Service Plays Friday 10/22/10

[mowerfixer1]

Bobby Maxwell
Friday's winner...
400-Unit Baseball Book Buster - N.Y. YANKEES (must list Hughes as starter for the Yankees)

Texas is back home for Game 6, but I’m not too sure they wouldn’t rather be somewhere else, having gone 1-3 in four postseason home games already this season. Today, I’m banking on the Yankees and young right-hander Philip Hughes (19-9, 4.28 ERA) to get this win and extend this series to a Game 7.

Hughes has to be elated to get a second chance at the Rangers in this series after he gave up seven runs on 10 hits in just four innings of Game 2’s 7-2 loss in Texas. It was his worst outing of the season and snapped a great three-game streak where he dominated the Rays, Red Sox and Twins. In his key start against Minnesota in the ALDS he threw seven shutout innings and struck out six with just one walk.

The rough outing in Texas in Game 2 was rare for Hughes, who had been brilliant in Arlington in his first two starts, throwing 14.1 innings of shutout baseball, allowing just three combined hits.

Colby Lewis (13-13, 3.61 ERA) is on the mound for the Rangers and he was opposite Hughes in that Game 2 win, giving up two runs in 5.2 innings of work. Texas is on several slides with this guy on the hill, including 5-11 in his last 16 starts overall, 4-10 when he faces a team with a winning record and 3-14 when he gets five days of rest.

New York is riding several positive runs with Hughes on the mound, including 24-11 in his last 35 starts and 23-10 when he’s a favorite. They are also on streaks of 16-5 as a playoff favorite, 5-2 on the road in the postseason and 16-7 in their last 23 playoff games overall.

I’m banking on Hughes and the Yankees to get this thing to a very interesting Game 7. Play New York in Game 6 here tonight.

 

[GAVEL]

Norhtcoast
marquise S Fla./.Cinci over 48

 

[pizza]

Hey for what it's worth, Mike Greenberg from 'Mike and Mike' in the morning on ESPN radio has a 1-10-1 record picking thier stone cold lead pipe locks. This Sunday he likes KC -4 1/2 and Chi -3.

this is very interesting and a noteworthy record for mike
but this line is up to 9` now

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bill Young

BIG EAST BRAWL
6* Cincinnati Bearcats

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME

1000* Play South Florida (+8) over Cincinnati

Starts at 8:00 PM EST

South Florida has won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a game with a turnover margin of -1 or worse and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games after scoring six or less points in their last game. South Florida has covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 games coming off two or more losses and they are only allowing 16 points a game on defense this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIKE LINEBACK

4* POD NY-Texas OVER 9 -120
3* OPINION* Cincinnati Bearcats -8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OC DOOLEY

“2 UNIT” AMERICAN LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Yankees at Rangers UNDER 9 in a 8:05 eastern start televised on TBS-------Hughes versus Lewis)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Game: Ottawa at Buffalo (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 5.5 -120

Something has to give in this one. The Ottawa Senators are winless on the road at 0-3-1, while the Buffalo Sabres are winless at home at an identical 0-3-1 mark to start the season. The Sabres’ problem at home has been the inability to put the puck in the net as they have scored just 7 times in their four home games, or less than 2 per contest. The Senators have had their share of problems finding the net on the road, with just 8 goals in their four road games at 2 per contest. Both of these teams are hungry for a win, which usually leads to a tighter checking game, and not a lot of scoring opportunities. The Senators bounce back to play UNDER to a 12-5-2 mark after serving up 5+ in their previous game, while the Sabres are an UNDER-happy 31-15-5 when they are posted as a favorite from -110 to -150. This one stays UNDER the total.

 

[eagles007]

Anyone have Hankwins?...can't get it where I'm at....he's been hot

Thanks and good luck...great site...

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SAFEST WAGERING
We donate 5% of our winnings to Horse Retirement Charities.
Hopefully, you will too. This month's charity is adoptahorse.

