Agree with BAUS....too much weight is placed on taking a card or two from the shoe and the results from that decision can either change the shoe from good to bad or vice-versa....
...one can only speculate as to what changes will take place.
What used to bug me about casino gambling was sitting at a table and getting fed a constant diet of 14's, 15's, and 16's.......betting like four times more than the player next to me....he's getting good hands and playing them absolutely horrible for table minimums....example:
Last time I was there a guy got a pair of aces dealt to him, dealer had a 6 up.....the guy HIT the aces, got a king....HIT it again, got another king, and busted. WTF???
Other people don't split cards when the occasion calls for it claiming "that would be too much money out there for one hand"....Ok, so they sit there for 4 hours and play a hand every two minutes for a total of 120 hands in four hours...at table minimums....so if they split a hand and played 121 hands in the same time period that would be too much???
I've seen local poker games such as "follow the queens"....where when a queen comes up the queen is wild and the following card is also wild.....the queens aren't showing up, and the dealer offers the deck to someone at the table to "cut for a queen"....thinking in terms of cutting the deck to bring a queen into play....what they don't realize is that this makes no difference whatsoever, if they cut the deck they can just as easily cut a queen out of play as they could cut one into play....the odds on the queen coming out stay the same and are only oddswise in direct proportion to the unused portion of the deck.....a superstitious practice at best...