Saturday 11/8/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Aggies turn to Allen once again vs. Auburn
Stephen Campbell

Texas A&M will give the reigns of the quarterback position once again to freshman Kyle Allen in the wake of Kenny Hill's suspension by the squad.

"Operationally, (Allen) was good out there. That's what you worry about with any young quarterback from an operational standpoint," said Aggies coach Kevin Sumlin this week. "Our communication could get better. We missed a couple signals on the perimeter, whether that's the receivers or him."

The Aggies face off against No. 3 Auburn Saturday. The Tigers are presently 23.5-point home faves with a total of 68.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF Tech Trends - Week 11
By Bruce Marshall

Saturday, November 8

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

PENN STATE at INDIANA
Home team has covered last three meetings. Though James Franklin no covers last two on road or 4 of last 6 TY. Franklin was 25-14 vs. line at Vandy, now 4-4 vs. line with Nittany. Hoosiers 1-3 vs. line at Bloomington TY and 2-5 vs. spread last seven as host.

Slight to Penn State, based on extended James Franklin numbers.


GEORGIA at KENTUCKY
Dogs have not lost to Cats SU since 2009 but only 1-2 vs. line last three meetings. Richt 8-6 as visiting chalk since 2011. UK 6-2 vs. line TY (5-1 at home) and has covered 7 of last 9 since late LY. Cats 2-0 as home dog for Stoops TY.

Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.


LOUISIANA TECH at UAB
LT 7-2 vs. line in 2013 and 5-0 vs. spread away.

La Tech, based on recent trends.


IOWA at MINNESOTA
Floyd! Iowa has won and covered last two Floyd battles and Ferentz is 8-1 vs. spread last 9 away from Iowa City. But Gophers 8-4 vs. spread last 12 at home.

Iowa, based on Ferentz road trends.


MICHIGAN at NORTHWESTERN
Pat Fitz 2-6 vs. line TY and now 3-15 last 18 vs. number since early 2013. Hoke has beaten Fitz in OT each of past two seasons (took 3 OT LY). If Fitz a dog note 3-6 spread mark last nine in role (1-2 as home dog since LY). Hoke, however, 1-7 SU last eight away from Ann Arbor.

Slight to NU, based on team trends.


GEORGIA TECH at NC STATE
Pack only 2-7 vs. line last 9 at Raleigh. Paul Johnson 3-0-1 as visiting chalk since 2012 and has covered 3 of 4 away TY.

Georgia Tech, based on team trends.


WISCONSIN at PURDUE
Boilermakers very surprising 4-0 last four and 6-1 vs. spread last seven TY, so dismissing some of the poor Hazell numbers LY. Recent series, however, has been all Wiscy, wins and covers in eight straight dating to 2004 (didn't play in 2007-8). But Badgers only 4-8 last 12 vs. line since late 2013 for G Andersen.

Purdue, based on recent trends.


UL-MONROE at APP STATE
App has romped big in last two games TY. ULM, 1-5-1 last seven TY. Warhawks were 10-6 as road dog since 2011 entering this season but 1-2-1 in role TY.

Slight to App, based on recent trends.


DUKE at SYRACUSE
Cuse only 3-6 vs. line last nine at Dome and just 3-4-1 as home dog since 2011. Cutcliffe 6-2 vs. line TY and 16-5-1 vs. number since 2013.

Duke, based on team trends.


FLORIDA at VANDERBILT
Curious series trend with road team covering last five meetings. Dores are 3-0 vs. line away TY but 2-4 vs. number in Nashville. Muschamp 7-17-1 last 24 on board since later 2012. Gators 3-13 last 16 as chalk.

Vandy, based on Muschamp negatives.


LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE
Cards 3-1 vs. line away TY and 5-1 last six vs. spread away from Papa John's (4-1 last five as chalk away from home). Eagles, however, 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as host (1-1 as home dog TY).

BC, based on extended home mark.


IOWA STATE at KANSAS
Jayhawks 2-1-1 vs. line since Weis dismissed, though still just 4-8 vs. line last 12 at Lawrence. KU no SU wins vs. ISU since 2009 and Cyclones have covered last two meetings. ISU on 5-1-1 spread run last six in 2014.

Slight to ISU, based on team trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE
Note that road team is 7-2 vs. line in USA games TY, with Jags 3-1 SU and vs. spread away. Jags 7-3 vs. line away since LY. Ark State, however, 3-0 vs. line at Jonesboro TY and 11-3 vs. line last 13 since late 2013.

