Service Plays Friday 11/13/09

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Bob Harvey

Cincinnati -9½ (-110)

It's been almost two years since Cincinnati lost a home game at Nippert Stadium, and that was to this West Virginia team. The Bearcats won't let that happen again as favorites on Friday.

Unbeaten Cincinnati (9-0) looks to keep its BCS hopes alive Friday at home against No. 23 West Virginia Friday at Nippert Stadium in the annual Ring of Red game.

The fifth-ranked Bearcats, one of six undefeated teams in the nation, have a 10-game winning streak on their home turf and a 15-game regular-season winning streak. At 5-0 in the conference, Cincinnati remains tied for first place with Pittsburgh, a team it will face in its regular season finale in early December.

Meanwhile the The Mountaineers enter tonight’s nationally televised matchup at 7-2 overall and 3-1 in Big East play.

West Virginia coach Bill Stewart calls the Bearcats offense a “juggernaut” and who are we to argue. The Bearcats are on a different level offensively than the rest of the conference and the numbers they’re putting up are impressive.

Cincinnati is averaging 40 points per game on the season and has scored 40 or more points four times this season. Last week they racked up a school- record 711 total yards in a narrow 47-45 win over UConn. Quarterback Zach Collaros threw for 480 yards, the second-best passing total in school history, and a touchdown, while rushing for 75 yards and two scores.

Collaros, who is making his third straight start in place of the injured Tony Pike, has completed 76.0 percent of his throws with 10 touchdowns and just one pick. Even with Pike healthy, head coach Brian Kelly says Collaros will start but Pike will play.

Lost in the shadows of the passing attack is the Bearcats solid run game which is averaging 158 yards per game and a 5.2 yards per carry average.

As for the Mountaineers, they won a share of the Big East title in 2007 before taking a backseat to Cincinnati last season. WVU is still very much in the running for the title in 2009 with a 3-1 record, but it will likely need to run the table to accomplish that feat.

Last weekend, the Mountaineers may have got caught looking ahead to this game, as they barely slipped past a struggling Louisville club, 17-9, in Morgantown. The Mountaineers, winners of five of their last six games, now stand at 7-2, with both of losses coming on the road.

Noel Devine is the one of the top running backs in the nation and leads WVU with 1,010 yards and ten touchdowns. He suffered a sprained ankle last week but is expected to be ready for tonight’s game.

Quarterback Jarrett Brown, who also tweaked his ankle last week, has 332 yards rushing yards and the season with four touchdowns. He’s also a threat thru the air completing 64.5 percent of his throws for 10 touchdowns.

Cincinnati comes in with a record of 6-3 ATS but just 2-2 at home. The Bearcats are 4-5 to the 'under' on the year and 2-2 at home. West Virginia is 2-6 vs. the number and 1-3 ATS on the road.

I’m expecting the Bearcats to roll up the yards and the points tonight. Lay the double-digit lumber with confidence
 

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B l a c k W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
5* W ise guy Lakers/Nuggets E SP N Late-Night B AIL OUT on L.A. Lakers +4(-105 at 5dimes)

The Lakers are showing their best value of the season Friday. Yes, they played last night against Phoenix, but that game was such a blowout that L.A. was able to rest their starters for most of the 4th quarter. They'll still be fresh as they head into Denver tonight, and they'll take care of business against a team they have owned. The Lakers are 14-3 SU & 12-5 ATS in 17 meetings with Denver over the last 3 seasons. You will rarely find the Lakers as an underdog, but when you do you should certainly take notice. L.A. is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers and the points.
 

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B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on H oust on R ock ets -4.5(-110 at betus)

This is a mismatch Friday as the Rockets continue playing superb basketball to start the 2009 season. Sacramento is without their two best scorers due to injury, with Kevin Martin and Francisco Garcia each watching this one from the bench. The Rockets' only losses this season have come against the Lakers, Blazers and Mavericks, three teams that are arguably the best teams in the West. Sacramento is far from that, though they have played well of late. After 3 straight wins, the Kings are certainly being overvalued here tonight. Houston is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with Sacramento, winning by at least 11 points in all 3 games. Take Houston and lay the points.
 

