MLB Predictions
Seattle Mariners -1.5 +135
The Mariners have won 4 straight games and 6 of their last 8 overall. They are 61-54 on the season and 30-31 at home. The White Sox have dropped 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 games overall to fall to 55-62 on the year and 26-34 on the road. This series started on Thursday night and so far the Mariners have won the first two games by a combined score of 17-4. The White Sox have scored just 5 runs over their last 4 games. Hector Noesi will be on the mound for Chicago and he is 6-8 with a 4.97 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.45 WHIP. On the road he is 2-4 with a 5.36 ERA, and although he had a good start his last time out, he had a 5.50 ERA in July. James Paxton will take the mound for the Mariners and the southpaw is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA over his first 3 starts. So far batters are hitting just .175 against him. Note that the White Sox are just 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs a left handed starter, and 1-4 in Noesi's last 5 road starts. The Mariners are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite, and 4-0 in Paxton's last 4 starts. Seattle is also 4-1 in their last 5 home meetings vs the White Sox. Look for the Mariners to continue to roll tonight - I'm taking them by 2 or more at a nice +135 price.
Indians / Yankees Under 7.5
I have featured Corey Kluber numerous times recently and for good reason. I don't feel as if his success this season has been a fluke. He knows that if he can keep this up and carry it into next season a big pay increase will be on the horizon. He's been great against some really good offenses, such as the Tigers and Blue Jays, so Kluber has earned every bit of what he's accomplished. He enters this afternoon with a 2.55 ERA, which equals his ERA on the road, 2.55. His latest starts are dazzling and showcase why he is the hottest pitcher in the majors today. In Kluber's last three starts he has pitched for a 0.36 ERA, 0.51 WHIP, and .149 OBP. After handicapping all season long, I think that is the best stretch of numbers I have come across without a doubt. Brandon McCarthy since coming over from the Diamondbacks has made himself feel right at home quickly in Yankee Stadium. In five starts with the Yanks he's given up 1, 1, 1, 4 and no runs. All of his quality starts coming at home. He has a perfect 3-0 record in New York and averaging just over a run per game with an ERA of 1.02. Interesting pitching matchup here that has two of the hottest pitchers in the majors dueling off. McCarthy's first start as a Yankee was against the Indians, where he held them to only 1 run. With statistics on our side I'll be taking the UNDER 7.5 for early Saturday afternoon.
