Does anyone get Bryan Leonard's plays? Thanks!
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Game Time Sports Advisors
Wyoming vs. TCU (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 6:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -30.5/-105 TCU Pick Title: Saturday Bonus Play
Lay the wood.. 30 PLUS+.. These Cowboys of Wyoming are brutal. Who cares they are off a bye week, did they glue the football to their hands. -15 in turnovers! Cowboys outscored 68-0 in losses on road at New Mexico and BYU and now face a better D in TCU. TCU is 7-1 last 8 laying DD at home. Last year TCU lost a heartbreaker at Wyoming. REVENGE!! TCU is the MONEY.. GTSA
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Michael Alexander
Kentucky vs. Florida (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 25/-105 Kentucky Pick Title: NCAAF Free Pick - Kentucky at Florida
After losing two in a row the Kentucky Wild Cats were able to pull out a close win over Arkansas pushing their mark to 5-2 SU on the season. This week they travel to the Swamp to take on the Florida Gators. Surprisingly unlike seasons past it is the Kentucky defense that is getting the attention as they have averaged giving up only 11.3 points per game and only 9.5 when they have been on the road while their offense has put up 25.4 per game.
The Florida Gators come into this one riding high as they pasted the defending Champion LSU Tigers 51-21 pushing their mark to 5-1 SU overall but left them ranked only 10th in the first BCS poll. As usual the Gators are not having any problems putting points on the board as they average 38.5 points per game. Their defense has been tough as well giving up only 13.0 points per game.
SUPPORTING ANGLES: Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series including 3-0 ATS at The Swamp are 6-2 ATS as SEC underdogs of greater than 15 points. Florida is 2-11 ATS record as conference favorites of 14 or more points. Also, any team who beat the defending National Champs are 6-21 ATS when facing an opponent that won 7 or more games the previous season.
Kentucky’s defense has yielded a season-high of just 24 points and Florida has a date with Georgia next week. Too many points considering so I'm taking the Wildcats in this one.
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Matty Baiungo
Colorado vs. Missouri (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 6:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -22.5/-105 Missouri Pick Title: Matty B's Free CFB Play - - Saturday
Colorado @ Missouri 6:30 PM EST Play On: Missouri (- 22 ½)
If Missouri is as good as we think they are, then this is a good bounce back spot for them. The Tigers enter off back-to-back losses against Oklahoma St and Texas. Two weeks back, Mizzou was a 14 ½-point home favorite over Okie St and lost straight-up 28-23. And last week they were just pounded from the get-go at Texas and wound up losing 56-31. But there should be no shame in losing either one of those games. The Oklahoma St loss looks worse because of the high spread, but that line was simply out of whack. Many thought Missouri would give Texas all they wanted last week as they were off that home loss and were catching Texas off their big Oklahoma win. And we saw a ton of support for them as the line crashed from 7 ½ to 4 at kickoff. Now how many bettors who backed Missouri last week will be quick to unload on them again this week? Not too many, especially with the Tigers laying three touchdowns.
But we’ll certainly step in here. Missouri’s high octane offense has been stalled by much bigger and faster defenses than what they’ll face with Colorado. Missouri’s gimmicky offense is not as effective when facing good defenses, but when it lines up against weak ones, it explodes. Over their first five games, Missouri scored at least 42 points in every game. They had just 17 going into the 4th quarter last week before they piled up the garbage points and yards when the game was out of reach. Last year, Chase Daniel led the Tigers to 55 points and 598 yards in their 45 point win at Colorado. And a repeat of that performance is certainly attainable again this year. Missouri’s schedule is weak the rest of the way, and big, lopsided wins should resume.
