Service Plays Monday 2/22/10

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Lenny Del Genio

DALLAS MAVERICKS -9.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Mavericks have come out of the Break by winning three of four games, but still lay claim to the worst home ATS record in the league at 6-20. We did cash them however in a small price range last Wednesday when they hosted the Phoenix Suns. Still that was the team's lone cover at the America Airlines Arena since 12.20 with the exception of a SU/ATS win over a lousy Golden State team on Feb 3rd. Taking all this into account, we still like them tonight vs. the Pacers, a terrible team no matter which way you slice it. Helping our cause is the fact that Indiana is a lousy underdog, just 15-24 ATS this year. They are also 2-10 ATS their last 12 visits to Dallas. The team is off a surprising win Saturday night at Houston, winning outright as 7.5-point dogs, 125-115. They are not good defensively, particularly on the road, where they allow an average of nearly 107 points per game. Dallas' last four opponents are averaging just 93 points per game on 44% shooting. This is Indiana's third road game in four days. Take Dallas.[/FONT]
 

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Tony George

Oklahoma/Kansas UNDER 147.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oklahoma lost a solid scorer at guard in Willie Warren canning 16 ppg on the season, managed 68 points at home against K State, who allowed bottom feeder Nebraska 87 points in their own house last week, and the Sooners score just 65 ppg on the road on the year, and KU allows 62 ppg on the season. OU will try to slow it down and stay in this game, and I doubt they break 65 points in this game, and neither team lights up the free throw line either.

Play 1 Unit on the UNDER.
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Dwayne Bryant

ATLANTA HAWKS +5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]This might be a back-to-back situation for Atlanta (and third in four nights), but it's an even tougher spot for the Jazz. This is Utah's first game back at home after a four-game road trip. That first home game after a road trip is usually a tough spot for the host, but that's only the beginning for Utah.

Tonight will be the Jazz's fifth game in seven days and they just played an OT game in Portland last night. And it wasn't JUST an OT game. It was an OT game where Utah had to expend a TON of energy rallying from a 25-point deficit. Utah can't help but be worn out for this one.

Atlanta is deep and therefore they should be a bit fresher throughout this matchup. I know Atlanta has a poor recent history in Utah, but if not tonight, when? The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of 5 to 10.5 points, and I really expect them to take control late. I'll grab the points with Atlanta.
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Jim Hurley Network

Month of Feb; 32-35-2

Yesterday 2-1

Today:

NBA: Indy Pacers

NCAA:

Kansas

Elon
 
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The Duke's Sports

West Virginia Over (136) for 3 Units

Both of these teams are starting to amp up offensive productivity; for example , over the last five games the Mounties have averaged 82 ppg; on the other hand, since Calhoun came back, the Huskies dropped 84 and 76 respectively, both on the road. And remember, the 84 was dropped on a well disciplined Villanova defense. Furthermore, the trends are in favor of an 'over'. WV, which allows nearly 71 ppg on the road, sports an 8-3 O/U mark as a traveler and 8-3 O/U on the road vs a home team above .500. On the other hand, U Conn is 20-6 O/U on their home floor vs a team with a road win % above .600. The Huskies also like to run on Mondays when they're 4-0 O/U. The last two games in this series at Connecticut combined for 150 points in each. We like the value with the "over".
 

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Green Mean Profit Machine

NBA: (7PM) Wizards - Bulls // 1ST HALF SPREAD: CHIC -1

NBA: (7PM) Wizards - Bulls // 1ST HALF TOTAL: OVER 101.5

NBA: (9PM) Hawks - Jazz // 1ST HALF TOTAL: OVER 98.5

NBA: (10:30PM) Bobcats - Clippers // 1ST HALF TOTAL: OVER 96.5

NBA: (8:30PM) Mavericks - Pacers // 1ST HALF SPREAD: DALLA -5

NBA: (10:30PM) Bobcats - Clippers // 1ST HALF SPREAD: CHAR -2

NBA: (7PM) Wizards - Bulls // TOTAL: OVER 199.5

NBA: (9PM) Hawks - Jazz // TOTAL: OVER 196.5

NBA: (10:30PM) Bobcats - Clippers // TOTAL: OVER 191.5

NBA: (9PM) Hawks - Jazz // SPREAD: ATL +5

NBA: (7:30PM) Knicks - Bucks // TOTAL: UNDER 209

NBA: (8:30PM) Pacers - Mavericks // TOTAL: UNDER 207.5
 

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Take Playoff Hopeful Bulls and Bucks – Expect the Pacers/Mavs to Throttle Back
Posted on February 22, 2010 by ThisProGambler

There are five games in the NBA tonight and, to be honest, they’re all playable. I’m leaving the Charlotte/Clippers game alone because the Bobcats are so unpredictable on the Road (but I really anticipate the Clippers to be packing it in for the year). I expect the Playoff Bound Hawks and Jazz to play a great game; while I believe the 5 Points to Utah may be too much, I’m going to be satisfied with the three remaining games on the schedule.

