Service Plays Monday 1/5/09

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Ethan Law | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet

Syndicate play: The first and only play the syndicate collectively this entire Bowl season was TULSA -2.5 over Ball State. The line in this contest opened with Ball State laying 3 points and has since moved almost 6 points to its current number where Tulsa is now laying -2.5. The Syndicate is never shy of "fading" the public and this selection is no exception. After some considerable discussion the group decided to place its second largest wager of the season $65,000 wager on TULSA -1. Note: the line has since moved 1.5 points since we placed our selection, but we were comfortable laying up to 6 if needed

Ethan's thoughts: When we started the meeting, all three advisors had Tulsa as their top "value play' on the board this Bowl season. Both teams come into this game with their worst performances of the season. Tulsa basically threw away the Conference USA championship game with a whopping seven turnovers against East Carolina. Meanwhile, Ball State coughed up the ball 5 times on their way to an embarrassing loss to give away the MAC championship game. Tulsa comes into this country with the nations #1 offense, averaging 565 yards per game, with the Gus Malzahn offense striking a tremendous balance finishing seventh in the nation in rushing and seventh in passing. Ball State is also loaded with offensive firepower, finishing first in the MAC in scoring and total yards averaging 459 yards and close to 37 points per game. Its hard to forget last season when Tulsa took on Bowling Green in what was supposed to be a close fought game, and that turned into a 63-7 rout by Tulsa. They also took on one of the best teams in the country in Arkansas and played that one close with a 23-20 loss.

Add the fact that Ball State's head coach left the team for San Diego State and we have a team that not only lost two in a row, but one that has to try and stop the nations #1 offensive unit. Despite possessing the better defense, Tulsa should still control the line of scrimmage (like they have all season) giving enough protection for their offensive starts to get open as they pour on a boatload of points. Ball State will not be able to trade scores at this pace. Lay the small number.

Verdict: Ball State 24, Tulsa 41
SYNDICATE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR: TULSA -2.5
 
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4 TEAM TEASER 13pts / 9pts
[266] TULSA +10½-110 (B+13)
[266] TULSA u87-110 (B+13)
[267] FLORIDA +9-110 (B+13)
[268] OKLAHOMA u83½-110 (B+13)

480 / 400
 

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so why is the ethan law play only a single dime bet and not a triple


He doesn't do double dime, triple dime....his are usually a perentage. Normal play is 2%....biggest I've seen is 4%. This Tulsa play is supposedly a 3% and the Fla/Okl game is a 4% from what I understand. Not certain though, so please verify first.
 
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GOLDEN GLOBES - Jan 11
Jan 11 - 7:00 PM 66TH GOLDEN GLOBES - BEST DRAMATIC ACTOR
16001 BRAD PITT +450
16002 FRANK LANGELLA +300
16003 LEONARDO DICAPRIO +500
16004 MICKEY ROURKE +175
16005 SEAN PENN EV
Jan 11 - 7:00 PM 66TH GOLDEN GLOBES - BEST DRAMATIC ACTRESS
16011 ANGELINA JOLIE +450
16012 ANNE HATHAWAY +200
16013 KATE WINSLETT +200
16014 KRISIN SCOTT THOMAS +450
16015 MERRYL STREEP +125
Jan 11 - 7:00 PM 66TH GOLDEN GLOBES - BEST DRAMATIC FILM
16021 FROST/NIXON +450
16022 REVOLUTIONARY ROAD +300
16023 SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE -140
16024 THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON +200
16025 THE READER +600
Jan 11 - 7:00 PM 66TH GOLDEN GLOBES - BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
16031 FIELD (ANY OTHER ACTOR) +500
16032 ***** LEDGER -1100
Jan 11 - 7:00 PM 66TH GOLDEN GLOBES - BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
16041 AMY ADAMS +600
16042 KATE WINSLETT +150
16043 MARISA TOMEI +600
16044 PENELOPE CRUZ -160
16045 VIOLA DAVIS +250
 
Joined
Dec 11, 2008
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golden globes - jan 11
jan 11 - 7:00 pm 66th golden globes - best dramatic actor
16001 brad pitt +450
16002 frank langella +300
16003 leonardo dicaprio +500
16004 mickey rourke +175
16005 sean penn ev
jan 11 - 7:00 pm 66th golden globes - best dramatic actress
16011 angelina jolie +450
16012 anne hathaway +200
16013 kate winslett +200
16014 krisin scott thomas +450
16015 merryl streep +125
jan 11 - 7:00 pm 66th golden globes - best dramatic film
16021 frost/nixon +450
16022 revolutionary road +300
16023 slumdog millionaire -140
16024 the curious case of benjamin button +200
16025 the reader +600
jan 11 - 7:00 pm 66th golden globes - best supporting actor
16031 field (any other actor) +500
16032 ***** ledger -1100
jan 11 - 7:00 pm 66th golden globes - best supporting actress
16041 amy adams +600
16042 kate winslett +150
16043 marisa tomei +600
16044 penelope cruz -160
16045 viola davis +250
.......................................................16003 leonardo dicaprio +500
 

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