Colorado was supposed to be much improved this year. It’s Dan Hawkins third year, and after going from 2-10 in 2006 to 6-7 and a bowl game in 2007, another positive step was expected. But that certainly has not been the case. Colorado got out of the gate fast opening the season at 3-0. But the wheels have come off lately as the Buffaloes are just 1-3 over their last four games. The win came last week over a bad Kansas St team, but Colorado should be embarrassed by the 14-13 final. Kansas St’s defense is horrible, but they held Colorado to just 13 points on 353 yards. Over their previous four games, K-St allowed at least 30 points and 509 yards to opposing offenses. Colorado has no chance of trading points with Missouri here. Under Dan Hawkins, Colorado is only 2-9-1 against the spread as a road underdog. That, combined with the fact that Missouri will be looking to atone for the last two weeks, equals blowout. Go with Missouri.
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Matt Fargo
Cincinnati U vs. Connecticut (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -2/-105 Cincinnati U Pick Title:
Cincinnati is coming off a bye week and that extra time will be beneficial. The Bearcats have won four straight games and are currently 1-0 in the Big East Conference. This game means quite a bit considering the next four games comes against the best four teams in the conference so heading into that stretch at 2-0 is a must. Making things even more interesting is the fact that Cincinnati will have only five days after this one to get ready for a visit from the Bulls.
While the Bearcats are hot, Connecticut is struggling. The Huskies have dropped two straight games including a heartbreaker at Rutgers over the weekend. They had a shot to win but missed a field goal with just over a minute remaining. This will be the first home game in five weeks for the Huskies which is no doubt a big advantage while they are also playing with revenge following a 27-3 blowout loss last season in Cincinnati. However, the Bearcats have too many edges in this one.
Three games back, the Huskies won at Louisville in a game they had no business winning and it was the one game they were outrushed this season. Connecticut rushed for 157 yards and that has begun a downward spiral from the rushing game. After averaging 279.5 ypg in their first four games, the Huskies have averaged only 147.3 ypg over their last three games. Things won’t get better here as Cincinnati comes into this game with the 13th ranked rushing defense in the nation, allowing just 94.5 ypg.
Special teams, defense, and a resurgent running game have helped the Bearcats play through the loss of their top two quarterbacks to injury. Despite this, the Bearcats are 39th in the country in total offense including 26th in passing offense and 21st in passing efficiency. They will go against a solid defense in Connecticut but after allowing 7.3 ppg in their first three games, the Huskies have allowed 24.8 ppg in their last four games and it is no surprise due to the level of competition increasing.
Field position can play a big role and Cincinnati has a huge edge in two big special teams’ categories. It is 1st in the country in net putting while the Huskies are only 84th and the Bearcats are 6th in kickoff returns while Connecticut is 99th. Cincinnati has covered 10 of its last 14 games against teams with a winning record while the Huskies are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven against winning teams. That shows a lot of how each steps up or down against the level of competition and we will see more of the same here. 3* Cincinnati Bearcats
Fargo is having a spectacular season in football and he has nailed over 60% of his NCAAF releases! This includes his first 9* release last Saturday as Virginia won outright! He is backing that up with another 9* Winner and it comes from the Pac Ten! Grab his Pac Ten Game of the Year that is backed by 21-3 ATS (87.5%) Team Angles! We bring home another one so do not miss!
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Tony George
Oklahoma vs. Kansas State (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -19.5/-104 Oklahoma Pick Title: Big 12 Bonus Play
Oklahoma -19 @ Kansas State
I smell a blowout here. Oklahoma should be able to pass all over K State's secondary here. When OU runs the ball to balance the attack somewhat, they are tough to defend for anyone. Kansas Sate has issues on offense in this match up, and although QB Freeman is a stud, when asked to carry the entire game on his shoulders, like this one, he will fail. OU simply has too many weapons and a mission to get o the title game tied up with the hopes that Texas can fall in defeat between now and the end of the season.
Oklahoma's defense is not the same without Reynolds, who is out for the year, but an opportunistic secondary may play a large role in this one for the Sooners. Kansas State had a total of 15 first downs last week, but gave up 24 of them to Colorado. While the Buffs failed to capitalize on most of those, although they still won, rest assured Oklahoma will take full advantage of that by scoring points.
