Service Plays Saturday 5/24/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 24TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#901 LA DODGERS @ #902 PHILADELPHIA - 3:05 PM
•Dodgers RH Dan Haren (5-2, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.235) - Haren has given up three home runs in his last two starts after going four straight outings without issuing a long ball. He issued two homers Sunday against Arizona, which reached Haren for a season high-tying five runs and 10 hits. Haren's career numbers against the Phillies include a 1-4 record with a 4.67 ERA in nine starts.

--KEY STAT: HAREN is 4-13 (-13.6 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

•Phillies RH David Buchanan (NR) - Buchanan was terrific over his first seven starts for Triple-A Lehigh Valley before struggling in his last two outings. In his last start, Buchanan needed 45 pitches to get through the first inning and issued four runs before getting pulled. "He hasn't been dominant," Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro said. "But he's been consistent and he's winning."

#903 COLORADO @ #904 ATLANTA - 4:10 PM
•Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (4-2, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.305) - Nicasio has pitched well in four May starts, going 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and leaving his last outing Sunday against San Diego with a lead before getting a no-decision. He allowed four earned runs on nine hits against the Padres, but has surrendered just three earned runs in his other starts this month (18 innings). Nicasio has struggled against Atlanta in his career, allowing 20 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings while going 0-3 with a 9.82 ERA.

--KEY STAT: NICASIO is 20-9 OVER (+10.8 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 5.4, OPPONENT 5.4.

--NICASIO is 18-6 OVER (+12.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 5.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Braves LH Mike Minor (2-2, 3.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.352) - Minor has won his past two starts, allowing two earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in victories over San Francisco and Milwaukee. He threw 112 pitches in his last start against the Brewers on Monday, giving up two runs on five hits in 6 2/3 innings. Minor won both his starts against Colorado last year and is 3-0 lifetime against the Rockies, posting a 3.96 ERA.

--KEY STAT: MINOR is 17-4 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MINOR 4.8, OPPONENT 2.1.

#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 MIAMI - 4:10 PM
•Brewers RH Wily Peralta (4-3, 2.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.231) - Peralta managed only one victory in his last five starts, but has not allowed more than three runs in any of them and went at least seven innings in three. The Dominican Republic native began the season 3-0 in his first four turns, giving up only six earned runs in 24 2/3 innings. Derek Dietrich has a homer in four at-bats against Peralta, who is 1-0 in three outings versus Miami with a 2.70 ERA.

--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 20-7 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.8.

•Marlins RH Jacob Turner (0-2, 6.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.573) - Turner has made four starts since returning from a shoulder injury that caused him to miss about a month and yielded 16 runs (15 earned) in 21 1/3 innings. The 23-year-old is 5-5 with a 5.00 ERA at home and 0-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 18 starts on the road in his career. Jean Segura is 3-for-6 and Carlos Gomez has homered against Turner, who is 0-1 in two starts versus Milwaukee.

#907 ARIZONA @ #908 NY METS - 4:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (2-2, 4.02 ERA, WHIP: 1.213) - Collmenter is 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA in his last five starts after allowing three runs in 5 1/3 innings of a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday. However, he has failed to get through six innings in three outings this month after doing so in his final three starts in April. Collmenter gave up three runs in four innings in a loss to the Mets in his first start of the season April 14 and is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in seven career games (two starts) against New York.

•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-4, 4.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.571) - After posting four quality starts in five outings overall in April, Wheeler has endured an up-and-down May, going 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA while producing 15 walks and 15 strikeouts. He has not made a start at home since April 25, when he struck out 10 and allowed a run in six innings. Wheeler allowed two runs in 6 1/3 innings opposite Collmenter on April 14 to pick up his first win of the year.

--KEY STAT: WHEELER is 12-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WHEELER 5.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--WHEELER is 9-1 OVER (+8.0 Units) after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WHEELER 5.1, OPPONENT 5.3.

#909 ST LOUIS @ #910 CINCINNATI - 7:15 PM
•Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 5.14 ERA, WHIP: 0.714) - Garcia left his first start since May 17, 2013 with a 5-4 lead before Atlanta rallied for a 6-5 victory Sunday. "He threw the ball well, very well," St. Louis manager Mike Matheny told reporters after the 27-year-old Mexican allowed four runs and five hits while striking out five in seven innings. "...When he was down, staying out of the middle, staying ahead in the count, he was making very very good pitches and getting some quick outs." Garcia is 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 15 appearances (13 starts) versus Cincinnati.

