Hammerthebook 22NOV10
NFL PLAYS
3-UNITS
ENVER BRONCOS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (OVER 49 1/2)
NBA PLAYS
4-UNITS: BOSTON CELTICS @ ATLANTA HAWKS (CELTICS +3)
3-UNITS:INDIANA PACERS @ MIAMI HEAT (HEAT -10)
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
3-UNITSETROIT UNIVERSITY @ MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS (MS. STATE -6 1/2)
4-UNITS: CLEMSON TIGERS @ SETON HALL PIRATES (CLEMSON -3)
4-UNITS: PRINCETON TIGERS @ JAMES MADISON (JAMES MADISON -4 1/2)
3-UNITS:TCU HORNED FROGS @ UMASS MINUTEMEN (UMASS -3)
3-UNITS
EPPERDINE @ MISSOURI STATE (PEPPERDINE +17)
NHL PLAYS
3-UNITS:MONTREAL CANADIENS @ PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (FLYERS ML-150)
3-UNITS:BOSTON BRUINS @ TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING (BRUINS ML +110)
NFL PLAYS
3-UNITS
ENVER BRONCOS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (OVER 49 1/2)NBA PLAYS
4-UNITS: BOSTON CELTICS @ ATLANTA HAWKS (CELTICS +3)
3-UNITS:INDIANA PACERS @ MIAMI HEAT (HEAT -10)
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS
3-UNITS
ETROIT UNIVERSITY @ MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS (MS. STATE -6 1/2)4-UNITS: CLEMSON TIGERS @ SETON HALL PIRATES (CLEMSON -3)
4-UNITS: PRINCETON TIGERS @ JAMES MADISON (JAMES MADISON -4 1/2)
3-UNITS:TCU HORNED FROGS @ UMASS MINUTEMEN (UMASS -3)
3-UNITS
EPPERDINE @ MISSOURI STATE (PEPPERDINE +17)NHL PLAYS
3-UNITS:MONTREAL CANADIENS @ PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (FLYERS ML-150)
3-UNITS:BOSTON BRUINS @ TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING (BRUINS ML +110)
Mikey Sports Old Dominion -3
Locksmoth Sports Phoenix +4
Vegas Hotsheet San Diego Chargers -10
LPW Sports Forecast NHL Tampa Bay Over 5.5
LPW had a NFL Parlay of Year winner yesterday and 62% in NFL this year if anyone sees there play for tonight.They had posters everywhere at one point this season, but the seemed to have dissapeared.
Locksmoth Sports Phoenix +4
Vegas Hotsheet San Diego Chargers -10
LPW Sports Forecast NHL Tampa Bay Over 5.5
LPW had a NFL Parlay of Year winner yesterday and 62% in NFL this year if anyone sees there play for tonight.They had posters everywhere at one point this season, but the seemed to have dissapeared.
Statsystems nba report 11/22
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/22
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Pacers covered three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won/covered its last four games. Minnesota covered its last four road games.
-- Spurs won last ten games, covered last five. Orlando won its last four games, allowing 84.3 ppg.
-- Hornets are 11-1, but are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Hawks are 0-7 as a home favorite this season. Boston lost last couple games, scoring 92.5 ppg.
-- Miami covered one of last six as a home favorite.
-- Phoenix is 0-3 on this road trip, losing by 27-16-18 pts. Rockets lost their last three games, by 3-17-10 points.
-- Utah is 2-4 as a home favorite. Kings lost seven of last eight games, but did cover last two.
-- Nuggets lost their last four road games. Warriors lost four of last five games, allowing 121 ppg in last two.
-- Clippers lost last nine games, covered one of last five.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Celtics are 1-1 if they played day before, with two games decided by a total of five points.
-- Kings won only other time they played the night before.
-- New Orleans is 2-0 if it played night before, winning by 9-6 points.
-- Warriors are 1-1 if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under the total. Four of last five Boston games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total. Over is 7-2 in last nine Miami games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Denver road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--BOSTON @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET BOSTON: 1-9 ATS off BB SU losses as favorite. ATLANTA: 0-7 ATS in home games.
--INDIANA @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET INDIANA: 5-1 ATS off 5+ Unders. MIAMI: 6-16 ATS if favored L3 games.
--MINNESOTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 17-34 ATS off BB ATS losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 6-1 Over in home games.
--PHOENIX @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET PHOENIX: 17-7 ATS after allowing 120+ pts. HOUSTON: 6-1 Under off road game.
--ORLANDO @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET NBA ORLANDO: 15-2 ATS off win by 6pts or less. SAN ANTONIO: 24-5 Under off 5+ ATS wins.
--SACRAMENTO @ UTAH, 9:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 49-74 ATS Away off BB ATS wins. UTAH: 11-2 ATS off SU dog win.
--DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET DENVER: 6-0 Under off SU win. GOLDEN STATE: 11-3 ATS off road loss by 20+ pts.
--NEW ORLEANS @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 39-18 Under if favored L2 games. LA CLIPPERS: 4-17 ATS vs. Southwest Division.
_____________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
*** BOSTON @ ATLANTA (-3, O/U 193.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
The Boston Celtics may have been mentally unprepared for their previous two games, but they are likely to come out focused against the Atlanta Hawks. The Celtics, who are coming off consecutive defeats for the first time all season, will look to avoid their fifth straight loss to the Hawks on Monday night. After losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder 89-84 with Kevin Durant on the sidelines Friday night, Boston came up short in a 102-101 defeat in Toronto on Sunday.
“I know we’re a better team than those two teams, I know we are,” said Paul Pierce, who’s last-second attempt clanked off the rim as the buzzer sounded. “It’s just mentally coming out and having the right mindset. I don’t think we have the right mindset coming into these games against opponents that we’re supposed to beat.” Boston has surrendered 106.3 points per game in its previous three road games after limiting teams to 88.3 over the first four, and Kevin Garnett knows that the team needs to bring a better defensive effort going forward.
“We can’t just show up. We’ve got to play some ‘D,’” Garnett said after the game. “These teams we’re playing against are very high-caliber offense teams. We know what they are. On paper they might not be whatever but as far as talent, this league has a lot of talent and you’ve got to respect that.” The Celtics closed out the first quarter against the Raptors with an eight-point lead, but gave up a season-worst 38 in the second, where they have been outscored in each of their four losses. “We may be the worst second quarter team in all of basketball,” said Pierce, who scored 19 in the loss.
“We come out, get these leads and then we give them right away in the second quarter. We’ve got to do a better job and be more consistent throughout the game, quarter by quarter.” Pierce leads the team in scoring with 20.5 points per game and is averaging 23.7 in Atlanta over his career. Rajon Rondo who is averaging an NBA-best 14.3 assists, was held out of Sunday’s loss with a hamstring injury, and his status versus Atlanta remains unknown. Nate Robinson replaced Rondo in the starting lineup and scored a season-high 22 points.
The Hawks meanwhile, have had trouble scoring at home, where they are averaging 98.3 points compared to 104.5 on the road. They have lost four of five at Philips Arena, including a 98-93 loss to Dallas on Saturday night. Atlanta trailed by as many as 18 before a late comeback fell short. “We didn’t come out with the energy we needed,” said Joe Johnson who matched a season low with 11 points for the second consecutive game.
Since 2008-09, Johnson is averaging 23.0 points against the Celtics, and is likely to come out with another strong performance against them. Al Horford scored 20 points and pulled down 20 rebounds against the Mavericks for the second 20-20 game of his career. Horford, who is scoring a career-best 17.4 points per game this season, has been limited to 10.1 over his previous eight games against Boston. The Hawks are shooting 29.8 percent from three-point range at home - 25th in the league.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 1; O/U 194
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -3.60
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-18 ATS (+19.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 100.9, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.4, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 98.3, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 6-22 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 101.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 32-13 OVER (+17.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.8, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 36-18 UNDER (+16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.8, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 43-21 OVER (+19.7 Units) off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 98.4, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 45-24 OVER (+18.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 102.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 38-19 against the 1rst half line (+17.2 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.7, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 43-23 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 49.0, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA is 34-11 OVER (+21.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 51.6, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 29-10 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.1, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BOSTON) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-8 since 1996.) (80%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.1, Opponent 48.2 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (BOSTON) - off a loss against a division rival, playing on back-to-back days.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.5, Opponent 47.6 (Total first half points scored = 93.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-0).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-62).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(44-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +26.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 104.9, Opponent 94 (Average point differential = +10.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (51.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-70).
___________________________________
• • • • • 16-0 ATS NFL - MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC! • • • • •
-------------------------------------------------------------------
If you enjoyed Stan's Monday Night Magic call on Pittsburgh (-3.5 1rst half) versus Cincinnati, then check this out: He shares Amazing Winning Situations on the Monday Night football game that are a Magical 16-0 ATS, including one of which that has never lost the money since 1983! "Be sure to get it now, and win again with 'The Man Tonight!"
