Service Plays Saturday 10/25/08

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Jimmy Boyd

5* Big Ten GOTY on Michigan State -4
This opportunity is a long time coming for Michigan State and I like the Spartans to derail the Wolverines this week. To make matters worse for Michigan, the Spartans will be ready to take out last week's frustrating loss to Ohio State all over the Wolverines. Plays on a road team (MICHIGAN ST) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 27-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. MSU is also 6-0 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Michigan is just 1-6 ATS on the season as it has been consistently overvalued despite the fact that the Wolverines are not a good team this year. Take State.


5* NCAAF Vegas Line Mistake of the Year on Oregon -4
I agree with the books that the Ducks will win this game, but I have them burying ASU by two touchdowns. ASU has really fallen apart since its terrible loss to UNLV, losing 4 in a row SU and ATS. Oregon beat ASU by 12 points last season when the Sun Devils were good and they'll likely best that margin here. ASU is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. With or without Rudy Carpenter, and it looks like it will be without, the Sun Devils get dominated here.


4* Major Late Night Annihilator on Nevada -3
Nevada is 20-9 ATS as a favorite under coach Ault, winning these games by an average of 16.3 ppg. When the odds makers have chalked one up for the Wolf Pack, they normally cover the number as well. Nevada has covered the number in each of the past two meetings with Hawaii, losing narrowly when the Warriors had better teams. Now that the Wolf Pack have the better side, I expect them to pay the Warriors back. The Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Warriors are 9-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Lay the points.


3* SMASH on Nebraska -10.5
The Huskers will embarrass Baylor this week. Outside of a big loss to Mizzou, the Huskers have played solid football this season. Nebraska is averaging 33.4 ppg at home while Baylor is only scoring 17 ppg on the road. Baylor is 1-8 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons, and 5-14 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is also 24-9 ATS off a double digit road win since 1992, winning in these spots by an average score of 41.6 to 13.5. Lay the number.


3* SMASH on Minnesota +1
Purdue has played with no heart this season and they have now lost 4 straight. Minnesota is red hot and off a bye week and I think that gives the Gophers another "W" here. Minnesota is 6-1 on the season and has covered the spread in 5 straight lined games. The Golden Gophers are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota has made a dramatic turnaround from last season and with a week to let the big Illinois upset simmer down and to prepare for Purdue, I like the Gophers to get it done.
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Matty O'Shea

Triple - Dime Bet
Pittsburgh / Rutgers Under 43.5
Bet the UNDER to cash for them again as my Triple Dime Big East Total Play O' the Year


Wake Forest +3 vs Miami
Double - Dime Bet
Bet Wake Forest as my Double Dime NCAA Underdog Play O' the Week.


BYU -23 vs UNLV
That's why I'm backing BYU as my Single Dime NCAA Big Chalk Play O' the Day.
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Jorge Gonzalez

Big 12 Game of the Year! (Best Bet)

Texas Tech at Kansas
Play: Kansas 5 units

The Kansas Jayhawks will be looking to knock Texas Tech from the unbeaten ranks. The Red Raiders will to stay focused on the game at hand, but that will hard to do with a game against Texas coming up next week. Kansas has been very tough at home this season winning all four games by an average of almost 29 points per game. The Jayhawks have covered their last three games against the Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS after amassing more than 450 yards in the previous game. The Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS against teams with a winning record. They have also covered the spread in four straight games after giving 40 points in their previous game. The Jayhawks have won their 14 games at home. Take the Jayhawks on their home field to win and cover the number


WAC Conference Game of the Year!