Slight to USA, based on team trends.


TULANE at HOUSTON
UH on 5-1 spread run last six TY. Tulane 1-3 vs. line away TY.

UH, based on recent trends.


GEORGIA STATE at TROY
Troy and its 1-8 SU is nonetheless favored in this game, Trojans 1-2 vs. line as chalk TY, 5-15 vs. number last 20 as home chalk. GSU 7-2 vs. spread last nine as visitor.

GSU, based on team trends.


UTSA at RICE
Coker 1-5 vs. line last six in 2014. Owls covers in 5 straight and 6 of 7 this season, also on 20-9 spread run since mid 2012.

Rice, based on team trends.


FIU at OLD DOMINION
FIU has actually covered three straight on road since late 2013. ODU no covers last five TY and 0-4 vs. spread in Norfolk TY.

FIU, based on team trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS
Horns 1-3 vs. line at home TY and 6-10 last 16 vs. spread at Austin. Charlie Strong only 2-3 as dog TY after 8-1 mark in role past three years at 'Ville.

WVU, based on recent Texas negatives.


UCLA at WASHINGTON
Bruins just 2-7 vs. line this season, 1-4 as road chalk. Chris Petersen just 3-5 as dog since last season at Boise & UW.

Slight to UW, based on recent UCLA woes.


SMU at TULSA
Helpless SMU 1-6 vs. line TY, but Tulsa just 6-14 vs. spread since 2013.

Slight to Tulsa, based on SMU woes.


UCONN vs. ARMY (at Yankee Stadium)
Diaco has covered last two at UConn after dropping first six vs. line. Army just 1-23 SU last 24 away from West Point.

UConn, based on Army road woes.


TEXAS A&M at AUBURN
Malzahn 15-4 last 19 on board. Ags no covers last five or six of last seven TY, just 5-13 last 18 on board since early 2013.

Auburn, based on team trends.


ALABAMA at LSU
LSU has covered last two and 4 of last 5 vs. Bama at Baton Rouge. Miles 5-3 last 8 as dog. Tide 0-4 vs. line away from Tuscaloosa TY and no covers last seven away from Bryant-Denny Stadium.

LSU, based on team and series trends at Baton Rouge.


BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA
Art Briles only 3-6 vs. spread last 9 away from Waco (2-2 TY) but 7-1 last eight as dog. Bears have covered last three and four of last five vs. Sooners. Stoops only 2-3 last five in revenge.

Baylor, based on team and series trends.


VIRGINIA at FLORIDA STATE
FSU on 2-7 spread run last nine since late 2013. Cavs no covers last four TY.

Slight to FSU, based on team trends.


UTEP at WKU
Miners only 3-8 vs. line away for Kugler since LY but 2-2 in 2014 and off of 34-0 rout of UTSA on road. WKU just 2-5 last seven TY vs. line but has covered 2 of 3 at home.

Slight to WKU, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON STATE
Road team has covered last four meetings. Leach 7-2 vs. line as visitor since LY, Beavs 1-7 vs. line TY, just 1-6 vs. mark last six at Corvallis.

WSU, based on team and series trends.


AIR FORCE at UNLV
Hauck has won and covered last two vs. Force and covered 3 of 4 vs. Falcs since 2010. Force has dropped last four vs. line at Sam Boyd. Hauck 13-6-1 as home dog since 2010 (3-3 since LY. Note Falcs 0-9 vs. line last nine after Commander-in-Chief's games vs. Army & Navy. Falcs no covers last four as road chalk.

UNLV, based on team and series trends.


IDAHO at SAN DIEGO STATE
Vandals impressive 4-0 as visitor against spread.

Idaho, based on team trends.


MARSHALL at SOUTHERN MISS
Herd 5-1-1 vs, line last seven TY. Herd has won and covered last three meetings and big blowouts last two years. Herd 3-1 vs. line away TY after 2-5 as visitor last season.

Marshall, based on team and series trends.


FAU at NORTH TEXAS
UNT no covers last four or 5 of last 6 TY. FAU 5-1 vs. line last six TY, now 22-7 last 29 on board.

FAU, based on team trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at TEXAS STATE
Franchione no covers last three at Bobcat Stadium TY. GSU 7-2 vs. spread.

GSU, based on team trends.