Saturday Stan told us all - "Don't make a move on today's College Football card until you learn of a Super System that has gone 12-0 ATS in that qualifying role since 1980"... "And that best of all the play was supported by an 'Awesome Winning Situation' inside the game since 1992!"
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 21.5 to 31 points - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. 24-3 since 1992, (88.8%, +19.7 units).
--Result: Brandon Weeden threw three touchdowns passes and the 12th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (-23.5) clinched at least a share of their first-ever Big 12 South Division title with a 48-14 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks. Weeden connected on 31-of-43 passes for 389 yards for the Cowboys who recorded 10 wins during the regular season for the first time in school history.
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/22
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Pacers covered three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won/covered its last four games. Minnesota covered its last four road games.
-- Spurs won last ten games, covered last five. Orlando won its last four games, allowing 84.3 ppg.
-- Hornets are 11-1, but are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four.
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Hawks are 0-7 as a home favorite this season. Boston lost last couple games, scoring 92.5 ppg.
-- Miami covered one of last six as a home favorite.
-- Phoenix is 0-3 on this road trip, losing by 27-16-18 pts. Rockets lost their last three games, by 3-17-10 points.
-- Utah is 2-4 as a home favorite. Kings lost seven of last eight games, but did cover last two.
-- Nuggets lost their last four road games. Warriors lost four of last five games, allowing 121 ppg in last two.
-- Clippers lost last nine games, covered one of last five.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Celtics are 1-1 if they played day before, with two games decided by a total of five points.
-- Kings won only other time they played the night before.
-- New Orleans is 2-0 if it played night before, winning by 9-6 points.
-- Warriors are 1-1 if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under the total. Four of last five Boston games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total. Over is 7-2 in last nine Miami games.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Denver road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--BOSTON @ ATLANTA, 7:00 PM ET BOSTON: 1-9 ATS off BB SU losses as favorite. ATLANTA: 0-7 ATS in home games.
--INDIANA @ MIAMI, 7:30 PM ET INDIANA: 5-1 ATS off 5+ Unders. MIAMI: 6-16 ATS if favored L3 games.
--MINNESOTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 17-34 ATS off BB ATS losses. OKLAHOMA CITY: 6-1 Over in home games.
--PHOENIX @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET PHOENIX: 17-7 ATS after allowing 120+ pts. HOUSTON: 6-1 Under off road game.
--ORLANDO @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET NBA ORLANDO: 15-2 ATS off win by 6pts or less. SAN ANTONIO: 24-5 Under off 5+ ATS wins.
--SACRAMENTO @ UTAH, 9:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 49-74 ATS Away off BB ATS wins. UTAH: 11-2 ATS off SU dog win.
--DENVER @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET DENVER: 6-0 Under off SU win. GOLDEN STATE: 11-3 ATS off road loss by 20+ pts.
--NEW ORLEANS @ LA CLIPPERS, 10:30 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 39-18 Under if favored L2 games. LA CLIPPERS: 4-17 ATS vs. Southwest Division.
_____________________________________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
*** BOSTON @ ATLANTA (-3, O/U 193.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
The Boston Celtics may have been mentally unprepared for their previous two games, but they are likely to come out focused against the Atlanta Hawks. The Celtics, who are coming off consecutive defeats for the first time all season, will look to avoid their fifth straight loss to the Hawks on Monday night. After losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder 89-84 with Kevin Durant on the sidelines Friday night, Boston came up short in a 102-101 defeat in Toronto on Sunday.
“I know we’re a better team than those two teams, I know we are,” said Paul Pierce, who’s last-second attempt clanked off the rim as the buzzer sounded. “It’s just mentally coming out and having the right mindset. I don’t think we have the right mindset coming into these games against opponents that we’re supposed to beat.” Boston has surrendered 106.3 points per game in its previous three road games after limiting teams to 88.3 over the first four, and Kevin Garnett knows that the team needs to bring a better defensive effort going forward.
“We can’t just show up. We’ve got to play some ‘D,’” Garnett said after the game. “These teams we’re playing against are very high-caliber offense teams. We know what they are. On paper they might not be whatever but as far as talent, this league has a lot of talent and you’ve got to respect that.” The Celtics closed out the first quarter against the Raptors with an eight-point lead, but gave up a season-worst 38 in the second, where they have been outscored in each of their four losses. “We may be the worst second quarter team in all of basketball,” said Pierce, who scored 19 in the loss.
“We come out, get these leads and then we give them right away in the second quarter. We’ve got to do a better job and be more consistent throughout the game, quarter by quarter.” Pierce leads the team in scoring with 20.5 points per game and is averaging 23.7 in Atlanta over his career. Rajon Rondo who is averaging an NBA-best 14.3 assists, was held out of Sunday’s loss with a hamstring injury, and his status versus Atlanta remains unknown. Nate Robinson replaced Rondo in the starting lineup and scored a season-high 22 points.
The Hawks meanwhile, have had trouble scoring at home, where they are averaging 98.3 points compared to 104.5 on the road. They have lost four of five at Philips Arena, including a 98-93 loss to Dallas on Saturday night. Atlanta trailed by as many as 18 before a late comeback fell short. “We didn’t come out with the energy we needed,” said Joe Johnson who matched a season low with 11 points for the second consecutive game.
Since 2008-09, Johnson is averaging 23.0 points against the Celtics, and is likely to come out with another strong performance against them. Al Horford scored 20 points and pulled down 20 rebounds against the Mavericks for the second 20-20 game of his career. Horford, who is scoring a career-best 17.4 points per game this season, has been limited to 10.1 over his previous eight games against Boston. The Hawks are shooting 29.8 percent from three-point range at home - 25th in the league.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Boston by 1; O/U 194
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Boston -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Boston -3.60
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 39-18 ATS (+19.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 100.9, OPPONENT 95.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 97.4, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 98.3, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 6-22 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 101.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 32-13 OVER (+17.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.8, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 36-18 UNDER (+16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.8, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 43-21 OVER (+19.7 Units) off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was BOSTON 98.4, OPPONENT 99.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 45-24 OVER (+18.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 102.0, OPPONENT 98.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 38-19 against the 1rst half line (+17.2 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 50.7, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 43-23 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 49.0, OPPONENT 45.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA is 34-11 OVER (+21.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 51.6, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--BOSTON is 29-10 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 48.1, OPPONENT 45.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (BOSTON) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less.
(32-8 since 1996.) (80%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.1, Opponent 48.2 (Average first half point differential = +3.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-3).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (BOSTON) - off a loss against a division rival, playing on back-to-back days.
(27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.5, Opponent 47.6 (Total first half points scored = 93.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-0).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-62).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(44-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +26.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (53-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 104.9, Opponent 94 (Average point differential = +10.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (51.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (37-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (102-70).
___________________________________
• • • • • 16-0 ATS NFL - MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC! • • • • •
-------------------------------------------------------------------
If you enjoyed Stan's Monday Night Magic call on Pittsburgh (-3.5 1rst half) versus Cincinnati, then check this out: He shares Amazing Winning Situations on the Monday Night football game that are a Magical 16-0 ATS, including one of which that has never lost the money since 1983! "Be sure to get it now, and win again with 'The Man Tonight!"
Saturday Stan told us all - "Don't make a move on today's College Football card until you learn of a Super System that has gone 12-0 ATS in that qualifying role since 1980"... "And that best of all the play was supported by an 'Awesome Winning Situation' inside the game since 1992!"
--PLAY ON - Road favorites of 21.5 to 31 points - after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game. 24-3 since 1992, (88.8%, +19.7 units).
--Result: Brandon Weeden threw three touchdowns passes and the 12th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (-23.5) clinched at least a share of their first-ever Big 12 South Division title with a 48-14 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks. Weeden connected on 31-of-43 passes for 389 yards for the Cowboys who recorded 10 wins during the regular season for the first time in school history.
STATSYSTEMS NBA REPORT 11/22 cont.
*** INDIANA @ MIAMI (-10, O/U 198) ***
-------------------------------------------------
The Miami Heat weren’t expected to face many obstacles this season, but injury problems are the latest source of adversity for them to overcome. The Heat could be without Dwyane Wade and Udonis Haslem when they host the Indiana Pacers on Monday night. Miami’s three star players have struggled to get in sync in the early going. The Heat haven’t been dominant early on and had their three-game winning streak snapped in stunning fashion Saturday, losing 97-95 at Memphis.
Rudy Gay hit a fadeaway jumper over LeBron James at the buzzer after James tied the game with 5.5 seconds left. Miami went 10 of 22 from 3-point range but got to the free-throw line a season-low 12 times, making nine. The Heat were missing Wade (sprained left wrist), who was injured Friday against Charlotte, and lost Haslem in the third quarter Saturday with a sprained left foot. Haslem had to be carried off and James later said that the forward had dislocated a toe while tearing a few ligaments.
