Service Plays Saturday 5/24/14

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Wunderdog MLB Picks Saturday

We won again on the MLB diamond yesterday, coming in at 1-0 (with 1 push on a postponed game) for +$110. Over the last week around the bases, we are hitting 81% at 29-17 for +$2,490 for $100 players. On the season, we are +$3,185 with 62% winning days. Today I hit the bases with five premium picks.

Across all sports, we went 1-0 yesterday to lift our six month all sports mark to 156 games over .500 for a +39% bankroll return. That's an annual return of 73.8% compared to just 10% on the stock market.
Wunderdog Recent Results ($100/bet)
SportWins-LossesNetReturn
CBB577-481 last 1058 picks+$685068.5%
MLB163-145 Season-to-Date+$315031.5%
CFB130-101 last season+$267026.7%
NHL202-225 last 427 picks+$163016.3%
WNBA96-82 last 178 picks+$6406.4%
PARLAY118-65 last 183 picks+$3203.2%
TOTAL+$15260152.6%

On the MLB season our bankroll is at 131.5%. Our 31.5% gain over the past 63 days equates to an annual return of 182.5% (compared to 10% for the stock market).



Good luck to you...
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MLB: 5
NHL: 1
WNBA: 4
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Each pick is rated from 0.5 to 2.5 units (read about units). Risk 1% of your total bankroll per unit and never risk more than a few percent of your bankroll on any pick.

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Time: Saturday 05/24 3:05 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on Philadelphia +120 (moneyline) at TopBet (risk 1.0 to win 1.20)
Pick: 1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 (+100) at 5Dimes (risk 1.5 to win 1.50)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a boatload of talent from their line-up, through their rotation, and in the pen. But, they have not had the sum of the pieces equal their results. The Dodgers are just 3 games over .500, but stand 2 games under .500 in their last 18 games. The Phillies have been shutout in three of their last eight games. LA will go with Dan Haren for this one and he is off to a strong start, but he has surrendered 3 HRs in his last two starts after four consecutive outings without yielding any. He has had trouble vs. the Phillies where he owns a career record of just 1-4 with a 4.67 ERA in nine starts against them. David Buchanan will be summoned from AAA Lehigh Valley for this one, where he made seven brilliant starts out of nine, and has earned a shot here. Veteran lineups often struggle vs. a pitcher they see for the first time. The Dodgers have also been poor off a win where they are 2-7 in their last nine, and have also lost six straight after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. That situation sees the Phillies at 5-1 in their last six. The Phillies are also 5-1-1 to the UNDER when following a loss, and a perfect 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five as a home dog. The last four in this series in Philly have all stayed UNDER the total. Play Philadelphia and take the UNDER in this one.


Game: Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
Time: Saturday 05/24 7:15 PM Eastern
Pick: 1.5 units on Kansas City +105 (moneyline) at 5Dimes (risk 1.5 to win 1.58)

Kansas City is a young team that is getting closer and closer. And at one game under .500, they certainly have incentive to play hard here as they take on the LA Angels. The Angels have been an under-achieving team the last 2+ years. While they have played better this season, they are not taking advantage of their home turf where they are just 14-12 on the season. James Shields is finally getting some run support and he is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.67 on the season, and has allowed a total of 4 runs over his last three starts. Kansas City is 24-9 in his last 33 starts, including 6-1 in his last seven vs. a winning team. They're also getting it done on the road where the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts. Back Kansas City in this one.


Game: Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Time: Saturday 05/24 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on San Diego -105 (moneyline) at Bookmaker (risk 1.0 to win 0.95)

The San Diego Padres' offense took a long time to have a breakout game. The Padres were the last team in MLB to score 7 or more runs in a game, as it took them until game 37 to do so. That has changed since, as they have begun to swing the bats much better, scoring 7 or more runs four times in their last 13, including 11 in the opener vs. the lowly Cubs. Chicago has a miserable 7-16 road record on the season, and they have a long history of struggling on the road vs. a right-handed starter where they are a woeful 29-71 in their last 100 games. This is also not a team built to withstand an anticipated pitching duel, as they are 4-17 in their last 21 to a total of 6.5 or less. The Cubs are just 2-7 in their last nine here, are in a bad spot. Go with San Diego.


