the bullpen for the Arizona Diamondbacks, but he is getting a start against the Colorado Rockies Saturday. Cahill should be overjoyed as he has been strong against the Rockies leading to six consecutive unders.
Cahill has only allowed 15 runs in his past six starts which averages 2.5 runs per game.
Pitcher completely dominantes next opponent
Justin Hartling
The Detroit Tigers are going to send Max Scherzer to the mound, much to the chagrin of the Toronto Blue Jays. Scherzer has dominated the Blue Jays and bettors have profited with four straight unders.
Scherzer has held the Blue Jays to less than two runs in all of his previous four starts while striking out at least eight in three of those games.
Justin Hartling
The Detroit Tigers are going to send Max Scherzer to the mound, much to the chagrin of the Toronto Blue Jays. Scherzer has dominated the Blue Jays and bettors have profited with four straight unders.
Scherzer has held the Blue Jays to less than two runs in all of his previous four starts while striking out at least eight in three of those games.
Buchholz facing a tough task against this team
Justin Hartling
Clay Buchholz has not shown his top stuff against the Los Angeles Angels. Bettors have enjoyed this, as the Boston Red Sox and the Angels have gone over in Buchholz last four starts.
Buchholz has allowed 17 runs, average of 4.25 runs per game, in those four starts. The Sox and Angels have averaged 11 runs in those four starts.
Justin Hartling
Clay Buchholz has not shown his top stuff against the Los Angeles Angels. Bettors have enjoyed this, as the Boston Red Sox and the Angels have gone over in Buchholz last four starts.
Buchholz has allowed 17 runs, average of 4.25 runs per game, in those four starts. The Sox and Angels have averaged 11 runs in those four starts.
Pitcher playing well, but team not helping
Justin Hartling
The San Diego Padres send Eric Stults to the mound Saturday and he must be hoping for some support. The Padres have gone 2-9 in Stults' last 11 starts for the Padres.
Stults has only given up three runs per game, but seven times the Padres offense has scored less than two runs.
Justin Hartling
The San Diego Padres send Eric Stults to the mound Saturday and he must be hoping for some support. The Padres have gone 2-9 in Stults' last 11 starts for the Padres.
Stults has only given up three runs per game, but seven times the Padres offense has scored less than two runs.
StatFox Super Situations
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
35-12 since 1997. ( 74.5% | 21.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
122-43 since 1997. ( 73.9% | 0.0 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
9-4 this year. ( 69.2% | 4.6 units )
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
35-12 since 1997. ( 74.5% | 21.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
122-43 since 1997. ( 73.9% | 0.0 units )
6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 0.0 units )
WNBA | MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 2 straight games
67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
9-4 this year. ( 69.2% | 4.6 units )
XpertPicks
SATURDAY
TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Pittsburgh has lost 4 consecutive preseason non-conference games against the spread and they have lost 6 of the last 7 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.Pittsburgh has lost 25 of the last 36 preseason games when playing as an underdog and they only averaged 14 points a game on offense in preseason games last season.
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TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS
SATURDAY
TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
- Play New York Giants -2.5 over Pittsburgh---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Pittsburgh has lost 4 consecutive preseason non-conference games against the spread and they have lost 6 of the last 7 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.Pittsburgh has lost 25 of the last 36 preseason games when playing as an underdog and they only averaged 14 points a game on offense in preseason games last season.
- Play Detroit -1 over Cleveland---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
- Play Tennessee -2 over Green Bay---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
- Play Arizona -2 over Houston---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
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TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS
- Play Calgary -13.5 over Ottawa----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
XpertPicks
SATURDAY BASEBALL
Tanner Roark has won 12 of the last 18 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 9 of the last 12 games vs. division opponents. Tanner Roark is 2-0 vs. Atlanta over his career with an ERA of 3.18 and he has won two of the last three overall starts with an ERA of 3.10.
Tim Hudson has won 52 of the last 69 games when pitching in the month of August and he has won 28 of the last 42 night games. Tim Hudson has won 37 of the last 55 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 2.20 in road games this season.
SATURDAY BASEBALL
- Play Washington -110 over Atlanta----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
Tanner Roark has won 12 of the last 18 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 9 of the last 12 games vs. division opponents. Tanner Roark is 2-0 vs. Atlanta over his career with an ERA of 3.18 and he has won two of the last three overall starts with an ERA of 3.10.
- Play San Francisco +120 over Kansas City----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST
Tim Hudson has won 52 of the last 69 games when pitching in the month of August and he has won 28 of the last 42 night games. Tim Hudson has won 37 of the last 55 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 2.20 in road games this season.
MLB
'Unbeaten Streaks!'