--KEY STAT: GARCIA is 21-30 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARCIA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Reds LH Tony Cingrani (2-3, 3.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.383) - Cingrani allowed four runs, seven hits and three home runs - all career highs - in six innings of an 8-3 loss at Philadelphia on Sunday. The 24-year-old Evergreen Park, Ill., native faced the Cardinals in his first two starts of 2014, receiving a no-decision after yielding two hits and striking out nine in seven shutout innings and suffering the loss when he allowed three runs in four innings. Cingrani, who recorded 39 strikeouts in 38 1/3 innings this season, is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three home starts.

#911 WASHINGTON @ #912 PITTSBURGH - 7:15 PM
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.288) - Strasburg has quieted some of the concerns about his slow start by posting six straight quality starts, but he has only two wins over that stretch. He held Cincinnati to two runs over seven innings last time out but didn't factor in the decision in a 4-3 loss. Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in four starts against Pittsburgh, and the loss came in a 4-2 defeat last season in which he struck out 12 and allowed one run and two hits in eight innings.

--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 7-18 against the run line (-12.8 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 4.2, OPPONENT 3.8.

--STRASBURG is 9-22 against the run line (-14.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 4.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

--STRASBURG is 0-9 against the run line (-10.5 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

•Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (4-3, 3.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.329) - Cole is coming off a solid outing in a road win over the New York Yankees in which he struck out eight and allowed three runs over six innings. The 23-year-old has racked up six or more strikeouts in six of his nine starts, including four straight outings. Cole is 2-0 at home this season and 10-5 at PNC Park in his young career.

#913 CHICAGO CUBS @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Cubs LH Travis Wood (4-4, 4.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.335) - Wood has been horrible on the road this season, going 1-3 with an 8.02 ERA in four such outings. He has excelled at home and held Milwaukee to two runs and two hits in seven innings in a 4-2 victory last Sunday. Wood is 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against San Diego.

•Padres RH Billy Buckner (NR) - Buckner will be recalled from Triple-A El Paso to start Saturday’s game. The Padres are shy on starters with Andrew Cashner and Robbie Erlin on the disabled list with elbow injuries, which led to the recall of Buckner (3-2, 2.89 at El Paso). The 30-year-old has a 7-11 career record and 6.07 ERA while spending time with the Kansas City Royals, Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Angels.
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Hondo’s incredible run of ineptitude dragged on Friday night when the Cards failed to carry out their mission in Cincinnati, causing the deficit to expand to 1,190 belles.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch will join forces with the Native Americans in Baltimore — 10 units on Ubaldo and the Birds to come up a hair short. Also, 10 on Shoemaker to help the Angels clog up the Royal offense.
 
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Chase Diamond

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

9* Houston Astros -105

Two of the Pitchers with some of the worst stats in Baseball face off as the 17-32 Astros play the 24-23 Mariners. It tells you what Vegas thinks of Mariners starter Brandon Maurer when the Astros are a slight road favorite with the numbers of Brett Oberholtzer as he is 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA. Brandon Maurer is one of the worst starters in Baseball at 1-2 and a 6 ERA it's a wonder that the Mariners have no one to replace him. 55% of public cash are backing the Mariners but we are seeing the Sharps stand behind the Astros here and so will we, take the Astros.
 
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UFC 173 Preview
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas and the MGM Grand Garden Arena for a 12-fight card Saturday night. In the UFC 173 main event, Renan Barao (32-1-0-1 MMA, 7-0 UFC) will defend his bantamweight belt against T.J. Dillashaw.

Most betting shops have the champ installed as an expensive -800 favorite (risk $800 to win $100), while Dillashaw is a +550 underdog (risk $100 to win $550). The total for 'over/under' wagers is 4.5 rounds (-180 to back the 'under', +150 for the 'over').

Barao has been laying waste to the 135-pound division since entering the promotion. The Brazilian hasn't tasted defeat in nearly a decade and is off his second win over Urijah Faber by first-round knockout at UFC 169.

Dillashaw (9-2 MMA, 5-2 UFC) is a 28-year-old wrestler who fights out of the Team Alpha Male camp in Sacramento. He has won five of his last six fights with the lone defeat coming by split decision against Raphael Assuncao last October.

Prediction: Barao is clearly too expensive to bet at the enormous straight price. I think he wins a unanimous decision, but he could get the finish. If you win most of your bets going into the main event, maybe take a shot at the 'over' for the decent payout? I'll probably be on the sidelines for this one.

In the co-main event, Daniel Cormier (14-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC) will put his unbeaten record on the line against Dan Henderson. The winner will most likely get the next crack at the light heavyweight belt against the winner of Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson.

Most books are listing 'DC' as a -900 'chalk,' with 'Hendo' available for a +575 return (risk $100 to win $575). The total is 2.5 rounds ('over' -140, 'under' +110).