Results listed below More ?? Click Here to Visit Our Website

SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS CINCINNATI BEARCATS
3-3 October 22, 8:00 PM | Turf of Nippert Stadium 3-3



Handicapping Comment of the Day: (your selection listed below)
Coaching Changes:
I understand the sense of urgency, but not the lack of loyalty, when coaches vacate
positions prior to big games. The announcement that Brian Kelley was leaving the Bearcats for
Notre Dame at the end of last year before their bowl game was pretty heartless. Although the
players downplayed the change, the local papers were filled with resentful comments.
Favored Cinncy got trounced by Florida 51-24.
Recruited players have loyalties, and learn to operate within a system.
Lower level coaching changes often show quick, but modest enhancement .
Upper level changes that improve entire programs take time develop.
That could be tonight.

Today:
Cincinnati:
Early this season The Bearcats looked like a shell of last year's team,
opening up with a 1-3 record. I'm gaining a lot of respect for Coach Jones.
This may be the most improved team in the country. They put it all together
against Oklahoma (#1 or #2-depending on poll), losing by only 2 points.
I wasn't a big fan of their QB Zach Collaros, but may be changing my mind,
after 5 TDs, against an adequate Louisville squad.

South Florida:
The Bulls could only manage 2 field goals on West Virginia last week.
The Mountaineers could have scored lots more at the end of the game,
but chose to control the ball on the ground. Although 5-1, and rated 19th
in the country, W. Va. isn't that good.
Many liked South Florida the prior week, after a hard fought loss to 4-1 Syracuse.
Last week I thought that The Orange would get crushed by Pitt at their
own homecoming. I was right.
The Bulls defense has great numbers against bad teams. This has lowered
the line.............. which is good for us.

PICK: Take The Bearcats -7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LENNY DEL GENIO

NY Yankees ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MADDUX SPORTS

REGULAR PLAY* Cincinnati Bearcats -9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Prophet

Tx/Ny over 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Prophet

POD - Lightning/Thrashers over 6 -105

Buffalo Sabres -140
Calgary Flames +115

 

[jblonghorn]

Can anyone please post Budin and Demarco please?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NITE OWL SPORTS

South Florida Bulls @ Cincinnati Bearcats - Friday October 22, 2010 8:00 pm
3 units ATS: Cincinnati Bearcats -7.5 (-110)

This ESPN match-up between Big East rivals Cincy and USF features Bearcats’ steadily improving offense against USF’s good but not great defense, which has held up pretty well so far TY, although they also haven't faced the toughest of schedules. And on the lower end of the scale is the contest between a suspect Bearcat defense and a USF offense which has struggled mightily all year, especially in their three games against legitimate teams, all losses both SU and ATS, at Florida and at West Va, and at home to Syracuse, as 8 point faves. And we capitalized on recognizing these teams’ strengths and weaknesses in last week’s ESPN games involving both of them, as we “cashed” with West Va and the Under last Thursday night against USF, and same story the next night with Cincy and the Over against LVille, a game in which Cincinnati beat Louisville 35-27, and 45 points had been scored by HT.

And we still don't believe the odds makers have a proper handle on just how good this Cincinnati offense is right now, as Bearcats have scored 29, 45, and 35 points over their last three games, with the 29 and 35 coming against against some reasonably tough competition in Oklahoma and Louisville. And Cincy QB Zach Collaros has quietly become one of the most efficient passers in the nation this season, completing over 63% of his passes for 1,455 yards, 17 touchdowns, and just three interceptions. He'll likely improve on those numbers against a South Florida secondary that has decent overall #s so far, but remains largely untested. And note that while the USF Bulls allowed only 20 points against West Virginia last week, the Mountaineers were able to do pretty much whatever they wanted on offense, being limited by conservative play-calling in the second half, and West Va QB Geno Smith was near perfect in that game, completing 24-of-31 passes for 219 yards and two touchdowns. That doesn't bode well for the Bulls as they prepare to face dual (running and passing) threat Collaros and the Bearcats explosive offense on tonight. But the real key on offense for Bearcats has been the return (from minor early season injury) of running back Isaiah Pead, who in the last three games has rushed for an average of 170 yards, which has kept opposing defenses honest and helped set up lots of “play action” passes for Collaros. Moreover, history is also on the side of the Bearcats, as Cincinnati has prevailed both SU and ATS in the last four contests in this series (all competitively priced games with the line being 5 or less and Bearcats “dogged” in two of them), with an average MOV (margin of victory) of 13 points. And Cincy is 3-0 both SU and ATS in their last 3 HGs against USF, with an even greater average MOV of 18 points. But the Cincy defense, while good against the run so far TY (allowing just 112 YRPG and 3.3 YPC), is vulnerable to the pass, allowing 277 YPPG and with only two “picks” all season, and was “abused” for 370 YP by Okla’s Landry Jones in their tight 29-31 loss to Sooners a few weeks ago. Cincinnati has really only faced one dual-threat QB this season, that being Russell Wilson of N.C. State, and he was able to carve the Bearcats up for 333 passing yards and three touchdowns. And South Florida has a mobile QB of its own in B.J. Daniels, but he is nowhere near the QB that NC State’s Wilson is, and he is looking to get his season untracked after a tough start, averaging just 122 YPPG in all games (which includes USF’s home victories over Sun Belt weaklings FAU and Western Ky), and has thrown a whopping 10 INTs, many at really inopportune times, like at the end of the 1H in LW’s loss at West Va, after which Mounties scored a TD in final seconds of 1H to turn a tight 10-3 game into a 17-3 HT lead from which the run-oriented USF offense was never able to recover.