Both players are listed as day to day, but Haslem could be out for an extended period. The co-captain came in averaging 8.3 points and a team-leading 8.8 rebounds, and is a big presence on defense. “It’s huge,” James said of the injury. “He’s like our heart of our team. He’s our power. He’s our pride. He brings everything every night. Size never really matters to him. He always plays above his height, plays above his weight.”
X-rays on Wade were negative. He received treatment before Saturday’s game in an attempt to play, but was inactive. It was the first time this season the Heat were without one of their three stars. James finished with 29 points and 11 assists while Bosh had 20 points and 10 rebounds. Miami will look to win its fourth straight at home as it tries to bounce back against Indiana, which has lost four in a row and eight of 10 at AmericanAirlines Arena.
The Pacers have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. They fell 90-86 to Orlando on Saturday. Roy Hibbert had 19 points and 10 rebounds and led five Indiana players who scored in double figures, but the Pacers shot 39.3 percent. That allowed the Magic’s Jameer Nelson to beat them with a go-ahead three-point play with 33 seconds left. “We had our opportunities to win,” said guard T.J. Ford who had 10 points, nine rebounds and five assists. “We are learning more every day. When teams play us, they have to respect us and know we will be ready to play. … We must get focused now and get to Miami and be ready to play Monday.”
Ford started a third straight game in place of Darren Collison, who sat out with a sprained ankle. Guard Mike Dunleavy returned after missing the previous game while his wife was in labor and had 10 points and six rebounds. Indiana is giving up 102.3 points on the road, compared to 95.3 at home.
Miami swept the four meetings with Indiana last season, averaging 107.0 points. The Heat won the first game in Miami by a 114-80 score Dec. 27 and took the second 113-83 on Jan. 19. Wade averaged 33.0 points in the series and scored 43 in the teams’ final matchup April 4, a 105-96 overtime win. James has averaged 35.6 points in his last five matchups with the Pacers.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 10.5; O/U 199.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -10.43
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-18 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 98.0, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 53-31 OVER (+18.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 100.1, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 51-30 OVER (+17.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 99.3, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 28-10 UNDER (+16.8 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 98.6, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 20-4 OVER (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 102.2, OPPONENT 108.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 8-24 against the 1rst half line (-18.3 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 48.5, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-19 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 50.4, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 37-18 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.1, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 59-40 OVER (+15.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.8, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(43-17 since 1996.) (71.7%, +24.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-49)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.6
The average score in these games was: Team 92.6, Opponent 100.5 (Average point differential = -7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-9).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(70-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +37 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 45 (Average first half point differential = +4.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (226-210).
____________________________________
Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________
*** MINNESOTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-9.5, O/U 210.5) ***
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Despite facing two of the league’s top defenses, the Oklahoma City Thunder have won both games they’ve played since Kevin Durant’s injury. Their offense has obviously taken a bit of hit without the NBA’s reigning scoring champion, but should have better luck against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that has the league’s worst defense. The Thunder, who might again be without Durant, look to extend their season-high winning streak to five games and continue their dominance over the visiting Timberwolves on Monday night.
Durant, who led the NBA with 30.1 points per game last season and is averaging 28.0 this fall, has sat out the last two games with a sprained left ankle and is listed as day-to-day. Thunder coach Scott Brooks is being extra cautious with his young star, and doesn’t want to rush him back too quickly. So far, Durant’s absence hasn’t been a big problem for Oklahoma City as James Harden and Russell Westbrook have taken turns stepping up offensively.
Westbrook had 31 points in Friday’s 89-84 victory at Boston, and Harden finished with a season-best 23 points in Saturday’s 82-81 win at Milwaukee. Westbrook, who is averaging 23.5 points, scored 18 against the Bucks and sealed the win by making two free throws with 7.3 seconds left for the Thunder, who also played their fourth straight game without Jeff Green (sprained left ankle). “It shows we have a lot of heart,” said Harden, who has been Durant’s replacement in the starting lineup.
Those victories were even more impressive considering they came against two of the NBA’s best defenses. The Thunder, off to their best start since the 2004-05 Seattle SuperSonics opened 13-2, averaged 85.5 points on 39.9 percent shooting against the Celtics and Bucks after averaging 110.8 points on 49.9 percent shooting while winning four of their previous five. Oklahoma City could get back to putting up big offensive numbers against the Timberwolves who are allowing a league-worst 109.9 points.
Minnesota has yielded at least 111 points in each of its last four games and is coming off a 112-95 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder have also won five in a row over the Timberwolves, their longest active winning streak over any opponent. Their four-game sweep of Minnesota last season was the franchise’s first in the series since 1996-97. The Timberwolves arrive in Oklahoma City losers of three of four overall, and they have just one win in eight games away from the Target Center.
Kevin Love is hoping to put a forgettable performance against the Lakers behind him, as he missed all seven field-goal attempts to go scoreless with seven rebounds - barely half of his league-leading average of 13.8. “That was probably the most poor game of my career,” said Love, who averaged 24.3 points and 17.8 boards in his previous four contests. Love and Westbrook starred as teammates at UCLA.
Michael Beasley had another solid performance, finishing with 25 points and 10 rebounds. Beasley has scored at least 25 points in six straight games, the first time a Minnesota player has done that since Kevin Garnett from March 21-30, 2000. Beasley had 28 points in his last game against the Thunder, a 98-80 loss for Miami on Jan. 16, after scoring eight or fewer in each of his first three against them.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by12; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -10.97
_________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-41 ATS (+17.8 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.2, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.4, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 40-63 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.9, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.2, OPPONENT 109.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 OVER (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.7, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-13 OVER (+16.5 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.7, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-24 against the 1rst half line (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-35 against the 1rst half line (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.8, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-19 OVER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-24 OVER (+16.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.
(27-7 since 1996.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.9
The average score in these games was: Team 113.2, Opponent 111.8 (Total points scored = 225)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.7, Opponent 52.1 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-14).
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• • • • • 100% PERFECT NBA PLAY! - MONDAY • • • • •
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Don't even think about making a move on Monday night's NBA card until you learn of a ‘Dynamite Super Situation’ inside one game that is 100% perfect against the spread. "Be sure to get it now, and win again with 'The Man Tonight!"
Stan "The Man Continues to 'Sizzle' on the Hardwood! Stan dished out yet another Hugh *5-Star winning ticket Saturday with his 'NBA Super Situational Game of the Day' (Orlando/Indiana Over 98 1rst Half) at Conseco Fieldhouse. PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after allowing 80 points or less. 26-5 since 1996, (83.8%, +19.5 units).
--Result: The Pacers neutralized Howard in the first half, holding him to six points on 2-of-6 shooting with a combination of Josh McRoberts and Jeff Foster. Howard also committed three fouls, and his two quarters were decidedly pedestrian in comparison to Hibbert, who finished with 17 points and six rebounds. Hibbert's effort led the Pacers to a 52-49 edge at the break, after the lead had changed hands 17 times.
*** INDIANA @ MIAMI (-10, O/U 198) ***
-------------------------------------------------
The Miami Heat weren’t expected to face many obstacles this season, but injury problems are the latest source of adversity for them to overcome. The Heat could be without Dwyane Wade and Udonis Haslem when they host the Indiana Pacers on Monday night. Miami’s three star players have struggled to get in sync in the early going. The Heat haven’t been dominant early on and had their three-game winning streak snapped in stunning fashion Saturday, losing 97-95 at Memphis.
Rudy Gay hit a fadeaway jumper over LeBron James at the buzzer after James tied the game with 5.5 seconds left. Miami went 10 of 22 from 3-point range but got to the free-throw line a season-low 12 times, making nine. The Heat were missing Wade (sprained left wrist), who was injured Friday against Charlotte, and lost Haslem in the third quarter Saturday with a sprained left foot. Haslem had to be carried off and James later said that the forward had dislocated a toe while tearing a few ligaments.
Both players are listed as day to day, but Haslem could be out for an extended period. The co-captain came in averaging 8.3 points and a team-leading 8.8 rebounds, and is a big presence on defense. “It’s huge,” James said of the injury. “He’s like our heart of our team. He’s our power. He’s our pride. He brings everything every night. Size never really matters to him. He always plays above his height, plays above his weight.”
X-rays on Wade were negative. He received treatment before Saturday’s game in an attempt to play, but was inactive. It was the first time this season the Heat were without one of their three stars. James finished with 29 points and 11 assists while Bosh had 20 points and 10 rebounds. Miami will look to win its fourth straight at home as it tries to bounce back against Indiana, which has lost four in a row and eight of 10 at AmericanAirlines Arena.
The Pacers have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. They fell 90-86 to Orlando on Saturday. Roy Hibbert had 19 points and 10 rebounds and led five Indiana players who scored in double figures, but the Pacers shot 39.3 percent. That allowed the Magic’s Jameer Nelson to beat them with a go-ahead three-point play with 33 seconds left. “We had our opportunities to win,” said guard T.J. Ford who had 10 points, nine rebounds and five assists. “We are learning more every day. When teams play us, they have to respect us and know we will be ready to play. … We must get focused now and get to Miami and be ready to play Monday.”
