Service Plays Saturday 12/19/09

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Win or Lose 12/19

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
203 C FL +2.5 +100 $7
204 C.FL / Rut UN 44 -105 $7

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
304 NO -7 -130 $7 (buy half point)
Hitting over 60% winners for season

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
54 DAL ML -134 $15
55 NASH +1.5 -220 $5
55 Nash / Cal OV 5.5 +116 $6
61 FL +1.5 -235 $12
61 Fl / Carol OV 5.5 -110 $5
63 BOS +1.5 -310 $15
65 NJ +1.5 -330 $11
65 NJ ML -105 $5
65 NJ / Atl OV 6 +115 $6
67 PITT ML -115 $18
70 NY Island ML -123 $27
71 Colum +1.5 -250 $9
71 Colum ML +130 $4
71 Colum / Colo OV 5.5 +100 $6
73 Wash / ED OV 6 -120 $6
74 ED +1.5 -230 $21


National Basketball Association (Buying 2 Points ONLY when Posted)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
703 Port +8.5 -105 $26
707 LA Laker -12 -105 $18
709 Atl -4.5 -102 $23
711 Sac +7 -110 $32
714 SA -11 -105 $7


NCAA Basketball ( buying 2 points on each game ONLY WHEN POSTED)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
729 NC +6.5 -107 $9
748 Duke -8 -108 $6
757 Memphis -14 -105 $7
782 Purdue -25 -101 $5
 

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vegas runner

double-dime bet 748 Duke -8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 747 Gonzaga
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
 
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Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns

Game: North Carolina at Texas Dec 19 2009 2:00PM
Prediction: Texas
Reason: I'm laying the points with TEXAS. We don't find the Tar Heels as this big an underdog very often - particularly on a "neutral court" vs. a non-conference opponent. That will have many quick to "grab the points" here. However, Texas is no ordinary non-conf. opponent (Longhorns are 9-0 and among the best teams in the country) and this isn't exactly a "neutral" court. Indeed, its being played at Cowboys Stadium. Naturally, the Longhorns will have the fully support of the crowd. Those backing UNC will point to the fact that the Longhorns have prepared for this game by playing a few cupcakes. That's only partly true though. Yes, the Longhorns' last few opponents have been very weak. However, prior to that, they'd faced the likes of Iowa, Pittsburgh, USC and Rice. While none of those teams are as talented as UNC, they're still not 'cupcakes.' NONE of them have been able to compete with what Texas brings to the table. Indeed, the Longhorns have won every single game by double-digits. Overall, they're outscoring opponents by a whopping 85.4 to 53.8 margin. Texas is shooting 51.9%. Opponents are shooting 31.6%. While the Longhorns may have tuned up for this game with a few weaklings, at least they've been playing. UNC has only played one game since losing at Kentucky on December 5th. That was against Presbyterian - hardly an opponent at all. The Tar Heels are 1-2 SU/ATS the last three times that they were listed as a "neutral court" underdog in the +6.5 to +9 range. On the other hand, during the same stretch, the Longhorns are 9-4-1 ATS (13-1 SU) when listed as a "neutral court" favorite in the +6.5 to +9 range. The bottom line is that I feel the Longhorns are currently the deeper and stronger team. While the Heels have shown some weaknesses, the Longhorns have dominated all comers. This is their chance to really gain some respect and playing in their home state, on National TV, I look for them to make the most of it. *8
 

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Pete Angelo

Saturday's Winner ...

400♦ FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS - Quick note, many of you might have been excited to play the Saints-Cowboys game with me, especially after I nailed the Colts for so much on Thursday. But the fact is I wouldn't touch this game with your bankroll, let alone mine. The line has gone anywhere from 7 points to 9 at some places, and it would be ludicrous for me to give you this game when I don't plan on betting it myself. Thus, we play the Dawgs.
And this is a hungry, rabid group of canine that has one person on its mind: former Fresno State defensive coordinator Dan Brown, who passed away nine months ago. So just like the Cincinnati Bengals will take the field with heavy hearts tomorrow, with the former Chris Henry on the brain, the Bulldogs will be playing the New Mexico Bowl with the coaching veteran on their minds. Last year at this same game Brown needed an IV treatment so he had enough strength to manuever his way to the University Stadium press box, so he could call defensive plays. Fresno lost the game. In March, Brown lost his two-year battle with brain cancer. And today there are a pack of Dawgs who want to win this game badly.It shouldn't be an issue against an underachieving Wyoming team that in my opinion - six wins or not - does not deserve to be in a bowl game. The Cowboys haven't beaten a winning team the entire season, and ended the campaign on a 2-4 slide. The only reason it is in the postseason is because it snuck past three-win Colorado State, 17-16, in the season finale. A Colorado State team that ranked 94th in scoring defense, but that held the Pokes to a mere 17 points.
Wyoming's offense is as bad as it comes - despite the option attack - ranking no higher than 86th (rushing) in offensive categories. That would include passing (103rd), scoring (111th) and overall (112th). Now it's supposed to challenge the 19th-best offense in the country? The 14th-best scoring offense? The seventh-best rushing game?
We have the better stats, we have the better team and we have the motivation.