COLORADO at ARIZONA
CU has covered 5 of last 7 TY, though only 1-3 vs. spread on road. Cats have won big last two years vs. Buffs (but no cover in 2012). UA 1-3 last four as home chalk.

UA, based on team trends.


BOISE STATE at NEW MEXICO
Davie has covered last two years vs. Boise and Lobos have covered all three since 2011 (though getting 25 or more each time). But Davie no covers last five at Albuquerque (0-6 last 6 as home dog) Boise 24-10 as visiting chalk since 2008.

Boise, based on team trends.


HAWAII at COLORADO STATE
Rams on 19-7 spread uptick for McElwain. Chow no covers first three on road TY as visiting team 7-1 vs. spread in Leahey games. Rams have won and covered last two meetings.

CSU, based on team and series trends.


OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE
Dantonio on 15-5 spread run last 20 on board. Urban 6-2 vs. line TY. If dog note Meyer 3-0 in role at OSU, and 11-2 in rare role since 2003 with Utah.

Slight to MSU, based on recent team trends.


ULL at NEW MEXICO STATE
ULL 8-4 vs. spread on Sun Belt road for Hudspeth, also wins and covered last 3 TY. Ags have covered first three as Las Cruces dog TY after 9-18 mark previous 27 in role.

ULL, based on team trends.


NOTRE DAME at ARIZONA STATE
Irish 12-6 SU last 17 away from South Bend. But Graham 12-4 SU at Tempe since arriving at ASU in 2012. Irish won close 37-34 at Jerry Jones LY.

Slight to ASU, based on team trends.


OREGON at UTAH
Utes 7-1 vs. line TY for Whittingham, also 4-0 as dog. Utes 5-1 last six as home dog. Ducks 3-0-1 last four vs. line TY but were 1-10 previous 11 in reg season play.

Utah, based on team trends.


KANSAS STATE at TCU
Bill Snyder 23-9 as dog since returning to K-State in 2009. Cats have also covered last six TY. But TCU a smashing 7-1 vs. line in 2014.

Slight to K-State, based on extended Bill Snyder dog numbers.


SAN JOSE STATE at FRESNO STATE
Spartans have now won last two and covered last three in series (didn't play in 2012). Caragher is 4-1 vs. line on MW road since LY.

SJSU, based on team and series trends

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Football: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Texas A&M at Auburn November 8, 03:30 EST

Auburn (7-1, 4-4 ATS) dealing Ole Miss a second straight loss this past weekend will host unranked Texas A&M (6-3, 3-6 ATS) Saturday as Tigers look to remain alive in the race to become one of four teams to play in the first playoff series. The line in this contest is floating between 21.5 to 22.0 depending on locale. A lot of lumber to be laying. However, even though Aggies will be without QB Hill (suspended) too much at stake for Tigers to take A&M lightly. Expect Tigers balanced offense amassing 38.8 PPG to keep pedal-to-metal improving they're perfect 14-0 (10-4 ATS) stretch at Jordan Hare Stadium, 12-2 (11-3 ATS) streak vs SEC opponents and 7-3 ATS mark laying double digits.

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans November 8, 08:00 EST

Michigan State (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) coming off a 35-11 spanking of instate rival Michigan as a 17-point home chalk, then getting a bye this past weekend look to shore up its Big 10 title hopes when they host rival Ohio State Buckeyes (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) off a 55-14 smacking of Fighting Illini easily covering the 28 point spot. Little doubt coach Dantonio's troops take the field with plenty of confidence as Spartans have won six (4-2 ATS) consecutive games since dropping a decision at Oregon and have won twelve straight in Spartan Stadium (7-5 ATS). However, wouldn't surprise if Urban Meyer's gang play spoiler. Buckeyes have won 8 of the past 10 encounters (6-3-1 ATS) including 4-1 SU/ATS right in Spartans' back yard.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College Football Trends

College Football Betting Trends - Saturday, Nov. 8

Penn State at Indiana, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a game at home
Indiana: 6-0 OVER as a home underdog

Georgia at Kentucky, 12:00 ET
Georgia: 7-1 OVER as a favorite
Kentucky: 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog

Louisiana Tech at UAB, 12:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival
UAB: 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a home underdog

Iowa at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a win by 35 or more points
Minnesota: 5-1 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest

Michigan at Northwestern, 3:30 ET
Michigan: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins
Northwestern: 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game