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Lost his ass on Sunday. I think I got on this guy too late. He was red hot, now...not so much.



Today's Picks by Natural Born Thriller
<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr> <th class="bl" colspan="5" align="left">CB</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#999999" height="1"> <td colspan="5" height="1">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#000066"> <th>Game Time</th> <th>Game</th> <th>Pick</th> <th>Bet</th> <th>Analysis</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">Friday, 11/13/2009</td> <td align="center">Dartmouth</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center"> Boston College (S: -24.5) </td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">5</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">7:00pm EST</td> <td align="center">Boston College</td></tr></tbody></table>
 

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B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
4* on Ut ah Ja zz +2(-101 at 5dimes)

After Utah's slow start to this season, the Jazz are now showing excellent value. They would usually be a road favorite here against the 76ers, but their slow start has them going under the radar and the odds makers have adjusted this line accordingly. The 76ers have faced only 1 team from the Western Conference, and that resulted in a home loss to the Phoenix Suns. There's no question the West is more stacked from top to bottom, and Utah remains one of the better teams in the West despite their start. Utah is 19-5 SU & 15-8 ATS in their last 24 meetings with Philly. They have won all 4 meetings over the last 3 seasons, including two wins in Philly. The 76ers are 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 3 seasons. Take Utah and the points.
 

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TEMPLE - 18
AKRON - 1
OVER -3
UNDER -1

WVIRG - 12
CINCI - 12
OVER -7
UNDER -0

UTAH - 6
PHILLY - 4

NJ - 2
ORL -3

GST -4
NY -3
Over-0
Under-2

PORT - 10
NEW ORL -4
Over-0
Under-1

DALLAS - 3
MINNY -2
OVER -2
UNDER -0


ATL - 5
BOSTON - 6

HOUST - 6
SAC -3

LAL - 3
DEN - 4
OVER -0
UNDER -2


TOR - 6
CLIPS - 3
OVER -1
UNDER -2
 

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Ben Burns 11/13


7* Friday Feast

AKRON ZIPS (+6) over Temple Owls

Reason: I'm taking the points with AKRON. I successfully played against Temple last week. The Owls were laying 17 points and they only won by two. While I respect the Owls, I feel that they're over-valued once again and that this will prove to be a difficult spot. The Owls, who will be playing their third road game in the past four weeks, have now seen back to back games decided by three points or less. Their next two games come against Kent State and Ohio, the two schools directly behind them in the MAC East Division. In other words, it wouldn't be difficult to imagine them looking past "lowly" Akron. The Zips have admittedly had a disappointing season. However, I believe that they're more talented than their record indicates and they put it all together last week. In that game, they beat Kent State outright, winning 28-20 as +3.5 point underdogs. After having played three straight on the road, they're playing their second straight home game here. Last week's victory will provide some confidence and I expect them to be fired up to play a Friday night home game on "ESPNU." While the Owls covered at Eastern Michigan earlier, they're still 4-6 ATS the last 10 times that they were listed as road favorites. During that stretch, the Zips have gone 5-3-1 ATS as home underdogs in the +3.5 to +7 range. Its also worth noting that the Zips are 15-5 SU their last 20 home games played in November and that each of their last two November home losses have come by only three points. I expect this one to also come down to the wire. *7 Friday Feast
 

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Win or Lose Sports Betting.com 11/13

they are having FREE Friday's and giving the password is you sign up for the newsletter. Not sure if they change it every Friday but just get the newsletter and I am sure it will be sent every Friday

Not sure why everything is underlined

NCAA Football
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
113 Temple -4 -105 $7
116 Cincinnati -9.5 -108 $8

