SPORTS ADVISORS
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(8) West Virginia (21-5, 11-14 ATS) at UConn (16-11, 11-14 ATS)
The Mountaineers, currently third in the Big East, travel to Hartford, Conn., for a key conference matchup with UConn.
After dropping two in a row, West Virginia went to Providence on Wednesday and scored an 88-74 win, cashing as a 7½-point favorite, and then followed it up with Saturday’s 75-63 Saturday win over Seton Hall, barely covering as an 11½-point home chalk. The Mountaineers have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, averaging 82.4 points a game over their last five, more than seven points more than their season average of 75.2.
UConn suffered through a 1-5 stretch (SU and ATS), but have rebounded to win back-to-back road games, including last Monday’s 84-75 upset victory at Villanova as a 9½-point pup. That was followed by Saturday’s 76-58 triumph at Rutgers as a six-point road favorite. The Huskies failed to score more than 69 points in a game during their ugly 1-5 SU and ATS slump, but have averaged 80 ppg since. At home, UConn tightens up the defense, limiting the opposition to 38 percent shooting.
The Huskies have dominated this series, winning eight of the last 10 (7-3 ATS), including last year’s 61-55 victory as a 3½-point underdog in Morgantown, W.Va., the only meeting last season.
The Mountaineers have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover, while the Huskies are on positive ATS runs of 7-1 after a straight-up win and 4-1 at home against teams with winning road records.
West Virginia has stayed below the total in seven of nine after a spread-cover, but topped the posted price in four of five overall and eight of 11 on the highway. UConn is on “over” runs of 4-0 on Mondays, 24-10 at home against teams with winning road records and 4-1 against teams with winning records, but it is on “under” streaks of 4-1 overall and 5-2 at home.
In this series, the “over” has been the play in four of the last five clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCONN and OVER
Oklahoma (13-13, 8-15 ATS) at (1) Kansas (26-1, 10-13-1)
The struggling Sooners make the trek to Allen Fieldhouse for a meeting with top-ranked Kansas, which sits alone in first place in the Big 12 and is in search of its 13th straight win overall and 58th straight home victory.
Oklahoma has dropped four in a row (SU and ATS) and failed to win or cover in seven of its last nine overall. On Saturday, the Sooners were destroyed at home by No. 7 Kansas State, falling 83-68 as a 5½-point home ‘dog after trailing by just two points at halftime. Oklahoma is just 2-11 away from home this season and 0-6 when visiting Big 12 rivals (1-5 ATS).
While they’ve been producing wins, the Jayhawks have been falling short at the betting window, going just 1-6 ATS in their last seven overall, including Saturday when they failed to cover the 21-point spread in a 94-74 home win over Colorado. Kansas averages 87.5 points per game on 49.9 percent shooting inside Allen Fieldhouse while limiting the opposition to just 61.8 points and 36.2 percent shooting. The Jayhawks’ 57-game home court winning streak is the longest in the nation and five shy of a school record.
Kansas has won five straight in this rivalry (3-2 ATS), including an 87-78 road win a year ago as a two-point pup. Last time these two met in Lawrence was 2008 when the Jayhawks scored a 30-point blowout, 85-55, cashing easily as 15-point favorites.
Not only have the Sooners struggled to post victories, they haven’t had much luck at the betting window lately either, as they’re currently on ATS slides of 15-36-3 on the road, 0-4 in Big 12 action, 1-5 after a non-cover and 1-6 against teams with winning records. Kansas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 Monday contests, but from there it is on ATS skids of 1-6 overall (all in the Big 12) and 1-4 at home.
Oklahoma has topped the total in four of five Monday games, but stayed below the posted number in four of five on the road and seven of 11 overall (all in the Big 12). The Jayhawks are on “under” streaks of 7-3 at home, 35-16 after a straight-up win, 6-1 on Monday and 13-3 at home against teams with losing records.
Finally, the “under” is 6-2 in the last eight series clashes inside Allen Fieldhouse.
ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS and UNDER
NBA
Atlanta (34-20, 33-21 ATS) at Utah (36-19, 34-18-3 ATS)
The red-hot Jazz will try to extend their winning streak to five when the Hawks conclude a four-game West Coast road trip with a stop at EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake City.