Ford started a third straight game in place of Darren Collison, who sat out with a sprained ankle. Guard Mike Dunleavy returned after missing the previous game while his wife was in labor and had 10 points and six rebounds. Indiana is giving up 102.3 points on the road, compared to 95.3 at home.
Miami swept the four meetings with Indiana last season, averaging 107.0 points. The Heat won the first game in Miami by a 114-80 score Dec. 27 and took the second 113-83 on Jan. 19. Wade averaged 33.0 points in the series and scored 43 in the teams’ final matchup April 4, a 105-96 overtime win. James has averaged 35.6 points in his last five matchups with the Pacers.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 10.5; O/U 199.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -9.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -10.43
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 95.7, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 3-18 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 98.0, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 53-31 OVER (+18.7 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 100.1, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 51-30 OVER (+17.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 99.3, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 28-10 UNDER (+16.8 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 98.6, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 20-4 OVER (+15.5 Units) in road games after 2 straight games being called for 5+ more fouls than opponent since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 102.2, OPPONENT 108.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 8-24 against the 1rst half line (-18.3 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 48.5, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-19 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 50.4, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 37-18 OVER (+17.1 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.1, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 59-40 OVER (+15.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.8, OPPONENT 53.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(43-17 since 1996.) (71.7%, +24.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (13-49)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.6
The average score in these games was: Team 92.6, Opponent 100.5 (Average point differential = -7.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 25 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-9).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI) - after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less.
(70-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +37 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.7, Opponent 45 (Average first half point differential = +4.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (226-210).
____________________________________
Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
__________________________________________________
*** MINNESOTA @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-9.5, O/U 210.5) ***
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Despite facing two of the league’s top defenses, the Oklahoma City Thunder have won both games they’ve played since Kevin Durant’s injury. Their offense has obviously taken a bit of hit without the NBA’s reigning scoring champion, but should have better luck against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that has the league’s worst defense. The Thunder, who might again be without Durant, look to extend their season-high winning streak to five games and continue their dominance over the visiting Timberwolves on Monday night.
Durant, who led the NBA with 30.1 points per game last season and is averaging 28.0 this fall, has sat out the last two games with a sprained left ankle and is listed as day-to-day. Thunder coach Scott Brooks is being extra cautious with his young star, and doesn’t want to rush him back too quickly. So far, Durant’s absence hasn’t been a big problem for Oklahoma City as James Harden and Russell Westbrook have taken turns stepping up offensively.
Westbrook had 31 points in Friday’s 89-84 victory at Boston, and Harden finished with a season-best 23 points in Saturday’s 82-81 win at Milwaukee. Westbrook, who is averaging 23.5 points, scored 18 against the Bucks and sealed the win by making two free throws with 7.3 seconds left for the Thunder, who also played their fourth straight game without Jeff Green (sprained left ankle). “It shows we have a lot of heart,” said Harden, who has been Durant’s replacement in the starting lineup.
Those victories were even more impressive considering they came against two of the NBA’s best defenses. The Thunder, off to their best start since the 2004-05 Seattle SuperSonics opened 13-2, averaged 85.5 points on 39.9 percent shooting against the Celtics and Bucks after averaging 110.8 points on 49.9 percent shooting while winning four of their previous five. Oklahoma City could get back to putting up big offensive numbers against the Timberwolves who are allowing a league-worst 109.9 points.
Minnesota has yielded at least 111 points in each of its last four games and is coming off a 112-95 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Thunder have also won five in a row over the Timberwolves, their longest active winning streak over any opponent. Their four-game sweep of Minnesota last season was the franchise’s first in the series since 1996-97. The Timberwolves arrive in Oklahoma City losers of three of four overall, and they have just one win in eight games away from the Target Center.
Kevin Love is hoping to put a forgettable performance against the Lakers behind him, as he missed all seven field-goal attempts to go scoreless with seven rebounds - barely half of his league-leading average of 13.8. “That was probably the most poor game of my career,” said Love, who averaged 24.3 points and 17.8 boards in his previous four contests. Love and Westbrook starred as teammates at UCLA.
Michael Beasley had another solid performance, finishing with 25 points and 10 rebounds. Beasley has scored at least 25 points in six straight games, the first time a Minnesota player has done that since Kevin Garnett from March 21-30, 2000. Beasley had 28 points in his last game against the Thunder, a 98-80 loss for Miami on Jan. 16, after scoring eight or fewer in each of his first three against them.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by12; O/U 207.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -11
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -10.97
_________________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-41 ATS (+17.8 Units) after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 98.2, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-17 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 99.4, OPPONENT 101.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 40-63 ATS (-27.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.9, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.2, OPPONENT 109.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 OVER (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.7, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-13 OVER (+16.5 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 100.7, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-24 against the 1rst half line (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.2, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 14-35 against the 1rst half line (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.8, OPPONENT 56.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-19 OVER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-24 OVER (+16.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.0, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread against opponent after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread.
(27-7 since 1996.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 215.9
The average score in these games was: Team 113.2, Opponent 111.8 (Total points scored = 225)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (54.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games.
(44-18 since 1996.) (71%, +24.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.7, Opponent 52.1 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-14).
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• • • • • 100% PERFECT NBA PLAY! - MONDAY • • • • •
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Don't even think about making a move on Monday night's NBA card until you learn of a ‘Dynamite Super Situation’ inside one game that is 100% perfect against the spread. "Be sure to get it now, and win again with 'The Man Tonight!"
Stan "The Man Continues to 'Sizzle' on the Hardwood! Stan dished out yet another Hugh *5-Star winning ticket Saturday with his 'NBA Super Situational Game of the Day' (Orlando/Indiana Over 98 1rst Half) at Conseco Fieldhouse. PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after allowing 80 points or less. 26-5 since 1996, (83.8%, +19.5 units).
--Result: The Pacers neutralized Howard in the first half, holding him to six points on 2-of-6 shooting with a combination of Josh McRoberts and Jeff Foster. Howard also committed three fouls, and his two quarters were decidedly pedestrian in comparison to Hibbert, who finished with 17 points and six rebounds. Hibbert's effort led the Pacers to a 52-49 edge at the break, after the lead had changed hands 17 times.
STATSYSTEMS NBA REPORT 11/22 cont.
*** PHOENIX @ HOUSTON (-4.5, O/U 211) ***
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As much as it hurts to have his starting point guard and center injured, Phoenix Suns coach Alvin Gentry needs his team to play better defense. Houston Rockets coach Rick Adelman can certainly relate, as he’s in an identical position. With Steve Nash expected to miss a third straight game, the slumping Suns will try to avoid a winless trip Monday night when they face the Rockets, who are off to their worst start in five years.
After missing just one game last season, Nash, the team leader with 19.7 points and 8.9 assists per game, has been sidelined the past two with a strained groin. Without the two-time MVP on Saturday, the Suns fell to 0-3 on their trip with a 123-105 loss to Charlotte. Phoenix has been outscored by an average of 20.3 points during its slide. “This isn’t about Steve, guys,” said Gentry, whose team is 9-19 without Nash since the start of the 2004-05 season. “We had 12 guys out there and didn’t play with any kind of effort.”
With Channing Frye starting his fourth straight game for injured center Robin Lopez (two moderate knee sprains), the Suns’ interior defense was nonexistent versus the Bobcats, yielding 64 points in the paint. “We didn’t guard anyone. We let a team that’s averaging 93 (points) put up 123, and they were nice about it,” Gentry said. “They should have gotten 140.” Adelman understands that frustration. The Rockets are allowing 107.2 points per game - 1.8 fewer than Phoenix - and are in the Southwest Division basement with center Yao Ming and point guard Aaron Brooks out with injuries.
Yao is expected to miss at least two more weeks due to a bone bruise in his left ankle, while Brooks could be sidelined another two weeks after missing the last seven games with a sprained left ankle. Playing without the pair for the fifth consecutive game Friday, Houston lost its third straight, 106-96 at Toronto. “We put people in games, they’ve got to step up and play,” said Adelman, whose team is committing 19.0 turnovers per game and getting outrebounded by 6.0 during its slide. “Everybody’s in the NBA now and we can’t go in there and try to do it ourselves or not be ready. If you can’t score, then you’ve got to defend or rebound.”
The Rockets, 1-3 at home, might want to start by better defending the 3-point line. Opponents have hit 48.6 percent (17 of 35) from long range in the last three games, which could benefit the Suns’ struggling shooters. Since making a franchise record 22 3s - one shy of the NBA record - in a 121-116 road victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 14, Phoenix has made 17 of 78 (21.8 percent) from 3-point range in four games. “Regardless of how we’re shooting the ball, we have to play better defense,” said Jason Richardson who has missed 15 of 16 3-point attempts since making seven versus the Lakers.
