RED DOG SPORTS
2* Clemson / Seton Hall Over 131
These two are playing their 3rd game in 4 days down in the Virgin Islands and both played tough defensive teams yesterday and lost close games. Now they get to bounce back against a team that isn't afraid to run.
Clemson lost 61-60 to ODU and they were led by point guard Demontez Stitt, who was able to put up 27 points. Seton Hall lost 57-52 to Xavier. Let's look at games before that:
Clemson
beat LB State 69-55
beat Wofford 78-70
beat W Car 87-64
Seton Hall
beat AL 83-78
beat Cornell 92-68
The Tigers get points from Stitt, Smith, Grant, Young, Booker and Jennings, whille the Pirates rely on Hazell, Pope, Theodore and Robinson.
Seton Hall averages 71-66 (138) and the Tigers 73.5-62.5 (136). Both average over 70 per game and we have a chance for late 3's and free throws in a game where Clemson is favored by 3. Thankfully, Clemson is usually a bad free throw shooting team but have some decent guys from the line. I think we see a game in the 70-66 range for 136 points.
2* Clemson / Seton Hall Over 131
These two are playing their 3rd game in 4 days down in the Virgin Islands and both played tough defensive teams yesterday and lost close games. Now they get to bounce back against a team that isn't afraid to run.
Clemson lost 61-60 to ODU and they were led by point guard Demontez Stitt, who was able to put up 27 points. Seton Hall lost 57-52 to Xavier. Let's look at games before that:
Clemson
beat LB State 69-55
beat Wofford 78-70
beat W Car 87-64
Seton Hall
beat AL 83-78
beat Cornell 92-68
The Tigers get points from Stitt, Smith, Grant, Young, Booker and Jennings, whille the Pirates rely on Hazell, Pope, Theodore and Robinson.
Seton Hall averages 71-66 (138) and the Tigers 73.5-62.5 (136). Both average over 70 per game and we have a chance for late 3's and free throws in a game where Clemson is favored by 3. Thankfully, Clemson is usually a bad free throw shooting team but have some decent guys from the line. I think we see a game in the 70-66 range for 136 points.
KEVIN ROGERS
T'Wolves at Thunder
Pick: T'Wolves +9.5
The Wolves have been a solid play as a road underdog lately, covering four straight games on the highway, as Minnesota battles Oklahoma City. The Thunder is dinged up at the moment with Kevin Durant and Jeff Green each missing road wins over the Celtics and Bucks. Both young stars are questionable for tonight's game, as OKC is just 2-5 ATS as a home favorite. Minnesota can hang within this number on the road.
T'Wolves at Thunder
Pick: T'Wolves +9.5
The Wolves have been a solid play as a road underdog lately, covering four straight games on the highway, as Minnesota battles Oklahoma City. The Thunder is dinged up at the moment with Kevin Durant and Jeff Green each missing road wins over the Celtics and Bucks. Both young stars are questionable for tonight's game, as OKC is just 2-5 ATS as a home favorite. Minnesota can hang within this number on the road.
DAVE MALINSKY
ADDED PLAY
4* KENTUCKY
We can understand the markets flocking to Oklahoma this morning, based on a line that looks high based on historical precedents. But we believe they are wrong.
The Sooners are a mess. Just one season removed from believing the start of something special was underway, with talents like Willie Warren, Tiny Gallon, Tommy Mason-Griffin, and Tony Crocker, they are starting all over again, and it is not like the parade of early departures from the previous group left a base to work from. It was a disaster of a season in which the collective egos prevented any kind of team development, and a program accustomed to post-season play suffered through a 13-18 campaign and a first-round exit in the Big 12 tourney. As bad as that was, it only gets worse here. There are eight new faces on the roster (it would have been nine, but 6-11 Abdul Ahmed has already left the team), and not all bring the kind of talent we are accustomed to seeing in Oklahoma uniforms, with Jeff Capel forced to reach a bit to fill things out, including bringing in a couple of JuCo’s. It means a lack of talent, chemistry and depth, and the fact that they had to go to O.T. at home to escape past lowly North Carolina Central last week, with the starters playing 196 of the 225 floor minutes, pretty much defines where they are at. And it took a late triple by Steven Pledger to get that one to the extra period. There is not much ability to play well well here, and there is also a lack of urgency, which is what happens when you have precious little veteran leadership to build around.
Against another opponent we might think that Kentucky is too young to trust, but not in this matchup. First note that despite having all of those FR on the court, the Wildcats got a chance to develop ahead of schedule, having an exemption for a pre-season trip to Canada in which they not only played three games, but John Calipari also squeezed 17 practices into the allotted 10 days. And it was a poised and savvy team that whipped Portland 79-48 in a hostile environment Friday night, an excellent tune-up for this event, committing only 11 TO’s, allowing just 30.5 percent shooting, and winning the boards 37-26. They bring a better player at every starting position, along with more size, athleticism and depth, and we will call for them to win going away against the Sooners, who are not here to compete for the scoreboard results, but to just slowly find ways to put their limited pieces together.