Atlanta comes in off a 108-104 loss to Golden State on Sunday, falling as a five-point road chalk. The Hawks, who blew a 15-point fourth-quarter lead last night, have now lost three of their last four games (SU and ATS) and two straight on this road trip. Atlanta is just 13-14 as a visitor this season but despite Sunday’s result, it has cashed in 15 of those 27 contests.
Utah made it four consecutive SU and ATS wins on Sunday with a come-from-behind 93-89 overtime victory in Portland, cashing as a 1½-point underdog. The Jazz trailed by 25 points in the third quarter but held the Blazers to 10 fourth-quarter points and tied it at the buzzer on a put-back shot from Carlos Boozer. Utah is perfect since the All-Star break and has won 16 of its last 18 overall, going a sizzling 13-2-3 ATS.
Atlanta scored a 96-83 win over Utah in December, cashing as a six-point home favorite. The home team has won six straight in this series and eight of 10 dating back to 2005. The Hawks have cashed in four of the last five meetings, but they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven visits to Salt Lake City. The favorite is riding a 13-3 ATS run in the last 16 series clashes.
The Hawks are on ATS slides of 0-4 as a road ‘dog and 0-4 on the second night of a back-to-back, but they are on positive pointspread streaks of 6-2-2 on Monday, 8-3-1 against Northwest Division teams and 20-8-1 when catching five to 10½-points. Utah, which now has the best pointspread record in the NBA, is on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 20-6-3 overall, 15-5-2 at home, 20-7-2 as a favorite, 13-3-1 against Eastern Conference teams and 5-1-1 on the second night of a back-to-back.
For Atlanta, the “under” is on streaks of 10-3 on Monday, 3-1-1 as a road ‘dog and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. The Jazz have topped the total in six of eight on Monday, but they are on “under” streaks of 4-0 overall and 4-0 as a favorite. In this series, the under has been the play in four straight clashes overall, with the last six in a row in Utah staying low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(8) West Virginia (21-5, 11-14 ATS) at UConn (16-11, 11-14 ATS)
The Mountaineers, currently third in the Big East, travel to Hartford, Conn., for a key conference matchup with UConn.
After dropping two in a row, West Virginia went to Providence on Wednesday and scored an 88-74 win, cashing as a 7½-point favorite, and then followed it up with Saturday’s 75-63 Saturday win over Seton Hall, barely covering as an 11½-point home chalk. The Mountaineers have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, averaging 82.4 points a game over their last five, more than seven points more than their season average of 75.2.
UConn suffered through a 1-5 stretch (SU and ATS), but have rebounded to win back-to-back road games, including last Monday’s 84-75 upset victory at Villanova as a 9½-point pup. That was followed by Saturday’s 76-58 triumph at Rutgers as a six-point road favorite. The Huskies failed to score more than 69 points in a game during their ugly 1-5 SU and ATS slump, but have averaged 80 ppg since. At home, UConn tightens up the defense, limiting the opposition to 38 percent shooting.
The Huskies have dominated this series, winning eight of the last 10 (7-3 ATS), including last year’s 61-55 victory as a 3½-point underdog in Morgantown, W.Va., the only meeting last season.
The Mountaineers have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven after a spread-cover, while the Huskies are on positive ATS runs of 7-1 after a straight-up win and 4-1 at home against teams with winning road records.
West Virginia has stayed below the total in seven of nine after a spread-cover, but topped the posted price in four of five overall and eight of 11 on the highway. UConn is on “over” runs of 4-0 on Mondays, 24-10 at home against teams with winning road records and 4-1 against teams with winning records, but it is on “under” streaks of 4-1 overall and 5-2 at home.
In this series, the “over” has been the play in four of the last five clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCONN and OVER
Oklahoma (13-13, 8-15 ATS) at (1) Kansas (26-1, 10-13-1)
The struggling Sooners make the trek to Allen Fieldhouse for a meeting with top-ranked Kansas, which sits alone in first place in the Big 12 and is in search of its 13th straight win overall and 58th straight home victory.
Oklahoma has dropped four in a row (SU and ATS) and failed to win or cover in seven of its last nine overall. On Saturday, the Sooners were destroyed at home by No. 7 Kansas State, falling 83-68 as a 5½-point home ‘dog after trailing by just two points at halftime. Oklahoma is just 2-11 away from home this season and 0-6 when visiting Big 12 rivals (1-5 ATS).