The Suns hit four consecutive 3s, two from Frye and one apiece from Nash and Richardson, to spark a late 14-0 run in a 116-106 home win over Houston on April 11. That gave Phoenix its first season sweep of the Rockets since 2005-06. The Suns have won five in a row in this matchup by an average of 6.6 points. The two games in Houston in 2009-10 were decided by six points or fewer.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 2.5; O/U 213.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -1.84
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 14-29 ATS (-17.8 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.8, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 22-35 ATS (-16.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 104.6, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.0, OPPONENT 104.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 33-14 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 114.3, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 50-29 UNDER (+17.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.1, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 20-4 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.6, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 30-13 OVER (+15.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 108.3, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 52-24 against the 1rst half line (+25.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.1, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+21.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.7, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 29-11 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 53.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 49-28 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 56.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(29-8 since 1996.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 214.7
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 103.6 (Total points scored = 205.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (61.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest.
(49-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +33.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 95.8 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (34.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (92-64).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(42-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +26.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 50.4 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(44-17 since 1996.) (72.1%, +25.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.2, Opponent 51.6 (Total first half points scored = 103.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-14).
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Stan's RED~HOT run in NCAA College Football just keeps getting Hotter! Finishing the day right here in our Stat/Systems Report Saturday, with an 'AMAZING 8-1 ROLL’ (88.8%) on side selections.
Winners on Saturday’s Card Included: SOUTHERN MISS -4.5 - (90.3%)… OKLAHOMA ST -23.5 - (88.5%)… UTEP +17 - (88.5%)… TENNESSEE -8.5 - (87.9%)… PENN ST -10 - (87.1%)… N ILLINOIS -14.5 - (86.7%)… DUKE +11.5 - (85.3%)… BYU -27 - (84.8%)… The lone losing selection in the Report: SYRACUSE -4 - (83.3%).
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*** ORLANDO @ SAN ANTONIO (-3.5, O/U 196) ***
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The San Antonio Spurs wanted to avoid the kind of uneven beginning that contributed to their early ouster from the playoffs last season. They’ve certainly done that with the best start in franchise history that includes a 10-game winning streak. The Spurs look to match their longest run in almost three years when they take on the surging Orlando Magic in a matchup of conference leaders Monday night.
The Spurs beat Cleveland 116-92 on Saturday, as Tony Parker scored 19 points to lead six San Antonio players in double figures. It was the team’s most lopsided victory of the season. “Great run for us,” forward Tim Duncan said. “It’s a good start for us. There’s going to be some ups and downs this season, but this team is built on what we did last year.” San Antonio has clearly been determined to avert a repeat of last season’s 6-6 start, which forced the Spurs to battle down the stretch just to end up with the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. They defeated Dallas in the first round but were swept by Phoenix after that.
After San Antonio played Friday night in Utah, Duncan was limited to 17 minutes and had eight points and five assists against the Cavaliers. That allowed rookie big man Tiago Splitter to step up, and he delivered with 18 points and five rebounds in 27 minutes. He and Duncan will likely share the defensive responsibility against Orlando’s Dwight Howard who averaged just 9.5 points and 6.5 rebounds against the Spurs last season.
Despite its aging core, San Antonio is second in the NBA with 107.8 points per game. Last season they averaged 101.4. A rejuvenated Parker has been a big reason for the jump. After being limited to 56 games last season due to injuries, he’s averaging 19.1 points and 7.7 assists in 2010-11. He scored at least 20 points in five straight games before going 7 of 11 from the field in 28 minutes Saturday. The Spurs, seeking their longest win streak since taking 11 straight from Feb. 11-March 6, 2008, will be facing a Magic team that has limited opponents to a league-low 90.3 points a game and given up 100 or more only twice.
Orlando is coming off a 90-86 road win over Indiana on Saturday, its fourth consecutive victory. The Magic limited the Pacers to 34 points in the second half and 39.3 percent shooting overall, allowing Orlando to overcome the fact that it was held to 91 points or fewer for the third time during the win streak. “We have a lot of grind-it-out wins,” Coach Stan Van Gundy said. “We’re not scoring a lot offensively. On the positive side, towards the end of the season, come playoff time, we’ve got to learn to win those games.”
Howard had 25 points and 12 rebounds and Rashard Lewis added 21 points. Vince Carter however, was held to less than 10 points for the second time this season, finishing with eight on 3-of-12 shooting. He’s averaging 8.8 points on the road compared to 17.3 at home. The Magic have won three in a row away from Orlando. “We’ve been a pretty good road team over the years since I’ve been here, especially since Stan’s been here,” said point guard Jameer Nelson who converted a go-ahead three-point play with 33 seconds left.
“It’s hard to go on the road because you don’t have the energy coming from your fans. It’s good to win games with your defense and your intensity.” The Magic, though, lost 112-100 at San Antonio on April 2 to fall to 4-18 all-time on the road in the series. Manu Ginobili had 43 points, six rebounds and five assists in that contest. Orlando beat the Spurs 110-84 at home March 17.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 3.5; O/U 195.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -4.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 17-35 ATS (-21.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 51-30 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.4, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 62-41 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 104.3, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 UNDER (+18.5 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 87.6, OPPONENT 86.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 62-40 UNDER (+18.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 31-12 UNDER (+17.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.4, OPPONENT 93.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 15-29 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.3, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 32-16 against the 1rst half line (+14.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-6 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 43.6, OPPONENT 42.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 51-30 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 49.3, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins.
(31-9 since 1996.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.3, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 94.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game.
(42-17 since 1996.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.8
The average score in these games was: Team 95.4, Opponent 93.1 (Total points scored = 188.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (57.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-9).
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Stan 'The Man’s 'ROCK~SOLID' roll in Saturday's NCAA College Football Stat/Systems Report had a 'BANNER DAY' with OVER/UNDER Selections cashing Five of Seven Tickets on the card 71.4%!
Winning Tickets Included: DUKE/GEORGIA TECH UNDER 60.5 - (90.3%)... SAN JOSE ST/HAWAII UNDER 59.5 - (82.4%)... MEMPHIS/UAB UNDER 57.5 - (82.4%)... HOUSTON/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 65.5 - (81.0%)... NEW MEXICO/BYU UNDER 53 - (79.5%)... Losing Tickets Included: KENT ST/W MICHIGAN OVER 50.5 - (83.9%)... ARKANSAS ST/NAVY OVER 63 - (82.4%).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ UTAH (-11, O/U 199.5) ***
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While the Utah Jazz have been one of the best come-from-behind teams in the NBA, they would like to play a full 48 minutes at some point. The Jazz, who are shooting just 42.1 percent from the field in the first quarter, will look to get off to a hot start at home against the Sacramento Kings on Monday night. It’s been a tale of two halves for Utah, which is scoring an NBA-worst 44.1 points per game in the first half, but owns the highest field-goal percentage in the second-half at 48.8 percent.
The Jazz have recorded six fourth-quarter comebacks thus far, and found themselves down by nine heading into the final 12 minutes against Portland on Saturday night. C.J. Miles played the role of hero, making five 3-pointers and scoring 17 of Utah’s 38 fourth-quarter points to defeat the Blazers 103-94. “I think sometimes the home team tightens up a little bit,” said Utah assistant Phil Johnson, who coached the team while Jerry Sloan attended a family member’s funeral. “I really believe that when a team is coming back on you like that it is hard to withstand.”
Deron Williams who leads the team with 21.6 points per game, scored a season-low 12 but dished out 11 assists. He could be in line for another double-double against the Kings, as he is averaging 20.0 points and 10.5 assists in his last nine games against them. The Jazz went a perfect 21 for 21 from the free-throw line against the Blazers, marking the first time in franchise history in which they shot 100.0 percent with more than 17 attempts in a game.
Sacramento lost to New Orleans 75-71 on Sunday, its seventh loss in eight games. The Kings are averaging 90.8 points over that span after scoring 108.8 per game in their first four this season. Sacramento entered the fourth quarter down by three, but shot a season-worst 30.0 percent from the field in the final period and couldn’t overtake the Hornets. “We couldn’t get shots when we needed to get them,” Kings coach Paul Westphal said. “It’s a shame when you play as hard as effectively as we played tonight to not have a win to show for it.”
Tyreke Evans who leads the team with 18.9 points per game, was held to nine on Sunday. He should bounce back against the Jazz though, as he averaged 27.0 against them as a rookie last season. While Westphal was disappointed after another close loss, he remains optimistic about his team’s recent effort. “Certainly, its a major positive that we’ve played very good, high-caliber NBA defense two nights in a row,” he said. “If we will have that be our calling card, we’re going to win a lot of these games.”