ADDED PLAY
4* KENTUCKY
We can understand the markets flocking to Oklahoma this morning, based on a line that looks high based on historical precedents. But we believe they are wrong.
The Sooners are a mess. Just one season removed from believing the start of something special was underway, with talents like Willie Warren, Tiny Gallon, Tommy Mason-Griffin, and Tony Crocker, they are starting all over again, and it is not like the parade of early departures from the previous group left a base to work from. It was a disaster of a season in which the collective egos prevented any kind of team development, and a program accustomed to post-season play suffered through a 13-18 campaign and a first-round exit in the Big 12 tourney. As bad as that was, it only gets worse here. There are eight new faces on the roster (it would have been nine, but 6-11 Abdul Ahmed has already left the team), and not all bring the kind of talent we are accustomed to seeing in Oklahoma uniforms, with Jeff Capel forced to reach a bit to fill things out, including bringing in a couple of JuCo’s. It means a lack of talent, chemistry and depth, and the fact that they had to go to O.T. at home to escape past lowly North Carolina Central last week, with the starters playing 196 of the 225 floor minutes, pretty much defines where they are at. And it took a late triple by Steven Pledger to get that one to the extra period. There is not much ability to play well well here, and there is also a lack of urgency, which is what happens when you have precious little veteran leadership to build around.
Against another opponent we might think that Kentucky is too young to trust, but not in this matchup. First note that despite having all of those FR on the court, the Wildcats got a chance to develop ahead of schedule, having an exemption for a pre-season trip to Canada in which they not only played three games, but John Calipari also squeezed 17 practices into the allotted 10 days. And it was a poised and savvy team that whipped Portland 79-48 in a hostile environment Friday night, an excellent tune-up for this event, committing only 11 TO’s, allowing just 30.5 percent shooting, and winning the boards 37-26. They bring a better player at every starting position, along with more size, athleticism and depth, and we will call for them to win going away against the Sooners, who are not here to compete for the scoreboard results, but to just slowly find ways to put their limited pieces together.
SAFESTWAGERING
Denver Broncos (3-6)
@ Dan Diego Chargers (5-4) 1:05 ET
Teams often don't perform as expected. The Broncos started
last year at 6-0 and then went 4-14 over the next two seasons.
Last week as a homedog to the Chiefs (6-4), they open up
a lead of 42-0. In the 4 games prior, they couldn't score more
than 20 points. Did the bye week help that much ?
The Chargers have a modest winning streak after another
typical slow start. The difference between this year and others,
are strong offensive and defensive numbers in almost every
category. Rivers has been leading the league in passing yardage
without the full time services of Floyd, Naanee or Antonio Gates.
Tonight at least 2 of these 3 will be back in his arsenal.
The Broncos have one of the worst running games, but a solid
passing attack wtih Orton throwing to leading receiver
Brandon Lloyd. The running game was dramatically improved
last week with better production from K. Moreno and most
importantly, a healthier offensive line.
The Sportsbooks wanted the public to wager on The Chargers,
who opened at 10, and are offered some places for as low as 8.
That may change, but money is sliding in on Denver.
This is for a team that is ranked 26th in total defense in The NFL.
Added incentive....
Bye week offenses are on a roll this year. The Chargers
are coming off a bye week.
Take The Over
Denver Broncos (3-6)
@ Dan Diego Chargers (5-4) 1:05 ET
Teams often don't perform as expected. The Broncos started
last year at 6-0 and then went 4-14 over the next two seasons.
Last week as a homedog to the Chiefs (6-4), they open up
a lead of 42-0. In the 4 games prior, they couldn't score more
than 20 points. Did the bye week help that much ?
The Chargers have a modest winning streak after another
typical slow start. The difference between this year and others,
are strong offensive and defensive numbers in almost every
category. Rivers has been leading the league in passing yardage
without the full time services of Floyd, Naanee or Antonio Gates.
Tonight at least 2 of these 3 will be back in his arsenal.
The Broncos have one of the worst running games, but a solid
passing attack wtih Orton throwing to leading receiver
Brandon Lloyd. The running game was dramatically improved
last week with better production from K. Moreno and most
importantly, a healthier offensive line.
The Sportsbooks wanted the public to wager on The Chargers,
who opened at 10, and are offered some places for as low as 8.
That may change, but money is sliding in on Denver.
This is for a team that is ranked 26th in total defense in The NFL.
Added incentive....
Bye week offenses are on a roll this year. The Chargers
are coming off a bye week.
Take The Over
