Service Plays Monday 2/15/10

[cork999]

Chuck O'Brien
Chuck O'Brien MONDAY'S WINNER 20 DIME: NEW MEXICO STATE (minus the points vs. Hawaii)

New Mexico State

BREAKDOWN: New Mexico State is coming off its worst defeat of the Western Athletic Conference season, Thursday’s 83-64 debacle at Fresno State. But the Aggies are still 8-3 in conference play, including 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS at home. And for the season, they’ve won nine of 12 home games. Here’s why that’s a big deal: Hawaii is 0-for-7 when leaving the Islands this year (2-5 ATS), including 0-5 in WAC road games. Those five particular conference road losses have come by an average of 18.2 ppg. … When these teams met three weeks ago in Hawaii, New Mexico came away with a 71-69 win as a one-point road underdog. The Aggies have now won four in a row and seven of eight in this series, and they’re 7-3 ATS in the last 10. … Speaking of pointspread stats, this says it all: New Mexico State is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 WAC games and 4-0-1 ATS in its last five when coming off a loss, while Hawaii is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 WAC games, 5-12 ATS in its last 17 against winning teams and 3-9 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog. And even though the Warriors covered in Saturday’s 66-60 loss at Louisiana Tech as a 15-point road underdog, they haven’t cashed in back-to-back games this entire season!


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-----GL GUYS

 

[ugk]

DON BEST STEAM

8:58:53am 2010-02-15 710 Texas A&M Under 141½
8:45:41am 2010-02-15 716 St. Peter's -3½
8:25:58am 2010-02-15 726 Maryland Under 135

 

[peppermillrick]

Brandon Lang Writeups

Brandon Lang Monday's Selections .... NOTE:

Have to get this free pick run to translate over to the paid side.

On fire with Richmond Saturday and Northwestern Sunday but made my bed with Calhoun and Boehiem the past two days and obviously it was the wrong bed to make.

Quite frankly, two of the worst coaching jobs I have seen in quite sometime but all you can do is move on.

Seriously, 28 selections paid and comp plays and it all totals 19-9.

My opinion is right where it needs to be. I just have to get the paid side of things running the same race as the comp side and it's going to be without question the greatest March I have ever had.

The tale of the tape shows the following:

8 of 12 winning days in basketball.

19-9 overall run with paid and comp plays the last 12 days

Anything wrong with an 10-6 paid play run the last 12 days I have released hoops

Anything wrong with an 9-3 free pick run the last 12 days I have released hoops

As I have been saying the last few days, not a damn thing wrong with those numbers above.

My hoops opinion is right where it needs to be right now.

Over my last 28 selections paid and comp play 21 have been rock solid while only 7 have been what you could consider a blatant wrong side of the game.

And with that we get to some more right side of some games tonight.


10 DIME - VILLANOVA WILDCATS

It's a rout.

If you couldn't step up and deliver at home against Cincinnati in the first game back for your head coach, I am quite confident it's not going to get much better on the road against 22-2 Villanova.

A Nova squad that is a perfect 11-0 at home and all but tow of those home wins have been by double digits.

Bottom line is Nova is the clear cut right side of this game at 16-7 ATS for the year, including 6-2 ATS when laying single digits anywhere on the planet.

It's just not meant to be for this U.conn bunch that is on a current 3-7 SU and ATS slide, and if you look a little closer you will see one big alarming problem:
With exception to a stretch from December 22nd to January 9th which saw the Huskies go 4-2 SU but a perfect 5-0 ATS, this team has been an ATS nightmare.$ How about 3-14 ATS in all their other games this year.

Nova adds to that with a rock solid wire to wire win and cover.


10 DIME - NEW MEXICO STATE AGGIES

Ok, going to give this team a try one more time.

Over the last 2 years I have used this team and in both ballgames they have blown double digit 2nd half leads and fail to cover.

In fact, last Monday they blew a 15-point 2nd half lead to Louisiana Tech to win by 2 laying 2 1/2. OUCH.

However, tonight I like them in this spot after going to Fresno State and getting drilled 83-64 as a 3 1/2 point dog.