In addition to defense, the Kings are going to need to improve from three-point range if they hope to turn things around. They are shooting an NBA-worst 29.7 percent from long-distance. Sloan is expected to be back on the Jazz sidelines versus the Kings after missing the previous two games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 12; O/U 198.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -13.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -12.47
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.3, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 41-20 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.4, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 36-19 OVER (+15.1 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.3, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.2, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 11-30 against the 1rst half line (-22.0 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.1, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 35-18 against the 1rst half line (+15.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 54.0, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 49.2, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 62-40 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 55-32 OVER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.1, OPPONENT 56.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(29-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.9
The average score in these games was: Team 101, Opponent 103.6 (Total points scored = 204.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (59.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (UTAH) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45, Opponent 49.1 (Average first half point differential = -4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
*** PHOENIX @ HOUSTON (-4.5, O/U 211) ***
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As much as it hurts to have his starting point guard and center injured, Phoenix Suns coach Alvin Gentry needs his team to play better defense. Houston Rockets coach Rick Adelman can certainly relate, as he’s in an identical position. With Steve Nash expected to miss a third straight game, the slumping Suns will try to avoid a winless trip Monday night when they face the Rockets, who are off to their worst start in five years.
After missing just one game last season, Nash, the team leader with 19.7 points and 8.9 assists per game, has been sidelined the past two with a strained groin. Without the two-time MVP on Saturday, the Suns fell to 0-3 on their trip with a 123-105 loss to Charlotte. Phoenix has been outscored by an average of 20.3 points during its slide. “This isn’t about Steve, guys,” said Gentry, whose team is 9-19 without Nash since the start of the 2004-05 season. “We had 12 guys out there and didn’t play with any kind of effort.”
With Channing Frye starting his fourth straight game for injured center Robin Lopez (two moderate knee sprains), the Suns’ interior defense was nonexistent versus the Bobcats, yielding 64 points in the paint. “We didn’t guard anyone. We let a team that’s averaging 93 (points) put up 123, and they were nice about it,” Gentry said. “They should have gotten 140.” Adelman understands that frustration. The Rockets are allowing 107.2 points per game - 1.8 fewer than Phoenix - and are in the Southwest Division basement with center Yao Ming and point guard Aaron Brooks out with injuries.
Yao is expected to miss at least two more weeks due to a bone bruise in his left ankle, while Brooks could be sidelined another two weeks after missing the last seven games with a sprained left ankle. Playing without the pair for the fifth consecutive game Friday, Houston lost its third straight, 106-96 at Toronto. “We put people in games, they’ve got to step up and play,” said Adelman, whose team is committing 19.0 turnovers per game and getting outrebounded by 6.0 during its slide. “Everybody’s in the NBA now and we can’t go in there and try to do it ourselves or not be ready. If you can’t score, then you’ve got to defend or rebound.”
The Rockets, 1-3 at home, might want to start by better defending the 3-point line. Opponents have hit 48.6 percent (17 of 35) from long range in the last three games, which could benefit the Suns’ struggling shooters. Since making a franchise record 22 3s - one shy of the NBA record - in a 121-116 road victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 14, Phoenix has made 17 of 78 (21.8 percent) from 3-point range in four games. “Regardless of how we’re shooting the ball, we have to play better defense,” said Jason Richardson who has missed 15 of 16 3-point attempts since making seven versus the Lakers.
The Suns hit four consecutive 3s, two from Frye and one apiece from Nash and Richardson, to spark a late 14-0 run in a 116-106 home win over Houston on April 11. That gave Phoenix its first season sweep of the Rockets since 2005-06. The Suns have won five in a row in this matchup by an average of 6.6 points. The two games in Houston in 2009-10 were decided by six points or fewer.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 2.5; O/U 213.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Phoenix -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -1.84
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 14-29 ATS (-17.8 Units) after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.8, OPPONENT 103.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 22-35 ATS (-16.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 104.6, OPPONENT 105.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 109.0, OPPONENT 104.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 33-14 ATS (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 114.3, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 50-29 UNDER (+17.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 99.1, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 20-4 UNDER (+15.5 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 101.6, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 30-13 OVER (+15.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 108.3, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 52-24 against the 1rst half line (+25.5 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 51.1, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 55-30 against the 1rst half line (+21.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 50.7, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 29-11 OVER (+16.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 52.8, OPPONENT 53.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 49-28 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 56.2, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(29-8 since 1996.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 214.7
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 103.6 (Total points scored = 205.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (61.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-8).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (HOUSTON) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest.
(49-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +33.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-12 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.7
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 95.8 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 22 (34.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (92-64).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(42-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +26.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 50.4 (Average first half point differential = -0.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (74-45).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (PHOENIX) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.
(44-17 since 1996.) (72.1%, +25.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 108.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.2, Opponent 51.6 (Total first half points scored = 103.8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (36-14).
___________________________________________
Stan's RED~HOT run in NCAA College Football just keeps getting Hotter! Finishing the day right here in our Stat/Systems Report Saturday, with an 'AMAZING 8-1 ROLL’ (88.8%) on side selections.
Winners on Saturday’s Card Included: SOUTHERN MISS -4.5 - (90.3%)… OKLAHOMA ST -23.5 - (88.5%)… UTEP +17 - (88.5%)… TENNESSEE -8.5 - (87.9%)… PENN ST -10 - (87.1%)… N ILLINOIS -14.5 - (86.7%)… DUKE +11.5 - (85.3%)… BYU -27 - (84.8%)… The lone losing selection in the Report: SYRACUSE -4 - (83.3%).
__________________________________________________
*** ORLANDO @ SAN ANTONIO (-3.5, O/U 196) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
The San Antonio Spurs wanted to avoid the kind of uneven beginning that contributed to their early ouster from the playoffs last season. They’ve certainly done that with the best start in franchise history that includes a 10-game winning streak. The Spurs look to match their longest run in almost three years when they take on the surging Orlando Magic in a matchup of conference leaders Monday night.
The Spurs beat Cleveland 116-92 on Saturday, as Tony Parker scored 19 points to lead six San Antonio players in double figures. It was the team’s most lopsided victory of the season. “Great run for us,” forward Tim Duncan said. “It’s a good start for us. There’s going to be some ups and downs this season, but this team is built on what we did last year.” San Antonio has clearly been determined to avert a repeat of last season’s 6-6 start, which forced the Spurs to battle down the stretch just to end up with the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. They defeated Dallas in the first round but were swept by Phoenix after that.
After San Antonio played Friday night in Utah, Duncan was limited to 17 minutes and had eight points and five assists against the Cavaliers. That allowed rookie big man Tiago Splitter to step up, and he delivered with 18 points and five rebounds in 27 minutes. He and Duncan will likely share the defensive responsibility against Orlando’s Dwight Howard who averaged just 9.5 points and 6.5 rebounds against the Spurs last season.
Despite its aging core, San Antonio is second in the NBA with 107.8 points per game. Last season they averaged 101.4. A rejuvenated Parker has been a big reason for the jump. After being limited to 56 games last season due to injuries, he’s averaging 19.1 points and 7.7 assists in 2010-11. He scored at least 20 points in five straight games before going 7 of 11 from the field in 28 minutes Saturday. The Spurs, seeking their longest win streak since taking 11 straight from Feb. 11-March 6, 2008, will be facing a Magic team that has limited opponents to a league-low 90.3 points a game and given up 100 or more only twice.
Orlando is coming off a 90-86 road win over Indiana on Saturday, its fourth consecutive victory. The Magic limited the Pacers to 34 points in the second half and 39.3 percent shooting overall, allowing Orlando to overcome the fact that it was held to 91 points or fewer for the third time during the win streak. “We have a lot of grind-it-out wins,” Coach Stan Van Gundy said. “We’re not scoring a lot offensively. On the positive side, towards the end of the season, come playoff time, we’ve got to learn to win those games.”
Howard had 25 points and 12 rebounds and Rashard Lewis added 21 points. Vince Carter however, was held to less than 10 points for the second time this season, finishing with eight on 3-of-12 shooting. He’s averaging 8.8 points on the road compared to 17.3 at home. The Magic have won three in a row away from Orlando. “We’ve been a pretty good road team over the years since I’ve been here, especially since Stan’s been here,” said point guard Jameer Nelson who converted a go-ahead three-point play with 33 seconds left.
“It’s hard to go on the road because you don’t have the energy coming from your fans. It’s good to win games with your defense and your intensity.” The Magic, though, lost 112-100 at San Antonio on April 2 to fall to 4-18 all-time on the road in the series. Manu Ginobili had 43 points, six rebounds and five assists in that contest. Orlando beat the Spurs 110-84 at home March 17.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - San Antonio by 3.5; O/U 195.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - San Antonio -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - San Antonio -4.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 17-35 ATS (-21.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 99.2, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 51-30 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 99.4, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 62-41 ATS (+16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.6, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 104.3, OPPONENT 90.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 UNDER (+18.5 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 87.6, OPPONENT 86.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 62-40 UNDER (+18.0 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 101.1, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 31-12 UNDER (+17.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.4, OPPONENT 93.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 15-29 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 47.3, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 32-16 against the 1rst half line (+14.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 53.0, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-6 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 43.6, OPPONENT 42.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 51-30 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 49.3, OPPONENT 47.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (ORLANDO) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 5 or more consecutive wins.