This will be Cormier's second fight in the 205-pound loop. He was scheduled to make his light-heavyweight debut against Rashad Evans, but 'Suga' had to pull out due to a knee injury less than two weeks before the fight. Therefore, the UFC pulled former Penn St. wrestler Patrick Cummins off the street and into the Octagon.

Cormier needed only 79 seconds to earn a first-round KO over Cummins at UFC 170. Prior to the win over Cummins, Cormier beat Frank Mir and Roy Nelson in a pair of heavyweight scraps. Before joining the UFC, Cormier won the Strikeforce heavyweight strap thanks to wins over Antonio 'Bigfoot' Silva and Josh Barnett.

Henderson (30-11 MMA, 7-5 UFC) ended a three-fight losing streak by knocking out Shogun Rua in the third round of their rematch in Brazil on March 23. Rua was dominating in the first two rounds and nearly finished Henderson, but the 43-year-old former Olympic wrestler landed a vintage right-hand 'H-Bomb' that floored Rua. Henderson pounced and finished the fight with additional strikes.

Prediction: I think Cormier most likely wins, but I'd probably bet Henderson as a +500 underdog or better against a lion. Hendo's one-punch KO power is worthy of a small wager on the underdog here.

In the welterweight division, 'Ruthless' Robbie Lawler and Jake 'The Juggernaut' Ellenberger will collide in the third fight on the pay-per-view card. Most spots have Lawler as a -230 'chalk,' leaving Ellenberger as an underdog in the +180 range. The total is 2.5 rounds (-110 either way).

Lawler (22-10-0-1 MMA, 7-4 UFC) is coming off a 25-minute slugfest against Johny Hendricks, who won the vacated 170-pound belt by unanimous decision in an epic thriller. Both fighters stood in the pocket and banged away for the first 4.5 rounds. Hendricks narrowly won Rounds 1 and 2, but Lawler clearly took Rounds 3 and 4 and nearly finished 'Bigg Rigg' on multiple occasions.

In the fifth and deciding stanza, Hendricks scored a takedown midway through the round and kept top position for the remainder of the bout. Lawler earned the title shot by winning his first three fights in his second tour of duty in the UFC. He beat Josh Koscheck, Bobby Voelker and Rory MacDonald.

Ellenberger (29-7 MMA, 8-3 UFC) is coming off the most disappointing performance of his career last summer against MacDonald, who won a unanimous decision in a snoozer. Both fighters talked trash galore going into the bout, but they were both reluctant to engage for the entire 15 minutes.

The winner of this bout will be in the mix for a title shot at 170.

Prediction: I like Lawler to prevail. The price is a little expensive, though, so I prefer a play on 'under' 2.5 rounds at the -110 price. I think Lawler wins by second-round KO.

The first two fights on the pay-per-view card feature 'Jamie Varner (-190) vs. James Krause (+155) and 'Takeya Mizugaki (-165) vs. Francisco Rivera (+140).

 
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Blackhawks at Kings: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings (-121, 5)

By earning a split in the Windy City, the Los Angeles Kings wrested away home-ice advantage from the reigning Stanley Cup-champion Chicago Blackhawks. The resilient Kings look to ride the momentum of their five-goal outburst in the third period when the teams reconvene at Staples Center for Game 3 of the Western Conference final on Saturday. Jeff Carter highlighted the offensive display by recording his second career playoff hat trick and adding an assist in Los Angeles' 6-2 triumph over Chicago on Wednesday.

The loss at United Center was the first this postseason for the Blackhawks, who have won three of their last four visits to Staples Center - including a split in last season's conference final. "We have to go out there and win a game in L.A., for sure," Ben Smith told the Chicago Sun-Times. "It's something we've done before (and being able to) draw from that experience is nice." Defenseman Nick Leddy, who scored on Wednesday, collected a goal and an assist as the Blackhawks posted a 5-3 triumph over the Kings in the teams' lone regular-season meeting in Los Angeles on Feb. 3.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, TSN, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: Despite Wednesday's lopsided final result, coach Joel Quenneville refused to hang his head at the team's predicament. "We've been in some tough sports," Quenneville said. "Look at last year - down 2-1 to Boston (in the Stanley Cup final), down 3-1 to Detroit (in the second round), down 2-0 to St. Louis (in this year's first round) and 2-2 in the Minnesota series - there's a lot of hockey left in this series." Chicago has scored a power-play goal in three of its last four contests, although it yielded a pair after killing off 44-of-48 short-handed situations entering Game 3.

