Malinsky
4* #726 MARYLAND/VIRGINIA UNDER
Under Looking for tempo and offensive efficiency? Not here. This makeup affair brings in a pair of teams with sluggish legs off of tough Saturday A.C.C. road games, and little time to prepare for defenses that create all sorts of tactical matchup problems. But while we can see clear signs that the Tony Bennett era is clearly underway at Virginia, the markets leave excellent value on the table.Bennett basketball means some of the best fundamental man-to-man defense that we are going to see anywhere, with the lane almost impenetrable by opposing dribbles through those “wall” concepts. Meanwhile the offense focuses on being methodical and taking care of the ball, trying to eliminate the turnovers that can lead to quick runouts, and which prevent their own defense from setting up. The more the players learn the system the slower the pace gets on each end of the court, and only a desperation 25-foot triple at the buzzer by Sammy Zieglinski vs. Virginia Tech back on January 28th has kept it from being a perfect 6-0 current run to the Under. Those last six games finished 85.5 points below the projections in regulation, showing just how far the oddsmakers are from reading the right level.That defense continues here against a Maryland team getting the first look at the Bennett defenses, and without much prep time, but the Terrapins are playing fierce defense of their own – they are allowing just 39.0 percent from the field in A.C.C. play. Their problem is that much like Virginia, their own half-court offense can bog down. They need to get out into the open court to be successful, and with the Cavalier style based so much on preventing that from happening (96 TO’s in nine A.C.C. games) it is not going to be much part of these proceedings, including a pair that went to O.T.).Each of these teams has played nine conference games, with Maryland allowing 99 assists while forcing 130 turnovers, and Virginia 93 while forcing 117. It shows just how difficult it is to break these defenses down, and the lack of time to put a game plan together exacerbates those issues tonight