Game: Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
Time: Saturday 05/24 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on Seattle -110 (moneyline) at Bovada (risk 1.0 to win 0.91)

The Houston Astros continue to have the look of a AAA team. This is a team that lost 105 or more games in each of the last three seasons. At 17-32 this season, they are projecting to 106 losses this year. Houston's 17 wins include just 7 on the road. Houston is just 11-41 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning record. Put them on the road vs. a right-handed starter, and it gets even uglier as Houston is just 48-118 in their last 166 in this situation. The Mariners have stepped it up as a small to mid-sized favorite as they are 8-1 in their last nine from -110 to -150, and are on a four game winning streak as a favorite. The Astros have dropped four straight vs. the M's, and are just too shaky on the road vs. a right-hander to think about. One way to go here - play on Seattle.
 
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psychicsportspicks


PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Indiana +6.5 (WISEGUY)

WIIZARD
(1-10)

8 unit Indiana +6.5
8 unit under 183
8 unit Indiana +4 1st half

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Milwaukee -111

Iceman
(1-3)

2 unit Chicago +115

Genius
(1-10)

9 unit Atlanta -135 (MLB Game of the Year)

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

8 unit NY Yankees -105
 
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Insider Sports Report


5* N.Y. Yankees (Nuno) -110 over Chicago White Sox (Danks)
Range: +110 to -140

3* Boston (Peavy)/Tampa Bay (Price) OVER 7
Range: 6.5 to 7.5

3* Miami -6.5 over Indiana (NBA)
Range: -5 to -9
 
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Dominic Brando's Inner Circle

All Regular 1 Unit Plays:
MLB NY Yankees (Action) -120 over Chicago White Sox
MLB NY Yankees (Nuno/Danks) Over 9/-105
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -140
MLB Seattle Mariners (Action/Maurer) -125
NBA Indiana Pacers +8/-130 over Miami Heat

MLB Team Totals
NY Yankees Over 4.5 Runs
Chicago White Sox Over 4.5 Runs
Tampa Bay Over 3.5 Runs
Seattle Mariners Over 3.5 Runs
 
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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics
Time: Saturday 05/24 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Seattle +5 (-105) at 5Dimes

The Seattle Storm were once a dominant force in the WNBA, but have tapered off the last couple of years in large part due to injuries. They are coming into this game having played yesterday, and it has bumped the line. This is a team that has nine players at 16 minutes or more, and no one is playing more than 28 a night, so the lack of rest should not be a factor at all - especially at this early stage of the season. Washington has played just two games, and has not been able to get into any rhythm yet. They are also just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on no rest. The Storm has had the edge, as they are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and this one sets up right for them. Play on Seattle.

Oh Gee a free pick that is actually a premium play, where did I hear that before.

Game: Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
Time: Saturday 05/24 7:15 PM Eastern
Pick: Kansas City +105 (moneyline) at 5Dimes
Kansas City is a young team that is getting closer and closer. And at one game under .500, they certainly have incentive to play hard here as they take on the LA Angels. The Angels have been an under-achieving team the last 2+ years. While they have played better this season, they are not taking advantage of their home turf where they are just 14-12 on the season. James Shields is finally getting some run support and he is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.67 on the season, and has allowed a total of 4 runs over his last three starts. Kansas City is 24-9 in his last 33 starts, including 6-1 in his last seven vs. a winning team. They're also getting it done on the road where the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts. Back Kansas City in this one.
 
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Tapin Sports

2* UNDER 8.5 LOS ANGELES AT PHILADELPHIA (-105)

These two teams had quite the showdown last night, with Kershaw tossing a complete gem and escaping out of two runners on, no out situations in holding the Phillies to the 2-0 shutout. The Dodgers may have found their mojo recently and it has all started with the starting rotation, which has showed up huge over their current 3-1 run. Today should be a battle as Haren takes the mound looking to rebuild off his recent outings and his career history against the Phillies. Philadelphia has been struggling at home recently, losing 6 of their last 8 games played there and the team has been shutout in 3 of their last 5 games played at Citizens Bank Field. In fact, five of their last 9 games played in Philly have seen one side get shutout. The Phillies are averaging only 3.4 RPG at home in 2014, a full run less than when playing on the road. They have played to Under 8 R in 5 of their last 7 on the road, with a 9-3 mark for the Under in their last 12 away from home. UNDER is the play.