ABOUT THE KINGS: Carter's young linemates also are enjoying strong series as Tyler Toffoli has scored in each contest while rookie Tanner Pearson has notched three assists. The trio combined on a backbreaking goal that gave Los Angeles a 4-2 lead as the Chicago players appeared uncertain if the puck had sailed into the netting. "I don't think they knew where it was," Pearson said. "So I saw it, I knew (Toffoli) would be in the slot somewhere, so I just passed it out there and fortunately he was there and put it in."

TRENDS:

* Blackhawks are 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles.
* Blackhawks are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
* Home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
* Under is 16-7-3 in the last 26 meetings.

OVERTIME:

1. Los Angeles' Dean Lombardi joined Montreal's Marc Bergevin and Anaheim's Bob Murray as finalists for the NHL General Manager of the Year Award, the league announced on Friday.

2. Chicago expects to see the return of C Andrew Shaw, who has been sidelined for the last seven games. He suffered a leg injury when he was on the receiving end of a check from Minnesota D Clayton Stoner during the second-round series.

3. The Kings dominated in the faceoff circle (43-of-70) in Game 2 as Cs Anze Kopitar and Jarret Stoll combined to win 29-of-43 draws.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 24TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#915 OAKLAND @ #916 TORONTO - 1:05 PM
•Athletics RH Jesse Chavez (4-1, 2.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.076) - Chavez won for the third time in four turns Sunday, allowing two runs on six hits over five frames in a 13-3 rout of the Cleveland Indians. The longtime reliever-turned-starter has thrived in his new role, sporting a 57:15 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 56 2/3 innings – two-thirds of an inning shy of the number of frames he worked in 35 relief appearances last season. Chavez was roughed up for three runs and only recorded one out in relief versus the Blue Jays on July 31 in his first career appearance against them.

•Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (4-4, 4.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.383) - Despite inducing 18 ground balls – the most he has forced in an outing since 2010 – against the Texas Rangers, Dickey took the loss for the first time in six outings in Sunday’s 6-2 road setback. The 39-year-old knuckleballer yielded four runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks over 6 1/3 innings. Dickey did not factor in the decision in either of his two turns versus the Athletics last season despite posting a 2.08 ERA and is 1-4 with a 4.92 ERA in 14 career appearances (10 starts) against them.

--KEY STAT: DICKEY is 8-1 OVER (+7.3 Units) in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 5.5, OPPONENT 6.5.

--DICKEY is 15-7 against the run line (+11.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DICKEY 5.1, OPPONENT 3.8.

#917 NY YANKEES @ #918 CHI WHITE SOX - 2:10 PM
•Yankees LH Vidal Nuno (1-1, 5.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.529) - Nuno has won only once in six starts but he bounced back from a rocky outing against the crosstown New York Mets by holding Pittsburgh to three runs (two earned) over six innings last time out. It marked the second time that Nuno, who opened the season in the bullpen, got through at least six innings. The 26-year-old San Diego native has fared better away from Yankee Stadium, allowing one run in two road starts.

•White Sox LH John Danks (3-4, 5.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.576) - Danks was rocked for eight runs (seven earned) and 10 hits over 4 2/3 innings in an 8-2 loss at Houston on Sunday, dropping him to 1-4 over his last five starts. After permitting only one home run in his first five starts, he has been taken deep seven times over his last four outings. Danks has struggled throughout his career versus the Yankees, going 2-3 with a bloated 7.11 ERA while coughing up nine homers in 31 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: DANKS is 3-13 (-9.9 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.3, OPPONENT 5.4.

--DANKS is 3-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.4, OPPONENT 5.8.

--DANKS is 5-14 against the run line (-13.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.4, OPPONENT 5.8.

#919 TEXAS @ #920 DETROIT - 4:05 PM
•Rangers RH Nick Martinez (0-1, 2.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.408) - Martinez is making his fourth start of the season after receiving no-decisions in each of the first three. He lasted five innings against Toronto in his last outing, when he gave up one run and four hits. Martinez has been pressed into starting duty because of the injuries that have racked the rotation.

•Tigers RH Rick Porcello (7-1, 2.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.006) - Porcello originally was slated to pitch Thursday’s series opener but was pushed back due to some left oblique soreness. He pitched a season-high eight innings while beating Boston in his last outing, when he gave up one run and six hits. Porcello is 3-3 with a 6.59 ERA in six career starts against Texas.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 19-4 (+14.3 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

--PORCELLO is 17-6 OVER (+10.5 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 6.2, OPPONENT 4.6.