While they’ve been producing wins, the Jayhawks have been falling short at the betting window, going just 1-6 ATS in their last seven overall, including Saturday when they failed to cover the 21-point spread in a 94-74 home win over Colorado. Kansas averages 87.5 points per game on 49.9 percent shooting inside Allen Fieldhouse while limiting the opposition to just 61.8 points and 36.2 percent shooting. The Jayhawks’ 57-game home court winning streak is the longest in the nation and five shy of a school record.
Kansas has won five straight in this rivalry (3-2 ATS), including an 87-78 road win a year ago as a two-point pup. Last time these two met in Lawrence was 2008 when the Jayhawks scored a 30-point blowout, 85-55, cashing easily as 15-point favorites.
Not only have the Sooners struggled to post victories, they haven’t had much luck at the betting window lately either, as they’re currently on ATS slides of 15-36-3 on the road, 0-4 in Big 12 action, 1-5 after a non-cover and 1-6 against teams with winning records. Kansas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 Monday contests, but from there it is on ATS skids of 1-6 overall (all in the Big 12) and 1-4 at home.
Oklahoma has topped the total in four of five Monday games, but stayed below the posted number in four of five on the road and seven of 11 overall (all in the Big 12). The Jayhawks are on “under” streaks of 7-3 at home, 35-16 after a straight-up win, 6-1 on Monday and 13-3 at home against teams with losing records.
Finally, the “under” is 6-2 in the last eight series clashes inside Allen Fieldhouse.
ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS and UNDER
NBA
Atlanta (34-20, 33-21 ATS) at Utah (36-19, 34-18-3 ATS)
The red-hot Jazz will try to extend their winning streak to five when the Hawks conclude a four-game West Coast road trip with a stop at EnergySolutions Arena in Salt Lake City.
Atlanta comes in off a 108-104 loss to Golden State on Sunday, falling as a five-point road chalk. The Hawks, who blew a 15-point fourth-quarter lead last night, have now lost three of their last four games (SU and ATS) and two straight on this road trip. Atlanta is just 13-14 as a visitor this season but despite Sunday’s result, it has cashed in 15 of those 27 contests.
Utah made it four consecutive SU and ATS wins on Sunday with a come-from-behind 93-89 overtime victory in Portland, cashing as a 1½-point underdog. The Jazz trailed by 25 points in the third quarter but held the Blazers to 10 fourth-quarter points and tied it at the buzzer on a put-back shot from Carlos Boozer. Utah is perfect since the All-Star break and has won 16 of its last 18 overall, going a sizzling 13-2-3 ATS.
Atlanta scored a 96-83 win over Utah in December, cashing as a six-point home favorite. The home team has won six straight in this series and eight of 10 dating back to 2005. The Hawks have cashed in four of the last five meetings, but they are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven visits to Salt Lake City. The favorite is riding a 13-3 ATS run in the last 16 series clashes.
The Hawks are on ATS slides of 0-4 as a road ‘dog and 0-4 on the second night of a back-to-back, but they are on positive pointspread streaks of 6-2-2 on Monday, 8-3-1 against Northwest Division teams and 20-8-1 when catching five to 10½-points. Utah, which now has the best pointspread record in the NBA, is on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 20-6-3 overall, 15-5-2 at home, 20-7-2 as a favorite, 13-3-1 against Eastern Conference teams and 5-1-1 on the second night of a back-to-back.