Oklahoma 48 Kansas State 20...Lay the Wood
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Tony Karpinski
Penn State vs. Ohio State (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 8:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -2/-104 Penn State Pick Title: FREE PICK
Penn State has consistently performed like one of the best teams in the country this year, and are now even better since they have gotten even better as they've gotten healthier along the defensive line. This is Penn St's National Championship game as its smooth sailing after Ohio St. Penn St has speed at QB, RB, and WR's and I expect them to spread the ball out just like USC did to pick apart Ohio St. Penn is isn't your average Big Ten school of the past.
The Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and the favorite has dominated this series, covering seven out of 10 meetings. Penn State has speed on both side of the ball - the type of speed that we've seen the Buckeyes have problems with in nonconference play for years now. Take JoePA and Penn St to get the win Saturday night and stay undefeated!
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Bryan Leonard
Oklahoma State vs. Texas (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 3:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 12/-108 Oklahoma State Pick Title: Free Selection
Oklahoma State at Texas The Cowboys have stayed under the radar for most of the season despite entering this game undefeated not only straight up but against the pointspread. Now they catch the Longhorns off back to back huge games and with a number one ranking. Oklahoma State can score on anybody as witnessed by their point totals of 39, 56, 57, 55, 56, 28 and 34 points this season. They can beat you on the ground or through the air. Zac Robinson has been terrific at quarterback yet he is never mentioned in the same breath as the other signal callers in this league. Last year the Cowboy defense allowed 29.5 points per game but this season only one opponent has surpassed that mark. This is a very good team who is playing with a chip on their shoulder as they blew a big lead to the Longhorns last year only to lose 38-35 in Stillwater. Texas is in the middle of one of the toughest scheduling situations we have seen in quite some time. They battled former #1 Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry and pulled away late 45-35. Last week they faced one of the most potent offenses in college football as they manhandled Missouri 56-31. After facing the undefeated Cowboys this week they travel to Lubbock to face the undefeated Red Raiders next weekend. We are of the belief that players only have so much energy to give, which is why teams are prone to upsets. After facing Oklahoma and Missouri with Texas Tech on deck we simply can't see the Longhorns being fully motivated to face a team they have now beaten 10 straight times. Especially knowing that this game will be played at home. We're all human and it would be shocking to see the top ranked team going all out in preparation of this game. Colt McCoy has just been anointed as the next great passer as he has taken the lead in the Heisman Trophy race. Texas is an excellent team no doubt about it but the best teams don't win by double-digit margins all the time. With Oklahoma State off Baylor and with Iowa State on deck this game gets their full attention. This is just too many points to give an undefeated squad playing with memorable revenge. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE
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RJ Robbins
Central Michigan vs. Toledo (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -3.5/-107 Central Michigan Pick Title: Saturday Free Pick
Chips to tough no matter who is at the helm QB- LeFevour or Brunner!
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Cajun Sports
Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NFL) - Oct 26, 2008 1:00 PM EDT
Play: Total: 45/-103 Under Pick Title: Cajuns Sports 2* NFL Free Total Selection
The City of Brotherly Love will be the site of Sunday’s match up between the host Eagles and the visiting Atlanta Falcons. Both Teams enter Sunday’s contest off of their bye week and having won their last game prior to the open date.
Philadelphia has been very strong coming off their bye posting a record of 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS but the key for us in this contest is they have only allowed 8.8 points per game off their bye.
Both teams have strong “Under” tendencies coming off their bye week as Atlanta is 8-0-2 Under during the last decade and Philly has gone “Under” in nine straight games off their bye.
Philadelphia’s defensive front presents a huge problem for rookie QB Matt Ryan of the Falcons as they rank number 2 in the NFL on our defensive index rating with a rating of 4.3. They are second only to Pittsburgh who has a 2.94 YPA while the Eagles check in with a 3.54 YPA.
The Eagles defense is tied for the NFC lead with 21 sacks this season and they love to blitz which may be too much for Ryan’s first trip to Philly. Eagles Safety Brian Dawkins is one of five Defensive Backs in NFL history with 20 or more sacks in their career. A tough place and a tough “D” for young Ryan to contend with on Sunday in Philadelphia.