#921 BOSTON @ #922 TAMPA BAY - 4:10 PM
•Red Sox RH Jake Peavy (1-2, 4.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Peavy is in the middle of a slump and has allowed a total of 11 runs and 20 hits in 10 1/3 innings over his last two starts. The Alabama native has not helped himself by yielding a home run in each of his nine starts and issuing 27 walks in 54 total innings. Peavy walked a season-high five, including a bases-loaded free pass that forced in the go-ahead run, and was charged with two runs on three hits over 6 1/3 innings to suffer a loss to Tampa Bay on May 1.

--KEY STAT: PEAVY is 9-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PEAVY 3.9, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Rays LH David Price (4-4, 4.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.212) - Price was lit up for six runs - five earned - on 11 hits in 6 2/3 innings to suffer a loss at the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday. The former Cy Young winner has 77 strikeouts and only six walks in 69 1/3 innings this season but is having some trouble maintaining consistency from start to start. Price missed the first series against Boston and is 10-6 with a 2.93 ERA in 20 career starts against the division rivals.

--KEY STAT: PRICE is 18-7 OVER (+10.8 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 5.1, OPPONENT 3.8.

--PRICE is 18-5 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.8.

--PRICE is 17-5 UNDER (+10.9 Units) in home games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

#923 CLEVELAND @ #924 BALTIMORE - 12:35 PM
•Indians RH Corey Kluber (4-3, 3.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.294) - Kluber was denied a third consecutive victory last time out as Cleveland's bullpen blew the save opportunity after he gave up three runs and struck out eight over seven innings against Detroit. Kluber is 2-0 over his last four outings, permitting a total of eight runs and striking out 39 over 28 2/3 frames. He was hit hard in his only career start against Baltimore, giving up seven runs (six earned) on 11 hits in 4 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 22-9 OVER (+12.7 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.5, OPPONENT 5.3.

--KLUBER is 17-6 OVER (+10.9 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.5, OPPONENT 5.3.

•Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (2-5, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.481) - Jimenez took a step back following three consecutive strong outings, as he was knocked around for five runs on eight hits over five innings in a loss at Kansas City on Sunday. He was superb in his previous three turns, surrendering only one run on 13 hits in 19 2/3 frames. Although Jimenez is 0-3 with a 4.81 ERA in four home starts, he held Detroit to three hits over seven scoreless innings at Camden Yards on May 13.

--KEY STAT: JIMENEZ is 27-12 UNDER (+13.9 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was JIMENEZ 4.1, OPPONENT 4.2.

#925 KANSAS CITY @ #926 LA ANGELS - 7:15 PM
•Royals RH James Shields (6-3, 2.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.114) - Shields is enjoying a stretch of three straight victories, going seven innings in each while allowing a total of four runs. The California native turned in a quality start in six of his last seven outings, earning the win in each. Shields is 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 12 career starts against the Angels but has been knocked around by second baseman Howie Kendrick, who is 13-for-23 with a home run off the 32-year-old.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 31-16 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.1, OPPONENT 3.7.

--SHIELDS is 6-23 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.3.

--SHIELDS is 15-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.4, OPPONENT 2.4.

--SHIELDS is 9-22 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.1, OPPONENT 5.4.

--SHIELDS is 19-5 against the run line (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.8, OPPONENT 2.4.

--SHIELDS is 11-2 against the run line (+9.8 Units) in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 5.2, OPPONENT 3.2.

•Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (2-1, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 0.960) - Shoemaker is settling into the final spot in the Angels’ rotation and has picked up the win in both of his starts. The 27-year-old allowed a total of three runs and five hits in 11 innings since being summoned to replace the ineffective Hector Santiago. Shoemaker is making his second home start after holding Tampa Bay to one runs on two hits on Sunday.

#927 HOUSTON @ #928 SEATTLE - 10:10 PM
•Astros LH Dallas Keuchel (5-2, 2.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.050) - Keuchel became the first Astro to pitch at least 8 2/3 innings in back-to-back games since Roy Oswalt in 2008 after failing in two chances Monday to record his second consecutive complete game. "I think anybody would want to finish that game, but at the end of the day, we got the win," the 26-year-old Tulsa, Okla., native told reporters. Keuchel is 1-1 against Seattle this season, allowing four runs in a 9-8 setback May 3 - his last loss before recording a 1.42 ERA in his last three turns.

•Mariners RH Brandon Maurer (1-2, 6.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.667) - Maurer pitches for the first time since May 14 - when he allowed two runs, two hits and walked four and 3 2/3 innings in a 2-0 loss to Tampa Bay - after the Mariners skipped his last turn in the rotation. The 23-year-old Newport Beach, Calif., native yielded an eye-popping 14 hits in 7 1/3 innings in his previous outing - a 6-1 loss to Kansas City on May 9. Maurer is 1-2 with a 15.58 ERA in three starts covering 8 2/3 innings against Houston, yielding 11 runs in 3 2/3 frames last season.