For Atlanta, the “under” is on streaks of 10-3 on Monday, 3-1-1 as a road ‘dog and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. The Jazz have topped the total in six of eight on Monday, but they are on “under” streaks of 4-0 overall and 4-0 as a favorite. In this series, the under has been the play in four straight clashes overall, with the last six in a row in Utah staying low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UTAH
COMPS:
Huddle Up Sports
Elon +5
Golden Dragon Sports
U. Conn. +1
#1 Sports
Milwaukee/New York over 204
Spike measer
indiana / dallas over 207
Razor Sharp
CHICAGO -1½ over Washington
Totals4U
Milwaukee/New York over 204
Jim Feist
NBA (703) MILWAUKEE BUCKS at (704) NEW YORK KNICKS
Take: Under
Mike Wynn
Elon +5 Over Appalachian St
The Vegas Steam Line
DALLAS -10 over Indiana
High Stakes Syndicate
Georgia Southern Eagles + 10
Tom Freese
Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Prediction: Utah Jazz
Sam Martin
Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Play on: Atlanta
VEGAS EXPERTS
West Virginia at Connecticut
Play on: Connecticut
EZWINNERS
Utah Jazz -5.5
Frank Jordan
Oklahoma vs. Kansas
Play: Kansas -22
Michael Cannon
Milwaukee at NEW YORK (-1)
3♦ NEW YORK
Karl Garrett
Atlanta at UTAH (-5')
4♦ UTAH
Bobby Maxwell
Milwaukee (+1) at NEW YORK
5♦ MILWAUKEE
Huddle Up Sports
Elon +5
Golden Dragon Sports
U. Conn. +1
#1 Sports
Milwaukee/New York over 204
Spike measer
indiana / dallas over 207
Razor Sharp
CHICAGO -1½ over Washington
Totals4U
Milwaukee/New York over 204
Jim Feist
NBA (703) MILWAUKEE BUCKS at (704) NEW YORK KNICKS
Take: Under
Mike Wynn
Elon +5 Over Appalachian St
The Vegas Steam Line
DALLAS -10 over Indiana
High Stakes Syndicate
Georgia Southern Eagles + 10
Tom Freese
Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Prediction: Utah Jazz
Sam Martin
Atlanta Hawks at Utah Jazz
Play on: Atlanta
VEGAS EXPERTS
West Virginia at Connecticut
Play on: Connecticut
EZWINNERS
Utah Jazz -5.5
Frank Jordan
Oklahoma vs. Kansas
Play: Kansas -22
Michael Cannon
Milwaukee at NEW YORK (-1)
3♦ NEW YORK
Karl Garrett
Atlanta at UTAH (-5')
4♦ UTAH
Bobby Maxwell
Milwaukee (+1) at NEW YORK
5♦ MILWAUKEE
VR`s Morning Moves - Monday, February 22, 2010
Report Status: MONDAY FEB 22nd, 2010
Next Report: BY 12:00pm est on TUE 2-23-10
Notes:
Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen…We got right back on track yesterday with an NBA 2* “Personal Play” Winner…And are now “7-2” on Personal Plays…and “13-7” (65% ATS) Overall on Morning Moves…
Remember, the focus should be on “UNITS WON”…And since ALL of our Morning Moves are 2* Bets…you should be “10.60 UNITS” of Profit…Winning % will only tell you so much, and since I do this for money, rather than a marketable record…to be perfectly honest, MONEY is the way I have always kept score…
What you need to understand is that the “sequence” (covered in earlier Newsletter) needs to become irrelevant…And because you are building your business with proper “money management” principles and following your “rules”…that sequence should never matter…The only thing that should is how many units you are up on the books…
Because when your business plan is sound and your foundation strong…the journey traveled should mean very little when compared to the destination…So always try to work on making that your philosophy as well…It will make things so much easier and allow you to overcome any tough stretch without the risk of making it worse than it needs to be…
Today, I wanted to take a moment and explain why I pass along these “Line-Predictions”…Because it has come to my attention that there may be some of you who aren’t using these for their intended purpose…
The purpose of the line-predictions are not to pass along positions that I feel are going to cash a ticket for you…Although many times we may find ourselves taking that position later for that purpose, when I pass it along…that is not my goal…My goal is to be accurate in the way the line moves, like we were on Friday when BOTH (NBA & CBB) Totals moved 3+ Points in the direction I predicted…
I did this during the CFB & NFL Seasons as well…And the goal was to try and be accurate around 60% of the time…Well, we were able to exceed that …and went on to predict the line-moves with closer to “80%” accuracy…
Keep in mind that it’s easier for me to do in football because the lines have more time to move…as opposed to only hours…on sports that are daily…And also because when I was a “runner”…one of my main responsibilities was trying to estimate the way the market would react as the week progressed…And finally on game-day when 90% of the public makes their wagers…
So that experience, coupled with so many years of doing nothing else but tracking line-moves…made me extremely efficient…Which is why if you watch our video pod-casts, where we are forced to predict the line for the games we are previewing…which are days away…you will find that I am very accurate in those predictions…The reason I say this is because I want you to understand that this is a skill that ANYONE of you can acquire…It just takes plenty of work and more importantly…a lot of experience which you can simply gain with each season…
The reason that the goal for accurately predicting the line-move is 60%…Is because this means that you will be able to know WHEN to bet…for the purpose of getting the BEST NUMBER…on 6 of 10 Bets…And that alone will increase your Winning %…which is a huge benefit…
Because I know that many of you are trying to become…and many already are, very efficient handicappers and sports bettors…I make these line-predictions just in case they happen to be on a match-up that you may be looking to take a position on…And by seeing my “line-prediction”…you can rest assured that by following it, you will get a better number for 60% of those wagers…
The other reason I do these line-predictions with each Newsletter…is so that you can eventually learn to diversify your sports betting…Meaning, you invest your capital in this market…in other ways than just wagering on sides & totals…trying to cash that bet…Because as I will pass along to you via these Newsletters…throughout the day, the Betting Syndicates are doing many things to “EARN”…that has very little to do with choosing the winning side or total…In fact, it’s these investments that made the sports books despise us most back when I was a runner…
Because these type of investments…from “Middling”, “Scalping”, ect…involved a minimal risk, for a maximum gain…And many times, we eliminated the risk entirely…So it was these type of market manipulations, along with using “teasers” & “parlays” to disguise our true positions…while also receiving the best numbers…are why the sports books eventually tried to chase us out…and ultimately got the authorities involved to try and stop us from beating them like we did….