You think their head coach has their attention at home tonight against a Hawaii team that is 9-15 overall this year including 0-6 on the road?

Not only that, but Hawaii has been a go against cash-wise as its overall 5-12 ATS mark would tell you.

And let's add a 3-7 ATS mark last 10 meetings to show you New Mexico State is the right side.


10 DIME - TEXAS A&M AGGIES

Wouldn't suprise me in the least if the Aggies knocked off Kansas outright tonight.

It was just 2 weeks ago I grabbed Colorado at home plus the points against the Jayhawks and watched them almost pull it off before losing in OT.

Now I have a better Aggies team, a perfect 13-0 on their homecourt this year in the midst of a 4 game winning streak both SU and ATS playing arguably their best ball of the year.

You add the fact Kansas is just 3-4-1 ATS away from home and it's not exactly confident building numbers they are going to cover this number tonight.

With the dog 5-2 ATS last 7 between these two, this is a very live underdog tonight.

Aggies deliver big on their homecourt.


FREE PICK - MANHATTAN JASPERS

 

[cork999]

Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - TEXAS A&M AGGIES 20 DIMER - TEXAS A&M AGGIES

Good chance for the Aggies to make some noise tonight at the Reed Arena.

True, Kansas is # 1 in the land, and true the Jayhawks have won 10 straight games since suffering their lone loss of the season, but the linemakers have caught up to KU, as Kansas has covered just 1 of their last 5 games.

The Jayhawks are also just 4-5-1 against the spread away from home this season.

Texas A&M has dropped 3 in a row to Kansas, and the last meeting at College Station saw the Aggies get embarrassed by double-digits. Look for some redemption tonight, as A&M is a perfect 13-0 straight up at home, and they do bring an overall 4 game win and cover streak into this conference battle.

Take the Aggies plus the points as this game stays close.


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS

 

[ugk]

BEN BURNS

Maryland -9 or better 9*
Tennessee State -3 or better 10*

 

[ugk]

SAVANNAH SPORTS
Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

Today's Selections
NCAA Basketball

2 (**) Jacksonville State +8.5
2 (**) Kansas -7
1 (*) Connecticut +9.5

 

[PeteEzra]

Got a free card since he lost last night. Still have won 5/6 weeks so I'll follow him tonight.

Kyle Bales

15* Villanova -9.5
10* Maryland -9
5* Kansas -7.5

Twitter (KyleBalesSports) has been on fire as well
2/15 Sharp Play - Fairfield -1

P/C

 

[ugk]

LOU PANELLI
20* CBB Uconn under 155.5 (100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
20* CBB Kansas over 140 (100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* CBB New Mexico St over 145.5
10* CBB Arkansas St under 135.5
10* CBB Virginia over 133.5
10* CBB Virginia +9

 

[tahohippie]

LEGITPICKS


Monday 2/15/10 Plays...​

15 DIME RELEASE:​

SANTA ANITA RACE 10: # 4 (Post Time: 5pm PST)

10 DIME RELEASE:

SANTA ANITA RACE 5: # 10 (Post Time: 2:30pm PST)

10 DIME RELEASE:

SANTA ANITA RACE 6: # 9 (Post Time: 3pm PST)

5 DIME RELEASE:

SANTA ANITA RACE 4: # 2 (Post Time: 2pm PST)

Races can be viewed at: www.calracing.com

Please Note: Only make selections just before Post Time at Odds of 3-5 or better.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Covers

Fairfield

 

[KatePazienza]

Las Vegas Sports Advisors ( Monday )

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

1.)Fairfield -1.5 ( 3* GK )

2.) Kansas -7 ( 3* VI )

3.) Villanova -9.5 ( 4* HR )

Bonus Plays.... Tenn Tech & New Mexico St

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday NCAA Basketball

Jacksonville State +8.5 over AUSTIN PEAY (8 et)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ACCUSCORE
Best Sides as of 5:00 p.m.
NCAA: Jacksonville State +8.5
Best Totals as of 5:00 p.m.
NCAA: Youngstown State-Wisconsin-Milwaukee u137.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LT Profits

UL Monroe/Arkansas State UNDER 136 -110

 

[cork999]

Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney Monday winner ... 50-Dime NEW MEXICO STATE ... I there are some things that are too good to be true, and this may look like one of them, but I don't see the Aggies letting a weathered Hawaii team get close at all tonight.