Nevada at Hawaii
Play: Nevada -3 5 units

The Nevada Wolfpack offense will be too much to handle for the Hawaii Rainbows. Nevada is running the ball for 304 yards per game while passing the ball for 214 yards per game. Over the last three games, Hawaii has struggled to stop the run giving up 209 yards per game. Nevada will have revenge on their minds after Hawaii beat them 28-26 in Reno. Hawaii is not the same teams with June Jones no longer the head coach and will not be able to keep up with the Wolfpack.
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BIG AL

4* Ohio State

3* San Jose St

3* Missouri

3* Wake Forest

3* Bowling Green

3* Tennessee

1* Arizona

1* Georgia Tech

1* Louisville

1* BYU
 
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Highprofitsports
Nathan Armstrong

5* Total Of The Mont Tex/osu Under
3* South Florida
3* Michigan State
3* Penn State
3* Usc
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MR A

Saturday, October 25, 2008 3:30 p.m. est.
Virginia (4-3) Georgia Tech (6-1)
Under - 41
Virginia Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings against the Yellow Jackets in Atlanta. Go with the better team at home. The Home team has won and covered the spread in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. Georgia Tech's defense is rank fifth in the country in points allowed, 11.6 per game.


Saturday, October 25, 2008 6:00 p.m. est.
Texas Christian Horned Frogs -30½
The Cowboys will be in a bad predicament facing the Horned Frogs' defense, ranked No. 1 in the nation, allowing an average 218.5 yards per game. Expect a blowout in Fort Worth

Saturday, October 25, 2008 9:00 p.m. est.
UCLA Bruins +17½
California Golden Bears are 3-0 at home this season and the home team has won the last four meetings, but the UCLA Bruins have covered the spread in the last four meetings. Look for the injury riddle Bruins to make this a fight in Berkeley. The dog is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in this series.



Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Matt Garza (0-0) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (0-0)
The Phillies are 4-1 in Moyer’s last five home starts and 8-4 with a 2.85 ERA in 15 career starts against the Rays, but the veteran is 2-5 in his last seven interleague games and allowed eight runs in two starts of the Phillies only two defeats in the playoffs. Contrary, Matt Garza was outstanding. The right-hander posted a 1.38 ERA in two ALCS starts, but the Rays are 1-4 in Garza last 5 road starts. Take Philadelphia at Citizens Bank Park in a low scoring contest, rain is in the forecast.

Philadelphia Phillies +105
Under -9½
 
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GINA

Saturday, October 25rd, 2008 8:35 p.m. est.
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Matt Garza (0-0) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (0-0)

The Phillies will start 45-year-old left-hander Jamie Moyer in Game Three against Rays Philadelphia is 0-2 in Moyer two starts this postseason. Tampa Bay counters with 24-year-old Matt Garza. The right-hander posted a 1.38 ERA in two ALCS starts to help defeat the defending World Series champs.

Go with the Rays with Matt Garza on the hill. Veteran slinger Jamie Moyer appears to be wearing out.
Tampa Bay Rays -115
 

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Kelso also has a smaller play on Alabama. Here is that write up.

15 Units

Alabama (-5 ½) over TENNESSEE

Prediction: Alabama by 14-17

Starting Time: 7:45

TV: ESPN

Weather in Knoxville: Partly cloudy, temperature of 55, relative humidity of 55 and wind out of the WNW at 7 miles per hour.

Comments: This is for Alabama a grudge-game without end. It is the firm belief of the Crimson Tide athletic department and the citizens of Alabama that Tennessee coach Phil Fulmer was the person who turned the school into the NCAA for alleged rules violations. As one who scouted in the SEC for several years, I can assure you this grudge might die in about 100 years and it will be a motivating factor for the Tide as they roll into Knoxville, as if they needed any extra inspiration. Alabama (7-0). Tennessee (3-4) has no offense and has seen its season blow up because of it. Oh, yes, Alabama is ranked second in the BCS standings and has no intention of blowing that by getting beat in this spot.

Thanks for the play, do you have this play as well?
--Saturday’s 50-Unit SEC Game Of The Year<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
 
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JOHNNY GUILD

Saturday, October 25th, 2008
Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-6) at (20) Ball State Cardinals (7-0)
Eastern Michigan Eagles' offense will have a tough task against Cardinals' defense, while Ball State explosive offense led by Quarterback Nate Davis rips apart Eastern Michigan's powerless defense. Take the Cardinals to seize their fourth consecutive victory over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are a dreadful 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games versus the Cardinals.



Ball State Cardinals -25.5
Florida State Seminoles -6
New Mexico State Aggies -13
Colorado Buffaloes +24.5
 

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