Many times, these “Early Steam” moves are nothing more than a way for the Betting Syndicates to manipulate the market…Which is why so many bettors who have tried to earn a profit following “steam” have no been able to do so…Because many times not only were they betting games that we weren’t…But even worse, many times they found themselves on the opposite sides of what we were truly on…So without a strong source, or unless you book Wiseguy Money and have a good relationship with the “runner” betting into you…trying to follow and profit from “steam” is very risky…
I hope that I was able to clear up why I pass these “Line-Predictions” along with every Newsletter…And that you are able to see how you as a bettor and handicapper may benefit from them…Because they are not intended for you to simply wager on them with the expectation that they will win more than they lose…This is just not that kind of information…And I want you to always understand the type of information that I pass along…via the Daily Newsletters, Twitter, Blogs, Forum Posts, ect…Because information is power…and I will continue to arm you with it…Just make sure that you use it properly…
And with these Newsletters…I will have the opportunity to share many of the ways that you can use it to profit, earn, and become a more efficient handicapper and sports bettor all around…Thanks again for your continued support, and best of luck…Vegas-Runner.
LINE-PREDICTION :
1.) 703-704 NY KNICKS -1...PK(Is Available at BETUS and Other Outs)
The Betting Syndicates will look to get ahead of the market on this one by laying -1 on the home team (NYK)…Because the books are expecting the public to come in on the Knicks as well…Many times, the Outfits will do the opposite here, and allow the public to drive the number up…and then by STEAMING the dog…they can hopefully force the books to adjust, and make them the fav…With the intentions of then coming back the other way before tip-off…and ultimately having BOTH teams at a DOG PRICE…But it don’t look like that’s their intention here, so we should see this line climb some as the day progresses…VR
2.) 717/718 UNDER 143.5 DAV/TENN-CHAT
The Wiseguys took a small position on UNDER 144 as soon as a total was offered for this game…And although this shouldn’t get much “public” action…after looking at the stats and match-up, any that they do get will be on the Under…More importantly, I’ve been told that this is on a couple of “Buy-Lists” for this morning…And if that order is executed, due to the fact the public won’t get too involved…we will definitely see the books rushing to adjust it down-wards…VR
3.) 719-720 OVER127 GEO-SOUTHERN/SAMFORD
This is a Total that I bet OVER 126 on myself as soon as the line went up…Because I knew for fact that the Wiseguys were going to take that same position eventually, which they did…and is now the reason that we see 127 across the board…But I still don’t think they are done, and I’m hoping for another round of “steam”, which would then force an adjustment high enough…to make attempting a “middle”…a profitable proposition for me…Because I have been seeing plenty of games fall near the total lately, which is expected as the season progresses because that’s when the odds makers lines should be the sharpest…VR
<ITEMTEMPLATE><DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Mon, 02/22/10 - 8:35 PM VR's Morning Moves | NBA Sides</DT><DT class=dtPgSub>double-dime bet 706 DAL -9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 705 IND</DT><DD class=ddPgMid>Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **Report Status: MONDAY FEB 22nd, 2010
Next Report: BY 12:00pm est on TUE 2-23-10
Notes:
MORNING MOVES” NEWSLETTER & LINE-PREDICTION for MONDAY FEB 22nd, 2010
“HOW TO BENEFIT from LINE PREDICTIONS”
“HOW TO BENEFIT from LINE PREDICTIONS”
Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen…We got right back on track yesterday with an NBA 2* “Personal Play” Winner…And are now “7-2” on Personal Plays…and “13-7” (65% ATS) Overall on Morning Moves…
Remember, the focus should be on “UNITS WON”…And since ALL of our Morning Moves are 2* Bets…you should be “10.60 UNITS” of Profit…Winning % will only tell you so much, and since I do this for money, rather than a marketable record…to be perfectly honest, MONEY is the way I have always kept score…