Hawaii is in after getting beat in Ruston on Saturday night, losing 66-60 to Louisiana Tech. It marked the Warriors' sixth straight setback and eighth in nine outings.

Now they have to take on a team that not long ago was tied for first place in the Western Athletic Conference with Utah State, but was knocked from the top slot after losing 83-64 to Fresno State last Thursday night. Now the Aggies are tied with Louisiana Tech for second place in the WAC at 8-3.

And this could very well be the blowout win the Aggies need for momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. Hawaii is losing its road games by an average final of 78.5-61.3, and will be playing its fourth road game in its last five outring.

New Mexico State has won four straight meetings and seven of its last eight, while the Aggies have covered seven of the last 10 clashes.

Checking the betting numbers, the Warriors are mired in ATS slides of 4-9 in WAC play, 5-12 against winning teams, 4-10 off a straight-up loss, 2-5 against teams that win on their own court, 3-9 as an underdog, 0-6 after an ATS cover and 5-14 overall.

On the flipside, the Aggies come in here on spread streaks of 11-3 in WAC play, 4-1 at home, 5-0 off a straight-up win and 7-2 overall.

Playing on the road once again, not to mention having to play with an abbreviated roster, this looks too good to be true ... but it's not. It's a sure blowout winner!


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY only1jkl and myself--------GL GUYS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gold Key pick is NMexSt -11

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Balfe (YTD -- NBA 65-43 / NCAA 48-41)

NBA Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
All Star Break no plays today.

College Basketball
(All Basketball Plays are 1/3 of your average football wager)
UConn +9.5 over Villanova

 

[phillychamps34]

Eddie Jay from sportsmoneymanagers plays 2/15

This guy is up 30 units since Feb.1 I've Been tailing his picks and tryna promote him these are his plays tonight!

4*Tex A&M +8
3*Uconn+10
3*Md/Va Over 133

 

[JVu81]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

UConn/Villanova UNDER 157

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The fourth-ranked Wildcats look to continue their pursuit of a second conference championship in five years Monday night when they host a scuffling Huskies team trying to avoid losing for the sixth time in seven games; for a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the "under" in this situation:

In need of a win to help its already slim NCAA tournament chances, UConn shot a season-low 34.6 percent in Saturday’s 60-48 loss to Cincinnati, its lowest point total since 2002. Connecticut’s three big men, Ater Majok, Alex Oriakhi and Charles Okwandu, combined for zero points and six rebounds, as the Huskies lost for the fifth time in six games; I expect another offensive letdown this evening; that said I do expect a decent defensive performance tonight as they brace for high-scoring 'Nova and coming off that embarrasing effort.

Keep in mind that Connecticut has in fact seen the total go "under" the posted number in five of its last six overall and in 10 of its last 14 on the road.

On the other side of the court: Villanova (22-2, 11-1) defeated Providence 92-81 on Saturday and took a half-game lead atop the conference with second-ranked Syracuse’s home loss to Louisville on Sunday. The Wildcats haven’t won the league since sharing the regular season title with Connecticut in 2005-06.

Villanova has the nation’s second-ranked scoring offense, averaging 85.4 points.

But it's interesting to point out, that although Villanova rarely plays to "unders", it has seen the total go "under" the number in both games its played this year as a home favorite of 9 1/2 to 12 points.

Bottom line: The Huskies will likely have a tough time keeping up with this potent offense, and ultimtaely that will be the difference in the outcome of this play; they haven’t scored more than 69 in any of their past six games, and are 2-11 when failing to reach the 70-point mark this season.

This number is a little bit high; expect the total to sneak UNDER it!

*10* UNDER.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Marc Lawrence

TEXAS A&M +8

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]We recommend a 3-unit play on Texas A&M. [/FONT]