When NY Yankees pit Brandon McCarthy against Cleveland's Corey Kluber the hurlers will be putting unbeaten streaks on the line. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA last three and 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining Yankees (5-0 TSR). Kluber is 2-0 his last three with a miniscule 0.36 ERA (2-1 TSR) and 5-0 with a 1.68 ERA during the past six starts (5-1 TSR). Baseball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on performance. Those whose focus is baseball betting have certainly done so, and have come up with the fact that McCarthy`s string of success actually started during his last two games with D-Backs and will head to the mound undefeated in seven with a perfect 7-0 team start record over the span. They`ve also uncovered the fact, Tribe have a history of struggling with Kluber during the month of August posting a 1-7 mark and enter the contest 0-2 in the hurlers two career starts vs New York. Evidence is the key in making any case, and the numbers above clearly illustrate that New York is the right choice.
'Unbeaten Streaks!'
When NY Yankees pit Brandon McCarthy against Cleveland's Corey Kluber the hurlers will be putting unbeaten streaks on the line. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA last three and 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining Yankees (5-0 TSR). Kluber is 2-0 his last three with a miniscule 0.36 ERA (2-1 TSR) and 5-0 with a 1.68 ERA during the past six starts (5-1 TSR). Baseball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on performance. Those whose focus is baseball betting have certainly done so, and have come up with the fact that McCarthy`s string of success actually started during his last two games with D-Backs and will head to the mound undefeated in seven with a perfect 7-0 team start record over the span. They`ve also uncovered the fact, Tribe have a history of struggling with Kluber during the month of August posting a 1-7 mark and enter the contest 0-2 in the hurlers two career starts vs New York. Evidence is the key in making any case, and the numbers above clearly illustrate that New York is the right choice.
Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees
When NY Yankees pit Brandon McCarthy against Cleveland's Corey Kluber the hurlers will be putting unbeaten streaks on the line. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA last three and 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining Yankees (5-0 TSR). Kluber is 2-0 his last three with a miniscule 0.36 ERA (2-1 TSR) and 5-0 with a 1.68 ERA during the past six starts (5-1 TSR). Baseball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on performance. Those whose focus is baseball betting have certainly done so, and have come up with the fact that McCarthy`s string of success actually started during his last two games with D-Backs and will head to the mound undefeated in seven with a perfect 7-0 team start record over the span. They`ve also uncovered the fact, Tribe have a history of struggling with Kluber during the month of August posting a 1-7 mark and enter the contest 0-2 in the hurlers two career starts vs New York. Evidence is the key in making any case, and the numbers above clearly illustrate that New York is the right choice.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
There is an 'Under'-Whelming chance this matchup stays Under' posted totals. Mets with it's 25th ranked offense plating 3.83 runs/game have gone 'Under' in 7 of Dillion Gee's last 10 starts (2-7-1 O/U). Phillies' 24th ranked offense crossing 3.88 per/contest have played 'Under' in 6 of Hamel's last 7 trips to the mound.
Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees
When NY Yankees pit Brandon McCarthy against Cleveland's Corey Kluber the hurlers will be putting unbeaten streaks on the line. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.55 ERA last three and 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts since joining Yankees (5-0 TSR). Kluber is 2-0 his last three with a miniscule 0.36 ERA (2-1 TSR) and 5-0 with a 1.68 ERA during the past six starts (5-1 TSR). Baseball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on performance. Those whose focus is baseball betting have certainly done so, and have come up with the fact that McCarthy`s string of success actually started during his last two games with D-Backs and will head to the mound undefeated in seven with a perfect 7-0 team start record over the span. They`ve also uncovered the fact, Tribe have a history of struggling with Kluber during the month of August posting a 1-7 mark and enter the contest 0-2 in the hurlers two career starts vs New York. Evidence is the key in making any case, and the numbers above clearly illustrate that New York is the right choice.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies
There is an 'Under'-Whelming chance this matchup stays Under' posted totals. Mets with it's 25th ranked offense plating 3.83 runs/game have gone 'Under' in 7 of Dillion Gee's last 10 starts (2-7-1 O/U). Phillies' 24th ranked offense crossing 3.88 per/contest have played 'Under' in 6 of Hamel's last 7 trips to the mound.
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | BOSTON at LA ANGELS
Play Against - Home teams (LA ANGELS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), playing on Saturday
210-210 since 1997. ( 50.0% | 90.4 units )
11-17 this year. ( 39.3% | -2.9 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | ST LOUIS at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 62-36 (+31.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.7)
MLB | BOSTON at LA ANGELS
Play Against - Home teams (LA ANGELS) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), playing on Saturday
210-210 since 1997. ( 50.0% | 90.4 units )
11-17 this year. ( 39.3% | -2.9 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | ST LOUIS at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 62-36 (+31.0 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.7)
