Service Plays Monday 1/5/09

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ATS Lock Club
3 Texas -8.5
3 N.D. -2.5
3 San Jose St. -1.5

ATS Financial Package
3 Under 52 Texas/Ohio St.
3 Wisconsin Mil -7
3 Hawaii -6
 
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NSA


CFB Ohio St vs Texas 8:00 20* Ohio St +8.5
CFB Ohio St vs Texas 8:00 10* UNDER 52
CBB Georgetown @ Notre Dame 7:00 10* Georgetown +2.5
CBB Western Kentucky @ Miss St 8:00 10* Western Kentucky +7.5
NBA Golden St @ Utah 9:05 10* Utah -10.5
NBA Indiana @ Denver 9:05 10* UNDER 222.5
 
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NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS

FIESTA BOWL

UT feels wronged by the BCS fi nishing 11-1 but left out of the title game. OSU had a disappointing season but still landed a BCS bid with their strong fan following. PP calls for UT to win by 8 (line 9’) with the ydg close (UT 339-301). We have won some big plays with OSU TY (5* GOY winner) and like the Bucks here.


2* OHIO ST(+) 18 TEXAS 26
 

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Ethan law

Hey guys.. here is ethan Law's 1% Bonus Play for tonight.. I will post his 4* tomorrow and his 3* on thursday so there is no need to worry about them..
CAN SOmeone please post Vegas Runners game of the year tonight...


Ethan Law | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
<DT>264 Texas -8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 263 Ohio St. <DD>Analysis:
OHIO ST (10-2) at TEXAS (11-1)


Verdict: Ohio State 14, Texas 28
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON TEXAS -8

</DD>
 
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NHL
Write-up


Monday, January 5

Hot teams
-- Oilers won three of their last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Penguins lost their last four games, outscored 18-7. Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Islanders lost 14 of their last 16 games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Ranger games went over the total.
-- Last five Islander games all went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 3-3 if they play again the next night.

Series Records
-- Rangers won three of last four games vs Pittsburgh, with three of the four games going to OT/SO.
-- Home side won last two Islander-Oiler games.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games when playing NY Rangers
Pittsburgh is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the NY Rangers last 20 games at home


9:00 PM NY ISLANDERS vs. EDMONTON
NY Islanders are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Edmonton
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
 

scared money doesn't make money
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Rocketman
5* Ohio St GOY
not confirmed
 
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BEN BURNS


*9* MAIN EVENT! (won HUGE with WVU in '08!)


OHIO STATE
 
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<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Mon, 01/05/09 - 8:15 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet <DT>264 Texas / 263 Ohio St. Under 53.0 Bodog <DD>Analysis: ** NCAAFB 2* FIESTA BOWL TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **

(PLEASE CHECK BACK...Possible 3* BEST BET Upgrade)

To be perfectly honest...I was really considering making this Total the GOY because of the Value that the UNDER gives us...and I almost went ahead and just made them BOTH 3*s...
But you will see in the Analysis of the Side Bet why I did go ahead and choose it, rather than the Total...Because it was Confirmed to be probably the one Bowl Game, most based on "Public Perception"...and the one which we felt offers the most Value...
Please Check Back though because as the day goes on, we may go ahead and Upgrade this because as I explained above...it truely was considered for my GOY...VR
</DD></DL>
 

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<TABLE class=call id=midcall cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY id=midcall_body><TR><TD id=midcall_main><DL><DD></DD></DL>

</TD></TR><TR><TD id=midcall_main><!--/ BEGIN CENTER CONTENT /-->
<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Mon, 01/05/09 - 8:15 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet <DT>263 Ohio St. 9.0 (-110) Bodog vs 264 Texas <DD>Analysis: ***** NCAAFB 4* BOWL GAME of the YEAR ****

First off, although I had this game circled since the numbers were posted...the reason I held off from passing it along is because I was working on finding out what this number is going to do....Because I obviously want us to get the best we could, and if there is a chance that we can BUY it up to +10...then that is what we will do...

After speaking with the books we have access to...as well as some of the guys who move "Steam", here is what I do know....The "Outfits" were all over OSU as soon as the line came out and since then, each time they saw a 10 up there...they took it...Now it seems like all of the Public Money continues to come in on Texas, in Straight Bets and Teasers...so the books will definately end up being much heavier...both, in tickets written and money booked...on Texas...and as much as they want to move this line back up and make the Teaser a FG or more on the Texas side...they also don't want to have the "Outfits" send out more "Buy Orders", because the Public will be looking to lay -8, and the sharps taking +10...And in that scenario, too much can go wrong...So although I will be waiting it out to see if we can get a Better Number...9 may be as good as it gets...

The reason I had this one pegged when the numbers came out, is the exact same reason the "Outfits" got down as well...it's just way too many points to be giving...And LVSC Head Oddsmaker Ken White agreed, and said that this line is based soley on "Public Perception"...and since it's such a "Prime-Time" Game and on Monday Night right after the NFL Weekend...he was sure that the Public would think Texas is a much better team and therefore be willing to lay double digits in what they perceive is a "blow-out" waiting to happen...

Well not so fast....let's not forget this OSU team was Ranked #2 in the Nation when the season started...and they welcomed back "28" Seniors who will be playing their last game...More importantly, those Seniors who many could have been playing on Sunday this year...came back because they believed they would be able to win the Championship this year...