Take Chicago Bulls -2 1/2 at Washington Wizards. In spite of cleaning up the roster to make some off-season cap room (trading John Salmons and Tyrus Thomas), the Bulls still seem focused on making the playoffs. Sitting in the 6th playoff spot, Derrick Rose and Kirk Hinrich have led the Bulls through an easy stretch of the schedule following the All-Star Game, where everyone is contributing and the Bulls have won four in a row vs teams with losing records. They’ve covered the spread in all of those games. They face another bad team today in the Wizards. The Bulls beat Washington on Jan. 15 in Chicago (in double overtime), but only by 2 points (failing to Cover 6 Point Spread). But, that Washington team is really not the same team the Bulls are facing today. The suspended gunslinger Gilbert Arenas was already gone, but the Wizards were still packing Antawn Jamison and Caron Butler in January. I give the rag-tag group that has been patched together to finish the season credit for the hard fought game they lost in Toronto on Saturday. They actually played together better than they had all year. But, the Bulls will keep cruising tonight. The line has moved up 1/2 a point, as all the money is all going to Chicago. But, I’m not one to fade the public just for the sake of being a contrarian. Take the Bulls -2 1/2.

Take the Milwaukee Bucks +1 1/2 at New York Knicks. Tracy McGrady, the 7 time All-Star and 2 time scoring champion, made a dramatic debut as a Knick with 26 points as they gave the Oklahoma City Thunder, one of the NBA’s best, a fight that went into overtime on Saturday. But, it’s worth nothing that McGrady wore down was not able to play hardly any of the overtime. The Bucks sit in 9th Playoff spot, only 1 game begin the Charlotte Bobcats, and no team is fighting harder to sneak into the playoffs. John Salmons has been a good addition and, led by Brandon Jennings, the Bucks have won 7 of their last 10 straight up and against the spread. They have won Against the Spread 61% of the time on the Road this year, including 4 of their last 5 Road games. They’ve beat the Knicks in both previous meetings (SU and ATS in Milwaukee and New York), and I expect them to do so tonight. In spite of the play of David Lee, in their last 10 games the Knicks are 1-9, 3-7 ATS, and 2-4 ATS at Home. The line is favorable, as this game ought to be a Pick’em (or even a Point to the Knicks). Take the Bucks +1 1/2.

Take Under 208 in the Pacers/Mavericks Game. Dallas has only covered the spread 23% of the time at home this year, but Indiana has nothing to play for and is 1-3 ATS in their recent Road games, so I’m staying away from a pick on this game. But, I do think the Point Total of 208 is two high for the way these teams are currently playing. The Mavericks have only broke the century mark in 1 of their last 5 games; they’ve played some defense through that stretch, only giving up 100 in one game – a butt-kicking from the sometimes scorching hot Nuggets. Indiana was in a shootout on Saturday when they beat the Houston Rockets 125-115. But, it’s hard to imagine the Pacers putting together back to back great shooting games. These teams historically put up the points, going over the total in five of their last seven. But, in both games played last year, they were under the total assigned to this game. Take Under 208 in Pacers/Mavs Game.
 

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ATSKINGS


Clayton Rice Picks Page

NBA -

3* UTAH

2* OVER Knicks

CBB -

3* OKLAHOMA
 
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2009 NCAA Basketball Games to Watch: 7-10-1, 41.2%*
*Source: SportsInsights.com

West Virginia -2 over Connecticut
We'll look to stop the bleeding tonight in Hartford, where the West Virginia Mountaineers travel to take on the Huskies of UConn. Connecticut is trying to turn some recent momentum into a push for the postseason, and a win last week at Villanova has given them hope. After managing just 48 points at home against Cincinnati, they've averaged 80 in their last two contests, both on the road. Guards Kemba Walker and Jerome Dyson have led the way, their scoring up since coach Jim Calhoun returned from a leave due to illness. West Virginia rebounded nicely last week as well, with two consecutive, if nonchalant, victories against Providence and Seton Hall. Led by Da'Sean Butler and Devin Ebanks, their scoring has increased in recent weeks. And when their heads are in the game, they play the type of aggressive and physical Bob Huggins defense that has intimidated opponents for years.

UConn's win over Villanova last week was highly publicized. Since the line came out at West Virginia -1, the Public has placed 56% of spread, 59% of moneyline and 57% of parlay and teaser bets on the Huskies. But the line has jumped the other way, currently sitting all the way up at West Virginia -2.5 at most sportsbooks. That sort of reverse line movement is fairly significant, and Sports Insights Betting Systems have found the cause of it. This morning, BetPhoenix (20-13, +5.58 Units Won) triggered a Steam Move on the Mountaineers. Connecticut has a lot to play for, but we're going to trust the system tonight and play on the best team instead. Go find the extra half point at Pinnacle and BetOnline.

West Virginia -2

Games to Watch (7-10-1)
West Virginia -2
 

Hap

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Seabass
100 Steam Wizards
50 Milw, Kansas, pacers/mavs under
 

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