Georgia Tech at North Carolina State, 12:30 ET
Georgia Tech: 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a home win against a conference rival
N Carolina St: 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) off 2 or more consecutive unders

Wisconsin at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Purdue: 8-2 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders

UL - Monroe at Appalachian State, 3:30 ET
UL - Monroe: 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
Appalachian St: 0-2 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Duke at Syracuse, 12:30 ET
Duke: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game
Syracuse: 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game

Florida at Vanderbilt, 7:30 ET
Florida: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Vanderbilt: 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13

Louisville at Boston College, 7:15 ET
Louisville: 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Boston College: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game

Iowa State at Kansas, 3:30 ET
Iowa St: 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games after allowing 37 points or more last game
Kansas: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 35 or more points

South Alabama at Arkansas State, 3:00 ET
S Alabama: 3-10 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
Arkansas St: 14-4 ATS after playing a conference game

Tulane at Houston, 3:30 ET
Tulane: 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
Houston: 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after gaining 125 or less passing yards in last game

Georgia State at Troy, 3:00 ET
Georgia St: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game
Troy: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game

Tex San Antonio at Rice, 12:00 ET
Tex San Antonio: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Rice: 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game

Florida International at Old Dominion, 3:30 ET
Florida INT: 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses
Old Dominion: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game

West Virginia at Texas, 3:30 ET
W Virginia: 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13
Texas: 1-5 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival

UCLA at Washington, 7:00 ET
UCLA: 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games after playing 2 straight conference games
Washington: 74-103 ATS (-39.3 Units) after playing a conference game

SMU at Tulsa, 12:00 ET
SMU: 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half
Tulsa: 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored

Connecticut at Army, 3:30 ET
Connecticut: 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games
Army: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest

Texas AM at Auburn, 3:30 ET
Texas AM: 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Auburn: 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents

Alabama at LSU, 8:00 ET
Alabama: 21-5 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite
LSU: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins

Baylor at Oklahoma, 12:00 ET
Baylor: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game
Oklahoma: 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after gaining 300 or more rushing yards last game

Virginia at Florida State, 6:30 ET
Virginia: 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game
Florida St: 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a home favorite of 17.5 to 21 points

UTEP at Western Kentucky, 4:00 ET
UTEP: 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers
W Kentucky: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Washington State at Oregon State, 4:00 ET
Washington St: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Oregon St: 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents

Air Force at UNLV, 4:00 ET
Air Force: 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games after allowing 14 points or less last game
UNLV: 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders

Idaho at San Diego State, 6:30 ET
Idaho: 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) after playing a conference game
San Diego St: 7-0 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders

Marshall at Southern Miss, 7:00 ET
Marshall: 11-3 OVER after playing 2 straight conference games
S Miss: 2-11 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders

Florida Atlantic at North Texas, 7:00 ET
Florida ATL: 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
N Texas: 8-2 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Georgia Southern at Texas State, 4:00 ET
Georgia S: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games
Texas St: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Colorado at Arizona, 8:00 ET
Colorado: 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs
Arizona: 5-1 OVER off a road loss against a conference rival

Boise State at New Mexico, 7:00 ET
Boise St: 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents
New Mexico: 11-8 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers

Hawaii at Colorado State, 7:00 ET
Hawaii: 13-4 OVER off a loss against a conference rival
Colorado St: 5-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Ohio State at Michigan State, 8:00 ET
Ohio St: 105-73 ATS (+24.7 Units) against conference opponents
Michigan St: 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game

UL - Lafayette at New Mexico State, 8:00 ET
UL - Lafayette: 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday
New Mexico St: 33-60 ATS (-33.0 Units) after playing a conference game

Notre Dame at Arizona State, 3:30 ET
Notre Dame: 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games
Arizona St: 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games

Oregon at Utah, 10:00 ET
Oregon: 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored
Utah: 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog

Kansas State at TCU, 7:30 ET
Kansas State: 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a road underdog of 7 points or less
TCU: 5-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins

San Jose State at Fresno State, 10:30 ET
San Jose St: 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a road favorite
Fresno St: 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

#1 Sports

Early Saturday's free selection: Troy Trojans - 7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Razor Sharp

FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY:Take ARIZONA -17 over Colorado

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Totals4U

Early Saturday's Free Selection: Georgia State Panthers/Troy Trojans under 67

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Atlantic Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Air Force - 5 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Computer Sports