What you need to understand is that the “sequence” (covered in earlier Newsletter) needs to become irrelevant…And because you are building your business with proper “money management” principles and following your “rules”…that sequence should never matter…The only thing that should is how many units you are up on the books…
Because when your business plan is sound and your foundation strong…the journey traveled should mean very little when compared to the destination…So always try to work on making that your philosophy as well…It will make things so much easier and allow you to overcome any tough stretch without the risk of making it worse than it needs to be…
Today, I wanted to take a moment and explain why I pass along these “Line-Predictions”…Because it has come to my attention that there may be some of you who aren’t using these for their intended purpose…
The purpose of the line-predictions are not to pass along positions that I feel are going to cash a ticket for you…Although many times we may find ourselves taking that position later for that purpose, when I pass it along…that is not my goal…My goal is to be accurate in the way the line moves, like we were on Friday when BOTH (NBA & CBB) Totals moved 3+ Points in the direction I predicted…
I did this during the CFB & NFL Seasons as well…And the goal was to try and be accurate around 60% of the time…Well, we were able to exceed that …and went on to predict the line-moves with closer to “80%” accuracy…
Keep in mind that it’s easier for me to do in football because the lines have more time to move…as opposed to only hours…on sports that are daily…And also because when I was a “runner”…one of my main responsibilities was trying to estimate the way the market would react as the week progressed…And finally on game-day when 90% of the public makes their wagers…
So that experience, coupled with so many years of doing nothing else but tracking line-moves…made me extremely efficient…Which is why if you watch our video pod-casts, where we are forced to predict the line for the games we are previewing…which are days away…you will find that I am very accurate in those predictions…The reason I say this is because I want you to understand that this is a skill that ANYONE of you can acquire…It just takes plenty of work and more importantly…a lot of experience which you can simply gain with each season…
The reason that the goal for accurately predicting the line-move is 60%…Is because this means that you will be able to know WHEN to bet…for the purpose of getting the BEST NUMBER…on 6 of 10 Bets…And that alone will increase your Winning %…which is a huge benefit…
Because I know that many of you are trying to become…and many already are, very efficient handicappers and sports bettors…I make these line-predictions just in case they happen to be on a match-up that you may be looking to take a position on…And by seeing my “line-prediction”…you can rest assured that by following it, you will get a better number for 60% of those wagers…
The other reason I do these line-predictions with each Newsletter…is so that you can eventually learn to diversify your sports betting…Meaning, you invest your capital in this market…in other ways than just wagering on sides & totals…trying to cash that bet…Because as I will pass along to you via these Newsletters…throughout the day, the Betting Syndicates are doing many things to “EARN”…that has very little to do with choosing the winning side or total…In fact, it’s these investments that made the sports books despise us most back when I was a runner…
Because these type of investments…from “Middling”, “Scalping”, ect…involved a minimal risk, for a maximum gain…And many times, we eliminated the risk entirely…So it was these type of market manipulations, along with using “teasers” & “parlays” to disguise our true positions…while also receiving the best numbers…are why the sports books eventually tried to chase us out…and ultimately got the authorities involved to try and stop us from beating them like we did….