(31-9 since 1996.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 97.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.3, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 94.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-1).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game.
(42-17 since 1996.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.8
The average score in these games was: Team 95.4, Opponent 93.1 (Total points scored = 188.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 35 (57.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-9).
__________________________________________
Stan 'The Man’s 'ROCK~SOLID' roll in Saturday's NCAA College Football Stat/Systems Report had a 'BANNER DAY' with OVER/UNDER Selections cashing Five of Seven Tickets on the card 71.4%!
Winning Tickets Included: DUKE/GEORGIA TECH UNDER 60.5 - (90.3%)... SAN JOSE ST/HAWAII UNDER 59.5 - (82.4%)... MEMPHIS/UAB UNDER 57.5 - (82.4%)... HOUSTON/SOUTHERN MISS OVER 65.5 - (81.0%)... NEW MEXICO/BYU UNDER 53 - (79.5%)... Losing Tickets Included: KENT ST/W MICHIGAN OVER 50.5 - (83.9%)... ARKANSAS ST/NAVY OVER 63 - (82.4%).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ UTAH (-11, O/U 199.5) ***
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While the Utah Jazz have been one of the best come-from-behind teams in the NBA, they would like to play a full 48 minutes at some point. The Jazz, who are shooting just 42.1 percent from the field in the first quarter, will look to get off to a hot start at home against the Sacramento Kings on Monday night. It’s been a tale of two halves for Utah, which is scoring an NBA-worst 44.1 points per game in the first half, but owns the highest field-goal percentage in the second-half at 48.8 percent.
The Jazz have recorded six fourth-quarter comebacks thus far, and found themselves down by nine heading into the final 12 minutes against Portland on Saturday night. C.J. Miles played the role of hero, making five 3-pointers and scoring 17 of Utah’s 38 fourth-quarter points to defeat the Blazers 103-94. “I think sometimes the home team tightens up a little bit,” said Utah assistant Phil Johnson, who coached the team while Jerry Sloan attended a family member’s funeral. “I really believe that when a team is coming back on you like that it is hard to withstand.”
Deron Williams who leads the team with 21.6 points per game, scored a season-low 12 but dished out 11 assists. He could be in line for another double-double against the Kings, as he is averaging 20.0 points and 10.5 assists in his last nine games against them. The Jazz went a perfect 21 for 21 from the free-throw line against the Blazers, marking the first time in franchise history in which they shot 100.0 percent with more than 17 attempts in a game.
Sacramento lost to New Orleans 75-71 on Sunday, its seventh loss in eight games. The Kings are averaging 90.8 points over that span after scoring 108.8 per game in their first four this season. Sacramento entered the fourth quarter down by three, but shot a season-worst 30.0 percent from the field in the final period and couldn’t overtake the Hornets. “We couldn’t get shots when we needed to get them,” Kings coach Paul Westphal said. “It’s a shame when you play as hard as effectively as we played tonight to not have a win to show for it.”
Tyreke Evans who leads the team with 18.9 points per game, was held to nine on Sunday. He should bounce back against the Jazz though, as he averaged 27.0 against them as a rookie last season. While Westphal was disappointed after another close loss, he remains optimistic about his team’s recent effort. “Certainly, its a major positive that we’ve played very good, high-caliber NBA defense two nights in a row,” he said. “If we will have that be our calling card, we’re going to win a lot of these games.”
In addition to defense, the Kings are going to need to improve from three-point range if they hope to turn things around. They are shooting an NBA-worst 29.7 percent from long-distance. Sloan is expected to be back on the Jazz sidelines versus the Kings after missing the previous two games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 12; O/U 198.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -13.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -12.47
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.3, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 41-20 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 103.4, OPPONENT 99.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 100.9, OPPONENT 107.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 36-19 OVER (+15.1 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 105.3, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--UTAH is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.2, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 11-30 against the 1rst half line (-22.0 Units) off a road win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 48.1, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 35-18 against the 1rst half line (+15.1 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 54.0, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 5-20 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 49.2, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 62-40 UNDER (+17.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 52.2, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 55-32 OVER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.1, OPPONENT 56.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(29-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 194.9
The average score in these games was: Team 101, Opponent 103.6 (Total points scored = 204.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (59.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-18).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (UTAH) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45, Opponent 49.1 (Average first half point differential = -4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
STATSYSTEMS NBA REPORT 11/22 cont.
*** DENVER (-2, O/U 218) @ GOLDEN STATE ***
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After an ugly loss in Southern California, the Golden State Warriors should be glad to get back on their home court. The Warriors look to match their best home start in five years when they face the Denver Nuggets on Monday night. Golden State is 5-1 at home, and with a win Monday will match the home start of the 2006-07 club, the only edition of the Warriors to make the playoffs since 1993-94.
However, the Warriors have looked like a different team away from Oracle Arena. They have dropped five of seven and three straight on the road, including a 117-89 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday night. Monta Ellis who is second in the NBA with 25.9 points per game, was held to a season-low five while shooting 2 of 10 from the field. Adding injury to insult, Ellis left the game with a hip injury in the third quarter. He is expected to play Monday. Golden State may need him, as he’s averaging 31.0 points over his last three games against Denver.
“You have to move on again because you cannot hold onto it,” Warriors coach Keith Smart said. “We’ve got another game (Monday) night. We didn’t come out with the competitive edge that we needed to match them.” Smart’s club may have an uphill climb to match Denver. The Nuggets have won six straight meetings in the series, averaging 126.7 points in those matchups. They scored 123 or more in all four games between the clubs in 2009-10.
The Nuggets could use that kind of consistency in their overall play this season. They have alternated losses with wins over their last six games, and are looking to record back-to-back victories for just the second time this season after defeating New Jersey 107-103 on Saturday night. “We’re going to get it together. I have faith. It’s a long season,” Carmelo Anthony who had 28 points and eight rebounds, told the team’s official website. “The schedule has been tough on us so far, but it’s turning for us. We’ve got a stretch where we can win some games and break this open a little bit.”
The Nuggets are 18-5 versus the Warriors in games that Anthony has played. Chauncey Billups probably didn’t enjoy Saturday’s win as much as Anthony. The point guard suffered a nose fracture, chipped tooth, and sprained right wrist during the game against the Nets. His status for Monday is unknown. While the Nuggets may be without Billups, they could be getting one of their defensive specialists back.
Reserve big man Chris Andersen who has led the team in blocks the last two seasons, has yet to play in 2010-11. He made it through a full practice Sunday, though, and is likely to take the court versus the Warriors. “My knee’s doing really well,” said Andersen, who has been recovering from offseason surgery to repair a partially-torn patella tendon. “I’m ecstatic about coming back. It’s been a long time waiting and I’m just trying to be optimistic and realistic at the same time.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 2; O/U 214.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -0.91
__________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 54-31 ATS (+19.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.0, OPPONENT 111.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 35-16 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.6, OPPONENT 114.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 14-35 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.8, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 5-20 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 109.0, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 35-14 OVER (+19.4 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.9, OPPONENT 115.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-14 OVER (+17.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 117.7, OPPONENT 113.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 38-17 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.5, OPPONENT 101.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 33-12 UNDER (+18.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.0, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 66-44 against the 1rst half line (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.0, OPPONENT 51.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 27-9 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.7, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 17-31 against the 1rst half line (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 53.7, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 OVER (+16.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 56.0, OPPONENT 58.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 32-13 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.4, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(27-5 since 1996.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 213.7
The average score in these games was: Team 103.8, Opponent 98.4 (Total points scored = 202.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (71% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (28-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.2
The average score in these games was: Team 99.9, Opponent 94.5 (Average point differential = +5.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (54.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%).
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 110.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.7, Opponent 57.7 (Total first half points scored = 115.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-22).
__________________________________
Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
__________________________________________________
*** NEW ORLEANS (-6.5, O/U 197) @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanks to their worst shooting performance of the season, the New Orleans Hornets nearly dropped the opener of their four-game Western road trip. They might have an easier time on their next stop. The Hornets will go for their fourth straight win overall Monday night when they try to take advantage of the woeful Los Angeles Clippers. New Orleans matched Southwest Division rival San Antonio for the league’s best record Sunday, shooting poorly at 32.2 percent but managing to win 75-71 at Sacramento.
While David West scored a team-high 17 points, Chris Paul shot 2 of 12 and finished with nine, ending his streak of double-figure games at 11. Paul fared a little better against the Clippers at home Nov. 9, shooting 6 of 10 and finishing 13 points. He was one of six Hornets in double figures during the 101-82 rout, New Orleans’ 14th straight win in the series. That victory gave New Orleans the second longest active streak versus one opponent. San Antonio has won 18 in a row, also against Los Angeles.
