STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, JULY 21st 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 7/21/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•ChiSox Ice Cold Against AL Central Opponents: The Chicago White Sox have been struggling immensely in divisional games recently, going 1-10 in their last 11 against the American League Central. The White Sox will try and turn things around when they host the Kansas City Royals (8:10 PM EST) on Monday evening. BetOnline.com currently lists Chicago as -167 favorites with a total of 7.5.
•Recent History Shows Blue Jays Have Lackey's Number: The Toronto Blue Jays will be happy to see right-hand starter Jon Lackey on the mound when his Boston Red Sox come to town (7:07 PM EST) Monday. In Lackey's last eight assignments against the Blue Jays, the Sox are an awful 1-7. BetOnline.com presently lists Toronto as -113 favorites with an Over/Under of 8.5 for the American League East matchup.
•Under Trending With This Pitcher On The Road: In Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu's last eight outings away from home, the Under is 6-1-1. Ryu and the Dodgers will pay a visit to the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park (7:05 PM EST) on Monday night. The Pirates are currently -108 favorites with a total of 7.5, per BetOnline.com.
•Danny Salazar Will Return To The Major Leagues On Tuesday: MLB.com beat writer Jordan Bastian confirms that the Cleveland Indians will recall right-hander Danny Salazar from Triple-A Columbus to start Tuesday night against the Twins at Minneapolis’ Target Field. Salazar opened the 2014 regular season as a member of Cleveland’s starting rotation but was optioned to the minors after posting a rough 5.53 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over his first eight starts.
Those struggles continued at Triple-A but he’s been much better lately, boasting a 2.32 ERA and 39 strikeouts over his last 31 innings (five starts) for the Clippers. Salazar has excellent raw stuff and could provide a nice boost for the big league rotation down the stretch if he’s able to reign in some of his control issues. The 24-year-old posted a promising 3.12 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 65/15 K/BB ratio across his first 52 major league frames last season for the Tribe.
•Blue Jays, Giants Interested In Utley: The Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants are the teams most interested in acquiring veteran second baseman Chase Utley from the Philadelphia Phillies, according to the Boston Globe. Blue Jays second basemen have combined to hit just .254 this season. They have used Steve Tolleson, Brett Lawrie, Munenori Kawasaki and Ryan Goins, among others, at the position. The Giants have also struggled to get production at second base. Marco Scutaro is back from the disabled list but they are not counting on him to be an everyday player this season.
Utley, 35, is batting .289 with eight home runs and 46 RBIs in 93 games this season. He is making $15 million this season and comes with a $15 million price tag for next year. He also has $15 million vesting options through 2018 if he reaches 500 plate appearances in the year prior. Utley can invoke his trade clause and reject any potential deals. He told MLB.com in late June that he does not expect to be dealt by the July 31 waiver deadline. "I guess we'd have to see at that point," he said. "But I don't plan on going anywhere." The Phillies are in last place in the National League East and are expected to be sellers at the trade deadline.
Who's Not Hot - American League
It gets more and more interesting every week in the American League, as three of the teams that were in the thick of the fight for the playoffs last season, including the defending champs, are at the bottom of the league and the bottom of the money standings as well. Check out who is really burning your bankroll as we near 100 games into the 2014 season.
•Texas Rangers (39-59, -$2,354) – Is it ever going to end for the Rangers? They've only won four games since the middle of June, and it is only a matter of time until they really just blow this whole thing apart. SS Elvis Andrus is one of the many who should probably be traded before the end of the month. OF Shin Soo-Choo has reached base once in his last 22 at bats. The whole lineup is in shambles, and the starting rotation could be made up of just guys who are on the DL. It's really all over for the Rangers, who are 20 games below .500, and we have a feeling that it could end up getting a heck of a lot worse for them before the end of the season.
•Tampa Bay Rays (47-53, -$1,930) – Meanwhile, the Rays have managed to cut a massive dent into their deficit for the season. They'll never get back to the break-even point, but they could get a heck of a lot closer by the end of the year. They're 23-11 in their last 34 games, and they have shaved 7.5 games off of what was once a 15-game deficit in the AFC East. The starting pitching is starting to come back together with RHP Alex Cobb healthy. However, the bullpen still has some problems, as there really isn't a bona fide closer for this team right now. GM Andrew Freidman still has a big decision to make about the future of LHP David Price, but the feeling in Tampa Bay is that the team is still in it and can really win the whole thing.