#929 MINNESOTA @ #930 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:05 PM
•Twins RH Samuel Deduno (1-2, 3.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.118) - Deduno recorded his second quality start in three outings since joining the Twins’ rotation last Saturday, when he held Seattle to two runs over six innings. The 30-year-old is making his second career appearance against the Giants and first since facing them as a reliever in 2011. Deduno is 15-14 with a 4.10 ERA in 36 career starts while posting a 2.96 ERA in 13 career relief appearances.

•Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (2-2, 3.62 ERA, WHIP: 1.329) - Vogelsong struggled for much of April, but he’s gone 2-1 with a 1.62 ERA and a 28-to-10 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his last five starts. The 36-year-old pitched seven shutout innings for the second time in his last four starts last Sunday against Miami. Vogelsong, who is making his third career appearance against Minnesota, is 4-5 with a 4.10 ERA in 26 career interleague games.
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) after 1 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games
126-75 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.7% | 43.5 units )
11-6 this year. ( 64.7% | 4.4 units )

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less
82-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.2% | 37.4 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.7 units )

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line in a playoff series which is tied, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
198-119 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 67.1 units )
7-14 this year. ( 33.3% | -8.4 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE
Play On - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (BALTIMORE) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season, after 3 straight games where they had 12 or more hits
36-10 since 1997. ( 78.3% | 23.6 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MINNESOTA at SAN FRANCISCO
MINNESOTA is 17-11 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in Road games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)
 
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Champions League Final
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

Champions League Final - Real Madrid vs. Atlético Madrid

Date: May 24, 2014
Time/TV: FOX, 2:45 p.m. ET
Venue: Estádio da Luz
Location: Lisbon, Portugal

Odds:
Real Madrid -120
Atletico Madrid +240
Draw +260
Over 2.5 (+100)
Under 2.5 (-130)

The climax of the European soccer season sees Real Madrid face Atletico Madrid in the Champions League final at the Estadio da Luz in Lisbon, Portugal. This is both teams’ biggest game for decades, for a number of reasons. Real Madrid have been stuck on nine Champions League victories ever since 2002, and the hunt for ‘La decima’ has taken on something of an obsession for Real. Atletico, who defied odds of 100/1 to win La Liga this season, will be desperate to get one over on their more famous cross-town rivals.

Both teams sailed through their groups with relative ease. Atletico saw off Milan, Barcelona and Chelsea to get to the final, while Real Madrid have knocked out three German sides - Schalke 04, Borussia Dortmund before a stunning 5-0 aggregate success over favourites Bayern Munich.

Recent form for both sides has been unusually inconsistent - so often in La Liga the top two or three sides brush their opponents aside with absolutely no fuss at all, but at the end of the season both these teams, as well as Barcelona, suffered a severe case of the jitters. It was Atletico, however, who lifted the title thanks to a hard-fought draw at the Nou Camp.

In terms of team selection for this match Atletico have one huge problem: their most prized-asset, centre-forward Diego Costa, is a doubt for the match with a shoulder injury. He has scored 35 goals this year and Atletico would certainly be hugely weakened without him. However the key to Atletico’s success this year has been a fantastic team spirit and hard work, meaning Costa’s absence would be less of a blow to Atletico than, for example, if Cristiano Ronaldo were to miss out for Real Madrid.

So, on to the betting. Real Madrid are available at 83/100 with Sportsbook.ag (as are all the odds quoted here), and this looks far too short. While they are, on their day, the best side in the world, it cannot be ignored that Atletico actually won La Liga. Are they significantly worse than Real Madrid? The answer is surely ‘no’, so a price of 12/5 on Diego Simeone’s side to win the match in normal time appeals, as does 11/8 on them to lift the trophy. However the price I really like here is the 13/5 draw. Atletico have possibly the best defence in Europe and, despite Real Madrid’s superb attacking options, I think Atletico have enough to make it to extra time.

People will look at the fact that Real have won three and drawn one of the four games against Atletico this season as reason to back Real, but it might be more important to look at the last time these two sides played a final against each other. This was last season’s Copa del Rey final, which Atletico won 2-1 after extra time at the Nou Camp. Just like for this match, all the pressure then was on Real Madrid, and the buckled under it. Atletico to win in extra time again is an 11/1 shot, and this looks very tempting.

Last, let’s have a look at the goalscorer markets, where there is a predictable 11/4 favourite in Cristiano Ronaldo. He has racked up 50 goals this season, and those prices look about right. Benzema, with one goal in his last 10, is to be avoided at 5/1. For Atletico, Diego Costa is at 11/2, but the price I really like here is on Atletico midfielder Raul Garcia at 9/1. He has scored 18 goals this year and has been a key part of his side’s success.

