Lenny Del Genio
Cincinnati +160
The Reds come in off a very disappointing series with the Indians, getting swept out of town. Two of the losses were by one run before Sunday's disaster where they couldn't keep the Indians in the yard. However, they faced an all-righty Cleveland rotation over the weekend and this is a team that has done its best work this year vs. lefties (7.4 runs per game, .316 team BA). Cincinnati admittedly does not have a strong recent history vs. Philadelphia, but the Phillies are not scoring many runs right now, scoring three runs or less in an incredible nine straight games, including yesterday's shutout loss to the Rangers as -160 favorites. They've scored just 10 runs in the last seven games. Reds starter Bronson Arroyo has a 0.92 ERA in three road starts thus far & his team start record of 22-14 on the road on grass is attractive. Look for Cincy to beat Cole Hamels for the first time ever tonight. Take Cincinnati.