National Football League
Rot# Team Spread/Type Line Wager
*** No Games

National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread / Type Line Wager
51 ANA +1.5 -295 $9 (Added)
51 ANA ML +105 $3 (Added)
53 Min / Was OV 6 +107 $5 (Added)
56 CAR ML -120 $15
59 LA / Atl OV 6 -120 $7 (Added)
60 ATL ML -104 $11 (Added)
62 CHI -1.5 +154 $5

National Basketball Association (Remember we are Buying 2 Points)
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
701 UTH ML -125 $14
704 ORL -13.5 -155 $11
704 NJ / ORL OV 187 -155 $5 (Added)
705 GS +3.5 -155 $15
712 BOS -6.5 -155 $8
713 HOU -1.5 -155 $8
717 TOR ML -165 $9

NCAA Basketball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
727 Cleveland St -1 -110 $6
730 Boston College -24.5 -110 $5
756 Tulane +10 -105 $6
764 St. Mary's -7 -105 $5
772 Rice -15.5 -108 $5
784 Montana -12.5 -110 $5
789 Morehead St +21 -110 $5**
792 DUKE -30.5 -110 $7
808 Mississippi St -15.5 -110 $5
812 Auburn -6 -110 $7
 

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allen eastman - ncaa football

$500.00 Take #116 Cincinnati (-8.5) over West Virginia (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 13)
Bearcats are going to punch their BCS ticket with a primetime win on Friday night over West Virginia. The Mountaineers have only played three road games this year and they have lost two of them. And the win was just a win over Syracuse. Cincinnati is ready to make its mark on a national stage and they are still feeling disrespected. I like a blowout win here by the Bearcats, who are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

$600.00 Take #143 Western Michigan (-12.5) over Eastern Michigan (1 p.m., Sat., Nov. 14)
Put a fork in Eastern Michigan! This is one of the worst programs in the country and they have given up 113 points over the last two weeks to teams that don’t have nearly as much offensive firepower as Western Michigan. WMU has played a tough schedule this year and their record looks a bit worse than this group really is. But Tim Hiller is a solid, experienced quarterback and this is his last game against a “rival” Michigan school. He will close his career in style with a blowout.

$400.00 Take #122 Louisville (-7) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 14)
I went against Syracuse last week for my Game of the Year and I am going to go against them again this week. The Orange have upset Louisville in back-to-back years so it’s time for a little revenge from the Cards. Louisville has covered two straight games and has been decent in their few home games this year. This is only their fourth home game so I think that they are a bit undervalued. The Orange are still not a good football team and this group is pining for the days of Pasqualoni. Louisville is going to blow out the Orange, who are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games.

$400.00 Take #167 Pittsburgh (-7) over Notre Dame (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 14)
Notre Dame goes on the road this year and this is their first trip outside of South Bend in almost two months! Pittsbugh is 5-0 at home this year and they have won five straight games. Pittsburgh is a solid 6-2 ATS so far this season and they have more talent than the Irish. Charlie Weis will lose this game and his seat is going to get even hotter. The Panthers are going to be sky-high for this one and I see a rout.

$500.00 Take #166 Cal (-3) over Arizona (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 14)
After a brief down stretch in the middle of the season the Bears have stepped up and become the team that everyone thought might have an outside shot at winning the Pac-10. Cal will likely be without Jahvid Best. But I think that just means that everyone else on this team is going to step up and play a great game against an Arizona team that is just 1-2 ATS on the road this year. Cal is 4-2 ATS the last six meetings and they are 10-4 ATS in Berkley. Look for an inspired effort out of Cal after a loss last week.
 

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Ron Raymond

Anaheim vs Columbus
Play: Columbus -115

Garon expected to get the nod this evening vs. the Ducks and this could be the change of pace needed for the Blue Jackets after that 9-1 beating by the Red Wings. Plus, I did some research with my ATS NHL Database and when a home favorite lost by 8 goals or more in their last game; they are 9-4 SU in the next game since 1996. Take the Blue Jackets.
 

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