It all looks set to be a fantastic match. The best games in soccer are those between even teams playing contrasting styles, and this looks set to be a memorable night.

Top Bets:

Draw after 90 minutes at 13/5

Raul Garcia to score first at 9/1
 
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NBA

Indiana at Miami

After being taken behind the woodshed spanked 107-96 as a 1 1/2-point road favorite in the opener the 'Three Amigos' nipped Pacers 87-83 Tuesday as two-point favorites to even the series. Now the series shifts to Miami for Game 3 on Saturday. Home-court advantage in the playoffs has served Miami well since Wade, James, Bosh joined forces posting a smart 35-7 (26-16 ATS) record including 5-0 (3-2 ATS) this year. Miami's record at home is impressive, but basketball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on the situation. To that end, those number pale compared to the what Indiana brings to the table. The Pacers, a resilient group have reeled off an 11-1 (10-2 ATS) streak following a post season loss including 3-0 SU/ATS running the hardwood vs Heat.
 

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Does anyone have Vegas snitch champion league final...he is suppose to be great in soccer
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 24th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 5/24/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #8
•Brewers Ice-Cold On The Road After Hot Start: The Milwaukee Brewers have been the talk of the Major League Baseball scene this season, especially in the early going. However, after starting a ridiculous 11-1 on the road, the Brewers are a terrible 3-9.... During the past 12 road games, the Brewers have been outscored 57-32 and have allowed their opponents to scored 5 or more runs 50 percent of the time.... The Brewers will travel to Miami, who holds an MLB-best 19-6 home record, Saturday.

•Royals Rack-Up Wins With Shields' On The Mound: James Shields has become the quiet ace for the Kansas City Royals. Shields is 6-3 through his 10 starts this season and is carrying a 2.67 ERA for the Royals. Shields has been as close to automatic wins that the Royals could hope for. Over Shields' last 33 starts, the Royals have a 24-9 record (72.7%) including winning the past three in a row.

•Orioles Can Not Find Win Column When Jimenez Starts: The Baltimore Orioles thought they were finding a calming presence in their rotation when they picked up Ubaldo Jimenez, but that has not come to fruition. In Jimenez's past four starts at Camden Yards, the O's have not picked up a single win. It does not get much better past that as the Orioles are 2-7 in Jimenez's past nine starts. Jimenez has an abysmal 4.50 ERA this season and has only two wins to his name.

•Wood Providing No Consistency For The Cubs: The Chicago Cubs have been looking for any sort of consistency outside of Jeff Samardzija, but that certainly has not been Travis Wood. In Wood's last 27 starts following a quality start, the Cubs are 5-22. That includes a 1-3 record so far this year coming off quality starts for Wood. Wood is 4-4 this season with a 4.61 ERA and a 51/18 SO/BB ratio.

•Drew Heads For Minor League Assignment: Shortstop Stephen Drew cleared waivers on Friday and was sent to Class A Greenville after he re-signed with the Boston Red Sox this week. Drew, who rejected a contract offer during the offseason before accepting a prorated share of a $14.1 million qualifying offer on Tuesday, is expected to be in the minor leagues about 10 days before he returns to the majors. Boston manager John Farrell told reporters that Drew would be with Greenville for four days before going to Double-A Portland or Triple-A Pawtucket. The Red Sox want Drew to get back into the swing of things with about 25 at-bats. During the Red Sox's World Series season in 2013, Drew batted .253 with 13 home runs and 67 RBIs in 124 games.

•Ryan Braun Out Against Marlins: Ryan Braun was out of the Brewers starting lineup Friday after a flare-up of the oblique strain that sent him to the disabled list earlier this season. The Milwaukee slugger was available off the bench against Miami, and manager Ron Roenicke said he hoped Braun would be back in the lineup by Sunday. Braun left Thursday's game at Atlanta in the fifth inning because of tightness in his right side. He began the weekend hitting .289 with seven homers and 19 RBIs, but was 4 for 23 on the Brewers' current trip. Roenicke said the injury was probably a factor. "He's taking weirder swings than I've seen him take," Roenicke said. "If he's taking bad swings, something is going on.... Hopefully Saturday or the next day he's good."

•Pirates Activate Jason Grilli From The Disabled List: Pirates closer Jason Grilli is off the disabled list after missing the past month with a strained oblique muscle. Grilli saved 33 games last season and another four games this year before going on the disabled list, but it’s possible the Pirates will ease him back into the bullpen mix in a low-leverage role because of how well Mark Melancon has fared filling in at closer. Melancon has eight saves with a 2.05 ERA and 15/5 K/BB ratio in 22 innings this season after making the All-Star team last year on the way to posting a 1.39 ERA in 71 innings.