•Boston Red Sox (46-52, -$1,681) – These Red Sox just don't look nearly as good as the ones who won the World Series last year. 3B Brock Holt, OF Mookie Betts, RHP Rubby De La Rosa... Who are these guys? 2B Dustin Pedroia is having as bad of a season as he has ever had, and it feels like it's wearing off on the whole lineup. The Sox have a number of games this season in which they have been shut out either literally or figuratively, and it just isn't going to get any better than this in all likelihood. The question is whether men like RHP Jake Peavy can really get going again. When LHP Jon Lester is on the mound, these Red Sox are able to be backed. When he isn't out there though, there are all sorts of questions, and it feels like Russian Roulette backing the boys from Beantown.
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Betting Notes - Monday
National League
•Giants-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Vogelsong is 0-4, 2.92 in his last four starts; Giants were shut out in his last three outings.
--Lee is 1-2, 5.18 in his last five starts before the DL; last one was May 18.
--Giants won three of their last four games.
--Phillies lost nine of last twelve at home.
--Last four Vogelsong starts stayed under total.
•Dodgers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Ryu is 3-2, 3.15 in his last six starts.
--Volquez is 4-0, 0.90 in his last four starts.
--Dodgers lost five of their last seven road games.
--Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 14 home games.
--Five of last seven Volquez home starts stayed under.
•Marlins-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Koehler is 0-1, 9.64 in his last two starts.
--Teheran is 3-1, 4.44 in his last four starts.
--Marlins lost six of their last seven games.
--Atlanta won four of its last five games.
--Six of last eight Koehler starts went over; under is 7-3-1 in Teheran's last 11.
•Reds-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Latos is 2-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.
--Peralta is 6-1, 5.47 in his last eight starts (Brewers scored 57 runs).
--Reds lost their last six road games.
--Milwaukee lost 13 of its last 16 games.
--Over is 8-1 in last nine Peralta starts.
•Nationals-Rockies - 8:40 PM
--Fister is 3-1, 2.57 in his last four starts.
--Morales is 1-0, 2.53 in his two starts this month.
--Washington won four of its last five games.
--Colorado lost its last five games.
--Under is 5-2 in last seven games at Coors Field.
American League
•Rangers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Mikolas is 0-2, 10.68 in three starts, allowing 21 hits in his last nine IP.
--Greene is 2-0, 1.35 in his first two MLB starts.
--Rangers lost 25 of their last 30 games.
--Yankees won four of its last five games.
--Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve New York home games.
•Red Sox-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Lackey is 2-2, 8.55 in his last four starts.
--Hutchison is 1-4, 5.72 in his last five starts.
--Boston won seven of its last eight games.
--Blue Jays won four of their last five home games.
--Over is 6-1 in last seven Lackey starts, 1-6 in Hutchison's last seven.
•Indians-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Salazar is 1-4, 6.69 in his last seven starts, last of which was May 15.
--Johnson is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts this season.
--Cleveland won six of its last eight games.
--Twins lost seven of their last eight home games.
--Under is 7-3-1 in last 11 Cleveland road games.
•Royals-White Sox - 8:10 PM
--Guthrie is 0-2, 11.05 in his last three starts.
--Sale is 3-1, 2.38 in his last five starts.
--Kansas City lost six of its last seven games.
--White Sox won five of their last seven home games.
--Five of last six Guthrie starts went over the total.
•Orioles-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Norris is 4-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.
--Shoemaker is 2-0, 3.37 in his last three home starts.
--Baltimore lost three of their last four games.
--Angels won 14 of their last 17 games.
--Five of last six Shoemaker starts went over.
Interleague
•Tigers-Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM
--Verlander is 2-4, 6.35 in his last eight starts.
--Nuno is 0-1, 2.84 in two starts for Arizona.
--Tigers lost four of their last five games.
--Arizona won its last four home games.
--Ten of last twelve Verlander starts went over.
•Mets-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--DeGrom is 3-1, 1.65 in his last five starts.
--Elias is 0-3, 10.67 in his last three starts.
--Mets lost eight of their last ten road games.
--Seattle lost six of its last nine games.
--Eight of last ten games at Safeco Field stayed under total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Vogelsong 10-9; Lee 5-5
-- Ryu 10-8; Volquez 10-8
-- Koehler 5-11; Teheran 13-7
-- Latos 3-3; Peralta 10-8
-- Fister 9-3; Morales 6-7
-- Mikolas 0-3; Greene 2-0
-- Lackey 11-8; Hutchison 9-10
-- Salazar 3-5; Johnson 0-2
-- Guthrie 10-9; Sale 9-5
-- Norris 9-6; Shoemaker 7-2
-- Verlander 11-8; Nuno 6-8/0-2
-- De Grom 4-8; Elias 9-10
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Pirates Edinson Volquez who made five starts for the Dodgers late last season, has given up one run or none while going at least six innings in three of his last four home starts. The right-hander also has posted an 0.90 ERA while winning his last four assignments overall. He's coming off his second career complete game, holding St. Louis to six hits in a 9-1 road victory July 10.
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