COMPS:
Marc Lawrence
Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers open a three game visit with the Astros in Houston Monday evening where Clayton Kershaw matches serves with Bud Norris. Kershaw enters the contest in solid KW form with six walks and 25 strikeouts in his last three starts while owning a 2.92 ERA away from home this season. With Norris just 2-7 in his career team starts in May, and Kershaw 13-5 in his career team starts in May, look for the Dodgers to gain the first leg of this series here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Los Angeles.
David Chan
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
PICK: Los Angeles Dodgers
I bet value where I see it and after the Astros broke out of their funk with a win in Toronto on Sunday, I expect Houston to drop back down into mediocrity and for the Dodgers and Clayton Kershaw to come away with a convincing victory.
Kershaw is 5-3 this year with a 3.09 ERA.
He is coming off a forgettable outing in which he surrendered seven hits and four runs over five frames of work in an 8-5 loss to San Francisco on Wednesday night.
Kershaw received the "no-decision", but had six K's and just one walk.
Previous to that he had thrown 26 1/3's of consecutive scoreless innings vs. the Giants.
It was the most runs allowed in his last four starts and surpassed his total from his previous three combined.
Kershaw is second in the NL with 70 K's.
Kershaw will be opposed by Bud Norris (2-3, 3.93 ERA).
Norris gave up five runs and seven hits in just five frames of work during his teams 5-1 loss to St. Louis on Wednesday night.
It was his shortest outing of the year.
The Astros had lost four straight before beating the Jays yesterday; I expect a "letdown" here and in my opinion, Kershaw is the stronger starter; all signs point to a comfortable Dodgers victory!
Nick Parsons
Reds @ Phillies
PICK: Under 7
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "under":
Coming into Sunday the Reds are 25-22; 15-11 at home and 10-11 on the road.
They've seen the total go "under" the number in just 18 of 45 this year (with two "pushes").
Bronson Arroyo gets the start for the Reds; Arroyo is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up five runs and seven hits over seven innings of work in last Wednesday's 5-0 loss to Pittsburgh.
Arroyo has gone 0-2 over his last four outings while surrendering 14 runs over 27 1/3's innings.
In the other dugout: Coming into Sunday the Phillies are 28-18; 16-9 at home and 12-9 on the road.
Philadelphia has seen the total go "under" the number in 24 of 42 this year (with four "pushes"), including in 12 of 22 in front of the home town crowd.
Cole Hamels gets the start for the Phillies; Hamels went eight innings his last time out and gave up just one run while scattering five hits in last Wednesday's 2-1 victory over Colorado.
Hamels is 5-2 with a 2.92 ERA over his 61 2/3's innings of work so far this year.
Bottom line: To say Hamels "owns" the Reds would be a HUGE understatement; in seven career starts he's a perfect 6-0 with a minuscule 1.07 ERA.
Despite his recent struggles, Arroyo is still 3-4 with a respectable 4.11 ERA.
Expect these starters to throw deep into this contest and as a result, the prudent wager is on the "under"!