Kevin's Pick(s):
I hope you had a good All-Star break, and are ready to get back at it. Kyle and I each have a play here on Friday as we look to kick off the second half with winners...
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ St Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS TO WIN (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Haren vs Lynn
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)
The Dodgers return from the break 54-43 on the season and 29-19 on the road. The Cardinals are 52-44 and 27-20 at home. These two teams met four times in Los Angeles before the break with the Dodgers winning 3 of the 4 of those meetings. With that said the Cardinals are 38-17 in their last 55 home meetings vs the Dodgers, and they have one of their best home pitchers on the mound. Lance Lynn is 10-6 with a 3.14 ERA on the season, and a very solid 6-2 with a 2.83 ERA, .245 OBA and 1.24 WHIP at home. In 63.2 innings of work at home he has only given up one homerun. Over his last 6 starts he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in five of them. The only rough start was vs the Dodgers, but it was in Los Angeles. Over his last four home starts he has allowed just 4 earned runs, so I expect a much better start from Lynn vs the Dodgers tonight. Dodgers starter Dan Haren is 8-6 with a 4.23 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.27 WHIP. While Haren has pitched well at home, he is just 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA, .295 OBA and 1.46 WHIP on the road. Over his last two starts he has an 11.57 ERA, .356 OBA and 1.93 WHIP. Overall he hasn't pitched well since the first month of the season. Take note that the Dodgers are just 3-10 in their last 13 as a n underdog of +110 to +150, and 2-5 in Haren's last 7 road starts. The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a winning record, 5-2 in their last 7 overall, 6-2 in Lynn's last 8 home starts, and 4-1 in Lynn's last 5 home starts vs a team with a winning record. With Haren really struggling on the road and Lynn pitching great at home I will take the Cardinals laying a small price at home.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (+132)
Listed Pitchers: Bauer vs. Sanchez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.64 units)
Back at it after the All-Star break where we finished up before the break on a 12 win streak. I have no intentions of slowing down, so lets hit it hard in the second half and pick up where we left off.
It has been a season of two different tales for Trevor Bauer, at home in Cleveland and then taking his business elsewhere on the road. Things have been quite dicey for Bauer on the road and he should find himself in a difficult spot against the Tigers. He finished the first-half of the season with a 3.84 ERA, but I suspect that number to edge up as we progress forward. He owns an ERA of 5.46 on the road which is accompanied by a 1.54 WHIP and .350 OBP. Bauer has an overall 1.42 WHIP so he is putting runners on regardless of where he is pitching. In his last start against the Tigers at home he went 6 innings allowing 8 hits and 4 runs. Now he'll need to square off with them on the road where he is much less efficient. Anibal Sanchez has one start this year against the Indians, pitching extremely effectively for 5 innings (he was just coming back from injury), holding them to only 3 hits and 2 runs. Sanchez has been brilliant besides one start where he gave up 7 runs against Tampa Bay. He responded though before the break with a 1 run outing against the Royals. I could see another 1 or 2 run game for Sanchez against the Indians. His home numbers look porous with a 3.52 ERA, but note that was from that one bad start. Otherwise, Sanchez hasn't allowed more than 3 runs at Comerica. His WHIP and OBP is quite strong at home, yielding a 1.01 and .257. Additionally, Sanchez has allowed only 2 runs at home this season. The Tigers have been hammering righties, taking them for a batting average of .272. The Tigers are 7-3 in their last ten home games. At a pretty good price on the RL I like the Tigers to win by at least a couple of runs
I hope you had a good All-Star break, and are ready to get back at it. Kyle and I each have a play here on Friday as we look to kick off the second half with winners...
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ St Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS TO WIN (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Haren vs Lynn
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)
The Dodgers return from the break 54-43 on the season and 29-19 on the road. The Cardinals are 52-44 and 27-20 at home. These two teams met four times in Los Angeles before the break with the Dodgers winning 3 of the 4 of those meetings. With that said the Cardinals are 38-17 in their last 55 home meetings vs the Dodgers, and they have one of their best home pitchers on the mound. Lance Lynn is 10-6 with a 3.14 ERA on the season, and a very solid 6-2 with a 2.83 ERA, .245 OBA and 1.24 WHIP at home. In 63.2 innings of work at home he has only given up one homerun. Over his last 6 starts he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in five of them. The only rough start was vs the Dodgers, but it was in Los Angeles. Over his last four home starts he has allowed just 4 earned runs, so I expect a much better start from Lynn vs the Dodgers tonight. Dodgers starter Dan Haren is 8-6 with a 4.23 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.27 WHIP. While Haren has pitched well at home, he is just 4-4 with a 5.05 ERA, .295 OBA and 1.46 WHIP on the road. Over his last two starts he has an 11.57 ERA, .356 OBA and 1.93 WHIP. Overall he hasn't pitched well since the first month of the season. Take note that the Dodgers are just 3-10 in their last 13 as a n underdog of +110 to +150, and 2-5 in Haren's last 7 road starts. The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs a team with a winning record, 5-2 in their last 7 overall, 6-2 in Lynn's last 8 home starts, and 4-1 in Lynn's last 5 home starts vs a team with a winning record. With Haren really struggling on the road and Lynn pitching great at home I will take the Cardinals laying a small price at home.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (+132)
Listed Pitchers: Bauer vs. Sanchez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.64 units)
Back at it after the All-Star break where we finished up before the break on a 12 win streak. I have no intentions of slowing down, so lets hit it hard in the second half and pick up where we left off.
It has been a season of two different tales for Trevor Bauer, at home in Cleveland and then taking his business elsewhere on the road. Things have been quite dicey for Bauer on the road and he should find himself in a difficult spot against the Tigers. He finished the first-half of the season with a 3.84 ERA, but I suspect that number to edge up as we progress forward. He owns an ERA of 5.46 on the road which is accompanied by a 1.54 WHIP and .350 OBP. Bauer has an overall 1.42 WHIP so he is putting runners on regardless of where he is pitching. In his last start against the Tigers at home he went 6 innings allowing 8 hits and 4 runs. Now he'll need to square off with them on the road where he is much less efficient. Anibal Sanchez has one start this year against the Indians, pitching extremely effectively for 5 innings (he was just coming back from injury), holding them to only 3 hits and 2 runs. Sanchez has been brilliant besides one start where he gave up 7 runs against Tampa Bay. He responded though before the break with a 1 run outing against the Royals. I could see another 1 or 2 run game for Sanchez against the Indians. His home numbers look porous with a 3.52 ERA, but note that was from that one bad start. Otherwise, Sanchez hasn't allowed more than 3 runs at Comerica. His WHIP and OBP is quite strong at home, yielding a 1.01 and .257. Additionally, Sanchez has allowed only 2 runs at home this season. The Tigers have been hammering righties, taking them for a batting average of .272. The Tigers are 7-3 in their last ten home games. At a pretty good price on the RL I like the Tigers to win by at least a couple of runs