Due mostly to Daniels’ struggles, South Florida has done little to nothing offensively over the last two weeks, producing a grand total of 15 points in losses to Syracuse and West Virginia., and failing to even score a single TD in either game. And although USF’s 1Y HC Skip Holtz is 23-11 ATS as a road dog since 2005 (counting his days as HC at East Carolina), he is now 0-2 as a road dog at USF (that 6-20 loss LW at West Va and a numbing 38-14 blowout loss at Florida in Sept., where Bulls were stampeded by Gators in 2H, 31-7, and gave up 251 YR on 6.8 YPC).

Based on the above and our trademark match-up analysis, we look for Cincinnati to set the tone early with at least one quick score, and then extend the lead throughout the game, and if USF is forced to play catch-up with mistake –prone (10 INTs already TY) QB BJ Daniels having to pass more than Bulls’ OC Fitch would like, Bulls are in a heap of trouble. So while we are not wild about laying > a TD here, we believe that the best option for playing this game is to do just that, and will make this 3 unit ATS pick on Cincinnati at -7.5.

 

[joeduffy]

One of the best Vegas scores and odds contests this week in football is the clash between Cincinnati and South Florida.

The current Vegas point spread is Cincinnati -8 with a total ranging from 48 at Bodog to as high as 49 at Sportsbook.

The best sports picks experts use different key handicapping numbers than the square player. Here is a preview of that game from a handicapping standpoint.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the superiority from a statistical standpoint goes to Cincinnati by .6.

Passing yards per completion is another gauge utilized by bettors. The advantage is possessed by the Cincinnati Bearcats 1.8.

Possibly the most utilized number by professional bettors is yards per point. From the offensive viewpoint the positive checkmark is in the column of USF by .7.

Now go to the key numbers on the defensive side of the ball. The yards per rush guide says the better run defense is Cincinnati by .4.

The superior passing yards per completion data on defense give the upper hand to the Bulls by .4.

In terms of yards per point, the better defense is South Florida by .6.

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Best football handicapping picks and prediction in the sports service industry is from ScoresOddsPicks. Raise your hands if you have hit 67 percent of your biggest bets since the Hall-of-Fame Game. Okay, how about 62.7 percent of all picks? Off Oregon and the over last night, ScoresOddsPicks is 30-15 with all named plays college and pro. Now get one of the biggest yet. The College Football Best Bet of the Month is at OffshoreInsiders.com

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Bearcats are 20-7-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 1-6 off straight up win, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Under is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 16-5-1 in Bearcats last 22 games in October, under 8-2 last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.

 

[MrUnlucky]

Can someone confirm if The Boss is passing tonight?

 

[wino]

Any Venture sports NHL?

Thanks!

 

[kickback.1]

Venture Sports (2-1 last night 15-5 overall)


Play 1 - OTT/BUFF UNDER 5.5 (1 unit)


Play 2 - CHI/ST.LOUIS OVER 5.5 (1 unit)