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Nicasio is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
-- Minor is 2-0, 1.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Peralta has a 2.08 RA in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 2-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.

-- Chavez is 3-1, 2.81 in his last four starts. Dickey is 3-1, 4.35 in his last five.
-- Porcello is 5-0, 2.76 in his last five starts.
-- Kluber is 2-0, 2.51 in his last four starts. Jimenez is 2-1, 2.19 in his last four.
-- Shields is 3-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Shoemaker is 2-0, 2.45 in his two starts this season.
-- Keuchel is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.

-- Vogelsong is 2-1, 1.62 in his last five starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 2-2, 5.12 in his last five starts.
-- Turner is 0-2, 6.92 in his five starts this season.
-- Collmenter has a 6.26 RA in his last four starts, but Arizona won three of the four games. Wheeler is 0-2, 7.53 in his last four starts.
-- Cingrani is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Garcia allowed four runs in seven IP in his first '14 start, coming back from injury.
-- Cole has a 4.74 RA in his last four starts.
-- Wood has a 6.97 RA in his last five starts, but is 3-2 in those games. Roach allowed four runs in three IP in his first '14 start.

-- Danks is 1-4, 8.56 in his last five starts. Nuno is 1-1, 6.64 in his last four.
-- Martinez is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts this season.
-- Price is 1-3, 5.35 in his last five starts. Peavy is 0-2, 6.35 in his last four.
-- Maurer is 1-2, 6.75 in five starts this season.

-- Deduno is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts this season.

•Totals
-- Seven of last nine Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Dodger games.
-- Ten of last thirteen Miami games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Under is 14-4-2 in last twenty Atlanta home games.
-- Six of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last eleven Texas games stayed under.
-- Over is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Toronto home games.
-- Over is 12-1-2 in last fifteen Cleveland games.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over the total.
-- Eight of last 11 White Sox games went over. Eight of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Angel games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Houston road games.

-- Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Marlins won 13 of its last 16 home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games. Cincinnati won three of last four.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last six games.

-- Athletics won 11 of its last 14 games. Toronto won seven of last eight.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won their last three games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games. Kansas City is 6-5 in their last eleven road games.
-- Mariners won four of its last five games.

-- Twins won five of its last seven games. San Francisco won ten of their last fourteen home games.

•Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 7-12 in its last 19 games.
-- Dodgers are 6-7 in their last thirteen road games. Philadelphia lost seven of their last ten games overall.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost five of its last seven.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve road games
-- Rockies lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.

-- Tigers lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost nine of last twelve home games. Boston lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Orioles lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- Yankees lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost ten of their last thirteen road games.

•Umpires Trends
-- LA-Phil-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Buckminster games.
-- Col-Atl-- Five of last seven Barksdale games went over.
-- Mil-Mia-- Nine of ten Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Az-NY-- Five of last six Gorman games stayed under (he umped rained out four innings last night; We’re assuming he works again here).
-- StL-Cin-- Favorites won eight of ten Carapazza games.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Underdogs won five of nine Morales games.
-- Chi-SD-- Five of last seven Cuzzi games went over total.

-- A's-Tor-- Six of last eight Little games went over total.
-- NY-Chi-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Det-- Over is 6-1-1 in LBarrett games this year.
-- Bos-TB-- Six of nine Vanover games went over total.
-- Cle-Balt-- Six of eight Drake games went over total.
-- KC-LA-- Five of six Segal games went over the total.
-- Hst-Sea-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Barber games; over is 6-1-1 in those eight games.

-- Min-SF-- Five of last six Meals games went over the total.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus American League teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was DETROIT 6.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

•PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 OVER (+11.6 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.

•ST LOUIS is 11-28 (-24.8 Units) against the run line in road games versus a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

•COREY KLUBER is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KLUBER 6.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•WILY PERALTA is 21-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•STEPHEN STRASBURG is 0-9 (-10.5 Units) against the run line against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor National League offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.
(47-18 since 1997.) (72.3%, +33.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +110
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.8)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1, +1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7, +2.1 units).

•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (MINNESOTA) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), in May games.
(47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +31.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-27 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -120
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 33 (55% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-2, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10, +16 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (81-44, +29.1 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (TAMPA BAY) - very bad American League offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(38-11 since 1997.) (77.6%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-112.7
The average score in these games was: Team 2.6, Opponent 3.3 (Total runs scored = 5.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 31 (63.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5, +19.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11, +24.6 units).
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