The Falcons offense averages 291 yards per game and only 15.8 points per game on the road. The Eagles defense is only allowing 10.7 points per game at home this season. The Eagles offense averages 345 yards per game and 23.3 points per game at home this year. The Falcons defense is allowing 24 points per game on the highway this season.
ATLANTA is 14-5 Under in road games over the last 3 seasons and 8-1 Under in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 Under as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, 13-3 Under as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 Under as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons.
The Falcons are 12-31 Under on the road. The Falcons are 0-8 Under on the road when facing a team that has passed the ball on at least 60% of their offensive plays, season-to-date. The Falcons are 3-13 Under on the road when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.75 yards per carry season-to-date. The Falcons are 4-14 Under as a road dog versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road.
The Eagles are 0-13 Under as a favorite the week after their bye. The Eagles are 1-16-1 Under as a 7+ favorite. The Eagles are 0-8-1 Under as a home favorite versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent. The Eagles are 0-7-1 Under as a home 7+ favorite versus a non-divisional opponent.
With strong fundamental support and overwhelming technical support we will make the Under in today’s contest our 2* NFL Total “Free” Selection of the Week.
GRADED PREDICTION: 2* Atlanta / Philadelphia Under 45
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Doc's Sports
Notre Dame vs. Washington U (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 8:00 PM EDT
Play: Total: 54/-105 Over Pick Title:
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #88 Take Over in Notre Dame @ Washington (Saturday 8:00 pm ESPN 2) The Fighting Irish are coming off of a bye and thus gives Coach Weis an extra week to develop scoring plays against a weak Husky defense. Notre Dame can put points on the board but their weakness has always been on defense and thus this sets up for a perfect situation for a strong play on the over. Coach Willingham will show no mercy or let-up and will try to score points each and every time he has the football against Notre Dame, a school that fired him four years ago. We will not worry if Notre Dame can cover this spread and just collect with the over. Doc’s Sports Big XII Game of the Year goes this Saturday, sign-up now and let 37 years of experience work for you.
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Tom Stryker
Boston College vs. North Carolina (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 2.5/-110 Boston College Pick Title: Tom Stryker's Free Pick for October 25
#119 BOSTON COLLEGE (+) over North Carolina at 12 PM EST
Boston College has been one of the best road teams in college football over the past six seasons and I’ll have no trouble taking the Eagles plus the points in this ACC battle.
Since 1993, BC has cruised to a remarkable 24-10 SU record on the road or at neutral sites. That record places the Eagles at No. 7 behind road warriors like USC, Texas, LSU, Georgia, Boise State and Auburn. With regards to profitability, Boston College has been at its best on foreign soil when priced as an underdog. In this role, the Eagles are a powerful 10-2 SU and ATS!
Technically speaking, this is NOT the spot for North Carolina. According to my college football database, since 1985, home favorites priced at -7 or less are a stiff 38-63 ATS provided they enter off exactly one straight up road favorite loss. Even worse, if our host carries a won/loss percentage greater than .500, this system crashes to an ugly 16-41 ATS! The Tar Heels apply to the general situation and the tightener!
If you want to win big games, you need to bring a defense to the table. Boston College can do that. The Eagles are ranked in the Top 25 in nine different categories including No. 1 in pass efficiency defense (86.70) and red zone defense (.58). Matched up against a North Carolina offense that is currently without its best player (WR Brandon Tate out for the season with torn ligaments in his right knee) the Eagles will soar. Take Boston College! Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
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Craig Trapp
Rutgers vs. Pittsburgh U (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 3:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -10/103 Pittsburgh U Pick Title: Bonus Play CFB enjoy it
Love the Panthers this week to win by over 17. Pitt has been much better since being upset in the opener. They are so good at running the ball and overpowering opponents. They set up there play action passing after pounding the ball up the middle. Big plays will not be easy to come by against Rutgers but they will at least have two 50 or longer TD runs or passes. Rutgers is pitiful they barely beat UConn last week and have not been able to score all year. Pitt will not be stopped and Rutgers can't score sounds like a blowout. SCORE PITT 31 - RUT 13