Things didn't go as planned early, and their stock plumetted in the eyes of the betting public....But over the 2nd half of the season, very few teams were playing better than the Buckeyes...
I feel they will be extremely motivated...and I expect the entire team to lay it all on the line for those seniors who will also be playing to erase the bad taste that they have from the previous 2 Bowls...

I look for the defense of OSU to create enough problems that Texas will have trouble getting into a rythem like they were able to against Big 12 opponents...and I also believe that the combo of Pryor and Wells, should be enough to sustain some time consuming drives...which will turn this into a game which OSU loves playing...

For weeks we have heard and seen all the stats and clippings...and have all tried to nail down the motivation for both teams...Listen, I'm not going to say that Texas won't be motivated, because to prove they should be in the BSC Championship, this will be a game they need to dominate...But the bottom line is, this isn't the Championship, so although we can all be trained to say the right things...deep down, we can't expect the same intensity that they would be bringing if they were playing on Thursday...

So let's put the motivation to the side...and the comparitive stats as well...and instead, keep it as simple as possible...

And that means, we must take a look at the price that's being offered and decide if it's high or low...and from there, either Buy or Pass...
In this situation...there is nobody who can justify Texas being sent out as a 10pt Fav, based on anything other than "Public Perception"...And although that don't mean they can't cover, it does mean that you are being asked to lay a price which isn't the actual worth of the club...And in this racket, the key to long term success...is making sure you are putting your money down when you are getting the best of it...

For Tonight's Fiesta Bowl...by backing OSU and taking the Points...that is exactly what we are doing...And that is not only my own professional opinion...but also that of the "sharp outfits" who backed it up with big money, enough to move the line...and finally, the opinion of the man who actually was responsible for sending this price to the books, Ken White...And although that's not a guarantee because the game must still be played...it is justification that taking the Points with OSU is getting our money down when we are getting the best of it...

So let's go ahead and take OSU plus the Points (9 or Better which is explained above)...and make this Bet our NCAAFB BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR...Total to Follow...VR
</DD></DL>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

RX surfer
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Erin Rynning
<HR style="COLOR: #a8a8a8" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->nba: miami
ncaa; g.mason
 

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Rocketman....

CFB<o:p></o:p>
Ohio State vs Texas 8:15 PM EST<o:p></o:p>
Play On: 3* Ohio State +8 1/2............Bowl Game of the Year


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mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> CBB<o:p></o:p>
Georgia State @ George Mason 5:00 PM EST<o:p></o:p>
Play On: (#511) 3* Georgia State +12 1/2<o:p></o:p>

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mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;} </style> <![endif]--> Georgetown @ Notre Dame 7:00 PM EST<o:p></o:p>
Play On: (#518) 3* Notre Dame -2 1/2<o:p></o:p>

[FONT=&quot]<o:p></o:p>[/FONT]
 

scared money doesn't make money
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No. 10 Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) vs No. 3 Texas Longhorns (11-1)

Game being played at Glendale, Arizona

Weather conditions: 56° F Mostly Cloudy; Wind: From WSW 9 mph

Where the line opened: Texas -10.5

Where it stands now: Texas -8.5

Where the wise action is: Ohio State +10.5, +10, +9.5 and small amount at +9. Also, some sharp money on under 54, 53.5 and 53.

Over/under movement: 54 to 52

Injury Report: No significant injuries.

Seventy-eight percent of side action on the Longhorns and 60 percent of the moneyline bets are on the Buckeyes (+255). A whopping 86 percent of the total bets are on the over.
 

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40 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS.....20 DIMER - OHIO STATE-TEXAS OVER
40 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS



Once again the slowish Big 10 rep will get laid to waste by another quick, speedy rep from the Big 12.



You saw how USC just toyed with Penn State - a Penn State team that did beat Ohio State 13-6 earlier this season - and you will see how Texas will just toy with Ohio State tonight.



The Longhorns will be out for blood tonight, as Texas is feeling the sting of not playing on Thursday night in the BCS title game after handing Oklahoma their lone loss of the season. Texas will want to run up the big number tonight, and with Colt McCoy firing away, I think they have an excellent chance of doing just that.



Ohio State has been burned in their last 2 bowl games by Florida, and LSU, and tonight's Texas edition has similar makeups to those 2 teams that just outquicked the Buckeyes.



Expect State to hang in this game for a while, but in the end, Texas will stretch the final margin with a late score or two.



Longhorns make their case at a share of the BCS title with the convincing win and cover tonight.



20 DIMER - OHIO STATE-TEXAS OVER



This total may seem a little high to some of you, but I assure you, this game is going OVER the total!



The numbers supporting the OVER cannot be ignored, as Ohio State has gone HIGH in 5 of their last 7 bowl games, while Texas has been HIGH in 6 of their last 8 bowl games.



These teams have also put points on the board during the regular season, as Ohio State won their last 3 games, with totals of 45, 30, and 42 points scored.



Texas hasn't scored less than 33 points in any of their last 4 games, and Texas has played OVER the posted price in 12 of their last 16 games played against winning teams.



Take the OVER!

this is a write up from karl garrett from brandon langs site.
bought and payed.
cork
 

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