Having also lost nine straight overall, the Clippers don’t appeared poised to end either skid. They have allowed an average of 110.6 points over their last nine games, their longest losing streak since dropping 12 in a row Dec. 20, 2008-Jan. 14, 2009. Los Angeles got a career-high 44 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists from star rookie Blake Griffin on Saturday night but lost 124-115 to New York. Eric Gordon chipped in 25 points but couldn’t help his team overcome its worst defensive performance of the season.
“We have to get him some help. We know that,” coach Vinny Del Negro said of Griffin. “We’re in a tough situation right now. I’m happy with the way we battled. We had opportunities there, kept fighting to cut the lead, but we battled and fought and tried to grind it out. Blake shot it real well, we were aggressive the whole game. Eric Gordon did some good things, just not enough help there.”
The defensive struggles in Del Negro’s first season have the Clippers off to their worst start since dropping their first 17 games in 1998-99. Under first-year coach Williams, the Hornets rank second in the league defensively, allowing 90.4 points per game. The Hornets could get an injection of new talent for Monday’s game as point guard Jarrett Jack, center David Andersen and guard Marcus Banks are expected to join the team. The trio was acquired Saturday in a trade that sent Peja Stojakovic and Jerryd Bayless to Toronto.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 9; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans-14.26
_____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.0, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.1, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 100.2, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 104.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 107.2, OPPONENT 106.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.3, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 against the 1rst half line (-27.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 41-23 OVER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 50.2, OPPONENT 52.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-5 OVER (+18.5 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.7, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.4, OPPONENT 55.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(29-7 since 1996.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.2, Opponent 48.4 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 110 points or more.
(33-12 since 1996.) (73.3%, +19.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (41-6)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.7, Opponent 94 (Average point differential = +12.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (39.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
*** DENVER (-2, O/U 218) @ GOLDEN STATE ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
After an ugly loss in Southern California, the Golden State Warriors should be glad to get back on their home court. The Warriors look to match their best home start in five years when they face the Denver Nuggets on Monday night. Golden State is 5-1 at home, and with a win Monday will match the home start of the 2006-07 club, the only edition of the Warriors to make the playoffs since 1993-94.
However, the Warriors have looked like a different team away from Oracle Arena. They have dropped five of seven and three straight on the road, including a 117-89 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday night. Monta Ellis who is second in the NBA with 25.9 points per game, was held to a season-low five while shooting 2 of 10 from the field. Adding injury to insult, Ellis left the game with a hip injury in the third quarter. He is expected to play Monday. Golden State may need him, as he’s averaging 31.0 points over his last three games against Denver.
“You have to move on again because you cannot hold onto it,” Warriors coach Keith Smart said. “We’ve got another game (Monday) night. We didn’t come out with the competitive edge that we needed to match them.” Smart’s club may have an uphill climb to match Denver. The Nuggets have won six straight meetings in the series, averaging 126.7 points in those matchups. They scored 123 or more in all four games between the clubs in 2009-10.
The Nuggets could use that kind of consistency in their overall play this season. They have alternated losses with wins over their last six games, and are looking to record back-to-back victories for just the second time this season after defeating New Jersey 107-103 on Saturday night. “We’re going to get it together. I have faith. It’s a long season,” Carmelo Anthony who had 28 points and eight rebounds, told the team’s official website. “The schedule has been tough on us so far, but it’s turning for us. We’ve got a stretch where we can win some games and break this open a little bit.”
The Nuggets are 18-5 versus the Warriors in games that Anthony has played. Chauncey Billups probably didn’t enjoy Saturday’s win as much as Anthony. The point guard suffered a nose fracture, chipped tooth, and sprained right wrist during the game against the Nets. His status for Monday is unknown. While the Nuggets may be without Billups, they could be getting one of their defensive specialists back.
Reserve big man Chris Andersen who has led the team in blocks the last two seasons, has yet to play in 2010-11. He made it through a full practice Sunday, though, and is likely to take the court versus the Warriors. “My knee’s doing really well,” said Andersen, who has been recovering from offseason surgery to repair a partially-torn patella tendon. “I’m ecstatic about coming back. It’s been a long time waiting and I’m just trying to be optimistic and realistic at the same time.”
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 2; O/U 214.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -0.91
__________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 54-31 ATS (+19.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.0, OPPONENT 111.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 35-16 ATS (+17.3 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.6, OPPONENT 114.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 14-35 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 107.8, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--DENVER is 5-20 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 109.0, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 35-14 OVER (+19.4 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 113.9, OPPONENT 115.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-14 OVER (+17.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 117.7, OPPONENT 113.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 38-17 UNDER (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 99.5, OPPONENT 101.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 33-12 UNDER (+18.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 102.0, OPPONENT 103.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 66-44 against the 1rst half line (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.0, OPPONENT 51.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 27-9 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 52.7, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 17-31 against the 1rst half line (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 53.7, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 33-15 OVER (+16.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 56.0, OPPONENT 58.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 32-13 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total >= 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 50.4, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(27-5 since 1996.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 213.7
The average score in these games was: Team 103.8, Opponent 98.4 (Total points scored = 202.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (71% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (28-8 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.2
The average score in these games was: Team 99.9, Opponent 94.5 (Average point differential = +5.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (54.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (67-41).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (GOLDEN STATE) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%).
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 110.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.7, Opponent 57.7 (Total first half points scored = 115.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (42-22).
__________________________________
Most sports bettors are not aware that the College Basketball and NBA season is a very profitable time of the year. Stan 'The Man' has made more money for his clients during the basketball season than most Sports Services do, during the entire football, and baseball seasons combined!
If you are serious about making money all season long, I strongly suggest you purchase one of my Basketball Packages! Last season, a $100/game bettor made $6,790. A $500/game bettor made $33,950! "Don't try to do it on your own again this season. We both know how that turns out, so let our NBA and CBB Expert, Stan Szumera handle all of your basketball betting needs this season, and let him make you money week after week!"
__________________________________________________
*** NEW ORLEANS (-6.5, O/U 197) @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS ***
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanks to their worst shooting performance of the season, the New Orleans Hornets nearly dropped the opener of their four-game Western road trip. They might have an easier time on their next stop. The Hornets will go for their fourth straight win overall Monday night when they try to take advantage of the woeful Los Angeles Clippers. New Orleans matched Southwest Division rival San Antonio for the league’s best record Sunday, shooting poorly at 32.2 percent but managing to win 75-71 at Sacramento.
While David West scored a team-high 17 points, Chris Paul shot 2 of 12 and finished with nine, ending his streak of double-figure games at 11. Paul fared a little better against the Clippers at home Nov. 9, shooting 6 of 10 and finishing 13 points. He was one of six Hornets in double figures during the 101-82 rout, New Orleans’ 14th straight win in the series. That victory gave New Orleans the second longest active streak versus one opponent. San Antonio has won 18 in a row, also against Los Angeles.
Having also lost nine straight overall, the Clippers don’t appeared poised to end either skid. They have allowed an average of 110.6 points over their last nine games, their longest losing streak since dropping 12 in a row Dec. 20, 2008-Jan. 14, 2009. Los Angeles got a career-high 44 points, 15 rebounds and seven assists from star rookie Blake Griffin on Saturday night but lost 124-115 to New York. Eric Gordon chipped in 25 points but couldn’t help his team overcome its worst defensive performance of the season.
“We have to get him some help. We know that,” coach Vinny Del Negro said of Griffin. “We’re in a tough situation right now. I’m happy with the way we battled. We had opportunities there, kept fighting to cut the lead, but we battled and fought and tried to grind it out. Blake shot it real well, we were aggressive the whole game. Eric Gordon did some good things, just not enough help there.”
The defensive struggles in Del Negro’s first season have the Clippers off to their worst start since dropping their first 17 games in 1998-99. Under first-year coach Williams, the Hornets rank second in the league defensively, allowing 90.4 points per game. The Hornets could get an injection of new talent for Monday’s game as point guard Jarrett Jack, center David Andersen and guard Marcus Banks are expected to join the team. The trio was acquired Saturday in a trade that sent Peja Stojakovic and Jerryd Bayless to Toronto.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 9; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans-14.26
_____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.0, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 94.1, OPPONENT 106.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 100.2, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 104.2, OPPONENT 104.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.2, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 107.2, OPPONENT 106.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 31-47 against the 1rst half line (-20.7 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.3, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 10-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 49.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 against the 1rst half line (-27.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 49.9, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 41-23 OVER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 50.2, OPPONENT 52.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-5 OVER (+18.5 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.7, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 50.4, OPPONENT 55.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (LA CLIPPERS) - after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(29-7 since 1996.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.2, Opponent 48.4 (Total first half points scored = 93.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - horrible team - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 110 points or more.
(33-12 since 1996.) (73.3%, +19.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (41-6)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.7, Opponent 94 (Average point differential = +12.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (39.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