2* UNDER 7 BOSTON AT TAMPA BAY (-115)

Expect another low-scoring affair between these two teams as their bats were held completely silent yesterday and things shouldn't get any easier with Peavy squaring off against Price. The Rays picked up their second straight walk-off win once again yesterday and that should have them motivated to knock the Red Sox to their 9th straight loss overall. UNDER is the play.
 
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Andre Gomes

SOCCER – UEFA Champions League Final: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid

For this contest, I’ve made the decision to make a play w/ Real Madrid this Wednesday, but because there were some news regarding the availability of Atletico’s striker Diego Costa (supposedly he is fit to play today), I knew that we would get a better line near game time. At the time, Real Madrid was priced @ +100 / 2.00 @ Pinnacle Sports, and right now, we could get them @ +117 / 2.17. No doubt that the wait was worth for us…

Regarding the matchups and the game…

Atletico Madrid has won the Spanish League and this achievement was simply epic in my opinion. They are the ultimate example of a “TEAM” as they have won the domestic league despite having inferior overall talent on their roster when compared to Real Madrid & Barcelona.

Their biggest strength relies on the incredible work rate of all their players. Their defensive pressing is just tremendous as they don’t concede many chances for their opponents to create quality shots. However, this will be their biggest problem for this contest!!!

I don’t think that Atletico will have the proper “aggressiveness” and physical condition to hang around against a “rested” Real Madrid team. Note that w/ them completely focused in winning La Liga, Atletico simply couldn’t win the L3 games of the competition. I understand that the draw @ Barcelona in the last round felt like a win for them, but prior to that game, Atletico lost @ Levante and draw at home against Malaga – two games in which Atletico would have won easily early / mid on the season. They gave everything to win the domestic league and I believe that this will have a price for them in here…

On the exactly opposite side we have Real Madrid… After crushing Bayern Munchen @ Germany, Real Madrid was so focused in winning “La Decima” that they completely “shut down the chip” and didn’t care to be competitive @ La Liga. This is was weird to understand because as we know, both Atletico and Barcelona struggled in the last rounds, and a focused Real Madrid could really have won La Liga! While Atletico is expected to be a little drained emotionally IMO, we have a Real Madrid team that will be ready for the challenge.

It looks like Diego Costa will play today after a “miraculous” trip to Serbia during the week. However, I just don’t think that he’ll ready to be a major factor in the game... Note that he “forced” to play @ Barcelona in their last game and got subbed w/ just 16 minutes of action. He represents almost 35% of the team’s total goals for the season, so the fact that he is way far from being @100% is a huge blow for the team. Atletico’s offensive threats in the last games have been almost exclusively via set pieces and this says it all about their lack of offensive production lately.

Obviously, I expect Atletico to bring a defensive minded game plan for this contest. Trying to play an “open game” w/ Real Madrid is just a kamikaze idea, because Real would crush them in transition w/ CR7 & Bale – that’s the biggest reason why Real humiliated Bayern @ semis w/ 4-0 win @ Germany.

For Real Madrid, the absence of Xabi Alonso can’t be ignored in here especially because I don’t like his natural replacement Illarramendi, who lacks the proper competitiveness and experience for this kind of games. I would have enjoyed more if Sami Khedira took the spot but either way, the absolutely key players for Real in the midfield are Angel Di Maria and Luka Modric and both are expected to play.

I expect this contest to be a tight one w/ few chances for both teams to score. However, w/ Diego Costa banged up and w/ also Arda Turan projected to not start the game, Atletico is really shorthanded on the front. The same thing cannot be said about Real Madrid w/ Cristiano Ronaldo, Gareth Bale and K. Benzema. This trio automatically will generate some scoring chances and sooner or later, one of them will make the difference and therefore, that’s why I’m taking the Real Madrid to win this contest!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Real Madrid ML @ +119 / 2.19 on 5 Dimes
 
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The OddSportsWizard


WNBA
Washington-5
Minnesota-9
Chicago (ML)

AFL
Tampa Bay/Jacksonville Under 105.5
New Orleans+6.5
 

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From across the street:

Budin mlb tigers run line( +110)
Demarco braves -155
 

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TMC Sports Advisors 05024

UEFA Champions League

Atletico de Madrid +.5

Suerte

The Broker
 

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