Many times, these “Early Steam” moves are nothing more than a way for the Betting Syndicates to manipulate the market…Which is why so many bettors who have tried to earn a profit following “steam” have no been able to do so…Because many times not only were they betting games that we weren’t…But even worse, many times they found themselves on the opposite sides of what we were truly on…So without a strong source, or unless you book Wiseguy Money and have a good relationship with the “runner” betting into you…trying to follow and profit from “steam” is very risky…
I hope that I was able to clear up why I pass these “Line-Predictions” along with every Newsletter…And that you are able to see how you as a bettor and handicapper may benefit from them…Because they are not intended for you to simply wager on them with the expectation that they will win more than they lose…This is just not that kind of information…And I want you to always understand the type of information that I pass along…via the Daily Newsletters, Twitter, Blogs, Forum Posts, ect…Because information is power…and I will continue to arm you with it…Just make sure that you use it properly…
And with these Newsletters…I will have the opportunity to share many of the ways that you can use it to profit, earn, and become a more efficient handicapper and sports bettor all around…Thanks again for your continued support, and best of luck…Vegas-Runner.
LINE-PREDICTION :
1.) 703-704 NY KNICKS -1...PK(Is Available at BETUS and Other Outs)
The Betting Syndicates will look to get ahead of the market on this one by laying -1 on the home team (NYK)…Because the books are expecting the public to come in on the Knicks as well…Many times, the Outfits will do the opposite here, and allow the public to drive the number up…and then by STEAMING the dog…they can hopefully force the books to adjust, and make them the fav…With the intentions of then coming back the other way before tip-off…and ultimately having BOTH teams at a DOG PRICE…But it don’t look like that’s their intention here, so we should see this line climb some as the day progresses…VR
2.) 717/718 UNDER 143.5 DAV/TENN-CHAT
The Wiseguys took a small position on UNDER 144 as soon as a total was offered for this game…And although this shouldn’t get much “public” action…after looking at the stats and match-up, any that they do get will be on the Under…More importantly, I’ve been told that this is on a couple of “Buy-Lists” for this morning…And if that order is executed, due to the fact the public won’t get too involved…we will definitely see the books rushing to adjust it down-wards…VR
3.) 719-720 OVER127 GEO-SOUTHERN/SAMFORD
This is a Total that I bet OVER 126 on myself as soon as the line went up…Because I knew for fact that the Wiseguys were going to take that same position eventually, which they did…and is now the reason that we see 127 across the board…But I still don’t think they are done, and I’m hoping for another round of “steam”, which would then force an adjustment high enough…to make attempting a “middle”…a profitable proposition for me…Because I have been seeing plenty of games fall near the total lately, which is expected as the season progresses because that’s when the odds makers lines should be the sharpest…VR
NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY...VR
Monday NBA Play- GC
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Washington Wizards. Game 702 at 7:05 eastern. The Wizards fit a nice system here that plays on home dogs that scored 100 or more on the road vs an opponent that scored 120 or more in their last game. These home teams have cashed over 85% of the time the past few years. The only thing that keeps this from being a late phone play is the Bulls 8-1 record off a win of 10 or more points. Also it is very rare that the Bulls are a road favorite after scoring 120 or more. They have only been in this role once the past 12 years which was a loss. Lets take the couple of points tonight with Washington as the Bonus Play. On Monday I have another NBA side play with a 90% system and 2 Huge Power angles that are both over 90% and have average win scores of 15 or more points. This big 5* Will get the cash tonight. In College Action I have one Solid Triple angle Dominator side. Jump on and start the week off right. Be sure to check out the Monday night sports radio show at 8:05 eastern on 88.9 Wsia.fm. Ill be in studio with host Anthony Pierno discussing a wide range of topics. or the Bonus Play take the Washington Wizards. BOL GC
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Washington Wizards. Game 702 at 7:05 eastern. The Wizards fit a nice system here that plays on home dogs that scored 100 or more on the road vs an opponent that scored 120 or more in their last game. These home teams have cashed over 85% of the time the past few years. The only thing that keeps this from being a late phone play is the Bulls 8-1 record off a win of 10 or more points. Also it is very rare that the Bulls are a road favorite after scoring 120 or more. They have only been in this role once the past 12 years which was a loss. Lets take the couple of points tonight with Washington as the Bonus Play. On Monday I have another NBA side play with a 90% system and 2 Huge Power angles that are both over 90% and have average win scores of 15 or more points. This big 5* Will get the cash tonight. In College Action I have one Solid Triple angle Dominator side. Jump on and start the week off right. Be sure to check out the Monday night sports radio show at 8:05 eastern on 88.9 Wsia.fm. Ill be in studio with host Anthony Pierno discussing a wide range of topics. or the Bonus Play take the Washington Wizards. BOL GC
