Kevin from MLBPredictions
5 Star MLB pick going tonight...
Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians - INDIANS TO WIN (+101)
Clay Buchholz is on the mound for the Red Sox who have won 8 of their last 9 games. Buchholz has pitched well lately after a bit of a shaky start to the season. He is 4-3 on the year with a 3.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Batters are hitting .261 against him over his 9 starts. Clay is 0-1 lifetime vs Cleveland with an ERA of 8.20 over his two starts.
Pitching for the Indians is Justin Masterson who is 5-2 on the season with a 2.52 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Batters are hitting .249 against Masterson. He hasn't pitched a shutout to date, but over his 9 starts Just has 5 outings where he has allowed just 1 earned run. Although the Red Sox are hot right now, and they are 4-0 in Buchholz last 4 starts, we ahve to look at the Indians who have the MLB's best record at 29-15. Cleveland is an amazing 18-4 at home, compared to the Red Sox who are 9-11 on the road. Note the Indians are also 24-4 in their last 28 home games dating back to last season, and 8-2 in their last 10 games vs AL East opponents. Cleveland is 8-3 in Mastersons last 11 starts, and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts.
Also note that the Red Sox got sweeped in Cleveland in these two teams only series thus far this season, and they are 0-5 in their last 5 games in Cleveland. With the best record in the bigs, an unbeleivable home record, and feeling good coming off an interleague sweep against one of the NL's better teams, you would have to think the Indians are going to be favored here.
I'm on Cleveland at home with a very generous line tonight for my 5 star selection.