Free Selection

Saturday: Boise State -19

Sunday: Tampa Bay +2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Golden Dragon Sports

Bonus Play: Tulsa -14

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Winner: Georgia Tech -3'

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Vegas

Free Selection

Saturday: Georgia -10.5

Sunday: KC/Buffalo OVER 42

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Saturday: UTEP Miners + 8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Saturday: Take UL-LAFAYETTE -16½ over New Mexico St

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

John Anthony Sports

Early Saturday's Free Selection: UL-Monroe Warhawks + 4 1/2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff Saad of Las Vegas Sports Services

11/8: Saturday CFB Free Pick:

Play Texas A&M/Auburn over the total.

Don't trust the Texas A&M defense! The over is 30-14-1 in Aggies last 45 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Aubrun is on a 12-5 run over the total and the over is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 home games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. Vegas

Free Saturday CFB Play from Mr. Vegas: UCLA vs. Washington. Can't trust the Bruins defense on the road and the Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Washington is home with a fine offense and the Huskies are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 home games.

Play Washington

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

Comp NBA Pick for Saturday, November 8, 2014: 7:05 PM

(703) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (704) INDIANA PACERS

Take: over

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Saturday, November 8, 2014 is in the NBA contest between the Washington Wizards and Indiana Pacers. These clubs just met on the 5th, an OT win by the Wizards in Washington, 96-94. The Wizards lost their opener of the season to Miami and have since won the next four straight. They are also 3-2 ATS, though they failed to cover as a 9 1/2 home point favorite over Indiana. Indiana opened with a win against Philly but has since lost its next four games and is 3-2 ATS this season. The Pacers total points have dropped dramatically as they have been under 90 points in two of the last four and just barely over 90 in the other two. It's not surprising, their offensive efficiency (points per 100 possessions) have dropped steadily to the low 90's while their defensive efficiency has been over 100 in three of their five games. The Wizards were a very efficient offensive team, posting 112, 110 and 111 offensive efficiency numbers in three of the last four games. The Wizards have also gone OVER in four of their five games, not scoring less than 95 points yet. The Pacers went over their first three games and four of five also thanks in part to a less than efficient defense. My numbers have this game making it into the 190's and with the total at 185 1/2, that's a pretty good cushion. I'm taking OVER here on Saturday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steve Merril

Notre Dame vs. Arizona State

Bonus Play Under

Notre Dame has played in three straight high-scoring games with point totals of 93, 58, and 88. Off those three games, the oddsmakers had to inflate the total on this game by a few points, especially since the Sun Devils have the reputation of a high-scoring team. Notre Dame has played solid defense this season as the Irish are only giving up 21.6 points per game on 5.2 yards per play versus offenses that are averaging 28.8 points per game on 5.8 yards per play.

Arizona State also has a very good defense this season, and that has gone largely unnoticed. The Sun Devils are 5-3 to the Under while allowing just 24.1 points per game on 5.3 yards per play. Over their last three games, Arizona State has allowed a total of 36 points. The Sun Devils’ offense is trending down as they’ve scored 26, 24, and 19 points in their last three games. These two teams played last season and that game ended in a 37-34 Notre Dame win. But these teams have changed this season, so we expect a lower scoring game between Notre Dame and Arizona State on Saturday afternoon.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo

Florida vs. Vanderbilt

Bonus Play (136) Vanderbilt Commodores

Florida has been horrible all season long and the Gators play one good game, very good game actually, and they are now being asked to lay an enormous number on the road. Coming off a big upset over a rival with another rival on deck puts Florida into a very tough spot to be focused this week and as good as they looked last week, they can easily come crashing back down. Vanderbilt is having a tough season at 3-6 but it has definitely been playing better that what public perception is portraying. The Commodores have won two of their last three games which came sandwiched around a respectable 10-point loss at Missouri. The public perception plays into the Vanderbilt lines and the fact it is on a perfect 5-0 ATS run against FBS teams proves that is has been better than most think. The Commodores are 3-1 over their last four home games. Give credit to Florida head coach Will Muschamp for making a change at quarterback as he inserted freshman Treon Harris into the lineup last week and while the Gators won, Harris did little as he threw only six passes the entire game. We will see what he can do if he needs to do something himself as he has yet to prove anything. Here, we play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after covering the spread in two out of their last three games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Play (136) Vanderbilt Commodores