This is going to be over by halftime
 

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Jay McNeil

Saturday's plays
20 Dime -- SAINTS (minus points vs. Cowboys)



SAINTS

New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when favored by 3 1/2 to 10 points, including 5-0 at home, while Dallas is 2-6 ATS against opponents with winning records. I think the Saints are due for a big game on the national stage after close calls the last couple of weeks, and the Cowboys are 21st against the pass (229.1 ypg), could be without top pass rusher DeMarcus Ware and have lost six straight ATS on the road in December.

NOTE: Buy the half-point if your line is 7 1/2 on this game.



10 Dime -- Jazz (plus points vs. BOBCATS)

JAZZ

Utah is not a good road team, but I expect coach Jerry Sloan to shame his squad into a strong showing tonight after the Jazz were embarassed in Atlanta on Friday night, with Sloan yanking all of his starters in the third quarter following a 23-6 Hawks run to open the second half. The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the Jazz are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss, 4-0 ATS after an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
 

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SmacktheSpread

New Mexico Bowl
10! Fresno State

St. Petersburg Bowl
80! Rutgers -2.5

Close the 50! tease from the Jags on Thursday night with New Orleans -2
 

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JM Daily Football picks 12/19

John Morrison's pick(s) for December 19 2009
<NCAAF Football> Fresno State -10.5 This game is against Wyoming at 4:30 PM ET
<NFL Football> New Orleans -7.5 This game is against Dallas at 8:20 PM ET
 

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big slick noon

720 Kansas -19.0 (-110) SportBet vs 719 Michigan Analysis: „*** NCAABB 3* "BOOKIE BET" ***
Confirmed "BIG SLICK" Bet...from Bookie Bill....VR
 

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Guys,it's the week before Christmas, be wise in what you do,don't ruin the Holiday for your families! GOd Bless you all and Merry Christmas!!
 

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JM Daily Basketball picks 12/19

John Morrison's pick(s) for December 19 2009
<NBA Basketball> Utah +2 This game is against Charlotte at 7:00 PM ET
<NCAAB Basketeball> Texas -7 This game is against North Carolina at 2:00 PM ET
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yesterday 1-1

tracking since 12/15
3-5
nba 1-2
ncaabb 2-3
 

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Been following this guy on another site ...he's 41-17...4-0 yest.

Flapjacks 12 has S. Ala +5 and Youngstown +8.5
 

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Guys,it's the week before Christmas, be wise in what you do,don't ruin the Holiday for your families! GOd Bless you all and Merry Christmas!!

If i bet the house on cleveland this wkend,,, think that might ruin christmas??
@):):ohno::smoking::grandmais:drink: just playin,
have a great christmas
and godbless you as well and everyone


Dave Fobare

Saints (-7) over Cowboys

Is a Wade Phillips Deathwatch in full swing? Two
years removed from a 13-3 record and an NFC East
title the speculation is beginning to build. In crunch
time the Cowboys' defense looked slow and
toothless losing at home 20-17 to San Diego on
Sunday. Up 17-10 with the ball on their 11 yard line
with 9:13 to go the Chargers marched 73 yards on
15 plays in 7:17 to kick a clinching field goal. The
Bolts probably would have been able to run out the
clock if Dallas had not used all three of their second
half timeouts. Dallas has now lost 3 of their last 5,
all of them as favorites.
Still, I think Phillips gets something of a bum rap.
Philips may not be a great NFL coach, but he is far
better than the league's worst and he will be taking
the fall in Dallas for some problems not of his own
doing. Jerry Jones has always been an active owner,
and for most of his tenure in the Big D he has been
a pretty successful one. But some of the football
decisions he has made in recent years are turning
the Cowboys into a Super Bowl pretender instead of
a contender.
Getting hornswaggled by Detroit GM Martin Mayhew
in the Roy Williams deal last year at the trading
deadline is not the only mistake he has made, but it
is instructive. Jones dealt 1st, 3rd and 6th round
draft picks for Williams and soon found out that
Mayhew was a good deal smarter than Matt Millen.
Williams has all the physical tools to be a star but is
an immature if good natured goofball. With a
competent Tony Romo at QB Williams should catch a
minimum of 80-90 balls for a healthy yards per catch. The
yards per catch are there - 16.1 - but Williams has many of
the same problems he had in Detroit. The biggest is his
inability to run disciplined routes. With the Lions he had a
penchant for not breaking off routes when he was
supposed to. And whaddya know, he often does the same
thing in Dallas too. This is the kinda thing a real GM would
take into account. But Jones is not a real GM. And Jones
has been making plenty of similar but less obvious
mistakes, especially on the defensive side of the ball.
Jerry Jones likes Wade Phillips. Phillips doesn't care for the
limelight and is well liked by his players. They will play
hard for him. Philips also makes less money than most
potential replacements would demand. But over the last 5
weeks the Cowboys have looked very much like Denver did
in 1994 and Buffalo did in 2000 when Phillips' teams circled
the drain. My stat model likes the Saints by 9 and the tech
is in their favor too. Wade's collar will get tighter this week,
and Jones deserves much of the blame.
New Orleans by 14
 

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